MTFB Oscar Take: Winner Prediction Updates for Docs, Animated and International Feature and More / SAG Awards Announced / The Lost Daughter Wins USC Scripter

I have updated Oscar predictions for winners in these six categories today.  TFF #48 Films are Bold.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Summer of Soul

2) Flee

3) Attica

4) Ascension

5) Writing with Fire

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines

3) Flee

4) Luca

5) Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car

2) The Worst Person in the World

3) The Hand of God

4) Flee

5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Dune

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Nightmare Alley

5) West Side Story

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) King Richard

4) Don't Look Up

5) tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune

2) Nightmare Alley

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth

A couple of quivers of movement since these categories were last updated on Feb. 17th.  Flee and Luca swap spots in Best Animated Feature as do King Richard and Don't Look Up for Editing.

The current predictions for the other 14 feature categories at the moment are:

BEST PICTURE

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Belfast

3) West Side Story

4) King Richard

5) Dune

6) Licorice Pizza

7) CODA

8) Don't Look Up

9) Drive My Car

10) Nightmare Alley

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

4) Licorice Pizza/Paul Thomas Anderson

5) Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

3) Kristen Stewart/Spencer

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos

1) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

3) Aujanue Ellis/King Richard

4) Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter

5) Judi Dench/Belfast

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Jesse Plemons/The Power of the Dog

5) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast

2) Licorice Pizza

3) Don't Look Up

4) King Richard

5) The Worst Person in the World

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) CODA

3) The Lost Daughter

4) Drive My Car

5) Dune

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Don't Look Up

4) Encanto

5) Parallel Mothers

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

2) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto

3) Be Alive/King Richard

4) Down to Joy/Belfast

5) Somehow You Do/Four Good Days

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Nightmare Alley

4) West Side Story

5) Cyrano

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune

2) Spiderman: No Way Home

3) No Time to Die

4) Shang Chi

5) Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune

2) West Side Story

3) Not Time to Die

4) The Power of the Dog

5) Belfast

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune

2) Cruella

3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye

4) The House of Gucci

5) Coming 2 America

SAG AWARDS ANNOUNCED

Last night was a good night for Sundance breakout CODA and not so great a night for TFF #48 films at the SAG Awards.  CODA won Best Cast and Troy Kotsur won Best Supporting Actor for his role as the deaf father of a hearing child.

TFF #48 films only scored one win and that was an expected victory for Will Smith as Best Actor for King Richard.

Other winners were:

Best Actress: Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

The wins for Smith and DeBose solidify their status as Oscar frontrunners.  Kotsur's win certainly improves his chances in a Oscar race that seems, or at least seemed, to be close between him and The Power of the Dog's Kodi Smit-McPhee.  And does Chastain's win mean that she's now the person to beat in a crazy and divided Best Actress Oscar field?

The Dog went 0 for 3 last night with Smit-McPhee, Benedict Cumberbatch and Kirsten Dunst all coming up short. Belfast was 0 for 2 with Caitriona Balfe dropping in Supporting Actress and the film missing for Best Cast.  King Richard also missed for Best Cast as well as for Aujanue Ellis as Supporting Actress.  The final miss for TFF #48 performers was Olivia Colman from The Lost Daughter for Best Actress.

Full coverage is linked here from CNN.

THE LOST DAUGHTER WINS THE USC SCRIPTER

The USC Scripter Award is annually presented to the Best Adapted Screenplay in the eyes of the Scripter's awards voters.  Most thought that Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog was the likely winner here but voters opted for a different TFF #48 film honoring Maggie Gyllenhaal and the script for The Lost Daughter.  The USC Scripter Award also recognizes the writer(s) of the original source material being adapted.  That included author Elena Ferrante who wrote the novel that the film is based on.

Dopesick won the award for adapted television writing.

Other screenplays nominated included Passing, Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth.

Full details are here from Variety.

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The First MTFB Oscar Winners Take / Interviews and Profiles: The Power of the Dog and Cyrano

THE FIRST MTFB OSCAR WINNERS TAKE

The Oscar ceremony will be March 27th and now that we know the nominees, here's my first run at predicting the winners  I'm starting off with the Big Eight categories and will continue to add and update categories as we move through these next six weeks.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Belfast

3) West Side Story

4) King Richard

5) Licorice Pizza

6)  CODA

7) Dune

8) Don't Look Up

9) Drive My Car

10) Nightmare Alley

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

4) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza

5) Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Kristen Stewart/Spencer

3) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

3) Aunjanue Ellis/King Richard

4) Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter

5) Judi Dench/Belfast

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Jesse Plemoms/The Power of the Dog

5) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast

2) Licorice Pizza

3) Don't Look Up

4) King Richard

5) The Worst Person in the World

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) CODA

3) The Lost Daughter

4) Drive My CarInterviews and Pro

5) Dune

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

THE POWER OF THE DOG

Jane Campion/Indiewire

Kirsten Dunst/Awardist-Entertainment Weekly

Kodi Smit-McPhee/Awards Watch

CYRANO

The cast and crew of Cyrano in the Variety Streaming Room

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting and More / Lots of News Today /ASC Names Its Nominees / Online Film Critics Society Loves the Dog / Interviews and Profiles

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: LEAD ACTING AND MORE

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The previous position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Jan. 13th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

2) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (3)

3) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

5) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

Alternates: Jennifer Hudson/Respect and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos and Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

4) Belfast (5)

5) West Side Story (3)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Dune (1)

2) Belfast (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The Power of the Dog (4)

5) Don't Look Up (Alt.)

Alternates: Licorice Pizza and No Time to Die

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Belfast (4)

5) The French Dispatch (5)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cruella

  

LOTS OF GUILD NEWS TODAY

Really good day for Belfast, The Power of the dog and King Richard

TFF #48 Guild nominees:

Producers Guild: Belfast, King Richard, The Power of the Dog

Directors Guild: Kenneth Branagh/Belfast, Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

Writers Guild: King Richard for Original Screenplay, The French Dispatch for Original Screenplay

Editors Guild: Belfast, King Richard, The Power of the Dog

Actors Guild (from two weeks ago): Cast nominees: Belfast and King Richard.  The Power the Dog had three individual acting nominees.

ASC NAMES ITS NOMINEES

The American Society of Cinematographers announced its nominees for the best work of 2021 on Tuesday.  In the feature film category two TFF #48 films made the grade.  Belfast and The Power of the Dog were among the five films named.  Others included Nightmare Alley, Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth.  A number of Oscarologists reported that the ASC and Oscar normally match 4 for 5 each year.  This year's odd film out could have been West Side Story.

The cinematographers' guild will be matched today with guild nominations from the writers, the directors and the producers.  What that will tell us about possible Oscar nominations could be very interesting and enlightening.

Deadline has a listing of  all categories that the ASC named Tuesday linked here.

ONLINE FILM CRITICS SOCIETY LOVES THE DOG

Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog won several major categories from OFCS which announced their winners on Monday.  The film won:

Best Picture, Direction (Campion), Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Adapted Screenplay, Editing and Cinematography and Original Score.

Other TFF #48 films that received recognition included The Lost Daughter which saw Olivia Colman named Best Lead Actress and Maggie Gyllenhaal was named for Best Debut Feature , The French Dispatch won Best Production Design,  Petite Maman was named one of ten Best Non-U.S. Features.

The complete list of winners and nominees are here from Next Best Picture.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES: 

The Power of the Dog from Variety.

Belfast from Deadline.

Jamie Dornan of Belfast from Deadline.

Caitriona Balfe of Belfast from YouTube.

Maggie Gyllenhaal on The Lost Daughter from Deadline.

Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from Indiewire.

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MTFB Oscar Take: Lead Acting and More Updated / SAG Nominations and TFF #48 / BAFTA Longlist and TFF #48

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: LEAD ACTORS AND MORE UPDATED

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The previous position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 30th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza and Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4)Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Nicolas Cage/Pig

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The Tragedy of Macbeth (5)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Dune (1)

2) Belfast (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Licorice Pizza (5)

Alternates: Don't look Up and King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Belfast (5)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cyrano

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD NOMINATIONS AND TFF #48

The Screen Actors Guild announced nominees for their prizes yesterday.  TFF #48 films fared as follows:

Belfast: Best Cast and Supporting Actress Caitriona Balfe

King Richard: Best Cast and Lead Actor Will Smith

The Power of the Dog: Best Lead Actor Benedict Cumberbatch, Supporting Actress Kirsten Dunst and Supporting Actor Kodi Smit-McPhee

The Lost Daughter: Lead Actress Olivia Colman

Surprises:

No Best Cast nomination for The Power of the Dog despite a leading three nominations in the individual acting categories.

No Kristen Stewart Best Actress nomination for Spencer

Strong support for House of Gucci with a Best Cast nomination and individual nods for Lady Gaga and Jared Leto.

Don't Look Up gets a Best Cast nomination but not a single individual nomination.

West Side Story getting a single individual nomination for Ariana De Bose and no Best Cast nomination.

Here's the link to the entire list of SAG-Aftra nominees.

BAFTA LONG LIST AND TFF #48

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their long lists for each competitive film category yesterday.  The longlists establish what films are still alive for actual BAFTA nominations.  Here's how TFF #48 films fared.  Total 

Belfast (14): Best Film, Best British Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actress (Dench), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Supporting Actor (Dornan), Casting, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Production Design and Sound.

The Power of the Dog (14): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Supporting Actor (Plemons), Costumes, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Score, Production Design and Sound.

The French Dispatch (11): Best Film, Original Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Del Toro), Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects and Sound.

The Lost Daughter (8): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Colman), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Costumes, Editing  and Score.

King Richard (7): Best Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Casting and Score.

Cyrano (7): Outstanding British Film, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Dinklage), Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Production Design.

The Electrical Life of Louis Wain (5): Outstanding British Film, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score and Production Design

The Hand of God (5): Best Non-English Language Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Casting and Editing.

Spencer (4); Outstanding British Film, Actress (Stewart), Costumes and Score.

C'mon C'mon (4): Original Screenplay, Actor (Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Norman) and Cinematography

Petite Maman (3); Best Non-English Language Film, Direction and Original Screenplay.

Flee (3): Best Non-English Language Film, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.

Single mentions for:

The Card Counter: Original Screenplay

The Duke: Original Screenplay

A Hero: Best Non-English Language Film

Encounter: Best Actor (Ahmed)

Becoming Cousteau: Best Documentary Feature

Cow: Best Documentary Feature

The Real Charlie Chaplin: Best Documentary Feature

The Rescue: Best Documentary Feature

The Velvet Underground: Best Documentary Feature

TFF #47 films on the longlist were

After Love (6): Outstanding British Film, Outstanding Debut, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Scanlan) and Casting.

Also a single mention for First Cow for Direction.

(***The Duke was also listed as a TFF #47 selection)

All told 23 feature films from the last two SHOWS are still in the hunt for BAFTA recognition.  BBAFTA will announce the nominees on February 3rd.

The complete list of the BAFTA longlist is linked here.

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MTFB Oscar Nom Update: Lead Acting and More / The Film Stage's Top 50 of 2021 / Compare and Contrast

MTFB OSCAR NOM UPDATE: LEAD ACTING AND MORE

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 16th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Jessica Chastain/The eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza and  Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) Belfast (3)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITNG

1) Dune (2)

2) Belfast (1)

3) The Power of he Dog (4)

4) West Side Story (3)

5) Licorice Pizza (New)

Alternates: Don't Look Up and tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (2)

2) Nightmare Alley (1)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Belfast (Alt.)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Being the Ricardos

THE FILM STAGE'S TOP 50 OF 2021

The Film Stage named it's top 50 films of 2021 yesterday and nine TFF #48 films made the list:

46) Flee

36) The French Dispatch

29) C'mon C'mon

17) Spencer

15) Bergman Island

13) Petite Maman

9) Red Rocket

8) The Card Counter

2) The Power of the Dog

The complete list of 50 is linked here.

COMPARE AND CONTRAST

I decided to take a peek at how my Oscar picks for Best Picture (at the moment) stack up compared to some of the real pros in the business of Oscar prognostication.  I compared my predicted ten BP nominees to those of Clayton Davis/Variety, Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter, Sasha Stone Awards Daily, Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture and Erik Anderson of Awards Watch to see how each of us are currently predicting the Best Picture race and how many nominations each BP player is predicted to get.

For example, Here's my current BP list in order of likelihood of nomination with my predicted total of nominations to the right of each film:

Belfast-11

The Power of the Dog-10

West Side Story-9

Dune-10

Licorice Pizza-4

King Richard-5

CODA-3

Don't Look Up-4

tick, tick...BOOM-3

Being the Ricardos-3

Now lets' look at the Professionals:

CLAYTON DAVIS/VARIETY

Belfast-10

The Power of the Dog-11

Dune-10

West Side Story-8

Licorice Pizza-6

CODA-2

King Richard-5

The Tragedy of Macbeth-2

Drive My Car-4

Don't Look Up-4

As you can see, Clayton has Drive My Car and The Tragedy of Macbeth getting a BP nomination in the place of my choices of tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos.

SCOTT FEINBERG/THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER

Belfast-11

The Power of the Dog-10

West Side Story-12

King Richard-6

Licorice Pizza-3

tick, tick...BOOM-2

Dune-11

CODA-2

Don't Look Up-3

Spiderman: No Way Home-3

Scott has Spiderman in where I have Being the Ricardos.

SASHA STONE/AWARDS DAILY

Belfast-7

West Side Story-12

The Power of the Dog-8

King Richard-6

Dune-10

Licorice Pizza-4

CODA-3

Nightmare Alley-7

Being the Ricardos-4

Spiderman: No Way Home-6

Sasha has Spiderman and Nightmare Alley in (and doing well) instead of my tick, tick...BOOM and Don't Look Up

MATT NEGLIA/NEXT BEST PICTURE

Belfast-9

The Power of the Dog-8

West Side Story-9

Licorice Pizza-4

Dune-10

King Richard-4

CODA-4

tick, tick...BOOM-5

Don't Look Up-3

Drive My Car-3

Matt has Drive My Car in rather than my pick: Being the Ricardos

ERIK ANDERSON/AWARDS WATCH

Belfast-10

The Power of the Dog-9

Dune-9

West Side Story-8

King Richard-6

Licorice Pizza-4

CODA-3

The Tragedy of Macbeth-4

The Lost Daughter-3

Drive My Car-2

Erik's list includes The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Lost Daughter and Drive My Car rather than my inclusions of Don't Look Up, tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos.

Conclusions:

Here's what all six of us agree will be Best Picture nominees announced on the morning of Feb. 8th:

Belfast, The Power of the Dog, West Side Story, Dune, King Richard, Licorice Pizza and CODA.  Those seven films seem to in good shape.  Then it's a scrum for the last three spots.

 Don't Look Up is on four of these lists.

On three lists you will find: tick, tick...BOOM and Drive My Car.

On two lists each are: The Tragedy of Macbeth, Spiderman: No Way Home and Being the Ricardos

Nightmare Alley and The Lost Daughter are on only one set of predictions

It might be interesting to see who has what film as their 11th choice:

Me: Nightmare Alley

Davis: Being the Ricardos

Feinberg: The Lost Daughter

Stone: Don't Look Up

Anderson and Neglia do not indicate their 11th place choices on their websites.

The most likely film to get double digit nominations is Dune followed closely by Belfast, West Side Story and The Power of the Dog.

Take a look at the experts:

Clayton Davis/Variety

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design / Independent Spirit awards and TFF #48 / Indiewire Survey of Critics / Interviews and Profiles

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: LEAD ACTING, CINEMATOGRAPHY, EDITING AND PRODUCTION DESIGN

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 2nd.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (Alt.)

Alternates: Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick, BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (Alt.)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

4) West Side Story (Alt.)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Belfast (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) West Side Story (Alt.)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Don't Look Up (4)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Nightmare Alley (2)

2) Dune (1)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) The French Dispatch (3)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (Alt.)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and Belfast

INDEPENDENT SPIRIT NOMINEES AND TFF #48

The Independent Spirit Film Awards nominations were announced on Tuesday and TFF #48  films earned a dozen nominations.  They were:

The Lost Daughter (4): Best Feature, Direction (Gyllenhaal), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Screenplay

C'mon C'mon (3): Best Feature, Direction (Mills), Screenplay

Red Rocket (2): Best Actor (Rex), Supporting Actress (Son)

Flee (1): Best Documentary

Procession (1): Best Documentary

Petite Maman (1): Best International Feature

The complete list of Independent Spirit Awards nominees is linked here from Indiewire.

INDIEWIRE SURVEY OF CRITICS

Indiewire compiled responses from over 180 critics to arrive at a list of the top ten films of 2022 and the best in a number of categories.  Here's what TFF #48 films landed on their lists:

The Power of the Dog mentioned five times: #1 Best Film, #1 Direction (Campion), #1 Performance (Cumberbatch), #1 Cinematography, #4 Screenplay

The French Dispatch mentioned four times: #6 Best Film, #6 Direction (Anderson), #9 Cinematography, #3 Screenplay

TFF #48 films with three mentions:

Flee: #7 Best Film, #1 Documentary, #4 International Film

Petite Maman: #8 Best Film, #10 Direction (Sciamma), #9 International Film

Spencer: #9 Best Direction (Larrain), #2 Performance (Stewart), #3 Cinematography

The Lost Daughter: #6 Best Performance (Colman), #7 Screenplay, #1 Best First Film

A Hero had two mentions: #5 Best Screenplay, #10 International Film

Single mentions for TFF #48 films included:

C'mon C'mon: #10 Best Film

Cyrano: #8 Best Performance (Dinklage)

King Richard: #10 Best Performance (Smith)

Procession #3: Best Documentary

The Velvet Underground: #4 Best Documentary

The Rescue: #5 Best Documentary

Belfast: #10 Cinematography

Bergman Island: #10 Best Screenplay

The complete rundown in all categories is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Aujunue Ellis/King Richard from The Hollywood Reporter

Caitriona Balfe/Belfast from Gold Derby

Ciaran Hinds/Belfast from Deadline

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting, Cinematography, Editing and Production Design / Interviews, Profiles and Podcasts

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: 

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Nov. 18th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (Alt.)

3) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (2)

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (5)

5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers (4)

 

Alternates: Lady Gaga/House of Gucci and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (4)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

5) Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up (New)

Alternates: Peter Dinklage/Cyrano and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (4)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

4) Belfast (2)

5) Nightmare Alley (5)

Alternates: West Side Story and Spencer

BEST FILM EDITING

1) Belfast (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) King Richard (4)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Don't Look Up (Alt.)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and West Side Story

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) The French Dispatch (3)

4) West Side Story (4)

5) The Power of the Dog (Alt.)

Alternates: Belfast and The Tragedy of Macbeth

INTERVIEWS, PROFILES AND PODCASTS

BELFAST

The Hollywood Reporter

THE POWER OFTHE DOG

Variety

The Los Angeles Times

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Take: Lead Acting, Cinematography, Editing and Production Design / Trailer for Encounter / Interviews, Profiles and Podcasts

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: LEAD ACTING, CINEMATOGRAPHY, EDITING AND PRODUCTION DESIGN

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 performers are in Bold. The performers' last position in these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Nov. 4th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (2)

3) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (3)

4) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers (Alt.)

5) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

Alternates: Frances McDormand/The Tragedy of Macbeth and Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (3)

3) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (2)

4) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (5)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (4)

Alternates: Clifton Collins/Jockey and Joaquin Phoenix/C'mon C'mon

BEST CINAMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) Belfast (3)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (2)

4) The Power of the Dog (4)

5) Nightmare Alley (Alt.)

Alternates: West Side Story and Spencer

BEST FILM EDITING

1) Belfast (1)

2) Dune (2)

3) The Power of the Dog (4)

4) King Richard (3)

5) Nightmare Alley (5)

Alternates: West Side Story and Don't Look Up

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) The French Dispatch (3)

4) West Side Story (4)

5) The Tragedy if Macbeth (5)

Alternates: The Power of the Dog and Belfast

TRAILER FOR ENCOUNTER

Riz Ahmed stars in this story of  two brothers who embark on a journey, who is trying to protect them from an alien threat.  From director Michael Pearce and Amazon Studios.  Encounter will be released Dec. 10th.

INTERRVIEWS, PROFILES AND PODCASTS

KING RICHARD:

AP News

Time.com

The San Francisco Chronicle

SPENCER:

YouTube

C'MON C'MON

The Daily Beast

THE FRENCH DISPATCH

Variety

CITIZEN ASHE

The Wrap

BECOMING COUSTEAU

Broadway World

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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