2022 Post-Oscars / Oscars 2023-The 95th / Possible Venice Choices

2022 POST-OSCARS 

Well, the 94th Oscar ceremony is in the books.

TFF #48 films end up with three Oscar wins with Jane Campion winning Best Direction, and the only Oscar out of 12 nominations, for The Power of the Dog.  Sir Kenneth Branagh won his first Oscar for Original Screenplay for Belfast.  It's only win out of seven nominations.  The third win was Will Smith's for Best Actor for King Richard.  

As I mentioned on Monday, in terms of prediction accuracy I went 21 of 23.  That might be my best year for predictions ever.  That said, lots of people did very well.  Over at Awards Daily there were reportedly 28 different folks tied for the top spot in their annual Oscar prediction contest with a 22/23 rate of success.

On Sunday, part of my final predictions post included a segment called "Ten Categories That Will Determine Your Oscar Pool."  It was a list of the 10 categories that seemed to me the most likely places where the category was competitive and an upset could occur.  Didn't miss a one except Best Picture and I was on the under side of that with my Power of the Dog prediction. As it turned out the biggest "surprise" came in Animated Short when The Windshield Wiper surprised perceived frontrunners Robin Robin and Bestia.

The three wins for Telluride films was the smallest haul for films that played The SHOW since 2009 when no TFF film won any Oscar (out of 16 nominations).

OSCAR 2023-THE 95TH

Wasting no time, Oscar predicting website Next Best Picture had a post up on Tuesday with a list of films that will/could be released in 2022 that they think might be in the Oscar race for this next season.  As usual, I have parsed it for possible films that we might see over Labor Day weekend.  Here's that list of films with their directors.

Asteroid City/Wes Anderson

Armageddon Time/James Gray

Babylon/Damien Chazelle

Bardo/Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu

The Killer/David Fincher

Killers of the Flower Moon/Martin Scorsese

Next Goal Wins/Taika Waititi

Poor Things/Yorgos Lanthimos

The Son/Florian Zeller

Tar/Todd Field

White Noise/Noah Baumbach

Women Talking/Sarah Polley

  

From NBP's "Other Contenders" list:

Barbie/Greta Gerwig

Bones and All/Luca Guadagnino

Broker/Hirokazu Kore-eda

The entire NBP post is linked here.

POSSIBLE VENICE CHOICES

Jordan Ruimy at World of Reel posted yesterday reporting that Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu's Bardo will premiere at Venice.  The Venice/Telluride one-two  has intensified over the past few years.  Consequently, the potential of a Venice bow doesn't guarantee that Inarritu makes the trip, but it sure doesn't diminish the chances wither.  Other films that Ruimy mentions as Venice possibilities: Damien Chazelle's Babylon, Noah Baumbach's White Noise and Paul Schrader's The Master Gardener.

The complete piece is linked here.

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The Oscars and Telluride

 THE OSCARS AND TELLURIDE

For only the second time since 2008 the Oscar winner for Best Picture did not World Premiere or North American Premiere at the Telluride Film Festival as Sian Heder's CODA took the top prize last night.  Green Book also achieved that feat at the 2019 Oscars.

TFF #48 films that were honored last night were The Power of the Dog with Jane Campion's win for Best Direction, Belfast for Kenneth Branagh's Original Screenplay and King Richard for Will Smith as Best Actor.

Dune topped the night with six Oscars followed by CODA with three and The Eyes of Tammy Faye with two.

The winners:

Picture: CODA

Direction: Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

Actress: Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Actor: Will Smith/King Richard

Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur/CODA

Original Screenplay: Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

Adapted Screenplay Sian Heder/CODA

Documentary: Summer of Soul

Animated Feature: Encanto

International Film: Drive My Car

Cinematography: Dune

Editing: Dune

Production Design: Dune

Original Score: Dune

Original Song: No Time to Die from No Time to Die

Costumes: Cruella

Visual Effects: Dune

Sound: Dune

Makeup/Hair: The Eye of Tammy Faye

Animated Short: The Windshield Wiper

Doc Short: The Queen of Basketball

Live Action Short: The Long Goodbye

I went 21/23 dropping on Animated Short and Best Picture,  I was too stubborn on The Power of the Dog in the face of the momentum that gathered for CODA.

And then there was the Will Smith/Chris Rock confrontation which will be the talk of this particular Oscars forever.  It will be interesting to see how that shakes out and if Smith's actions have an affect on his career going forward.

Coolest moments of the night for me: Campion's win...I actually got to speak with her briefly on the streets of Telluride and express my admiration for her work on The Power of the Dog.

Troy Kotsur's win.  I remember seeing CODA and remarking after it was over that he should be in the Oscar conversation.  For my money, of the four Oscar winning actors this year...it's easily the best performance.

Seeing Francis Ford Coppola, Robert DeNiro and Al Pacino on stage to intro the tribute to the 50th anniversary of The Godfather and be able to turn to the wife and say: I've been on set with one (DeNiro), shaken hands with one and say "thank you for your work" (Coppola) and seen one on stage in a live performance (Pacino-Merchant of Venice-Shakespeare in the Park in NYC in 2010).

More to come on Thursday...it's been a season...

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MTFB Oscar Take: Score, Song and More / Awards Weekend-Two Weeks from Oscar: BAFTA, DGA and Critics Choice

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SCORE, SONG AND MORE

Here's your latest update of feature Oscar winners in the categories of Score, Song, Costume, Visual Effects, Sound and Makeup/Hair.  The last predictions for these categories was posted on Mar. 3rd.  As always, TFF #48 films are Bold.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Encanto

4) Don't Look Up

5) Parallel Mothers

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

2) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto

3) Be Alive/King Richard

4) Down to Joy/Belfast

5) Somehow You Do/Four Good Days

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Nightmare Alley

4) West Side Story

5) Cyrano

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune

2) Spiderman: No Way Home

3) No Time to Die

4) Shang Chi

5) Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune

2) No Time to Die

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) Belfast

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) The Eyes of Tammy Faye

2) Dune

3) Coming 2 America

4) Cruella

5) House of Gucci

AWARDS WEEKEND-TWO WEEKS FROM OSCAR

The last 48 hours held a cascade of film awards.  BAFTA, DGA and The Critics' Choice Awards all landed.  here's the lowdown on each especially how they pertained to TFF #48 films:

BAFTA- The British Association of Film and Television Arts.  From TFF #48, The Power of the Dog won Best Film and Best Direction (Jane Campion).  Belfast won Best British Film and Will Smith won Best Actor for King Richard.  TFF #47's After Love won for Best Actress with Joanna Scanlan taking that prize.

All of the BAFTA winner are here from the official BAFTA site.

THE CRITICS CHOICE AWARDS:

The CCAs where announced last night and here's the rundown on TFF #48 films:

The Power of the Dog won four: Picture, Director (Campion), Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography.

Belfast won three: Best Ensemble, Best Original Screenplay and Best Young Actor/Actress (Jude Hill)

King Richard's Will Smith won Best Actress.

The Critics Choice Awards full winners are here from Variety.

DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA

The Directors Guild of America awarded Jane Campion Best Director of a Feature Film for TFF #48 SHOW pony The Power of the Dog.  Additionally Maggie Gyllenhaal was named winner for Best First Feature for TFF #48 entrant The Lost Daughter.  

In Telluride-adjacent DGA news. this year's Guest Director and Shorts programmer Barry Jenkins won for Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Movies for Television and Limited Series.

The complete DGA winners list plus commentary is linked here from The Hollywood Reporter.

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MTFB Oscar Take: Winner Prediction Updates for Docs, Animated and International Feature and More / SAG Awards Announced / The Lost Daughter Wins USC Scripter

I have updated Oscar predictions for winners in these six categories today.  TFF #48 Films are Bold.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Summer of Soul

2) Flee

3) Attica

4) Ascension

5) Writing with Fire

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines

3) Flee

4) Luca

5) Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car

2) The Worst Person in the World

3) The Hand of God

4) Flee

5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Dune

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Nightmare Alley

5) West Side Story

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) King Richard

4) Don't Look Up

5) tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune

2) Nightmare Alley

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth

A couple of quivers of movement since these categories were last updated on Feb. 17th.  Flee and Luca swap spots in Best Animated Feature as do King Richard and Don't Look Up for Editing.

The current predictions for the other 14 feature categories at the moment are:

BEST PICTURE

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Belfast

3) West Side Story

4) King Richard

5) Dune

6) Licorice Pizza

7) CODA

8) Don't Look Up

9) Drive My Car

10) Nightmare Alley

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

4) Licorice Pizza/Paul Thomas Anderson

5) Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

3) Kristen Stewart/Spencer

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos

1) BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

3) Aujanue Ellis/King Richard

4) Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter

5) Judi Dench/Belfast

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Jesse Plemons/The Power of the Dog

5) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast

2) Licorice Pizza

3) Don't Look Up

4) King Richard

5) The Worst Person in the World

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) CODA

3) The Lost Daughter

4) Drive My Car

5) Dune

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Don't Look Up

4) Encanto

5) Parallel Mothers

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

2) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto

3) Be Alive/King Richard

4) Down to Joy/Belfast

5) Somehow You Do/Four Good Days

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Nightmare Alley

4) West Side Story

5) Cyrano

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune

2) Spiderman: No Way Home

3) No Time to Die

4) Shang Chi

5) Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune

2) West Side Story

3) Not Time to Die

4) The Power of the Dog

5) Belfast

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune

2) Cruella

3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye

4) The House of Gucci

5) Coming 2 America

SAG AWARDS ANNOUNCED

Last night was a good night for Sundance breakout CODA and not so great a night for TFF #48 films at the SAG Awards.  CODA won Best Cast and Troy Kotsur won Best Supporting Actor for his role as the deaf father of a hearing child.

TFF #48 films only scored one win and that was an expected victory for Will Smith as Best Actor for King Richard.

Other winners were:

Best Actress: Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

The wins for Smith and DeBose solidify their status as Oscar frontrunners.  Kotsur's win certainly improves his chances in a Oscar race that seems, or at least seemed, to be close between him and The Power of the Dog's Kodi Smit-McPhee.  And does Chastain's win mean that she's now the person to beat in a crazy and divided Best Actress Oscar field?

The Dog went 0 for 3 last night with Smit-McPhee, Benedict Cumberbatch and Kirsten Dunst all coming up short. Belfast was 0 for 2 with Caitriona Balfe dropping in Supporting Actress and the film missing for Best Cast.  King Richard also missed for Best Cast as well as for Aujanue Ellis as Supporting Actress.  The final miss for TFF #48 performers was Olivia Colman from The Lost Daughter for Best Actress.

Full coverage is linked here from CNN.

THE LOST DAUGHTER WINS THE USC SCRIPTER

The USC Scripter Award is annually presented to the Best Adapted Screenplay in the eyes of the Scripter's awards voters.  Most thought that Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog was the likely winner here but voters opted for a different TFF #48 film honoring Maggie Gyllenhaal and the script for The Lost Daughter.  The USC Scripter Award also recognizes the writer(s) of the original source material being adapted.  That included author Elena Ferrante who wrote the novel that the film is based on.

Dopesick won the award for adapted television writing.

Other screenplays nominated included Passing, Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth.

Full details are here from Variety.

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The First MTFB Oscar Winners Take / Interviews and Profiles: The Power of the Dog and Cyrano

THE FIRST MTFB OSCAR WINNERS TAKE

The Oscar ceremony will be March 27th and now that we know the nominees, here's my first run at predicting the winners  I'm starting off with the Big Eight categories and will continue to add and update categories as we move through these next six weeks.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Belfast

3) West Side Story

4) King Richard

5) Licorice Pizza

6)  CODA

7) Dune

8) Don't Look Up

9) Drive My Car

10) Nightmare Alley

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

4) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza

5) Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Kristen Stewart/Spencer

3) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

5) Penelope Cruz/Parallel Mothers

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

3) Aunjanue Ellis/King Richard

4) Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter

5) Judi Dench/Belfast

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Jesse Plemoms/The Power of the Dog

5) J.K. Simmons/Being the Ricardos

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast

2) Licorice Pizza

3) Don't Look Up

4) King Richard

5) The Worst Person in the World

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) CODA

3) The Lost Daughter

4) Drive My CarInterviews and Pro

5) Dune

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

THE POWER OF THE DOG

Jane Campion/Indiewire

Kirsten Dunst/Awardist-Entertainment Weekly

Kodi Smit-McPhee/Awards Watch

CYRANO

The cast and crew of Cyrano in the Variety Streaming Room

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting and More / Lots of News Today /ASC Names Its Nominees / Online Film Critics Society Loves the Dog / Interviews and Profiles

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: LEAD ACTING AND MORE

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The previous position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Jan. 13th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

2) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (3)

3) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

5) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

Alternates: Jennifer Hudson/Respect and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos and Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

4) Belfast (5)

5) West Side Story (3)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Dune (1)

2) Belfast (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The Power of the Dog (4)

5) Don't Look Up (Alt.)

Alternates: Licorice Pizza and No Time to Die

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Belfast (4)

5) The French Dispatch (5)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cruella

  

LOTS OF GUILD NEWS TODAY

Really good day for Belfast, The Power of the dog and King Richard

TFF #48 Guild nominees:

Producers Guild: Belfast, King Richard, The Power of the Dog

Directors Guild: Kenneth Branagh/Belfast, Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

Writers Guild: King Richard for Original Screenplay, The French Dispatch for Original Screenplay

Editors Guild: Belfast, King Richard, The Power of the Dog

Actors Guild (from two weeks ago): Cast nominees: Belfast and King Richard.  The Power the Dog had three individual acting nominees.

ASC NAMES ITS NOMINEES

The American Society of Cinematographers announced its nominees for the best work of 2021 on Tuesday.  In the feature film category two TFF #48 films made the grade.  Belfast and The Power of the Dog were among the five films named.  Others included Nightmare Alley, Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth.  A number of Oscarologists reported that the ASC and Oscar normally match 4 for 5 each year.  This year's odd film out could have been West Side Story.

The cinematographers' guild will be matched today with guild nominations from the writers, the directors and the producers.  What that will tell us about possible Oscar nominations could be very interesting and enlightening.

Deadline has a listing of  all categories that the ASC named Tuesday linked here.

ONLINE FILM CRITICS SOCIETY LOVES THE DOG

Jane Campion's The Power of the Dog won several major categories from OFCS which announced their winners on Monday.  The film won:

Best Picture, Direction (Campion), Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Adapted Screenplay, Editing and Cinematography and Original Score.

Other TFF #48 films that received recognition included The Lost Daughter which saw Olivia Colman named Best Lead Actress and Maggie Gyllenhaal was named for Best Debut Feature , The French Dispatch won Best Production Design,  Petite Maman was named one of ten Best Non-U.S. Features.

The complete list of winners and nominees are here from Next Best Picture.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES: 

The Power of the Dog from Variety.

Belfast from Deadline.

Jamie Dornan of Belfast from Deadline.

Caitriona Balfe of Belfast from YouTube.

Maggie Gyllenhaal on The Lost Daughter from Deadline.

Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from Indiewire.

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MTFB Oscar Take: Lead Acting and More Updated / SAG Nominations and TFF #48 / BAFTA Longlist and TFF #48

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: LEAD ACTORS AND MORE UPDATED

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The previous position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 30th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (4)

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza and Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4)Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Nicolas Cage/Pig

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The Tragedy of Macbeth (5)

5) Belfast (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITING

1) Dune (1)

2) Belfast (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) The Power of the Dog (3)

5) Licorice Pizza (5)

Alternates: Don't look Up and King Richard

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (1)

2) Nightmare Alley (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Belfast (5)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cyrano

SCREEN ACTORS GUILD NOMINATIONS AND TFF #48

The Screen Actors Guild announced nominees for their prizes yesterday.  TFF #48 films fared as follows:

Belfast: Best Cast and Supporting Actress Caitriona Balfe

King Richard: Best Cast and Lead Actor Will Smith

The Power of the Dog: Best Lead Actor Benedict Cumberbatch, Supporting Actress Kirsten Dunst and Supporting Actor Kodi Smit-McPhee

The Lost Daughter: Lead Actress Olivia Colman

Surprises:

No Best Cast nomination for The Power of the Dog despite a leading three nominations in the individual acting categories.

No Kristen Stewart Best Actress nomination for Spencer

Strong support for House of Gucci with a Best Cast nomination and individual nods for Lady Gaga and Jared Leto.

Don't Look Up gets a Best Cast nomination but not a single individual nomination.

West Side Story getting a single individual nomination for Ariana De Bose and no Best Cast nomination.

Here's the link to the entire list of SAG-Aftra nominees.

BAFTA LONG LIST AND TFF #48

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their long lists for each competitive film category yesterday.  The longlists establish what films are still alive for actual BAFTA nominations.  Here's how TFF #48 films fared.  Total 

Belfast (14): Best Film, Best British Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Supporting Actress (Balfe), Supporting Actress (Dench), Supporting Actor (Hinds), Supporting Actor (Dornan), Casting, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Production Design and Sound.

The Power of the Dog (14): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Cumberbatch), Supporting Actress (Dunst), Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Supporting Actor (Plemons), Costumes, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Score, Production Design and Sound.

The French Dispatch (11): Best Film, Original Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Del Toro), Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects and Sound.

The Lost Daughter (8): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Colman), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Costumes, Editing  and Score.

King Richard (7): Best Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actor (Smith), Supporting Actress (Ellis), Casting and Score.

Cyrano (7): Outstanding British Film, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Dinklage), Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Production Design.

The Electrical Life of Louis Wain (5): Outstanding British Film, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score and Production Design

The Hand of God (5): Best Non-English Language Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Casting and Editing.

Spencer (4); Outstanding British Film, Actress (Stewart), Costumes and Score.

C'mon C'mon (4): Original Screenplay, Actor (Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Norman) and Cinematography

Petite Maman (3); Best Non-English Language Film, Direction and Original Screenplay.

Flee (3): Best Non-English Language Film, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.

Single mentions for:

The Card Counter: Original Screenplay

The Duke: Original Screenplay

A Hero: Best Non-English Language Film

Encounter: Best Actor (Ahmed)

Becoming Cousteau: Best Documentary Feature

Cow: Best Documentary Feature

The Real Charlie Chaplin: Best Documentary Feature

The Rescue: Best Documentary Feature

The Velvet Underground: Best Documentary Feature

TFF #47 films on the longlist were

After Love (6): Outstanding British Film, Outstanding Debut, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Scanlan) and Casting.

Also a single mention for First Cow for Direction.

(***The Duke was also listed as a TFF #47 selection)

All told 23 feature films from the last two SHOWS are still in the hunt for BAFTA recognition.  BBAFTA will announce the nominees on February 3rd.

The complete list of the BAFTA longlist is linked here.

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Peter Bogdanovich 1939-2022 / NSFC and The Golden Globes / MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture, Direction and More / The Film Stage's Most Anticipated / Interviews and Profiles

PETER BOGDANOVICH 1939-2022

Peter Bogdanovich died on Thursday.  Over the past 20+ years he was a frequent presence at The SHOW beginning with his choice to Guest Direct the festival in 1998.  That year he programmed: Orson Welles Touch of Evil.  Bogdanovich's own Directed by John Ford was also featured at the 25th TFF.

Bogdanovich returned to T-ride a number of times thereafter including 2001, 2003, 2004, 2006 and 2018.  He was part of my first Telluride in 2006 as he was back at the fest with Directed by John Ford again.

His film legacy included: The Last Picture Show, What's Up Doc? Paper Moon, Saint Jack and Mask among others.  He was twice Oscar nominated for The Last Picture Show as Best Director and co-writer with Larry McMurtry.

On a different note, although never an attendee (at least to my knowledge) of the Telluride Film Festival, I have to also note the passing of Sidney Poitier.  Truly a giant in the world of film.

NSFC AND THE GOLDEN GLOBES

The National Society of Film Critics and The Golden Globes announced their winners for films from 2021 over the weekend.

THE NSFC 

The NSFC announces winners and runners-up through third place (and the vote totals for each).  Here are the TFF #48 films/performers that were named winners or runners-up.

Best Picture: #2 Petite Maman #3 The Power of the Dog (Drive My Car was named Best Picture.

Best Direction: #2 Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog, #3 Celine Sciamma/Petite Maman

Best Nonfiction Film: #1 Flee, #2 Procession, #3 The Velvet Underground

Best Cinematography #2 The Power of the Dog

Best Supporting Actress: #1 Jesse Buckley/The Lost Daughter

Best Actor: #2 Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog, #3 Simon Rex/Red Rocket

TFF regulars Bertrand Tavernier and Peter Bogdanovich both received notice being named winners of the NSFC Film Heritage Award.

The complete list of winners and runners-up is linked here from The NSFC.

THE GOLDEN GLOBES WINNERS

A modified version of the Golden Globes was held last night as The Hollywood Foreign Press Association continues to try to rehabilitate itself into the awards power that it has been over the last several years.  Absent a television presentation, the HFPA "announced" their awards via social media.  TFF #48 winners in Bold.

Best Picture/Drama: The Power of the Dog

Best Picture/Musical or Comedy: West Side Story

Best Direction: Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

Best Actress/Drama: Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

Best Actor/Drama: Will Smith/King Richard

Best Actress/Musical or Comedy: Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

Best Actor/Musical or Comedy: Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

Best Supporting Actress: Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog 

Best Screenplay: Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

Best Non-English Language Film: Drive My Car

Best Animated Film: Encanto

Best Score: Dune

Best Song: No Time to Die/No Time to Die

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE, DIRECTION AND MORE

Here's the MTFB latest update on predictions for Academy Award nominations for Best Picture and Best Director, International Feature, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.  These categories were last predicted here on Dec. 27th.  As always TFF #48 films are indicate in Bold and the film's previous position is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST PICTURE

1) Belfast (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Dune (4)

5) Licorice Pizza (5)

6) King Richard (6)

7) CODA (7)

8) Don't Look Up (8)

9) tick, tick...BOOM (9)

10) The Tragedy of Macbeth (Alt.)

Alternates: Being the Ricardos and The Lost Daughter

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune

4) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

5) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza

Alternates: Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car and Maggie Gyllenhaal/The Lost Daughter

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car/Japan (1)

2) The Worst Person in the World/Norway (3)

3) A Hero/Iran (2)

4) Flee/Denmark (4)

5) The Hand of God/Italy (5)

Alternates: Compartment #6/Finland  and I'm Your Man/Germany

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto (1)

2) Flee (2)

3) The Mitchells vs. The Machines (3)

4) Luca (4)

5) Raya and the Last Dragon (5)

Alternates: Belle and Sing 2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) The Rescue (2)

2) Flee (1)

3) Summer of Soul (3)

4) Attica (4) 

5) Ascension (Alt.)

Alternates: Procession and Faya Dayi

THE FILM STAGE'S 100 MOST ANTICIPATED

The Film Stage posted its list of 100 films for 2022 (maybe).  As you might expect, I have culled it for TFF #49 possibilities.  Here they be:

100) Babylon

94) Peter Von Kant

89) Red, White and Water

83) All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt

81) The Wonder

72) Monica

68) The Son

66) Maestro

63) The Holdover

51) Bones and All

48) Poor Things

45) R.M.N.

43) White Noise

28) The Killer

26) The End

24) Asteroid City

21) The Zone of Interest

20) Broker

15) The Master Gardener

12) One Fine Morning

11) Blonde

10) Women Talking

8) Tar

3) Showing Up

1) Killers of the Flower Moon

The complete list of 100 films plus some honorable mentions is linked here.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Actress Kirsten Dunst on The Power of the Dog from Awards Daily  and also from Awards Watch.

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi on A Hero from Deadline.com

Writer/Director Kenneth Branagh on Belfast fromVulture

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Nom Update: Lead Acting and More / The Film Stage's Top 50 of 2021 / Compare and Contrast

MTFB OSCAR NOM UPDATE: LEAD ACTING AND MORE

Here's an update for my predictions of  the lead acting categories, cinematography, editing and production design for the 94th Academy Awards.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold. The last position for these predictions is indicated to the right in parentheses.  These categories were last predicted on Dec. 16th.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Kristen Stewart/Spencer (1)

2) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos (2)

3) Jessica Chastain/The eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

4) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter (3)

5) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza and  Rachel Zegler/West Side Story

BEST ACTOR

1) Will Smith/King Richard (1)

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM (3)

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth (4)

5) Peter Dinklage/Cyrano (5)

Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up and Clifton Collins/Jockey

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (4)

4) Belfast (3)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (3)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Spencer

BEST EDITNG

1) Dune (2)

2) Belfast (1)

3) The Power of he Dog (4)

4) West Side Story (3)

5) Licorice Pizza (New)

Alternates: Don't Look Up and tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune (2)

2) Nightmare Alley (1)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) The French Dispatch (4)

5) Belfast (Alt.)

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Being the Ricardos

THE FILM STAGE'S TOP 50 OF 2021

The Film Stage named it's top 50 films of 2021 yesterday and nine TFF #48 films made the list:

46) Flee

36) The French Dispatch

29) C'mon C'mon

17) Spencer

15) Bergman Island

13) Petite Maman

9) Red Rocket

8) The Card Counter

2) The Power of the Dog

The complete list of 50 is linked here.

COMPARE AND CONTRAST

I decided to take a peek at how my Oscar picks for Best Picture (at the moment) stack up compared to some of the real pros in the business of Oscar prognostication.  I compared my predicted ten BP nominees to those of Clayton Davis/Variety, Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter, Sasha Stone Awards Daily, Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture and Erik Anderson of Awards Watch to see how each of us are currently predicting the Best Picture race and how many nominations each BP player is predicted to get.

For example, Here's my current BP list in order of likelihood of nomination with my predicted total of nominations to the right of each film:

Belfast-11

The Power of the Dog-10

West Side Story-9

Dune-10

Licorice Pizza-4

King Richard-5

CODA-3

Don't Look Up-4

tick, tick...BOOM-3

Being the Ricardos-3

Now lets' look at the Professionals:

CLAYTON DAVIS/VARIETY

Belfast-10

The Power of the Dog-11

Dune-10

West Side Story-8

Licorice Pizza-6

CODA-2

King Richard-5

The Tragedy of Macbeth-2

Drive My Car-4

Don't Look Up-4

As you can see, Clayton has Drive My Car and The Tragedy of Macbeth getting a BP nomination in the place of my choices of tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos.

SCOTT FEINBERG/THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER

Belfast-11

The Power of the Dog-10

West Side Story-12

King Richard-6

Licorice Pizza-3

tick, tick...BOOM-2

Dune-11

CODA-2

Don't Look Up-3

Spiderman: No Way Home-3

Scott has Spiderman in where I have Being the Ricardos.

SASHA STONE/AWARDS DAILY

Belfast-7

West Side Story-12

The Power of the Dog-8

King Richard-6

Dune-10

Licorice Pizza-4

CODA-3

Nightmare Alley-7

Being the Ricardos-4

Spiderman: No Way Home-6

Sasha has Spiderman and Nightmare Alley in (and doing well) instead of my tick, tick...BOOM and Don't Look Up

MATT NEGLIA/NEXT BEST PICTURE

Belfast-9

The Power of the Dog-8

West Side Story-9

Licorice Pizza-4

Dune-10

King Richard-4

CODA-4

tick, tick...BOOM-5

Don't Look Up-3

Drive My Car-3

Matt has Drive My Car in rather than my pick: Being the Ricardos

ERIK ANDERSON/AWARDS WATCH

Belfast-10

The Power of the Dog-9

Dune-9

West Side Story-8

King Richard-6

Licorice Pizza-4

CODA-3

The Tragedy of Macbeth-4

The Lost Daughter-3

Drive My Car-2

Erik's list includes The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Lost Daughter and Drive My Car rather than my inclusions of Don't Look Up, tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos.

Conclusions:

Here's what all six of us agree will be Best Picture nominees announced on the morning of Feb. 8th:

Belfast, The Power of the Dog, West Side Story, Dune, King Richard, Licorice Pizza and CODA.  Those seven films seem to in good shape.  Then it's a scrum for the last three spots.

 Don't Look Up is on four of these lists.

On three lists you will find: tick, tick...BOOM and Drive My Car.

On two lists each are: The Tragedy of Macbeth, Spiderman: No Way Home and Being the Ricardos

Nightmare Alley and The Lost Daughter are on only one set of predictions

It might be interesting to see who has what film as their 11th choice:

Me: Nightmare Alley

Davis: Being the Ricardos

Feinberg: The Lost Daughter

Stone: Don't Look Up

Anderson and Neglia do not indicate their 11th place choices on their websites.

The most likely film to get double digit nominations is Dune followed closely by Belfast, West Side Story and The Power of the Dog.

Take a look at the experts:

Clayton Davis/Variety

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture

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