Thursday, January 29, 2015

First Post Nomination FAC/New Work for Morten/Filming Jobs

Good Thursday Players...

FIRST POST-NOMINATION FAC



We've known the Oscar nominees for a two weeks now and The Film Awards Clearinghouse takes its first look at what the experts think will be the actual winners when the envelopes are opened on Feb. 22.

The FAC uses the published predictions of the following to develop its list of likely Oscar winners:

Kristopher Tapley/InContention/HitFix
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Bred Brevet/Rope of Silicon
Anne Thompson/Thompson on Hollywood
Peter Knegt/IndieWire
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter


Telluride #41 films are Bold.  Telluride has 17 nominations form these eight major categories.

BEST PICTURE



1) Boyhood
2) Birdman
3) The Imitation Game
4) American Sniper
5) The Grand Budapest Hotel
6) Selma
7) The Theory of Everything
8) Whiplash

Comment: Prior to "Birdman's" PGA win last weekend, "Boyhood" was the overwhelming favorite. Now that's not the case.  "Boyhood" is still the leader but the margin is very, very close.  Also, don't count out Morten Tyldum's "The Imitation Game".  So much depends on what Academy members put as their second and third choices on those final Oscar ballots.

Many pundits are waiting to see which way the DGA goes on Feb. 8th as they believe that could be a definitive harbinger of how the BP race finally shakes out.


BEST DIRECTION

1) Richard Linklater/Boyhood
2) Alejandro G. Inarritu/Birdman
3) Wes Anderson/The Grand Budapest Hotel
4) Morten Tyldum/The Imitation Game
5) Bennett Miller/Foxcatcher

Comment: A modestly tight two horse race, but Linklater still believed to be the favorite.


BEST ACTRESS

1) Julianne Moore/Still Alice
2) Felicity Jones/The Theory of Everything
3) Reese Witherspoon/Wild
4) Rosamund Pike/Gone Girl
5) Marion Cotilllard/ Two Days, One Night

Comment:  Moore is the overwhelming consensus favorite here.


BEST ACTOR



1) Eddie Redmayne/The Theory of Everything
2) Michael Keaton/Birdman
3) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Imitation Game
4) Bradley Cooper/American Sniper
5) Steve Carell/Foxcatcher


Comment: Redmayne's SAG win has moved him to the top of the chart here but it's a razor thin margin.  Personally, I still feel that Keaton could/will win in defiance of the last decade of matches between SAG and The Academy in this category.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Patricia Arquette/Boyhood
2) Emma Stone/Birdman
3) Kiera Knightley/The Imitation Game
4) Laura Dern/Wild
5) Meryl Streep/Into the Woods

Comment:  Arquette has this trophy sown up.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR



1) JK Simmons/Whiplash
2) Edward Norton/Birdman
3) Ethan Hawke/Boyhood
4) Mark Ruffalo/Foxcatcher
5) Robert Duvall/The Judge


Comment: Simmons has this locked.


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY



1) The Imitation Game
2) Whiplash
3) The Theory of Everything
4) American Sniper
5) Inherent Vice

Comment: A very competitive race between the top two scripts in this category.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Birdman
2) The Grand Budapest Hotel
3) Boyhood
4) Foxcatcher
5) Nightcrawler

Comment:  Also a competitive category with any of the top three as realistic candidates for the win.



NEW WORK FOR MORTEN



Any number of outlets are reporting the "Imitation Game" helmer Morten Tyldum has a new gig. Reports indicate that Tyldum will be directing the sci-fi script "Passengers".  The film has gone through a number of iterations including the  past inclusion of Reese Witherspoon in the female lead.

Here are a couple of posts about the emerging film:

http://variety.com/2015/film/news/imitation-game-director-morten-tyldum-in-talks-for-sony-space-tale-passengers-1201416509/

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/imitation-game-director-tackling-sci-767652




FILMING JOBS


Fassbender and Jobs via The New York Daily News


Danny Boyles' "Steve Jobs" biopic starring Michael Fassbender as the late Apple legend has completed casting and begun filming according to multiple sources.  The film has had some hiccups on the way to the beginning of production.


http://variety.com/2014/film/news/katherine-waterston-steve-jobs-biopic-casting-1201386587/

http://theonlinewatchmovies.com/danny-boyles-steve-jobs-starts-shooting-in-san-francisco/


More on Monday...

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