FINAL OSCAR PREDICITONS FOR TONIGHT
Best Picture: Nomadland. Upset Special: The Trial of the Chicago 7.
Best Direction: Chloe Zhao/Nomadland, Upset Special: Emerald Fennell/Promising Young Woman.
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan/Promising Young Woman. Upset Special: Viola Davis/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom.
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. Upset Special: Anthony Hopkins/The Father.
Best Supporting Actress: Yuh-jung Youn/Minari. Upset Special: Maria Bakalova/Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.
Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya/Judas and the Black Messiah. Upset Special: Sacha Baron Cohen/The Trial of the Chicago 7.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Nomadland. Upset Special: The Father.
Best Original Screenplay: Promising Young Woman. Upset Special: The Trial of the Chicago 7.
Best International Feature: Another Round. Upset Special: Quo Vadis Aida.
Best Documentary Feature: My Octopus Teacher,. Upset Special: Crip Camp.
Best Animated Feature: Soul. Upset Special: Wolfwalkers.
Best Original Score: Soul. Upset Special: Mank.
Best Original Song: Speak Now/One Night in Miami. Upset Special: Io Si/The Life Ahead.
Best Cinematography: Nomadland. Upset Special: Mank.
Best Editing: The Trial of the Chicago 7. Upset Special: Sound of Metal.
Best Production Design: Mank. Upset Special: News of the World.
Best Costume Design: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. Upset Special: Emma.
Best Makeup/Hair: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. Upset Special: Hillbilly Elegey
Best Sound: Sound of Metal. Upset Special: News of the World.
Best Visual Effects: Tenet. Upset Special: The Midnight Sky.
Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens I Love You. Upset Special: Burrow.
Best Live Action Short: Two Distant Strangers. Upset Special: Feeling Through.
Best Documentary Short: A Concerto Is a Conversation. Upset Special: A Love Song for Latasha
TFF Stats:
Nomadland nominated for six Oscars: Picture, Director, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography and Editing. I am predicting it to win four: Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography.
The Father nominated for six Oscars: Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Editing and Production Design. I have predicted that it wins no Oscars tonight BUT...Hopkins is the Upset Special for Best Actor and his buzz has been growing for the past couple of weeks. The Father is also the Upset Special for Adapted Screenplay.
The only other TFF #47 is the Live Action Short nominee The Letter Room.
The most Oscars that TFF #47 films could snag in total tonight is 10.
The categories that feel to me like the ones that are going to be Oscar poll deciders are: Best Actress, the two screenplay categories, Documentary, Song and, as always, the Shorts categories.
OSCAR PREDICTIONS FROM THE EXPERTS
Here are links to a number of Oscarologists for tonight's winners:
Eric Kohn and Anne Thompson/Indiewire (Screen Talk podcast)
And of course, for the last time this Oscar season, the link to the final collective predictions of The Gurus of Gold at Movie City News.
I'll have some post Oscar thoughts in tomorrow's regularly scheduled edition of MTFB.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
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