A VERY EARLY LIST
I've been working on looking into the TFF #43 crystal ball for about a month now since the conclusion of the Oscar race on February 28. Admittedly, I had begun in some small ways before then but the focus after the close of each year's fest turns to the awards race until it's over.
As I have explained, each year's serious analysis begins with annual January "films-to-come" lists, followed by three film fests that give insight. Berlin, traditionally, has provided a couple of films that come to Colorado. Meanwhile Sundance and South by Southwest largely act as exclusionary festivals-they tell you titles that won't be at Telluride (with rare exceptions).
Also, once the Oscars have come and gone, any number of outlets will publish Oscar speculation pieces. Those stories can give early insight into films that could have the quality to make the T-ride lineup.
Finally we get to where we are...the Cannes Film Fest announces their lineup in two and a half weeks and speculation pieces about that lineup is the next layer of possibilities for Labor Day as their is usually a significant overlap between the Croisette and Colorado Ave. As a matter of fact, I have two more big Cannes spec pieces that I look at below.
All of that to get to this...a very early list of ten films that seem to me, at least at the moment, to have he best Telluride profile. I present them here in alphabetical order with no view yet as to their relative chances of making the Telluride lineup...I need more information to do that:
1) Andrea Arnold's American Honey
2) Wim Wenders The Beautiful Days of Aranjuez
3) Gianfranco Rosi's Fire at Sea
4) Garth Davis' Lion
5) Jeff Nichol's Loving
6) Asghar Farhadi's The Salesman
7) Werner Herzog's Salt and Fire
8) Mia Hansen Love's Things to Come
9) The Dardenne Brothers' The Unknown Girl
10) Craig Johnson's Wilson
Let's see how this list looks when we get to September.
VARIETY'S LOOK AT FRANCE
As mentioned above, I continue to dissect the Cannes predictions of a number of industry publications. Today I'm looking at Peter DeBruge and Elsa Keslassy and their recent post. They break it down into geographic categories, so I will follow suit in isolating films that might double up between Cannes and Telluride:
U.S. Directors: The Last Face (Sean Penn), Loving (Jeff Nichols)
British/Irish: American Honey (Andrea Arnold), The Secret Scripture (Jim Sheridan)
French: Personal Shopper (Olivier Assasyas)
Romanian: Family Photos (Christian Mungiu)
Other Europeans: Julieta (Pedro Almodovar). The Unknown Girl (The Dardennes), The Beautiful Days of Aranjuez (Wim Wenders)
Canadians; It's Only the End of the World
Latin American: Neruda (Pablo Larrain)
Israel: Oppenheimer Strategies (Joseph Cedar)
Asian: The Salesman/Untitled (Asghar Farhadi)
The complete Variety article is here:
http://variety.com/2016/film/news/cannes-film-festival-predictions-bfg-2016-1201738289/
44 FILMS INDIEWIRE WANTS AT CANNES
And finally, a wish list...probably well informed, from Indiewire, about Cannes films...with my eye toward Telluride...
Among the 44 films that the Indiewire crew lists are:
The Last Face
Loving
Julieta
Neruda
The Unknown Girl
Family Photos
American Honey
It's Only the End of the World
The Beautiful Days of Aranjuez
The Secret Scripture
Personal Shopper
Oppenheimer Strategies
Forushande (the untitled Farhadi Salesman film)
Lion
That'll do for Monday...
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