THE FAC UPDATES FILM EDITING AND CINEMATOGRAPHY
I'm continuing to update The Film Awards Clearinghouse predictions for Oscar nominations as we down to just a matter of days before the announcement (Tuesday, Jan. 24th 8:30 am ET/5:30 am PT). Monday's post will be the last before the word comes down and will be a final comprehensive look at all 24 categories.
Today, a look at Film Editing and Cinematography as well as a stab at the Short Form categories.
I have used the publicly available Oscar predictions from the following pundits:
Erik Anderson/Awards Watch
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Greg Ellwood/The Playlist-Awards Campaign
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Joey Magidson/Hollywood News
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kristopher Tapley/Variety-InContention
Anne Thompson/Indiewire
TFF #43 films are in Bold.
FILM EDITING
1) La La Land (1)
2) Moonlight (2)
3) Arrival (3)
4) Hacksaw Ridge (5)
5) Manchester by the Sea (6)
6) Hell or High Water (4)
7) Lion (NR)
8) Nocturnal Animals (NR)
9) Silence (7)
10) Rogue One (10)
Hot: Lion, Nocturnal Animals
Not: Hell or High Water, Silence, Sully and Fences
On the Cusp: Sully
Comment: This might tell us a lot about the relative chances that Fences will get a Best Picture nomination. It also reflects the A.C.E./Eddie nominations and the BAFTA nominations.
CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) La La Land (1)
2) Arrival (3)
3) Moonlight (4)
4) Silence (2)
5) Lion (6)
6) Nocturnal Animals (5)
7) Hell or High Water (NR)
8) Jackie (7)
9) Live by Night (8)
10) Hail, Caesar (9)
Hot: Hell or High Water
Not: Silence and Cafe Society
On the Cusp: Rogue One
Comment: Also reflecting a bit of the Guild and BAFTA nominations.
AND NOW AN ATTEMPT AT THE SHORT FORM FILMS
Disclaimer: Unlike the 21 feature film categories, in most cases I am only working with input from four or five of the Oscar experts in these pesky and hard to pick categories...so take these predictions with a massive grain of sodium chloride...
LIVE ACTION SHORT
1) Silent Nights
2) Nocturne in Black
3) Graffiti
4) Bon Voyage
5) Sing
6) Timecode
7) Domestic Enemies
8) The Rifle...
9) Le Femme et le TVG
10) The Way of Tea
ANIMATED SHORT
1) Inner Workings
2) Piper
3) The Head Vanishes
4) Blind Vaysha
5) Pearl
6) Pear and Cider Cigarettes
7) Borrowed Time
8) Once Upon a Line
9) Happy End
10) Under Your Fingers
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1) Joe's Violin
2) The White Helmets
3) Extremis
4) Watani: My Homeland
5) 4.1 Miles
6) Frame 394
7) The Mute's House
8) Close Ties
9) The Other Side of Home
10) Brillo Pad
If The FAC goes 60% for these three categories, I'll be pleased. Also, if these predictions hold...all five shorts that played Telluride will be nominated.
FINAL PREDICTIONS FROM...
Here we begin linking to the Final Oscar nomination predictions from Oscar prognosticating experts:
Kristopher Tapley/Variety-In Contention
A GRAB BAG OF STORIES FOR TFF #43 FILMS
Here are a collection of stories from the past week or so that I've collected about some if Telluride 2016's films. They range from interviews to profiles to behind the scenes posts:
DIRECTOR'S ROUND TABLES:
The Hollywood Reporter
The Film Stage
MOONLIGHT:
Indiewire
The Playlist
LA LA LAND
Deadline
Kodak.com
Yahoo Movies
ARRIVAL
Indiewire
also Indiewire
The New Yorker
That's it for today. Re-visit Monday for The FAC's Oscar nomination final!
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
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