UPDATED OSCAR PREDICTIONS: PICTURE, DIRECTOR, CINEMATOGRAPHY
As a part of my ongoing position as a Guru o' Gold for Movie City News (see below), I was asked to update predictions for Best Picture, Direction and offer up a first take on Cinematography. As such, here's what I reported. For Picture and Director, their previous spot here at MTFB follows in parentheses. Best Picture and Director was last included here on Nov. 1st.
As always, TFF #45 films are Bold
BEST PICTURE
1) A Star Is Born (1)
2) Roma (2)
3) Green Book (3)
4) The Favourite (4)
5) Vice (10)
6) If Beale Street Could Talk (7)
7) BlacKkKlansman (5)
8) Black Panther (8)
9) First Man (6)
10) Can You Ever Forgive Me? (9)
11) Widows (-)
12) Mary Poppins Returns (-)
BEST DIRECTION
1) Alfonso Cuaron/Roma (1)
2) Bradley Cooper/A Star Is Born (2)
3) Spike Lee/BlacKkKlansman (3)
4) Barry Jenkins/If Beale Street Could Talk (-)
5) Yorgos Lanthimos/The Favourite (5)
6) Peter Farrelly/Green Book (-)
7) Damien Chazelle/First Man (4)
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) Roma
2) A Star Is Born
3) First Man
4) If Beale Street Could Talk
5) The Favourite
6) Cold War
7) Black Panther
GURUS OF GOLD-THANKSGIVING WEEKEND
Here's the link to the latest Gurus of Gold predictions. Among the three categories updated (Picture, Director, Cinematography) TFF #45 films are named as follows:
Roma: Picture, Director, Cinematography
The Favourite: Picture, Director, Cinematography
First Man: Picture (if it goes to nine), Cinematography
Can You Ever Forgive Me?: Picture (if it goes to ten)
Others getting mentioned without earning enough votes for predicted nominations:
First Man: Director
Can You Ever Forgive Me?: Director
Cold War: Picture, Director, Cinematography
The Front Runner: Picture
Boy Erased: Picture
First Reformed (TFF #44): Picture
THIS IS WAY TOO EARLY
Tom Hanks as Fred Rogers on the set of Marielle Heller's You Are My Friend via IMDb
I saw that Jeff Wells/Hollywood Elsewhere and Jordan Ruimy/World of Reel had both created and published lists of anticipated 2019 titles...which seems like bait I can't ignore. Sooo...
I took a look at both lists (which share a huge number of titles) and here are twelve films that seem/sound like they might be candidates for inclusion for TFF #46:
All You Need Is Love. The project (with Beatles music as a central part of the film) could make TFF #46 because it's from Danny Boyle who has had a significant history with the fest: Slumdog Millionaire, 127 Hours, Steve Jobs. The film is currently scheduled for U.S. release on Sept. 13th.
The True American from Pablo Larrain...if it's ready. Larrain, like Boyle, has had a strong history with TFF: No, Neruda. Both this and the above mentioned Boyle project are produced by Annapurna Pictures which has also had a presence at Telluride: Foxcatcher, Destroyer.
You Are My Friend: From Marielle Heller who just has had her Telluride introduction with Can You Ever Forgive Me? The film stars Tom Hanks (who was at TFF with Sully in 2016) as Fred Rogers. The film has an awards and TFF friendly release date of Oct. 18th.
Little Women: Greta Gerwig's anticipated take on the Louisa May Alcott classic. With the reception that her directorial debut Lady Bird received at TFF in 2017 you have to think this is a real possibility. Scheduled for release on Dec. 25th.
The Woman in the Window: director Joe Wright's follow-up to his 2017 Darkest Hour which played TFF and earned six Oscar nominations and won two including Gary Oldman's Best Actor win. The film is set for release on Oct. 4th. The film's plotline sounds much a take on Hitchcock's Rear Window and the cast is ridiculously stunning: Julianne Moore, Amy Adams and Gary Oldman.
Velvet Buzzsaw: From writer-director Dan Gilroy. I'm mostly thinking this could play because Gilroy re-teams with his Nightcrawler co-conspirators Jake Gyllenhaal and Rene Russo. The film is set in the contemporary art scene and is described as a horror/thriller. Netflix is producing which doesn't hurt its TFF chances if the recent past is any indication.
Pale Blue Dot: Fargo (the TV version) guru Noah Hawley jumps into feature film making with Natalie Portman starring as an astronaut having issues once she returns from space. The film is from Fox Searchlight which means we have to consider it a TFF possibility.
Bergman Island: Mia Hansen-Love's latest project and a with her TFF pedigree (Goodbye First Love, Things to Come), a film we should consider. Mia Wasikowska and Vicky Krieps star.
Triple Frontier: a long gestating project from J.C. Chandor. It's been developed by Netflix and stars Ben Affleck and Oscar Isaac among others about an attempt to overturn the drug trade in South America. Chandor was in T-ride in 2014 with All Is Lost and both Affleck (Argo) and Isaac (Inside Llewyn Davis) have been as well.
And then here are these three huge projects...
The Goldfinch: The film adaptation of the Pulitzer Prize winning novel by Donna Tartt. John Crowley, who broke through with Brooklyn in 2015, directs. The cast includes Nicole Kidman (this year at TFF with Destroyer and Boy Erased) and Sarah Paulson. The film is from Amazon and is set for release on Oct. 11th which makes a T-ride play possible.
Radegund: Terrence Malick's latest and a film I have been waiting for from him for some time now...surprise, surprise. The true story of a German conscientious objector in World War II could appear in 2019...or not. I wouldn't be surprised if it was a selection for Cannes.
The Irishman: Martin Scorsese's Netflix joint. Probably an unrealistic dream for a Telluride play but a guy has to hope. DeNiro, Pacino, Pesci and Keitel and more. The best chance that it plays is that it is from Netflix which, again, doesn't hurt its chances for Telluride. Netflix has to be happy, at least so far, with how Roma played TFF which probably helps too.
The complete Hollywood Elsewhere post is here.
The complete World of Reel post is here.
That's this Monday's MTFB. More will be on its way to you on Thursday.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
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