Michael's Telluride Film Blog : The Day Between / More on Yesterday's Toronto Announcement / Looks at Some of the Films That Will Bridge Telluride and Toronto

Good Wednesday Everyone...twas a busy day at the MTFB yesterday...

THE DAY BETWEEN

TIFF 2016 announced 68 titles yesterday which I talked about at some length in a second post for Tuesday. If you missed yesterday's first take on Toronto's news and how it related to TFF #43 look here:

http://michaelstelluridefilm.blogspot.com/2016/07/toronto-announcement-examined.html

Now. on this Wednesday, we're in the Dead Zone between the TIFF announcement and tomorrow's upcoming Venice Film Fest announcement which should also tell us a little bit more about T-ride. Venice's news won't be quite as informative because we're talking about a smaller number of films. It still will probably give us a bit more insight.

The Venetian announcement will probably happen before I am awake. My plan is to get that analysis into tomorrow's post.

MORE ON YESTERDAY'S TORONTO ANNOUNCEMENT

I'm feeling confident about the ten films that the TIFF announcement yesterday suggest are Telluride bound. All Canadian premieres. I even feel good about including in that number Kenneth Lonergan's Manchester by the Sea despite its having premiered at Sundance.

Those ten again are:

Arrival
Bleed for This
Frantz
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Maudie
Neruda
Things to Come
Toni Erdmann
Una

I have included additional coverage and analysis that also provided some Tellurdie commentary here:

http://www.awardsdaily.com/2016/07/26/sussing-out-potential-telluride-picks-from-tiff-lineup/

http://www.indiewire.com/2016/07/toronto-film-festival-oscar-awards-1201709910/

http://theplaylist.net/tiff-2016-first-looks-secret-scripture-rooney-mara-planetarium-natalie-portman-christopher-guests-mascots-20160726/

http://deadline.com/2016/07/toronto-lineup-oscar-contenders-telluride-1201792869/

Of the ten films we think we had confirmed yesterday, four were on the last Ten Bets list:\

Toni Erdmann (#3)
La La Land (#5)
Things to Come (#8)
Arrival (#9)

Manchester by the Sea and Bleed for This were included in the latest "close" categorization and Neruda and Una had both been mentioned as possibilities along the way this summer.

Surprise films that loom to be headed to Telluride that were not on my radar: Frantz and Maudie.

Films that were in the Ten Bets that will NOT play Telluride: American Honey and The Salesman.

Ten Bets films that were not affected by TIFF's announcement yesterday...meaning that they could still make the Telluride lineup: Fire at Sea, The Red Turtle, Moonlight and The Unknown Girl.

"Close" films that could still make Telluride: Aquarius, 20th Century Women, Dog Eat Dog and The Sense of an Ending.

"Close" films that will NOT play Telluride: Lion, Paterson, Denial and A Monster Calls.

Accuracy of the original Ten Bets list that I posted on June 24th- exactly one right-Toni Erdmann. La La Land and Things to Come were listed as "Close" and the original Ten Bets list had five films about which the jury is still out.

The first Ten Bets also incorrectly predicted Lion, Loving, American Honey and The Salesman.

Ahem...

Every time I think I'm pretty good at this, reality reminds me...maybe not so much.

Friday's edition of Ten Bets will be expanded to include what we have learned from TIFF and Venice. I'll include somewhere between 15 and 20 films.

LOOKS AT SOME OF THE FILMS THAT WILL BRIDGE TELLURIDE AND TORONTO

Thanks to the stills released for films announced as Galas and Special Presentations for Toronto yesterday we have some looks at films that we believe will play Telluride that we might not seen before.