MTFB Oscar Nom Update: Lead Acting and More / The Film Stage's Top 50 of 2021 / Compare and Contrast

MTFB OSCAR NOM UPDATE: LEAD ACTING AND MORE

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 16th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Jessica Chastain/The eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza and  Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) Belfast (3)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITNG

1) Dune (2)

2) Belfast (1)

3) The Power of he Dog (4)

4) West Side Story (3)

5) Licorice Pizza (New)

Alternates: Don't Look Up and tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (2)

2) Nightmare Alley (1)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Belfast (Alt.)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Being the Ricardos

THE FILM STAGE'S TOP 50 OF 2021

The Film Stage named it's top 50 films of 2021 yesterday and nine TFF #48 films made the list:

46) Flee

36) The French Dispatch

29) C'mon C'mon

17) Spencer

15) Bergman Island

13) Petite Maman

9) Red Rocket

8) The Card Counter

2) The Power of the Dog

The complete list of 50 is linked here.

COMPARE AND CONTRAST

I decided to take a peek at how my Oscar picks for Best Picture (at the moment) stack up compared to some of the real pros in the business of Oscar prognostication.  I compared my predicted ten BP nominees to those of Clayton Davis/Variety, Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter, Sasha Stone Awards Daily, Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture and Erik Anderson of Awards Watch to see how each of us are currently predicting the Best Picture race and how many nominations each BP player is predicted to get.

For example, Here's my current BP list in order of likelihood of nomination with my predicted total of nominations to the right of each film:

Belfast-11

The Power of the Dog-10

West Side Story-9

Dune-10

Licorice Pizza-4

King Richard-5

CODA-3

Don't Look Up-4

tick, tick...BOOM-3

Being the Ricardos-3

Now lets' look at the Professionals:

CLAYTON DAVIS/VARIETY

Belfast-10

The Power of the Dog-11

Dune-10

West Side Story-8

Licorice Pizza-6

CODA-2

King Richard-5

The Tragedy of Macbeth-2

Drive My Car-4

Don't Look Up-4

As you can see, Clayton has Drive My Car and The Tragedy of Macbeth getting a BP nomination in the place of my choices of tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos.

SCOTT FEINBERG/THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER

Belfast-11

The Power of the Dog-10

West Side Story-12

King Richard-6

Licorice Pizza-3

tick, tick...BOOM-2

Dune-11

CODA-2

Don't Look Up-3

Spiderman: No Way Home-3

Scott has Spiderman in where I have Being the Ricardos.

SASHA STONE/AWARDS DAILY

Belfast-7

West Side Story-12

The Power of the Dog-8

King Richard-6

Dune-10

Licorice Pizza-4

CODA-3

Nightmare Alley-7

Being the Ricardos-4

Spiderman: No Way Home-6

Sasha has Spiderman and Nightmare Alley in (and doing well) instead of my tick, tick...BOOM and Don't Look Up

MATT NEGLIA/NEXT BEST PICTURE

Belfast-9

The Power of the Dog-8

West Side Story-9

Licorice Pizza-4

Dune-10

King Richard-4

CODA-4

tick, tick...BOOM-5

Don't Look Up-3

Drive My Car-3

Matt has Drive My Car in rather than my pick: Being the Ricardos

ERIK ANDERSON/AWARDS WATCH

Belfast-10

The Power of the Dog-9

Dune-9

West Side Story-8

King Richard-6

Licorice Pizza-4

CODA-3

The Tragedy of Macbeth-4

The Lost Daughter-3

Drive My Car-2

Erik's list includes The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Lost Daughter and Drive My Car rather than my inclusions of Don't Look Up, tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos.

Conclusions:

Here's what all six of us agree will be Best Picture nominees announced on the morning of Feb. 8th:

Belfast, The Power of the Dog, West Side Story, Dune, King Richard, Licorice Pizza and CODA.  Those seven films seem to in good shape.  Then it's a scrum for the last three spots.

 Don't Look Up is on four of these lists.

On three lists you will find: tick, tick...BOOM and Drive My Car.

On two lists each are: The Tragedy of Macbeth, Spiderman: No Way Home and Being the Ricardos

Nightmare Alley and The Lost Daughter are on only one set of predictions

It might be interesting to see who has what film as their 11th choice:

Me: Nightmare Alley

Davis: Being the Ricardos

Feinberg: The Lost Daughter

Stone: Don't Look Up

Anderson and Neglia do not indicate their 11th place choices on their websites.

The most likely film to get double digit nominations is Dune followed closely by Belfast, West Side Story and The Power of the Dog.

Take a look at the experts:

Clayton Davis/Variety

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture, Direction and More / Directors from TFF #48 Films / Trailer for Cow

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE, DIRECTION AND MORE

Here's the MTFB latest update on predictions for Academy Award nominations for Best Picture and Best Director, International Feature, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.  These categories were last predicted here on Dec. 13th.  As always TFF #48 films are indicate in Bold and the film's previous position is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST PICTURE

1) Belfast (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Dune (5)

5) Licorice Pizza (6)

6) King Richard (4)

7) CODA (8)

8) Don't Look Up (10)

9) tick, tick, BOOM (Alt.)

10) Being the Ricardos (9)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth (Look out for Drive My Car)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast (2)

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune (3)

4) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story (5)

5) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza (4)

Alternates: Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car and Guillermo Del Toro/Nightmare Alley

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car/Japan (3)

2) A Hero/Iran (1)

3) The Worst Person in the World/Norway (2)

4) Flee/Denmark (4)

5) The Hand of God/Italy (5)

Alternates: Compartment #6/Finland and I'm Your Man/Germany

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto (1)

2) Flee (3)

3) The Mitchells vs. The Machines (2)

4) Luca (4)

5) Raya and The Last Dragon (Alt.)

Alternates: Belle and The Summit of the Gods

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Flee (2)

2) The Rescue (1)

3) Summer of Soul (3)

4) Attica (Alt.)

5) Procession (4)

Alternates: Ascension and The First Wave

DIRECTORS FROM TFF #48 FILMS 

Asghar Farhadi/A Hero from The Hollywood Reporter and also from the National Board of Review.

Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog (with Guillermo Del Toro) from Variety.

Joe Wright/Cyrano from Awards Daily.

TRAILER FOR ANDREA ARNOLD'S DOCUMENTARY: COW

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MTFB Oscar Nom Prediction Update: Screenplays, Visual Effects, Sound and Makeup/Hair / Indiewire's Critics' Survey Part Two / Oscar Short Lists Announced

MTFB OSCAR NOM PREDICTION UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS, VISUAL EFFECTS, SOUND AND MAKEUP/HAIR 

Here are the latest nomination predictions for these five categories.  These were last predicted on Dec. 9th.  TFF #48 films are indicated in Bold.  The film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Licorice Pizza (2)

2) Belfast (1)

3) Being the Ricardos (Alt.)

4) Don't Look Up (4)

5) King Richard (3)

Alternates: C'mon C'mon and A Hero

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog (1)

2) The Lost Daughter (2)

3) CODA (3)

4) West Side Story (4)

5) Passing (Alt.)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Dune

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune (1)

2) The Matrix Resurrections (2)

3)  Spiderman: No Way Home (4)

4) Godzilla vs. Kong (5)

5) Eternals (3)

Alternates: Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings and Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune (1)

2) West Side Story (3)

3) No Time to Die (2)

4) Belfast (5)

5) tick, tick...BOOM (New)

Alternates: The Power of the Dog and The Matrix Resurrections

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune (1)

2) House of Gucci (2)

3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

4) Cruella (4)

5) Nightmare Alley (Alt.)

Alternates: Suicide Squad and Cyrano

INDIEWIRE'S CRITICS' SURVEY PART TWO

A week ago, I posted a breakdown of Indiewire's survey of over 180 critics.  That initial story from Indiewire focused on top ten films in a variety of categories. This week, Indiewire listed the top 50 films of the year based on that survey.  TFF #48 films that made the list are:

49) King Richard

44) Cyrano

38) The Card Counter

37) Spencer

32) Red Rocket

31) The Velvet Underground

23) A Hero

22) Bergman Island

21) Belfast

16) The Lost Daughter

10) C'mon C'mon

8) Petite Maman

7) Flee

6) The French Dispatch

1) The Power of the Dog

The complete list of the top 50 films is linked here.

OSCAR SHORT LISTS ANNOUNCED

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced their Oscar short lists for a number of categories yesterday.  Making the short list keeps a film's chances for an Oscar nomination alive in that category.  Here's how TFF #48 films in each.

Best Foreign Language Film: Flee, A Hero. The Hand of God

Best Documentary: Flee, Julia, The Rescue, Procession and The Velvet Underground

Best Original Score: The French Dispatch, King Richard, The Power of the Dog and Spencer.

Best Original Song: Down to Joy/Belfast and Be Alive/King Richard

Best Sound: Belfast and The Power of the Dog

Best Makeup/Hair: Cyrano

Best Live Action Short: When the Sun Sets

Best Documentary Short: Lead Me Home

The complete rundown of all the short lists is linked here from Next Best Picture.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / L.A. Film Critics and TFF #48 / Interviews and Profiles: Will Smith, Kenneth Branagh and More

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG AND COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Dec. 6th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (Alt.)

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

4) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

Alternates: Anne Dowd/Mass and Rita Moreno/West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (2)

3)Tony Kotsur/CODA (New)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Don't Look Up (5)

4) Spencer (3)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Cyrano

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (5)

5) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (New)

Alternates: Every Letter/Cyrano and Beyond the Shore/CODA

BEST COSTUMES

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Cyrano (New)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (New)

Alternates: Spencer and The French Dispatch

L.A. FILM CRITICS AND TFF #48

The Los Angeles Film Critics Association held their annual meet-up to name the Best of Film for 2021 on Saturday.  Seven TFF #48 films were named either a winner or runner-up in one of the LAFCA's 16 categories. TFF #48 films performances that were named either the winner or runner-up were:

The Power of the Dog: Winner: Best Direction (Campion), Best Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Best Cinematography.  Runner-up: Best Picture, Best Actor (Cumberbatch), Best Score.

Flee: Winner: Best Animated Film

Petite Maman: Winner: Best Foreign Language Film

Red Rocket: Winner: Best Actor (Rex)

Procession: Runner-up: Best Documentary

King Richard: Runner-up: Best Supporting Actress (Ellis)

Spencer: Runner-up: Best Score

Ryusuke Hamaguchi's Drive My Car was named Best Picture of the Year but The Power of the Dog was the most noted film of the day with its three wins and three runners-up.

The complete list of LAFCA winners and runners-up is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Writer/Director Sean Baker/Red Rocket/Gold Derby

Writer/Director Kenneth Branagh/Belfast/Deadline

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi/A Hero/Gold Derby

Actor Will Smith/King Richard/Variety

Actor Dakota Johnson/The Lost Daughter/Awards Watch

 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design / Independent Spirit awards and TFF #48 / Indiewire Survey of Critics / Interviews and Profiles

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: LEAD ACTING, CINEMATOGRAPHY, EDITING AND PRODUCTION DESIGN

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 2nd.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (Alt.)

Alternates: Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick, BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (Alt.)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

4) West Side Story (Alt.)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Belfast (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (Alt.)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Don't Look Up (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Nightmare Alley (2)

2) Dune (1)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) The French Dispatch (3)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (Alt.)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and Belfast

INDEPENDENT SPIRIT NOMINEES AND TFF #48

The Independent Spirit Film Awards nominations were announced on Tuesday and TFF #48  films earned a dozen nominations.  They were:

The Lost Daughter (4): Best Feature, Direction (Gyllenhaal), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Screenplay

C'mon C'mon (3): Best Feature, Direction (Mills), Screenplay

Red Rocket (2): Best Actor (Rex), Supporting Actress (Son)

Flee (1): Best Documentary

Procession (1): Best Documentary

Petite Maman (1): Best International Feature

The complete list of Independent Spirit Awards nominees is linked here from Indiewire.

INDIEWIRE SURVEY OF CRITICS

Indiewire compiled responses from over 180 critics to arrive at a list of the top ten films of 2022 and the best in a number of categories.  Here's what TFF #48 films landed on their lists:

The Power of the Dog mentioned five times: #1 Best Film, #1 Direction (Campion), #1 Performance (Cumberbatch), #1 Cinematography, #4 Screenplay

The French Dispatch mentioned four times: #6 Best Film, #6 Direction (Anderson), #9 Cinematography, #3 Screenplay

TFF #48 films with three mentions:

Flee: #7 Best Film, #1 Documentary, #4 International Film

Petite Maman: #8 Best Film, #10 Direction (Sciamma), #9 International Film

Spencer: #9 Best Direction (Larrain), #2 Performance (Stewart), #3 Cinematography

The Lost Daughter: #6 Best Performance (Colman), #7 Screenplay, #1 Best First Film

A Hero had two mentions: #5 Best Screenplay, #10 International Film

Single mentions for TFF #48 films included:

C'mon C'mon: #10 Best Film

Cyrano: #8 Best Performance (Dinklage)

King Richard: #10 Best Performance (Smith)

Procession #3: Best Documentary

The Velvet Underground: #4 Best Documentary

The Rescue: #5 Best Documentary

Belfast: #10 Cinematography

Bergman Island: #10 Best Screenplay

The complete rundown in all categories is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Aujunue Ellis/King Richard from The Hollywood Reporter

Caitriona Balfe/Belfast from Gold Derby

Ciaran Hinds/Belfast from Deadline

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Dec. 13th Post Updated: Globes and the CCA / MTFB Updates Oscar Predix: Best Picture, Director and More / Playlist 100 and TFF #49 / Interviews and Profiles

TODAY'S POST UPDATED: GLOBES AND THE CCA

I have updated today's post this afternoon to reflect nominations from the HFPA/Golden Globes and The Critics' Choice Awards as they reflect/impact TFF #48 films.  Starting with The CCA where TFF #48 films combined for 39 nominations today lead by Belfast's 11 (West Side Story also had 11 nominations).  Here's the rundown of TFF #48 CCA nominations:

BELFAST (11): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor (Hinds), Supporting Actor (Dornan), Supporting Actress (Balfe), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Young Actor (Hill), and Ensemble.

THE POWER OF THE DOG (10): Best Picture, Direction, Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Ensemble.

KING RICHARD (6): Best Picture, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Original Screenplay, Song, Young Actor (Sidney)

THE LOST DAUGHTER (2): Best Actress (Colman), Adapted Screenplay

SPENCER (2): Best Actress (Stewart), Score

THE FRENCH DISPATCH (2): Best Comedy,  Production Design

FLEE (2): Best Foreign Language Film, Animated Feature

CYRANO (1): Best Actor (Dinklage)

A HERO (1): Best Foreign Language Film

THE HAND OF GOD (1); Best Foreign Language Film

C'MON C'MON (1): Best Young Actor (Norman)

GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS

TFF #48 total nominations: 27

BELFAST 7: Best Picture-Drama, Direction, Screenplay, Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Supporting Actor (Dornan), Song

THE POWER OF THE DOG (7): Best Picture-Drama, Direction, Screenplay, Actor-Drama (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Score

KING RICHARD (4): Best Picture-Drama, Actor-Drama (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Song

CYRANO (2): Best Picture-Musical/Comedy, Actor-Musical/Comedy (Dinklage)

THE LOST DAUGHTER (2): Best Direction, Actress-Drama (Colman)

SPENCER (1): Best Actress/Drama (Stewart)

FLEE (1): Best Animated Feature

THE HAND OF GOD (1): Best Foreign Language Film

A HERO (1): Best Foreign Language Film

THE FRENCH DISPATCH (1): Best Score

MTFB UPDATES OSCAR PREDIX: BEST PICTURE, DIRECTOR AND MORE

Here's the MTFB latest update on predictions for Academy Award nominations for Best Picture and Best Director, International Feature, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.  These categories were last predicted here on Nov. 29th.  As always TFF #48 films are indicate in Bold and the film's previous position is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST PICTURE

1) Belfast (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (7)

4) King Richard (3)

5) Dune (4)

6) Licorice Pizza (5)

7) Nightmare Alley (8)

8) CODA (New)

9) Being the Ricardos (6)

10) Don't Look Up (10)

Alternates: Spencer and tick, tick...BOOM

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog (2)

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast (1)

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune (3)

4) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story (Alt.)

5) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza (4)

Alternates: Reinaldo Marcus Green/King Richard and Guillermo Del Toro/Nightmare Alley

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) A Hero/Iran (2)

2) The Worst Person in the World/Norway (1)

3) Drive My Car/Japan (Alt.)

4) The Hand of God/Italy (4)

5) Flee/Denmark (3)

Alternates: Titane/France and Compartment#6/Finland

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto (2)

2) The Mitchell's vs. The Machines (3)

3) Flee (1)

4) Luca (4)

5) Belle (5)

Alternates: Raya and the Last Dragon and The Summit of the Gods

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) The Rescue (2)

2) Flee (1)

3) Summer of Soul (3)

4) Procession (4)

5) Ascension (5)

Alternates: Attica and The First Wave

PLAYLIST 100 AND TFF #49

Each year around this time The Playlist maps out a list of its 100 most anticipated films for the following year. each year I try to cull some ides for what might be in the mix as possible choices for Telluride.  Last year's assessment ended up with me picking 20 films as possible for TFF #48.  That list ended up having seven films that were on TFF's announced list of films for 2021: 

The Electrical Life of Louis Wain

The Velvet Underground

The Card Counter

Petite Maman

The Power of the Dog

Bergman Island

The French Dispatch

Four films were on last year's list that made the TFF #48 which I did not predict:

King Richard

The Lost Daughter

Red Rocket

C'mon C'mon

So here's my stab at this year's list at some films that could play TFF #49:

#87 The Good Nurse

#77 Kenneth Branagh's Untitled Bee Gees Film

#68 Rustin

#54 The Pale Blue Eye

#52 The Son

#48 The Actor

#47 Beth and Don

#45 The End

#39 Maestro

#38 The Whale

#29 Red, White and Water

#21 Babylon

#15 Showing Up

the other #15 (yes, the list has two 15's) TAR

#14 Armageddon Time

#11 White Noise

#10 Poor Things

#7 Blonde

#6 Bardo

#5 Bones and All

#4 Women Talking

#2 Killer of the Flower Moon

#1 The Killer

The complete Playlist 100 Most Anticipated Films of 2022 is linked here.

INETERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Jamie Dornan/Indiewire

Jane Campion/Indiewire

Jonas Poher Rassmussen/Variety

Asghar Farhadi/Indiwire

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MTFB Oscar Update: Screenplays and More / Soooo...About Nightmare Alley and Telluride / Interviews and Such

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

Here are the latest nomination predictions for these five categories.  These were last predicted on Nov. 25th.  TFF #48 films are indicated in Bold.  The film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast (1)

2) Licorice Pizza (2)

3) King Richard (3)

4) Don't Look Up (5)

5) C'mon C'mon (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and A Hero

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog (1)

2) The Lost Daughter (2)

3) CODA (3)

4) West Side Story (Alt.)

5) Nightmare Alley (4)

Alternates: Passing and Dune

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune (1)

2) Matrix Resurrections (2)

3) Eternals (3)

4) Spiderman: No Way Home (4)

5) Godzilla vs. King Kong (5)

Alternates: Free Guy and Don't Look Up

BEST SOUND

1) Dune (1)

2) No Time to Die (3)

3) West Side Story (2)

4) Nightmare Alley (Alt.)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: The Power of the Dog and Eternals

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune (1)

2) House of Gucci (3)

3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye (2)

4) Cruella (4)

5) Being the Ricardos (New)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and King Richard

SOOOO...ABOUT NIGHTMARE ALLEY AND TELLURIDE

Many of you know that Guillermo Del Toro's Nightmare Alley was a film that I was hoping would make the TFF #48 lineup. Unfortunately that did not happen.  The word in August and even prior to that was that the film wasn't ready so no Telluride and no Venice.

Then on Nov. 29th, Deadline.com had this little morsel in a story about the film:

That's right, a screening of Nightmare Alley somewhere associated with TFF.  A little sleuthing and help from here and there and I discovered that the screening took place on Dec. 1 in San Francisco.  So, although Nightmare Alley was not an official selection of TFF, it still managed to become the sneakiest of sneak previews.

INTERVIEWS AND SUCH

The Power of the Dog from Indiewire

Flee from Variety

Cyrano from The Hollywood Reporter

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting, Score, Song, Costumes / Interviews, Profiles and Podcasts

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPOTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG, COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Nov. 22nd.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Kristen Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

4) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

5) Anne Dowd/Mass (Alt.)

Alternates: Judi Dench/Belfast and Adriana DeBose/West Side Story.  Note: Look out for up and comer Rita Moreno from West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (5)

3) J. K. SImmons/Being the Ricardos (3)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (Alt.)

Alternates: Jon Bernthal/King Richard and Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Spencer (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Don't Look Up (5)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) Not Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall (4)

5) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (New)

Alternates:  So May We Start/Annette and Columbia Mi Encanto/Encanto

BEST COSTUME

1) Dune (2)

2) Cruella (1)

3) West Side Story (Alt.)

4) Spencer (3)

5) Nightmare Alley (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and The French Dispatch

INTERVIEWS, PROFILES AND PODCASTS

SPENCER

Indiewire

Deadline

ENCOUNTER

Variety

THE CARD COUNTER

Deadline

THE LOST DAUGHTER

Deadline

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays