THE FILM AWARDS CLEARINGHOUSE #2
We start with a snapshot of where four of the Big Eight Oscar categories appear to be at the end of October and one month after our first look.
There have been some serious developments over the past few weeks that have had a serious impact on where the various races are. The New York Film Festival came and went. We got word that "Foxcatcher" and "The Monuments Men" among others will be pushed to 2014 and that Martin Scorsese's "The Wolf of Wall Street" which was looking kind of iffy for 2013 will, in fact, open in late December, so it stays in the 2013 hunt. Of course, we still haven't seen "American Hustle", Out of the Furnace", "Lone Survivor" or "Wolf".
I use the publicly posted predictions of these Oscar experts:
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kris Tapley/HitFix-InContention
Anne Thompson/Thompson on Hollywood
Peter Knegt/IndieWire
Alex Carlson/Film Misery
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Brad Brevet/Rope of Silicon
The films position on the first FAC is in parenthesis. Telluride #40 films are Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) 12 Years a Slave (1)
2) Gravity (2)
3) Captain Phillips (4)
4) American Hustle (3)
5) Nebraska (10)
6) Inside Llewyn Davis (7)
7) Saving Mr. Banks (5)
8) Lee Daniels's The Butler (8)
9) All is Lost (12)
10) The Wolf of Wall Street (6)
11) Blue Jasmine (14)
12) August: Osage County (13)
13) Her (-)
14) Dallas Buyers Club (-)
15) Fruitvale Station (-)
Dropping Out: Foxcatcher, The Monuments Men, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
Big Movers: Nebraska, All is Lost, Blue Jasmine
BEST DIRECTOR
1) Alfonso Cuaron/Gravity (2- TIE)
1) Steve McQueen/12 Years (1)
3) Paul Greengrass/Capt. Phillips (4)
4) David O. Russell/American Hustle (3)
5) Alexander Payne/Nebraska (6)
6) Joel and Ethan Coen/Inside Llewyn Davis (-)
7) Martin Scorsese/Wolf of Wall Street (5)
8) J.C. Chandor/All is Lost (-)
9) John Lee Hancock/Saving Mr. Banks (-)
10) Lee Daniels/The Butler (8)
No drop outs.
Big Movers: The Coens, Chandor and Hancock.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Cate Blanchett/Blue Jasmine (1)
2) Sandra Bullock/Gravity (3)
3) Meryl Streep/August: Osage County (2)
4) Judi Dench/Philomena (4)
5) Emma Thompson/Saving Mr. Banks (5)
6) Amy Adams/American Hustle (6)
7) Adele Excharopoulos/Blue (-)
8) Kate Winslet/Labor Day (-)
9) Berenice Bejo/The Past (7)
10) Julie Delpy/Before Midnight (-)
No drop outs here either.
Big Movers: Excharopoulos, Winslet
BEST ACTOR
1) Chiwetel Ejiofor/12 Years (1)
2) Robert Redford/All is Lost (2)
3) Matthew McConnaughey/Dallas Buyers Club (3)
4) Tom Hanks/Capt. Phillips (7)
5) Bruce Dern/Nebraska (4)
6) Forest Whitaker/LD's The Butler (5)
7) Leonardo DiCaprio/Wolf of Wall Street (6)
8) Christian Bale/American Hustle (-)
9) Joaquin Phoenix/Her (-)
10) Michael B. Jordan/Fruitvale Station (-)
No drops.
Big Movers; Hanks, Bale, Phoenix
Monday's post will include the Supporting categories as well as Screenplays and a breakdown of the Telluride films.
IN OTHER NEWS...
MONUMENTS MOVES
As I alluded above, George Clooney's "The Monuments Men" will be moving to 2014. The production team says it won't be ready for a December release. That opens some room for T-ride films such as "Nebraska", "Inside Llewyn Davis" and "All is Lost". Rope of Silicon reports:
http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/george-clooneys-monuments-men-delayed-2014/
BACKLASH FOR T-RIDE FAVES
It's inevitable. After the huge splash that "12 Years a Slave" and "Gravity" made at Telluride, you'd expect there to be push back and that's happened. Steve Pond from The Wrap posted this week about the bounce and the burn:
http://www.thewrap.com/gravity-12-years-slave-battle-backlash-film-fest-raves/
COMING ATTRACTIONS
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I'm already massively intrigued by the notion of Michael Fassbender and Marion Cotillard leading a film version of Macbeth and the word came yesterday that the project now has the backing of The Weinstein Company. TWC is often a player at Telluride, although their level of play has been hit and miss over the years. Here's my plea...Harvey, "Macbeth"...T-ride 2014... Here's the story of the TWC acquisition from Awards Circuit:
http://www.awardscircuit.com/2013/10/23/weinstein-company-acquires-macbeth-w-michael-fassbender-and-marion-cotillard/
The films position on the first FAC is in parenthesis. Telluride #40 films are Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) 12 Years a Slave (1)
2) Gravity (2)
3) Captain Phillips (4)
4) American Hustle (3)
5) Nebraska (10)
6) Inside Llewyn Davis (7)
7) Saving Mr. Banks (5)
8) Lee Daniels's The Butler (8)
9) All is Lost (12)
10) The Wolf of Wall Street (6)
11) Blue Jasmine (14)
12) August: Osage County (13)
13) Her (-)
14) Dallas Buyers Club (-)
15) Fruitvale Station (-)
Dropping Out: Foxcatcher, The Monuments Men, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
Big Movers: Nebraska, All is Lost, Blue Jasmine
BEST DIRECTOR
1) Alfonso Cuaron/Gravity (2- TIE)
1) Steve McQueen/12 Years (1)
3) Paul Greengrass/Capt. Phillips (4)
4) David O. Russell/American Hustle (3)
5) Alexander Payne/Nebraska (6)
6) Joel and Ethan Coen/Inside Llewyn Davis (-)
7) Martin Scorsese/Wolf of Wall Street (5)
8) J.C. Chandor/All is Lost (-)
9) John Lee Hancock/Saving Mr. Banks (-)
10) Lee Daniels/The Butler (8)
No drop outs.
Big Movers: The Coens, Chandor and Hancock.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Cate Blanchett/Blue Jasmine (1)
2) Sandra Bullock/Gravity (3)
3) Meryl Streep/August: Osage County (2)
4) Judi Dench/Philomena (4)
5) Emma Thompson/Saving Mr. Banks (5)
6) Amy Adams/American Hustle (6)
7) Adele Excharopoulos/Blue (-)
8) Kate Winslet/Labor Day (-)
9) Berenice Bejo/The Past (7)
10) Julie Delpy/Before Midnight (-)
No drop outs here either.
Big Movers: Excharopoulos, Winslet
BEST ACTOR
1) Chiwetel Ejiofor/12 Years (1)
2) Robert Redford/All is Lost (2)
3) Matthew McConnaughey/Dallas Buyers Club (3)
4) Tom Hanks/Capt. Phillips (7)
5) Bruce Dern/Nebraska (4)
6) Forest Whitaker/LD's The Butler (5)
7) Leonardo DiCaprio/Wolf of Wall Street (6)
8) Christian Bale/American Hustle (-)
9) Joaquin Phoenix/Her (-)
10) Michael B. Jordan/Fruitvale Station (-)
No drops.
Big Movers; Hanks, Bale, Phoenix
Monday's post will include the Supporting categories as well as Screenplays and a breakdown of the Telluride films.
IN OTHER NEWS...
MONUMENTS MOVES
As I alluded above, George Clooney's "The Monuments Men" will be moving to 2014. The production team says it won't be ready for a December release. That opens some room for T-ride films such as "Nebraska", "Inside Llewyn Davis" and "All is Lost". Rope of Silicon reports:
http://www.ropeofsilicon.com/george-clooneys-monuments-men-delayed-2014/
BACKLASH FOR T-RIDE FAVES
It's inevitable. After the huge splash that "12 Years a Slave" and "Gravity" made at Telluride, you'd expect there to be push back and that's happened. Steve Pond from The Wrap posted this week about the bounce and the burn:
http://www.thewrap.com/gravity-12-years-slave-battle-backlash-film-fest-raves/
COMING ATTRACTIONS
I'm already massively intrigued by the notion of Michael Fassbender and Marion Cotillard leading a film version of Macbeth and the word came yesterday that the project now has the backing of The Weinstein Company. TWC is often a player at Telluride, although their level of play has been hit and miss over the years. Here's my plea...Harvey, "Macbeth"...T-ride 2014... Here's the story of the TWC acquisition from Awards Circuit:
http://www.awardscircuit.com/2013/10/23/weinstein-company-acquires-macbeth-w-michael-fassbender-and-marion-cotillard/
More on Monday...have a great weekend.
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