2022 POST-OSCARS
Well, the 94th Oscar ceremony is in the books.
TFF #48 films end up with three Oscar wins with Jane Campion winning Best Direction, and the only Oscar out of 12 nominations, for The Power of the Dog. Sir Kenneth Branagh won his first Oscar for Original Screenplay for Belfast. It's only win out of seven nominations. The third win was Will Smith's for Best Actor for King Richard.
As I mentioned on Monday, in terms of prediction accuracy I went 21 of 23. That might be my best year for predictions ever. That said, lots of people did very well. Over at Awards Daily there were reportedly 28 different folks tied for the top spot in their annual Oscar prediction contest with a 22/23 rate of success.
On Sunday, part of my final predictions post included a segment called "Ten Categories That Will Determine Your Oscar Pool." It was a list of the 10 categories that seemed to me the most likely places where the category was competitive and an upset could occur. Didn't miss a one except Best Picture and I was on the under side of that with my Power of the Dog prediction. As it turned out the biggest "surprise" came in Animated Short when The Windshield Wiper surprised perceived frontrunners Robin Robin and Bestia.
The three wins for Telluride films was the smallest haul for films that played The SHOW since 2009 when no TFF film won any Oscar (out of 16 nominations).
OSCAR 2023-THE 95TH
Wasting no time, Oscar predicting website Next Best Picture had a post up on Tuesday with a list of films that will/could be released in 2022 that they think might be in the Oscar race for this next season. As usual, I have parsed it for possible films that we might see over Labor Day weekend. Here's that list of films with their directors.
Asteroid City/Wes Anderson
Armageddon Time/James Gray
Babylon/Damien Chazelle
Bardo/Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
The Killer/David Fincher
Killers of the Flower Moon/Martin Scorsese
Next Goal Wins/Taika Waititi
Poor Things/Yorgos Lanthimos
The Son/Florian Zeller
Tar/Todd Field
White Noise/Noah Baumbach
Women Talking/Sarah Polley
From NBP's "Other Contenders" list:
Barbie/Greta Gerwig
Bones and All/Luca Guadagnino
Broker/Hirokazu Kore-eda
POSSIBLE VENICE CHOICES
Jordan Ruimy at World of Reel posted yesterday reporting that Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu's Bardo will premiere at Venice. The Venice/Telluride one-two has intensified over the past few years. Consequently, the potential of a Venice bow doesn't guarantee that Inarritu makes the trip, but it sure doesn't diminish the chances wither. Other films that Ruimy mentions as Venice possibilities: Damien Chazelle's Babylon, Noah Baumbach's White Noise and Paul Schrader's The Master Gardener.
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