MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: OSCAR WINNER PREDICTIONS PART THREE
I'm continuing my first attempts at predicting what will win Oscars on the night of March 12th. Today I'm adding these categories to the 12 I have previously predicted in the last two posts: International Feature, Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, Production Design, Costume Design and Makeup/Hair. Films are ranked in order of likelihood to win. I have highlighted TFF nominees in Bold.
INETRNATIONAL FEATURE
1) All Quiet on the Western Front
2) Argentina 1985
3) Close
4) EO
5) The Quiet Girl
ANIMANTED FEATURE
1) GDT's Pinocchio
2) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
3) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
4) Turning Red
5) The Sea Beast
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1) All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
2) All That Breathes
3) Navalny
4) Fire of Love
5) The House of Splinters
PRODUCTION DESIGN
1) Elvis
2) Babylon
3) Avatar: The Way of Water
4) All Quiet on the Western Front
5) The Fabelmans
COSTUME DESIGN
1) Elvis
2) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
3) Babylon
4) Everything Everywhere All at Once
5) Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
MAKEUP/HAIR
1) Elvis
2) The Whale
3) The Batman
4) All Quiet on the Western Front
5) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Through 18 predicted categories here's the rundown of what Oscar night looks like if I'm 100% accurate:
Everything Everywhere wins three Oscars for Best Picture, Ke Huy Quan/Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay.
Elvis with four: Cinematography, Production Design, Costumes and Makeup/Hair.
The Fabelmans with one: Steven Spielberg/Best Direction.
TAR with one: Cate Blanchett/Lead Actress.
The Whale with one: Brendan Fraser/Lead Actor.
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever with one: Angela Bassett/Supporting Actress.
Women Talking with one: Adapted Screenplay.
Babylon with one: Original Score.
RRR with one: Original Song.
Top Gun: Maverick with one: Editing.
All Quiet on the Western Front with one: International Feature
Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio with one: Animated Feature.
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed with one: Documentary Feature
Only two more feature categories remain to be initially predicted: Sound and Visual Effects. Those along with the three shorts categories will be predicted in Thursday's post.
Couple of notes here.
Everything Everywhere could easily add three more Oscars to its haul: Direction, Lead Actress and Editing.
Categories that seem most "locked" at the moment are Supporting Actor: Quan, Song: Naatu Naatu from RRR, International Feature: All Quiet...
Categories that seem to be the most contentious: Picture, Direction (Spielberg and The Daniels), Actress (Blanchett and Yeoh), Actor (Fraser and Butler with Farrell also possible), Original Screenplay (Everything Everywhere and Banshees), Documentary (literally any of them except House of Splinters),Cinematography (Again, any of the five except for Bardo), Editing (TG: Maverick and Everything Everywhere) and Makeup/Hair (Elvis and The Whale).
THE FILM STAGE'S 100 MOST ANTICIPATED AND TFF
Last month The Film Stage posted the 100 films that it have the most anticipation for in 2023. I kind of spaced that out as I was focused on Oscar season. Nevertheless, a month later, I have finally run through their list for possible players for TFF #50.
Last year, six films that I highlighted from The Film Stage list actually made it to TFF #49:
The Wonder
Bones and All
Broker
One Fine Morning
Women Talking
TAR
Several films were on the 2022 list and reappear this year as they weren't released in 2022 including:
Maestro, The Holdovers, Poor Things, The Killer, Zone of Interest and Killers of the Flower Moon.
Here are maybe the best possibilities from their 2023 list:
100) El Conde
98) My Crime
93) The Royal Hotel
81) Emilia Perez
77) Butterfly Jam
72) Monster
60) Poor Things
59) AND
57) Nightbitch
48) Strangers
40) The Holdovers
38) The Island
36) Maestro
20) Fallen Leaves
19) Stone Mattress
18) Die My Love
16) The Killer
15) The End
13) The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
12) Priscilla
8) Zone of Interest
6) May/December
3) The Way of the Wind
2) Killers of the Flower Moon
1) How Do You Live?
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
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