With less than two weeks until Oscar night...almost no suspense...
TFF #36 films in bold
Here's the distilled wisdom from The Envelope, And the Winner Is, The Oscar Guy, Gurus of Gold, The Awards Circuit, Rope of Silicon and Film Misery...
Best Picture: The Hurt Locker edges Avatar. No other really serious competition. If there was an upset...Inglourious Basterds or Up in the Air. Least Likely Winner: The Blind Side
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow is WAY OUT FRONT. Cameron is a distant second. Least Likely: Lee Daniels for Precious
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges in a walk. Clooney a distant challenger. Least Likely: Morgan Freeman.
Best Actress: Sandra Bullock has a big lead with Meryl Streep her only real competition (this is where I think an upset happens and Streep wins). Least Likely: Helen Mirren
Best Supporting Actor: Engrave Christoph Waltz's trophy now. Purported challenge: Harrelson. Least Likely: Matt Damon
Best Supporting Actress: Mo'Nique (and has been for months)...if there were a challenger it might be: Anna Kendrick (but she won't be). Least Likely: Penelope Cruz
Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air is the massive favorite. Challenger...uh...Precious? Least Likely: In the Loop
Best Original Screenplay: An actual fight here! Hurt Locker has a tiny lead over Basterds (I'm leaning towards Basterds)...Least Likely: The Messenger
Animated: Up...Duh. Least Likely: The Secret of Kells
Documentary: The Cove has a substantial edge over Food Inc. Least Likely: Which Way Home
Foreign: Hey...an actual contested category...a 3 way battle brewing between The White Ribbon, A Prophet and The Secret of Her Eyes
Short Doc: The Last Truck way out front
Live Short: The Door in the lead
Art Direction: Avatar is the prohibitive favorite...Least Likely: Parnassus
Cinematography: A close race with Avatar barely in front of The Hurt Locker. Least Likely: Harry Potter
Costumes: Young Victoria is the prohibitive favorite. Least Likely: Parnassus
Film Editing: A close battle here again with Hurt Locker leading Avatar slightly. Least Likely: Precious
Sound Editing: Avatar is way out front. Least Likely: Inglourious Basterds
Sound Mixing: Again Avatar in a walk. Least Likely: Transformers
Visual Effects: Anyone think Avatar doesn't win this? Least Likely...well the other two
Score: Up has a big lead here. Least Likely: The Hurt Locker
Song: The Weary Kind from Crazy Heart easily. Least Likely: Paris 36
Animated Short: A Matter of Loaf and Death
Final thoughts and personal predictions next week...