OSCAR UPDATE: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Best Supporting Actress updated since I last posted this category on Nov. 2nd. A performer's past position is indicated to the right in parentheses. TFF #47 performers are indicated in Bold.
OSCAR EXPERT UPDATE: CLAYTON DAVIS-VARIETY
We last checked in with Clayton's Oscar predictions about six weeks back (on Oct. 15). Consequently, I thought it might be a good idea to get a snapshot of where he believes the Oscar race to be. Here are the primary Oscar predictions from Mr. Davis as of the end of last week:
Leading all comers: David Fincher's Mank which Davis has at 12 total nominations: Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Production Design, Costumes, Sound and Score. That's up 2 nominations from 10/15. Davis added nomination predictions for Supporting Actor, Score and Sound and dropped a prediction for Makeup/Hair.
Nomadland (7): Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography and Sound. Nomadland holds at 7 total predicted nominations. Davis swapped out a film editing nomination for a sound nomination.
One Night in Miami (7): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Costumes, Film Editing and Original Song. Davis subtracts a previous prediction for Cinematography here.
Minari (7): Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Score. A big jump up over the last six weeks from a predicted three nominations to this total of seven. Previously Davis just had Minari in for Picture, Actor and Original Screenplay.
Judas and the Black Messiah (7): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing. The other film that Davis has elevated significantly over the past 40 days and 40 nights. On Oct. 15 Davis had it with four nomination predictions: Picture, Actor, Original Screenplay and Film Editing.
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (5): Best Picture, Actor, Actress, Costume and Makeup/Hair. Down one nomination with some other changes too. Boseman has moved from Supporting to Lead. The previously predicted Adapted Screenplay is gone. Production Design os also gone but Makeup/Hair has been added.
The Father (4): Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress and Adapted Screenplay
Promising Young Woman (4): Best Picture, Actress, Original Screenplay, Makeup/Hair
The Prom (4): Best Picture, Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Song
And the biggest dive in the last six weeks: The Trial of the Chicago 7 which Davis had with as many as 7-8 nominations six weeks back and now has down to three: Best Picture, Original Screenplay and Film Editing.
Check out all of Clayton's work at Variety, linked here.
DIEGO MARADONA
The last time we were in Telluride for the film fest in Sept. of 2019, Asif Kapadia's documentary about the life of soccer legend Diego Maradona was making waves. The film debuted immediately after TFF #46 on HBO and sports a solid 78 Metacritic score.
Maradona died on Wednesday of a heart attack at the age of 60. The world of soccer/football was shocked and dismayed at the passing of the legend.
Should you want to view the Kapadia doc you should be able to find it on HBO Max, Amazon Prime Video and Hulu.
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