MTFB OSCAR TAKE: THIRD PREDICTIONS FOR PRODUCTION DESIGN, COSTUMES, MAKEUP/HAIR, SOUND AND VISUAL EFFECTS
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Monday, January 12, 2026
MTFB Oscar Take: 3rd predictions for Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Visual Effects / Golden Globes '26 and TFF #52 / BAFTA Longlists and TFF #52 / PGA and TFF #52
Today we update the final five feature categories with new predictions for Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Sound and Visual Effects. A film's previous ranking is to he right of the title in parentheses. All TFF #52 films are in Bold. Here they are:
PRODUCTION DESIGN
1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Wicked: For Good (4)
5) Marty Supreme (5)
Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, One Battle After Another and The Fantastic Four: First Steps.
COSTUME DESIGN
1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Hedda (NR)
Others: The Testament of Ann Lee, Marty Supreme and Kiss of the Spiderman.
MAKEUP AND HAIR
1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) The Smashing Machine (4)
5) Kokuho (NR)
Others: One Battle After Another, Marty Supreme and Nuremburg.
SOUND DESIGN
1) F1 (2)
2) Sinners (1)
3) One Battle After Another (3)
4) Avatar: Fire and Ash (NR)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)
Others: Sirat, Frankenstein and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.
VISUAL EFFECTS
1) Avatar: Fire and Ash (2)
2) F1 (1)
3) Sinners (5)
4) Frankenstein (3)
5) Superman (4)
Others: Wicked: For Good, Jurassic World Rebirth and The Lost Bus.
As of this morning's post if the MTFB Oscar Take is 100% accurate, ten TFF films will earn 41 nominations on announcement morning-Jan. 22nd. Hamnet will lead TFF films with 11 nominations. TFF #52 could also a year where five of the films that screened their earn Best Picture nominations which would be a record for the fest.
Here's how that could shake out:
Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley). Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Costumes, Cinematography, Editing, Original Score and Production Design.
Frankenstein (9): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Original Score, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects.
Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Fanning and Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Original Screenplay and International Feature.
It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, International Feature and Original Screenplay.
Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Best Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.
The Secret Agent (2): Best Actor (Moura) and International Feature.
Blue Moon (1): Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (1): Best Actress (Byrne).
Jay Kelly (1): Best Original Screenplay.
Cover-Up (1) Best Documentary.
GOLDEN GLOBES '26 AND TFF #52
Telluride films had a better than fair night at the Golden Globes with a win for Best Film/Drama for Chole Zhao. Here are all the winners from TFF #52 films from last night's Golden Globes:
Best Film/Drama-Hamnet
Best Actor/Drama-Wagner Moura/The Secret Agent
Best Actress/Drama-Jesse Buckley
Best Actress/Comedy or Musical-Rose Byrne/If I Had legs I'd Kick You
Best Supporting Actor-Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value
Best Motion Picture-Not in the English Language-The Secret Agent
Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another won the most hardware of the evening with four trophies: Best Film/Comedy or Musical, Best Supporting Actress (Taylor, Best Direction and Best Screenplay.
BAFTA LONGLISTS AND TFF #52
The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (The Brit Oscars, if you will) its "longlists" for its Film categories for 2025 last week. The longlists serve as a first cut in BAFTA's nominating process. Films have to make the longlists in various categories to be voted on for actual nominations.
19 TFF #52 (and #51) films drew 73 "mentions" in this winnowing process. Chloe Zhao's Hamnet lead the TFF parade. Here is the list of TFF films making BAFTA's longlists:
Hamnet (14): Best Film, Outstanding British Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Watson), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Cast, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design.
Bugonia (12): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Stone), Actor (Plemons), Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design and Sound.
Frankenstein (12): Best Film, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Cast, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Special Visual Effects and Sound.
Sentimental Value (8): Best Film, Best Film Not in the English Language, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Costumes.
Pillion (6): Outstanding British Film, Outstanding Debut, Adapted Screenplay, Actor Melling), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Cast.
Ballad of a Small Player (3): Outstanding British Film, Production Design, Cinematography.
Blue Moon (3): Best Original Screenplay, Actor (Hawke), Supporting Actor (Scott).
It Was Just an Accident (2): Best Film Not in the English Language, Original Screenplay.
Nouvelle Vague (2): Best film Not in the English Language, Costumes.
Single Mentions for:
H Is for Hawk: Outstanding British Film.
Urchin: Outstanding Debut.
La Grazia: Outstanding Film Not in the English Language.
Cover-Up: Documentary.
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Leading Actress (Byrne).
Jay Kelly: Best Supporting Actor (Sandler).
Apocalypse in the Tropics (TFF #51): Documentary.
Riefenstahl (TFF #51): Documentary.
One to One: john and Yoko (TFF #51): Documentary.
PGA AND TFF #52
The Producers Guild of America announced its ten choices/nominees for their Best Film award for 2025. The list includes four films from TFF #52> Here's the list with TFF #52 films in Bold:
“Bugonia” (Focus Features)
Ed Guiney, p.g.a., Andrew Lowe, p.g.a., Yorgos Lanthimos, p.g.a., Emma Stone, p.g.a., Lars Knudsen, p.g.a.
“F1” (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Nominees to be determined
“Frankenstein” (Netflix)
Guillermo Del Toro, p.g.a., J. Miles Dale, p.g.a., Scott Stuber, p.g.a.
“Hamnet” (Focus Features)
Liza Marshall, p.g.a., Pippa Harris, p.g.a., Sam Mendes, p.g.a., Steven Spielberg, p.g.a., Nicolas Gonda, p.g.a.
“Marty Supreme” (A24)
Nominees to be determined
“One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
Adam Somner, Sara Murphy, Paul Thomas Anderson
“Sentimental Value” (Neon)
Maria Ekerhovd, Andrea Berentsen Ottmar
“Sinners” (Warner Bros.)
Ryan Coogler, p.g.a., Zinzi Coogler, p.g.a., Sev Ohanian, p.g.a.
“Train Dreams” (Netflix)
Marissa McMahon, p.g.a., Teddy Schwarzman, p.g.a., William Janowitz, p.g.a., Ashley Schlaifer, p.g.a., Michael Heimler, p.g.a.
“Weapons” (Warner Bros.)
Zach Cregger, p.g.a., Miri Yoon, p.g.a.
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Thursday, January 8, 2026
MTFB Oscar Update: Cinematography, Editing, Score and Song / SAG Nominees / ADG Nominees
MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATES FOR CINEMATOGRAPHY, EDITING, SCORE AND SONG.
Here are MTFB's third predictions for nominations for cinematography, editing, score and song. All TFF #52 films are Bold.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle after Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Train Dreams (5)
5) Frankenstein (4)
Others: F1, Marty Supreme and Bugonia.
BEST EDITING
1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) F1 (4)
4) Marty Supreme (5)
5) Hamnet (3)
Others: Frankenstein, It Was Just an Accident and Sentimental Value.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Train Dreams (NR)
Others: F1, Marty Supreme and Sirat.
ORIGINAL SONG
1) Golden/K Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) I Lied to You/Sinners (2)
3) Dear Me/Diane Warren: Relentless (3)
4) Last Time (I Seen the Sun)/Sinners (NR)
5) Train Dreams/Train Dreams (5)
Others: The Girl in the Bubble/Wicked: For Good, Dream as One/Avatar: fire and Ash..
SCREEN ACTORS GUILD NOMINEES ANNOUNCED
SAG announced their nominees for "The Actor" awards. Here's the breakdown of films from TFF #52 and their nominations:
Hamnet (3): Best Cast, Best Female Lead (Buckley), Best Male Supporting (Mescal).
Frankenstein: (3) Best Cast, Best Supporting Male Actor (Elordi), Stunt Ensemble.
Bugonia: (2) Best Female Actor (Stone), Best Male Actor (Plemons).
Blue Moon (1): Best male Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (1): Best Female Actor (Byrne).
ART DIRECTORS GUILD AND TFF #52
TFF #52 films nominated for Art Directors Guild Awards earlier this week:
Frankenstein: Period Feature Film
Hamnet: Period Feature Film
Bugonia: Contemporary Feature Film
The ADG serves as a precursor for the Best Production Design Oscar.
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Monday, January 5, 2026
MTFB Oscar Take: International, Doc, Animated and Casting #3 / National Society of Film Critics and TFF #52/ Critics Choice Awards and TFF #52
MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SECOND PREDICTIONS FOR INTERNATIONAL, DOCUMENTARY AND ANIMATED FEATURES AND CASTING
Here's MTFB's third round of Oscar nomination predictions for these four categories.
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
1) Sentimental Value (Norway) (1)
2) It Was Just an Accident (France) (2)
3) The Secret Agent (Brazil) (3)
4) Sirat (5)
5) No Other Choice (South Korea) (4)
Others: The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia), Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) and Kukuho (Japan).
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) 2000 Meters to Andriivka (2)
3) Cover-Up (4)
4) The Alabama Solution (5)
5) My Undesirable Friends Part 1...(NR)
Others: Apocalypse in the Tropics*, Come See Me in the Good Light and Mr. Nobody Against Putin.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (2)
3) Arco (3)
4) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (4)
5) Elio (5)
Others: In Your Dreams, Demon slayer, The Magnificent Life.
BEST CASTING
1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)
Others: Frankenstein, Sentimental Value and Weapons.
NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS AWARDS
The National Society of Film Critics announced their awards for 2025 this past weekend. Here's how TFF #52 showed:
The Secret Agent: Winner: Best Foreign Language Film, First Runner-up Actor (Moura), Second Runner-up Best Picture and Second Runner-up Screenplay.
It Was Just an Accident: Winner Best Screenplay, First Runner-up Film in a Foreign Language and First Runner-up Director.
Blue Moon: Winner Best Actor (Hawke), First Runner-up Screenplay, 2nd Runner-up Director.
Sentimental Value: Second Runner-up Film in a Foreign Language, 2nd Runner-up Actress (Reinsve), Second Runner-up Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Second Runner-up Supporting Actor (Skarsgard).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Forst Runner-up Actress (Byrne).
Nouvelle Vague: Second Runner-up Director (along with Blue Moon).
CRITICS CHOICE AWARDS AND TFF #52
Also occurring this past weekend were the Critics Choice Awards. Here's how the films from TFF #52 fared:
Frankenstein (4): Best Supporting Actor (Elordi), Production Design, Costumes, Make-up/Hair.
Hamnet: Best Actress (Buckley)
Sentimental Value: Best Foreign Language Film
And coming up this week announcements from The Producers Guild, Directors Guild, SAG/Aftra (SAG Awards) and BAFTA's longlists. Hold your breath!!!
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Thursday, January 1, 2026
MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and Screenplays #5 / Visitations: Maggie O'Farrell (author of Hamnet)
MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND SCREENPLAYS
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!
Here's MTFB's fifth take on the Oscar races for the Supporting acting and Screenplay categories. A film/performers previous rank is listed to the right in parentheses. TFF #52 films are in Bold.
SUPPRORTING ACTRESS
1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (1)
2) Amy Madigan/Weapons (3)
3) Ariana Grande/Wicked" For Good (2)
4) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (5)
5) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (4)
Others: Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners, Regina Hall/One Battle After Another and Odessa A'Zion/Marty Supreme.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)
2) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (4)
3) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (2)
4) Paul Mescal/Hamnet (3)
5) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (5)
Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, DelRoy Lindo/Sinners and Adam Scott/ Blue Moon.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Sinners (1)
2) Sentimental Value (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) It Was Just an Accident (4)
5) Jay Kelly (5)
Others: Sorry, Baby, The Secret Agent, Weapons and Blue Moon.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) One Battle After Another (2)
2) Hamnet (1)
3) Train Dreams (4)
4) Bugonia (3)
4) Train Dreams (4)
5) Frankenstein (5)
Others: No Other Choice, Wakeup Dead man and Nuremburg.
VISITATIONS: MAGGIE O'FARRELL
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
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