OSCAR PREDICTIONS UPDATE: BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTOR
Time to update MTFB's Oscar predictions in the Best Picture and Direction categories. Green Book is on the move!
BEST PICTURE
Here's the latest Best Picture predictions updating the previous round that I posted back on Oct. 15th. Each film's previous position is listed in parentheses and TFF #45 films are Bold
1) A Star Is Born (1)
2) Roma (2)
3) Green Book (5)
4) The Favourite (3)
5) BlacKkKlansman (6)
6) First Man (3)
7) If Beale Street Could Talk (7)
8) Black Panther (8).
9) Can You Ever Forgive Me? (12)
10) Vice (10)
Others: Vice, Widows, Boy Erased
Green Book continues to pick up momentum while First Man continues to fall to earth. Look out for Vice as well. I think that it could make a real splash as we get closer to its screening.
BEST DIRECTION
1) Alfonso Cuaron/Roma (1)
2) Bradley Cooper/A Star Is Born (2)
3) Spike Lee/BlacKkKlansman (4)
4) Damien Chazelle/First Man (3)
5) Yorgos Lanthimos/The Favourite (5)
Others: Peter Farrelly/Green Book, Barry Jenkins/If Beale Street Could Talk, Ryan Coogler/Black Panther, Marielle Heller/Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Adam McKay/Vice
The category has remained essentially static these last two weeks. For my money the top three spots feel like locks with a real battle royale for the #4 and #5 spots.
I'll update the lead acting races on Monday.
NEW BOY ERASED TRAILER ARRIVES
Focus Features has released a new trailer for Joel Edgerton's gay conversion therapy drama Boy Erased starring Lucas Hedges, Nicole Kidman and Russell Crowe. The film is set to open tomorrow.
Here's the new trailer from YouTube:
NETFLIX SETS ROMA RELEASE
Indiewire's Anne Thompson reported last night that Netflix has arrived at its release strategy for Roma and other films for this year's Oscar season. The streaming behemoth will release Roma theatrically in a limited fashion (NY and LA) on Nov. 21st. It will be platformed with additional theaters added on Dec. 7th and Dec. 14th which is also the date that it will available for streaming.
Other films included in Thompson's story include the Coen Brothers' The Ballad of Buster Scruggs and Suzanne Bier's Bird Box.
The complete story from Indiewire is linked here.
MORE FROM JASON REITMAN ON THE FRONT RUNNER
Jason Reitman and Hugh Jackman at the Telluride Film Festival Q+A for The Front Runner
Jason Reitman sat down to talk to Awards Circuit's Joey Magidson recently about his upcoming The Front Runner. Reitman directed and co-wrote the film starring Hugh Jackman as former Sen. Gary Hart.
Jackman's performance and the screenplay have received some attention in regards to possible Oscar consideration.
Here's the interview.
That's today's version of MTFB. More to come on Monday.
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