MTFB Oscar Take: Cinematography, Editing and More / Interview: Ciaran Hinds / Another Glowing Review for Marcel

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: CINEMATOGRAPHY, EDITING AND MORE

Pardon the threadbare nature of today's post.  I can now reveal that I just got back to the home base late last night after a five day jaunt to Los Angeles to visit family and to act as the officiant at a former student's wedding:   Shout out Heather and Kyle!!!

Here's your updated Oscar predictions for winners in these six categories today.  These six categories were last posted on March 10th.  TFF #48 Films are Bold.

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Summer of Soul

2) Flee

3) Attica

4) Ascension

5) Writing with Fire

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines

3) Luca

4) Flee

5) Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car

2) The Worst Person in the World

3) Flee

4) The Hand of God

5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Dune

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Nightmare Alley

5) West Side Story

Note: Dune won the American Society of Cinematographers Award late on Sunday.

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) King Richard

3) The Power of the Dog

4) Don't Look Up

5) tick, tick...BOOM

Note: Following its guild win from the American Cinema Editors, King Richard moves up to #2.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune

2) Nightmare Alley

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth

INTERVIEW: CIARAN HINDS

Anne Thompson of Indiewire talks to Belfast Oscar nominee for Supporting Actor Ciaran Hinds

ANOTHER GLOWING MARCEL REVIEW

From South by Southwest, here's another very good review of TFF #48 sensation Marcel the Shell with Shoes On from Awards Watch's Ryan Quade that was posted this past weekend.

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MTFB Oscar Take: Docs, International and More / Interviews and Profiles: Hinds and Wegner

I have updated Oscar predictions for winners in these six categories today.  TFF #48 Films are Bold.

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Summer of Soul

2) Flee

3) Attica

4) Ascension

5) Writing with Fire

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines

3) Flee

4) Luca

5) Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car

2) The Worst Person in the World

3) Flee

4) The Hand of God

5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Dune

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Nightmare Alley

5) West Side Story

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) King Richard

4) Don't Look Up

5) tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune

2) Nightmare Alley

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Actor Ciaran Hinds of Belfast with Next Best Picture

Oscar nominated The Power of the Dog cinematographer Ari Wegner with NBC News

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MTFB Predicts More Oscar Winners / For Those Who Have Been Asking... / Interviews and Profiles: Arnold and Smit-McPhee

MTFB PREDICTS MORE OSCAR WINNERS

I started predicting the winners of all of the Oscar feature film categories last Monday with prognostications in the Big Eight categories.  Today I continue with a half dozen additional categories.  As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Summer of Soul

2) Flee

3) Attica

4) Ascension

5) Writing with Fire

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines

3) Luca

4) Flee

5) Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car

2) The Worst Person in the World

3) The Hand of God

4) Flee

5) Luana: A Yak in the Classroom

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) The Power of the Dog

2) Dune

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Nightmare Alley

5) West Side Story

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Don't Look Up

4) King Richard

5) tick, tick...BOOM

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Dune

2) Nightmare Alley

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth

Comment: Probably the best chance of a TFF #48 film picking up a win in these categories is for the Score for The Power of the Dog.  Outside shot for flee as Best Documentary Feature.

Through 14 predicted categories I have TFF #48 films winning the following:

The Power of the Dog-Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography

Belfast-Original Screenplay

King Richard- Actor

I'll have predictions for the remaining six feature film categories ( Score, Song, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects and Sound) up in Monday's post and keep up with all my current predictions on the MTFB Oscar Take page.

FOR THOSE WHO HAVE BEEN ASKING

The answer is officially up on the TFF website.  Several readers have asked over the past month or so about information regarding pass sales.  My standard response has been that I knew of no information and was assuming that passes would go on sale on March 1st as they have for the past several years.  That expectation proved out at some point recently as the fest posted the following on its "Purchasing Passes" page:

Though on time for the pass sale to start is listed, I expect that we will see that from the fest sometime within the next few days.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Andrea Arnold on Cow with mubi.com

Kodi Smit-McPhee on The Power of the Dog with Awards Daily

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MTFB Oscar Thoughts / So, You Want to Predict Best Picture?

MTFB OSCAR THOUGHTS

Well, the Oscar nominations are out and now we make the turn into the final leg of the Oscar race with the awards ceremony scheduled on March 27th.

Here's the rundown of the results of Tuesday morning's announcement in as far as Telluride films were concerned:

The Power of the Dog...WOOF!  12 nominations: Picture, Direction, Actor, Supporting Actress, 2 Supporting Actors, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Score and Sound.

Belfast 7 nominations: Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress (Dench not Balfe?), Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Song and Sound.

King Richard 6 nominations: Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing  and Song.

Flee 3 nominations: International Film, Documentary Film, Animated Film

The Lost Daughter 3 nominations: Actress, Supporting Actress and Adapted Screenplay

Single nominations for:

Spencer: Actress

The Hand of God: International Film

Cyrano: Costumes

Lead Me Home: Documentary Short

TFF #48 totals 35 nominations with nine films being mentioned.  Noticeably missing nominations from the TFF #48 crop were Wes Anderson's The French Dispatch, Mike Mills C'mon C'mon, Asghar Farhadi's A Hero, the documentaries The Rescue, The Velvet Underground and Procession.

 Where did TFF #48 Best Picture nominees end up last fall on the MTFB set of polls: The Professionals, The People and The Composite?

The Power of the Dog: Pros #2 ($.32), People: #1 (4.63) and the Composite: #1 (8.95)

Belfast: Pros #3 (4.30), People: #4 (4.12), Composite #2 (8.42)

King Richard: Pros #7 (3.92), People #5 (4.06), Composite #5 (7.98)

Going forward you have to think that The Power of the Dog is sitting pretty.  The field leading 12 nominations reveals strength throughout the Academy.  The actors branch, the largest in the Academy, favored the film with four acting nominations (Cumberbatch, Dunst, Smit-McPhee and perhaps most indicative of its popularity, Jesse Plemons.  The Jane Campion film could end up with the biggest haul of trophies for an Oscar Best Picture winner in years with Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay and Supporting Actor seeming very likely and awards for Actor, Supporting Actress, Cinematography,  Editing and Original Score not at all out of the question.  Other "below the line" nominations for Production Design and Sound could turn into wins but seem less likely.

My early thoughts as to who gets a trophy on Oscar night in the Big Eight categories:

Picture: The Dog

Director: Campion/The Dog

Actress: Who knows?  Say Kidman for the moment for Being the Ricardos

Actor: I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict Cumberbatch rather than Will Smith for King Richard...at least for now.

Supporting Actress: DeBose/West Side Story

Supporting Actor: Smit McPhee/The Dog

Original Screenplay: Belfast

Adapted Screenplay: The Dog

Nominations I liked: Kotsur, Hinds and Nightmare Alley

Non-noms I did not like: Balfe

Surprises Dench in, Villenueve out, Gaga out.

I go 87/120  in my nomination predictions for 72.5%.  Lowest in a few years.  

In the "Close but no cigar" Department, films/performers that got nominated that I had in the "first one out" position included: Nightmare Alley in Best Picture, Hamagughi for Director with Drive My Car, Stewart for Actress with Spencer, Bardem for Actor with Being the Ricardos, Dune for Adapted Screenplay, Attica in Documentary, West Side Story in Cinematography, The Tragedy of Macbeth in Production Design, Parallel Mothers in Original Score, Cyrano in Costumes and Ali Kachuu: Take and Run in Live Action Short.  11 of the 23 categories.

SO, YOU WANT TO PREDICT BEST PICTURE?

Here's what you need to know to predict the Best Picture Oscar.  Check out the Telluride Film Festival lineup each year and then pick the film that sits atop the MTFB Composite ranking/ratings after the festival.  Why?  Because every Best Picture winner since 2012 (except, of course,  Green Book which didn't play Telluride) has been those two criteria.

2012- Argo

2013- 12 Years a Slave

2014- Birdman

2015- Spotlight

2016- Moonlight

2017- The Shape of Water

2018- well, you know, Green Book... but the MTFB Composite winner that year was Roma

2019 - Parasite

2020- Nomadland (no Composite for this fest)

So, do you remember what landed at the #1 spot on my Composite in September?  If you said The Power of the Dog...you win a cookie (a metaphorical cookie).  

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MTFB'S Final Oscar Nomination Predictions / Tight Spots / Final Oscar Nomination Predictions from the Experts

MTFB'S FINAL OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

Here they be.  

My final Oscar nomination predictions for the 94th Academy Awards.  Over the last six years my success rate has been 78.5%.  Should that hold tomorrow, I'll land somewhere around 94 out of the 120 nominees that will be announced.  Additionally, the film/performer that I have listed as the first alternate in each category will be a nominee in about 30% of the cases where I miss at least one nominee in a category.  All that said, BAFTA nominations last week seemed weird and I expect some more weird tomorrow morning.

As always, TFF #48 films/performers are in Bold.

I'll have nominees up sometime fairly soon after the announcements and likely a comment or two.

BEST PICTURE 

1) Belfast

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Dune

4) Licorice Pizza

5) West Side Story

6) Don't Look Up

7) CODA

8) King Richard

9) Being the Ricardos

10) tick, tick...BOOM

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Drive My Car

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune

4) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza

5) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story

Alternates: Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car and Adam McKay/Don't Look Up

BEST ACTRESS

1) Nicole Kidman/Being the Ricardos

2) Lady Gaga/House of Gucci

3) Olivia Colman/The Lost Daughter

4) Jessica Chastain/The Eyes of Tammy Faye

5) Jennifer Hudson/Respect

Alternates: Kristen Stewart/Spencer and Alana Haim/Licorice Pizza 

BEST ACTOR 

1) Will Smith/King Richard

2) Benedict Cumberbatch/The Power of the Dog

3) Andrew Garfield/tick, tick...BOOM

4) Denzel Washington/The Tragedy of Macbeth

5) Leonardo DiCaprio/Don't Look Up

Alternates: Javier Bardem/Being the Ricardos and Peter Dinklage/Cyrano

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

1) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story

2) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog

4) Aunjanue Ellis/King Richard

5) Cate Blanchett/Nightmare Alley

Alternates: Ruth Negga/Passing and Anne Dowd/Mass

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog

2) Troy Kotsur/CODA

3) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast

4) Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Jamie Dornan/Belfast

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY 

1) Belfast 

2) Licorice Pizza 

3) Don't Look Up 

4) King Richard 

5) Being the Ricardos 

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and The French Dispatch

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY 

1) The Power of the Dog 

2) The Lost Daughter

3) West Side Story

4) CODA 

5) Drive My Car 

Alternates: Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE 

1) Drive My Car/Japan 

2) The Worst Person in the World/Norway 

3) The Hand of God/Italy 

4) A Hero/Iran 

5) Flee/Denmark 

Alternates: Compartment #6/Finland and I'm Your Man/Germany

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE 

1) Encanto 

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines 

3) Flee 

4) Luca 

5) Raya and the Last Dragon 

Alternates: Belle and Sing 2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Flee

2) Summer of Soul

3) The Rescue

4) Ascension

5) Procession

Alternates: Attica and The First Wave 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) The Tragedy of Macbeth

4) Belfast

5) Nightmare Alley

Alternates: West Side Story and No Time to Die 

BEST EDITING

1) Dune

2) Belfast

3) The Power of the Dog

4) Don't Look Up

5) Licorice Pizza

Alternates: No Time to Die and West Side Story 

         

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN 

1) Dune 

2) Nightmare Alley 

3) West Side Story

4) Belfast 

5) The French Dispatch 

Alternates: The Tragedy of Macbeth and Cruella

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE 

1) Dune 

2) The Power of the Dog 

3) The French Dispatch 

4) Don't Look Up

5) Encanto 

Alternates: Parallel Mothers and Spencer

BEST ORIGINAL SONG 

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die 

2) Be Alive/King Richard 

3) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto 

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up

5) Down to Joy/Belfast 

Alternates: Guns Go Bang/The Harder They Fall and Here I Am/Respect

BEST COSTUMES 

1) Cruella

2) Dune 

3) West Side Story 

4) Nightmare Alley 

5) House of Gucci 

Alternates: Cyrano and Spencer

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune 

2) Spiderman: No Way Home 

3) The Matrix Resurrections 

4) No Time to Die 

5) Shang Chi and The Legend of the Ten Rings 

Alternates: Godzilla vs. King Kong and Free Guy

SOUND

1) Dune 

2) West Side Story

3) No Time to Die 

4) Spiderman: No Way Home 

5) The Power of the Dog 

Alternates: The Matrix Resurrections and Belfast

MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune 

2) Cruella 

3) House of Gucci 

4) The Eyes of Tammy Faye 

5) Coming 2 America  

Alternates: No Time to Die and West Side Story

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) The Queen of Basketball

2) Terror Contagion

3) When We Were Bullies

4) Days of Rage

5) Coded: The Hidden Loves of J.C. Leyendecker

Alternates: Camp Confidential: America's Secret Nazis and Three Songs for Benazir

ANIMATED SHORT

1) Us Again

2) Robin Robin

3) Namoo

4) Bestia

5) The Windshield Wiper

Alternates: The Musician and Step into the River

LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) The Long Goodbye

2) When the Sun Sets

3) Censor of Dreams

4) Frimas

5) Please Hold

Alternates: Ala Kachuu: Take and Run and Under the Heavens

THOUGHTS:

I have Dune and The Power of the Dog both getting 10 nominations  followed by:

Belfast-9

West Side Story-7

Don't Look Up-6

Licorice Pizza and King Richard -5

Nightmare Alley and House of Gucci-4

CODA, Being the Ricardos, No Time to Die, Encanto and Flee-3

tick, tick...BOOM, Drive My Car, The Lost Daughter, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Eyes of Tammy Faye, The French Dispatch, Cruella and Spiderman: No Way Home-2

All other films making the list with a single nomination.

Nightmare Alley and House of Gucci are predicted to have the most nominations without a Best Picture nomination.  However, if Blanchett does land in Supporting Actress and Nightmare picks up a not necessarily out-of-the question Adapted Screenplay nomination...who knows?  I'm rooting for that to happen.

Eleven TFF #48 films should earn at least one nomination and the TFF #48 total predicted nominations stands at 36.

TIGHT SPOTS:

Best Picture: Ay Ay AY!  Seems to me that eight or maybe even nine spots are likely decided but that last couple...yeesh.  Included in the scrum: Being the Ricardos, Nightmare Alley, tick, tick...BOOM, No Time to Die, Drive My Car, The Lost Daughter, House of Gucci, The Tragedy of Macbeth and maybe even Spiderman: No Way Home-though that bubble has lost some air over the last week or so.

Director: Campion, Branagh, PTA and Villenueve look good.  Speilberg and Hamaguchi are slugging it out for the fifth spot.

Actress: Kidman, Gaga and Colman seem solid.  Then it's ugly tight between Chastain, Hudson, Stewart (who fell so far so fast), Haim and Cruz.

Actor: Smith, Cumberbatch, Garfield and Washington are in good shape.  Last spot is a tug-of-war between DiCaprio, Bardem and Dinklage.

Supporting Actress: It already seems like DeBose has the statue in hand.  Dunst and Balfe seem safe for a nom.  Ellis, Blanchett and Negga are bunched tightly.

Supporting Actor: Smit-McPhee and Kotsur are good to go.  Hinds should have been a lock but missing the BAFTA nom last week makes him vulnerable.  Cooper has come on strong of late.  Last spot probably goes to Leto but there are strong challenges from Affleck, Dornan and a surging Plemons.

Original Screenplay: The top five here seem to be in good shape.

Adapted Screenplay: The Power of the Dog and The Lost Daughter seem locked than it gets brutal with CODA, Drive My Car, West Side Story, Dune, The Tragedy of Macbeth and Nightmare Alley all battling to get one of the last three spots.

FINAL OSCAR NOMINATION PREDICITONS FROM THE EXPERTS:

Clayton Davis/Variety

Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter

Anne Thonpson/Indiewire

Sasha Stone/Awards Daily

Andrew Carden/The Awards Connection

Vanity Fair

Joey Magidson/Awards Radar

Matt Neglia/Next Best Picture 

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch

Kyle Buchanan/The New York Times

Nathaniel Rogers/The Film Experience

Mark Johnson/Good as Gold

Gregory Ellwood/The Playlist

Gold Derby

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MTFB Oscar Take: Best Picture and More Updated / Interviews and Profiles: Gyllenhaal and Rasmussen

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: BEST PICTURE AND MORE UPDATED

Here's the MTFB latest update on predictions for Academy Award nominations for Best Picture and Best Director, International Feature, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.  These categories were last predicted here on Jan. 10th.  As always TFF #48 films are indicate in Bold and the film's previous position is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST PICTURE

1) Belfast (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) King Richard (6)

5) Dune (4)

6) CODA (7)

7) Licorice Pizza (5)

8) Don't Look Up (8)

9) tick, tick...BOOM (9)

10) Being the Ricardos (Alt.)

Alternates: House of Gucci and The Tragedy of Macbeth

Comment:  The top six films look solid.  Licorice Pizza and Don't Look Up are probable and then after those it's a free for all.  As you can see, I currently have tick, tick...BOOM and Being the Ricardos in to get nominated and House of Gucci and The Tragedy of Macbeth as alternates but you could also see Drive My Car and Nightmare Alley sneak in and don't discount the outside shots of the Lost Daughter, No Time to Die or Spiderman: No Way Home.

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog  (1)

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast (2)

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune (3)

4) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story (4)

5) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza (5)

Alternates: Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car and Maggie Gyllenhaal/The Lost Daughter

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car/Japan (1)

2) The Worst Person in the World/Norway (2)

3) The Hand of God/Italy (5)

4) A Hero/Iran (3)

5) Flee/Denmark (4)

Alternates: Compartment #6/Finland and I'm Your Man/Germany

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto (1)

2) The Mitchells vs. the Machines (3)

3) Flee (2)

4) Luca (4)

5) Raya and the Last Dragon (5)

Alternates: Belle and Sing 2

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Flee (2)

2) The Rescue (1)

3) Summer of Soul (3)

4) Ascension (5)

5) Procession (Alt.)

Alternates: The First Wave and The Velvet Underground 

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Flee director Jonas Poher Rasmussen willbe live with Variety's Screening Room with Peter DeBruge tomorrow.  Here's where you can register for that Q+A.

Writer and Director Maggie Gyllenhaal talks The Lost Daughter for Indiewire.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Screenplays and More / Interviews and Profiles Including Kirsten Dunst

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

Here are the latest nomination predictions for these five categories.  These were last predicted on Jan. 6th.  TFF #48 films are indicated in Bold.  The film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Belfast (1)

2) Licorice Pizza (2)

3) Don't Look Up (3)

4) King Richard (4)

5) Being the Ricardos (5)

Alternates: C'mon C'mon and A Hero

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog (10

2) The Lost Daughter (2)

3) CODA (4)

4) West Side Story (3)

5) Drive My Car (5)

Alternates: Dune and The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune (1) 

2) Spiderman: No Way Home (2)

3) No Time to Die (4)

4) The Matrix Resurrections (3)

5) Shangchi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Alt.)

Alternates: Godzilla vs. King and Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune (1)

2) West Side Story (2)

3) No Time to Die (3)

4) Belfast (5)

5) Spiderman: No Way Home (4)

Alternates: tick, tick...BOOM and The Power of the Dog

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) House of Gucci (3)

4) The Eyes of Tammy Faye (4)

5) Coming 2 America (New)

Alternates: West Side Story and The Suicide Squad

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

For Cyrano:

From Variety 

From Gold Derby

For Flee

From Variety

From Awards Daily

For The Power of the Dog

Kirsten Dunst on The Power of the Dog

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture, Direction and More / Directors from TFF #48 Films / Trailer for Cow

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE, DIRECTION AND MORE

Here's the MTFB latest update on predictions for Academy Award nominations for Best Picture and Best Director, International Feature, Animated Feature and Documentary Feature.  These categories were last predicted here on Dec. 13th.  As always TFF #48 films are indicate in Bold and the film's previous position is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST PICTURE

1) Belfast (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Dune (5)

5) Licorice Pizza (6)

6) King Richard (4)

7) CODA (8)

8) Don't Look Up (10)

9) tick, tick, BOOM (Alt.)

10) Being the Ricardos (9)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and The Tragedy of Macbeth (Look out for Drive My Car)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog (1)

2) Kenneth Branagh/Belfast (2)

3) Denis Villenueve/Dune (3)

4) Steven Spielberg/West Side Story (5)

5) Paul Thomas Anderson/Licorice Pizza (4)

Alternates: Ryusuke Hamaguchi/Drive My Car and Guillermo Del Toro/Nightmare Alley

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Drive My Car/Japan (3)

2) A Hero/Iran (1)

3) The Worst Person in the World/Norway (2)

4) Flee/Denmark (4)

5) The Hand of God/Italy (5)

Alternates: Compartment #6/Finland and I'm Your Man/Germany

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) Encanto (1)

2) Flee (3)

3) The Mitchells vs. The Machines (2)

4) Luca (4)

5) Raya and The Last Dragon (Alt.)

Alternates: Belle and The Summit of the Gods

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) Flee (2)

2) The Rescue (1)

3) Summer of Soul (3)

4) Attica (Alt.)

5) Procession (4)

Alternates: Ascension and The First Wave

DIRECTORS FROM TFF #48 FILMS 

Asghar Farhadi/A Hero from The Hollywood Reporter and also from the National Board of Review.

Jane Campion/The Power of the Dog (with Guillermo Del Toro) from Variety.

Joe Wright/Cyrano from Awards Daily.

TRAILER FOR ANDREA ARNOLD'S DOCUMENTARY: COW

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MTFB Oscar Nom Prediction Update: Screenplays, Visual Effects, Sound and Makeup/Hair / Indiewire's Critics' Survey Part Two / Oscar Short Lists Announced

MTFB OSCAR NOM PREDICTION UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS, VISUAL EFFECTS, SOUND AND MAKEUP/HAIR 

Here are the latest nomination predictions for these five categories.  These were last predicted on Dec. 9th.  TFF #48 films are indicated in Bold.  The film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Licorice Pizza (2)

2) Belfast (1)

3) Being the Ricardos (Alt.)

4) Don't Look Up (4)

5) King Richard (3)

Alternates: C'mon C'mon and A Hero

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) The Power of the Dog (1)

2) The Lost Daughter (2)

3) CODA (3)

4) West Side Story (4)

5) Passing (Alt.)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Dune

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune (1)

2) The Matrix Resurrections (2)

3)  Spiderman: No Way Home (4)

4) Godzilla vs. Kong (5)

5) Eternals (3)

Alternates: Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings and Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune (1)

2) West Side Story (3)

3) No Time to Die (2)

4) Belfast (5)

5) tick, tick...BOOM (New)

Alternates: The Power of the Dog and The Matrix Resurrections

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Dune (1)

2) House of Gucci (2)

3) The Eyes of Tammy Faye (3)

4) Cruella (4)

5) Nightmare Alley (Alt.)

Alternates: Suicide Squad and Cyrano

INDIEWIRE'S CRITICS' SURVEY PART TWO

A week ago, I posted a breakdown of Indiewire's survey of over 180 critics.  That initial story from Indiewire focused on top ten films in a variety of categories. This week, Indiewire listed the top 50 films of the year based on that survey.  TFF #48 films that made the list are:

49) King Richard

44) Cyrano

38) The Card Counter

37) Spencer

32) Red Rocket

31) The Velvet Underground

23) A Hero

22) Bergman Island

21) Belfast

16) The Lost Daughter

10) C'mon C'mon

8) Petite Maman

7) Flee

6) The French Dispatch

1) The Power of the Dog

The complete list of the top 50 films is linked here.

OSCAR SHORT LISTS ANNOUNCED

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced their Oscar short lists for a number of categories yesterday.  Making the short list keeps a film's chances for an Oscar nomination alive in that category.  Here's how TFF #48 films in each.

Best Foreign Language Film: Flee, A Hero. The Hand of God

Best Documentary: Flee, Julia, The Rescue, Procession and The Velvet Underground

Best Original Score: The French Dispatch, King Richard, The Power of the Dog and Spencer.

Best Original Song: Down to Joy/Belfast and Be Alive/King Richard

Best Sound: Belfast and The Power of the Dog

Best Makeup/Hair: Cyrano

Best Live Action Short: When the Sun Sets

Best Documentary Short: Lead Me Home

The complete rundown of all the short lists is linked here from Next Best Picture.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / L.A. Film Critics and TFF #48 / Interviews and Profiles: Will Smith, Kenneth Branagh and More

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING, SCORE, SONG AND COSTUMES

Here's your update on the Supporting Acting races as well as Score, Song and Costumes.  These predictions were last updated on Dec. 6th.  TFF #48 performances/films are indicated in Bold and their previous position in my predictions are indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Caitriona Balfe/Belfast (1)

2) Ariana DeBose/West Side Story (Alt.)

3) Kirsten Dunst/The Power of the Dog (2)

4) Aujunue Ellis/King Richard (3)

5) Ruth Negga/Passing (4)

Alternates: Anne Dowd/Mass and Rita Moreno/West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ciaran Hinds/Belfast (1)

2) Kodi Smit-McPhee/The Power of the Dog (2)

3)Tony Kotsur/CODA (New)

4) Jamie Dornan/Belfast (4)

5) Jared Leto/House of Gucci (5)

Alternates: Ben Affleck/The Tender Bar and Bradley Cooper/Licorice Pizza

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune (1)

2) The Power of the Dog (2)

3) Don't Look Up (5)

4) Spencer (3)

5) The French Dispatch (4)

Alternates: Nightmare Alley and Cyrano

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Be Alive/King Richard (1)

2) No Time to Die/No Time to Die (2)

3) Down to Joy/Belfast (3)

4) Just Look Up/Don't Look Up (5)

5) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto (New)

Alternates: Every Letter/Cyrano and Beyond the Shore/CODA

BEST COSTUMES

1) Dune (1)

2) Cruella (2)

3) West Side Story (3)

4) Cyrano (New)

5) The Tragedy of Macbeth (New)

Alternates: Spencer and The French Dispatch

L.A. FILM CRITICS AND TFF #48

The Los Angeles Film Critics Association held their annual meet-up to name the Best of Film for 2021 on Saturday.  Seven TFF #48 films were named either a winner or runner-up in one of the LAFCA's 16 categories. TFF #48 films performances that were named either the winner or runner-up were:

The Power of the Dog: Winner: Best Direction (Campion), Best Supporting Actor (Smit-McPhee), Best Cinematography.  Runner-up: Best Picture, Best Actor (Cumberbatch), Best Score.

Flee: Winner: Best Animated Film

Petite Maman: Winner: Best Foreign Language Film

Red Rocket: Winner: Best Actor (Rex)

Procession: Runner-up: Best Documentary

King Richard: Runner-up: Best Supporting Actress (Ellis)

Spencer: Runner-up: Best Score

Ryusuke Hamaguchi's Drive My Car was named Best Picture of the Year but The Power of the Dog was the most noted film of the day with its three wins and three runners-up.

The complete list of LAFCA winners and runners-up is linked here from Indiewire.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Writer/Director Sean Baker/Red Rocket/Gold Derby

Writer/Director Kenneth Branagh/Belfast/Deadline

Writer/Director Asghar Farhadi/A Hero/Gold Derby

Actor Will Smith/King Richard/Variety

Actor Dakota Johnson/The Lost Daughter/Awards Watch

 

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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