Oscar's Foreign Language List Is Complete / Hollywood News Weighs In with October Oscar Predictions

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OSCAR'S FOREIGN LANGUAGE LIST IS COMPLETE

The final list of all submitted films from around the world for consideration for the Foreign Language Oscar has been completed this week with 87 films on the final list.

Among that list of films are a good number that were a portion of the TFF #45 lineup.  By nation of submission they are:

Belgium: Girl
Cambodia: Graves Without a Name
Colombia: Birds of Passage
Italy: Dogman
Japan: Shoplifters
Mexico: Roma
Poland: Cold War
Sweden: Border

Of that batch of  eight films I think Roma, Cold War and Shoplifters are strong contenders to make the final five and there is a possibility that all five films that eventually get nominated will have played at Telluride.

Here is linked coverage of the list of 87 films from:

Awards Daily

The Playlist

Indiewire

The Film Experience


HOLLYWOOD NEWS WEIGHS IN WITH OCTOBER OSCAR PREDICTIONS

Joey Magidson posted his first big pass at Oscar predix at Hollywood News on Friday last week.  It's interesting in part because he picks all 21 feature categories.  Because of that we can begin to get a sense of the overall Oscar prospects for films beyond the eight major categories.

Here's the breakdown of Magidson's picks beginning with TFF #45 films with predicted nominations in parenthesis:

First Man (12): Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Cinematography, Film Editing, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects and Original Score.  One other possibility is Costumes.

The Favourite (8): Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Production Design, Cinematography, Costumes and Film Editing.  Also possible: Direction and Supporting Actor.

Roma (6): Best Picture, Best Foreign Language Film, Direction, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography.  Also possible: Film Editing.  I'm more than a little surprised that Magidson doesn't have Yalitza Aparicio anywhere in his top ten for Best Actress.

Can You Ever Forgive Me? (3) Best Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor.  Also possible: Adapted Screenplay.

The Front Runner (2): Best Actor, Adapted Screenplay.  Also possible: Best Picture, Supporting Actress and Film Editing.

Boy Erased (1): Best Song.  Also possible: Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress and Original Score.

Cold War (1): Best Foreign Language Film.  Also possible: Best Picture, Cinematography.

Shoplifters (1): Best Foreign Language Film.

That would be a total of 34 nominations if Magidson is 100% correct.

In addition, three other TFF #45 films land in the "also possible" camp without being picked as a nominee in any category:

The Old Man and the Gun: Best Actor, Supporting Actress.

Destroyer: Best Actress.

Birds of Passage: Best Foreign Film.

That totals 19 other "possible" nominations beyond the 34 he's currently predicting.

Among the other films Magidson is picking as Best Picture nominees (besides the TFF films) A Star Is Born leads the way (and ties First Man) with 12 predicted nominations: Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing and two Best Song nominations.  Magidson lists no other possibles for ASIB.

Others in his BP list and their predicted nominations:

Black Panther (8): Best Picture, Production Design, Costumes, Film Editing, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects and Song.

If Beale Street Could Talk (6): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography and Original Score.

BlackKklansman (5): Best Picture, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing and Original Score.

Vice (5): Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay.

Green Book (4): Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay

The complete Hollywood News/Joey Magidson set of predictions can be found here.


That's your Thursday MTFB.  I'll have more on Monday.

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