The latest Gurus of Gold went up at Movie City News today . You can took a good long look at the first real line from the Gurus regarding who/what we collectively think will win the Academy Award in the "Big Eight" categories in a couple of weeks.
The Latest Gurus is linked here.
My personal predictions looks as follows for these eight categories with TFF #46 films in Bold.
1) Once Upon A Time...in Hollywood
4) The Irishman
6) Jojo Rabbit
7) Marriage Story
8) Little Women
9) Ford v Ferrari
1) Sam Mendes/1917
2) Bong Joon-ho/Parasite
3) Quentin Tarantino/Once Upon A Time ...
4) Martin Scorsese/The Irishman
5) Todd Phillips/Joker
1) Renee Zellweger/Judy
2) Scarlett Johansson/Marriage Story
3) Charlize Theron/Bombshell
4) Cynthia Erivo/Harriet
5) Saoirse Ronan/Little Women
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Laura Dern/Marriage Story
2) Scarlett Johansson/Jojo Rabbit
3) Kathy Bates/Richard Jewell
4) Margot Robbie/Bombshell
5) Florence Pugh/Little Women
1) Joaquin Phoenix/Joker
2) Adam Driver/Marriage Story
3) Antonio Banderas/Pain and Glory
4) Leonardo DiCaprio/Once Upon a Time...
5) Jonathan Pryce/The Two Popes
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Brad Pitt/Once Upon a Time...
2) Joe Pesci/The Irishman
3) Al Pacino/The Irishman
4) Tom Hanks/A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
5) Anthony Hopkins/The Two Popes
1) Once Upon A Time ...
3) Marriage Story
4) Knives Out
1) Little Women
2) The Irishman
3) Jojo Rabbit4) The Two Popes
The next big Guild domino to fall prior to the Oscars is the Directors Guild of America which will announce its winners on Saturday. Also announcing Saturday will be the USC Scripter Award for Adapted Screenplays as well as the American Society of Cinematographers and the Cinema Audio Society.
It'll be a big day of film awards news.
The DGA is likely a three way battle between Sam Mendes/1917, Bong Joon-ho/Parasite and Quentin Tarantino/Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood.
The ASC is likely going to award Roger Deakins for 1917.
The CAS is probably going to give their award for sound mixing to Ford v Ferrari especially since 1917 was not nominated by the organization.
The USC Scripter Award could land in the hands of Greta Gerwig for Little Women or perhaps Steve Zaillian for The Irishman.
We'll know on Saturday night and then assess if any of the awards were a surprise as well if any of the wins give us any more inkling about Oscar races.
IMPROBABLE FOR 47
As most MTFB know, TFF regularly schedules new films only if they will be appearing in North America for the first time. There are exceptions here and there but they are rare. Recently Kenneth Lonergan's Manchester by the Sea and Scott Z. Burns' The Report played Sundance first and then TFF.
So the films that are announced for the Sundance Film Fest are almost always relegated to "ain't gonna play Telluride" status.
So, with that notion in mind, here's a quick scan of some films that are very likely not going to be TFF #47 bound as they have been announced for Sundance:
Never, Rarely, Sometimes, Always
The Last Thing He Wanted
The complete Sundance program is here should want to explore.
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