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Sunday, March 10, 2024

MTFB SPECIAL: FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS FOR TONIGHT

 FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS (TFF films in Bold).

Best Picture:  Winner: Oppenheimer. Upset: The Holdovers.
Best Direction: Winner: Christopher Nolan/Oppenheimer. Upset: Jonathan Glazer/The Zone of Interest
Best Actress: Winner: Lily Gladstone/Killers of the Flower Moon. Upset: Emma Stone/Poor Things
Best Actor: Winner: Cillian Murphy/Oppenheimer.  Upset: Paul Giamatti/The Holdovers.
Best Supporting Actress: Winner: Da'Vine Joy Randolph/The Holdovers.  Upset: Emily Blunt/Oppenheimer.
Best Supporting Actor: Winner: Robert Downey, Jr./Oppenheimer.  Upset: Ryan Gosling/Barbie.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Winner: American Fiction.  Upset: Barbie.
Best Original Screenplay: Winner: Anatomy of a Fall.  Upset: The Holdovers.
Best International Film: Winner: The Zone of Interest.  Upset: Society of the Snow.
Best Animated Film: Winner: Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse.  Upset: The Boy and the Heron.
Best Documentary: Winner: 20 Days in Mariupol.  Upset: Bobi Wine: The People's President.
Best Cinematography: Winner: Oppenheimer.  Upset: Poor Things.
Best Editing: Winner: Oppenheimer.  Upset: The Holdovers.
Best Original Score: Winner: Oppenheimer.  Upset: Killers of the Flower Moon.
Best Original Song: Winner: What Was I Made For?/Barbie.  Upset: I'm Just Ken/Barbie.
Best Production Design: Winner: Poor Things.  Upset: Barbie.
Best Costume Design: Winner: Poor Things.  Upset: Barbie.
Best Makeup/Hair: Winner: Maestro.  Upset: Poor Things.
Best Visual Effects: Winner: The Creator.  Upset: Godzilla Minus One.
Best Sound: Winner: Oppenheimer. Upset: The Zone of Interest.
Best Live Action Short: Winner: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar.  Upset: The After.
Best Documentary Short: Winner: The Last Repair Shop.  Upset: The ABCs of Book Burning.
Best Animated Short: Winner: War Is Over Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko.  Upset: Letter to a Pig.

MTFB is predicting that TFF films will win five Oscars.  
Poor Things (2): Cstumes and Production Design.
The Holdovers (1): Best Supporting Actress
The Zone of Interest (1) Best International Feature
The Last Repair Shop (1): Best Documentary Short



Here's my track record of predicting Oscar winners over the last several years:

2023: 18/23 78.3% 
2022: 21/23 91.3% 
2021: 16/23 69.6% 
2020: 19/24 79.2% 
2019: 19/24 79.2% 
2018: 21/24 87.5% 
2017: 15/24 62.5% 
2016: 15/24 62.5% 
2015: 20/24 83.3% 
2014: 22/24 91.7% 

That's 186/237 over the decade for a success rate at 78.5%.


FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS FROM THE EXPERTS














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