MTFB Oscar Take: Updated Predix for Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Visual Effects / Nominations: Satellite Awards and USC Scripter Award / Trailer for Riz Ahmed's Hamlet / Visitations: Jeremy Allen White, Jesse Buckley and Noah Baumbach

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATED PREDIX FOR PRODUCTION DESIGN, COSTUMES, MAKEUP/HAIR, SOUND AND VISUAL EFFECTS 

Today we update the final five feature categories with predictions for Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Sound and Visual Effects. A film's previous ranking is to he right of the title in parentheses. All TFF #52 films are in Bold.    Here they are:

PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Frankenstein (1)

2) Sinners (4)

3) Hamnet (2)

4) Wicked: For Good (3)

5) Marty Supreme (NR)

Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, One Battle After Another and The Fantastic Four: First Steps.

COSTUME DESIGN

1) Frankenstein (2)

2) Wicked: For Good (1)

3) Sinners (3)

4) Hamnet (4)

5) One Battle After Another (NR)

Others: Hedda and Marty Supreme and Train Dreams.

MAKEUP AND HAIR

1) Frankenstein (1)

2) Wicked: For Good (2)

3) Sinners (4)

4) The Smashing Machine (3)

5) One Battle After Another (NR)

Others: Kokuho, The Ugly Stepsister and The Alto Knights.

SOUND DESIGN

1) Sinners (2)

2) F1 (1)

3) One Battle After Another (4)

4) Wicked: For Good (3)

5) Frankenstein (NR)

Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, Sirat and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere..

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: Fire and Ash (1)

2) F1 (2)

3) Frankenstein (5)

4) Superman (4)

5) Sinners (NR)

Others: Wicked: For Good, Tron: Ares, Jurassic World Rebirth.

As of this morning's post if the MTFB Oscar Take is 100% accurate, Ten TFF films will earn 42 nominations on announcement morning-Jan. 22nd.  Hamnet will lead TFF films with 11 nominations.

Here's how that could shake out:

Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley). Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Costumes, Cinematography, Editing, Original Score and Production Design.

Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Original Score, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Visual Effects.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Fanning and Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Original Screenplay and International Feature.

It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, International Feature and Original Screenplay.

Jay Kelly (2): Best Picture and Original Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Actor (Moura) and International Feature.

Bugonia (2): Best Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.

Blue Moon (1): Best Actor (Hawke).

Cover-Up (1) Best Documentary.

Apocalypse in the Tropics (TFF #52) (1): Best Documentary.

One Battle After Another and Sinners are currently predicted to lead all nominees with 13 each.

NOMINATIONS

SATELLITE AWARDS

International Press Academy's nominees for the Satellite Awards for TFF films:

Hamnet (10): Best Picture/Drama, Direction, Actress/Drama (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Costumes and Score.

Frankenstein (10): Best Picture/Drama, Direction, Actor (Isaac), Supporting Actor (Elordi), Cinematography, Production Design, Costumes, Score, Makeup/Hair, Visual Effects.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture/Drama, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Fanning and Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Original Screenplay and International Feature.

Bugonia (5): Best Picture/Comedy or Musical, Best Actor/Comedy or Musical (Plemons), Best Actress/Comedy or Musical (Stone), Adapted Screenplay and Makeup/Hair.

It Was Just an Accident (3): Best Direction, Original Screenplay and International Feature.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Actor/Comedy or Musical (Moura), International Feature.

Jay Kelly (2): Best Actor/Comedy or Musical (Clooney), Original Screenplay.

Nouvelle Vague (1): Best Picture/Comedy or Musical.

Blue Moon (1): Best Actor/Comedy or Musical (Hawke).

If I had Legs I'd Kick You (1): Best Actress/Comedy or Musical (Byrne).

Cover-Up (1): Best Documentary.

USC SCRIPTER AWARD NOMINATIONS:

Of the five nominees for Best Adapted Screenplay TFF #52 had two: Hamnet and Frankenstein.  The other three were: Train Dreams, One Battle After another and Peter Hujar's Day.

TRAILER FOR RIZ AHMED'S HAMLET:

VISITATIONS

Jeremy Allen White for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere with Next Best Picture.

Jesse Buckley for Hamnet from CBS News Sunday Morning.

Noah Baumbach for Jay Kelly from The Hollywood Reporter's Awards Chatter Podcast.

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MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Acting and Screenplays #4

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND SCREENPLAYS #4

Here are the updated predictions for the Supporting Acting and Screenplay categories.  TFF #52 films and performers are in Bold.  A film's previous ranking is to the right of the title in parentheses.

SUPPRORTING ACTRESS

1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (2)

2) Ariana Grande/Wicked: For Good (1)

3) Amy Madigan/Weapons (3)

4) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (4)

5) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Regina Hall/One Battle After Another, Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners and Gwyneth Paltrow/Marty Supreme.

SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)

2) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (2)

3) Paul Mescal/Hamnet 

4) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (5)

5) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (NR) 

Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, DelRoy Lindo/Sinners and William H. Macy/Train Dreams.

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Sinners (1)

2) Sentimental Value (2)

3) Marty Supreme (NR)

4) It Was Just an Accident (5)

5) Jay Kelly (4)

Others: The Secret Agent, Weapons and The House of Dynamite.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Hamnet (1)

2) One Battle After Another (2)

3) Bugonia (3)

4) Train Dreams (4)

5) Frankenstein (NR)

Others: Wake Up Dead Man, No Other Choice and Nuremburg.

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MTFB Oscar take: Supporting Acting and Screenplays / Cover-up Trailer and Interview / 1.5 Mill

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING SUPPORTING ACTING AND SCREENPLAYS

Before we head into the predictions for Oscar categories that haven't appeared in MTFB thus far this season; here are the updated predictions for the Supporting Acting and Screenplay categories.  TFF #52 films and performers are in Bold.  A film's previous ranking is to the right of the title in parentheses.

SUPPRORTING ACTRESS

1) Ariana Grande/Wicked: For Good (2)

2) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (1)

3) Amy Madigan/Weapons (4)

4) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (3)

5) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Regina Hall/One Battle After Another, Gwyneth Paltrow/Marty Supreme and Odessa A'Zion/Marty Supreme.

SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)

2) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (2)

3) Paul Mescal/Hamnet (3)

4) Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly (4)

5) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (5)

Others: Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein, DelRoy Lindo/Sinners and Jeremy Strong/Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Sinners (1)

2) Sentimental Value (2)

3) Marty Supreme (3)

4) Jay Kelly (4)

5) It Was Just an Accident (5)

Others: Is This Thing On?, The Secret Agent and Weapons.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Hamnet (1)

2) One Battle After Another (2)

3) Bugonia (4)

4) Train Dreams (5

5) Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (3)

Others: Frankenstein, No Other Choice and Wicked: For Good.

COVER-UP TRAILER AND INTERVIEW

Here's the official trailer for Laura Poitras' documentary about reporter Seymour Hersh.  from Netflix via YouTube:

Additionally, an interview from Variety with Poitras and co-director and Mark Obenhaus.

That is linked here.

1.5 MILL

I have usually been pretty diligent about noticing viewership milestones but in the craziness of the last three months I overlooked that MTFB had passed a fairly significant one.  according to the view tracker MTFB passed One and a half million views somewhere around Halloween.

As of this morning I have posted 2401 times.  2402 if you count this one.  That means an average of 634 views per post.  

The most viewed post is from Jan. 4, 2018.  It's about Film Guilds and the Oscar season and an interview from Variety with Saoirse Ronan and Greta Gerwig on Lady Bird. Over 2,750 views.

As always, thanks to all of you who follow my obsession.

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MTFB Oscar Predictions #3: Best Pic, Direction, Lead Acting / European Film Awards Nominations and TFF / Visitations: Zhao, Baumbach, Linklater and Hawke

MTFB OSCAR PREDICTIONS #3: BEST PIC, DIRECTION, LEAD ACTING

MTFB begins its expansion of Oscar nomination predictions today by updating four categories.  I'll update the Supporting Acting and Screenplay categories on Monday and a week from today start to provide predictions in the other 13 feature film categories.

or today and Monday you can see the last predicted position of each film to the right of the title in parentheses.  TFF #52 films/performers are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) One Battle After Another (1)

2) Hamnet (2)

3) Sinners (3)

4) Sentimental Value (4)

5) Marty Supreme (5)

6) Wicked: For Good (6)

7) Frankenstein (9)

8) It Was Just an Accident (7)

9) Jay Kelly (8)

10) Train Dreams (NR)

Others: Bugonia, Avatar: Fire and Ice, F1.

BEST DIRECTION

1) Paul Thomas Anderson/OBAA (1)

2) Chloe Zhao/Hamnet (2)

3) Ryan Coogler/Sinners (3)

4) Jafar Panahi/It Was Just an Accident (5)

5) Joachim Trier/Sentimental Value (4)

Others: Josh Safdie/Marty Supreme, Noah Baumbach/Jay Kelly and Guillermo del Toro/Frankenstein.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet (1)

2) Rene Reinsve/Sentimental Value (2)

3) Cynthia Enviro/Wicked: For Good (3)

4) Emma Stone/Bugonia (4)

5) Amanda Seyfried/The Testament of Ann Lee (5)

Others: Chase Infiniti/OBAA, Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue, Sidney and Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I'd Kick You.

1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme (1)

2) Leonardo DiCaprio/OBAA (2)

3) Walter Moura/The Secret Agent (3)

4) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners (5)

5) Ethan Hawke/Blue Moon (4)

Others: George Clooney/Jay Kelly, Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams), Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.

EUROPEAN FILM AWARD NOMINATIONS AND TFF

Joachim Trier's Sentimental Value led the first wave of European Film Awards nominations announced last Tuesday.  Here are the nominations for TFF films:

Sentimental Value: Best European Film, Director, Actress (Reinsve), Actor (Sarsgard), Screenwriter.

It Was Just an Accident: Best European Film, Director, Screenwriter.

La Grazia: Best European Actor (Servillo) and Screenwriter.

Bugonia: Best European Director.  

And from TFF #51: Riefenstahl: Best European Film and Documentary.

The complete rundown of EFA nominations is linked here.

VISITATIONS: ZHAO, BAUMBACH, LINKLATER AND HAWKE

Chloe Zhao on Hamnet (and more) from Vanity Fair.

Noah Baumbach on Jay Kelly from Film Comment.

Noah Baumbach and Ethan Hawke on Blue Moon from Deadline.

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MTFB Oscar Predictions: Screenplays #2 / Critic's Choice Awards and Documentaries

 MTFB OSCAR PREDICTIONS: SCREENPLAYS #2

Today I am concluding my second wave of Oscar predictions for this year with the focus on the Screenplay categories.  All contenders from TFF #52 films are listed in Bold.

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Sinners (1)

2) Sentimental Value (2)

3) Marty Supreme (3)

4) Jay Kelly (4)

5) It Was Just an Accident (5)

Others: A House of Dynamite, Weapon and Blue Moon.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Hamnet (2)

2) One Battle After Another (1)

3) Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (3)

4) Bugonia (4)

5) Train Dreams (5)

Others: Frankenstein, No Other Choice and Wicked: For Good.

CRITIC'S CHOICE AWARDS AND DOCUMENTARIES

The Critic's Choice Awards recognized Ken Burns The American Revolution as Best Historical Documentary of the year.  The film tied with Hurricane Katrina: Race Against Time for the honor.  Burns was also named winner of the Critic's Choice Impact Award.

Burns also serves as a member of the TFF Board of Governors.

The American Revolution screened as a part of the 52nd Telluride Film Festival on Friday, Aug. 29th at 10:00am (MDT) at the Sheridan Opera House.

The Perfect Neighbor was named the Best Documentary Feature as well as four other awards to lead the event.

The complete list of all doc winners for The Critic's Choice awards can be found here.

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MTFB Oscar Predictions Round Two: Lead Acting/ Gold Derby Has Hamnet in Front / TFF #52 and the British Independent Awards

 MTFB OSCAR PREDICITONS ROUND TWO: LEAD ACTING

MTFB continues its up date of  Oscar predictions with the Lead acting Categories.  These predictions will include the actors current ranking as well as its position from two weeks back.  TFF #52 films are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet (1)

2) Rene Reinsve/Sentimental Value (2)

3) Cynthia Enviro/Wicked: For Good (3)

4) Emma Stone/Bugonia (4)

5) Amanda Seyfried/The Testament of Ann Lee (NR)

Others: Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue, Sidney Sweeney/Christy and Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I'd Kick You.

1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme (2)

2) Leonardo Di Caprio/OBAA (1)

3) Walter Moura/The Secret Agent (3)

4) Ethan Hawke (NR)

5) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners (5)

Others: George Clooney/Jay Kelly, Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams), Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.

Comment:  At this early point there would be five TFF #52 performances nominated for Best Lead: Buckley, Reinsve, Stone, Moura and Hawke.  Big movers up are Seyfried and Hawke.  Also note Chalamet's rise to number one among the men over DiCaprio.

Next post: Supporting Actors.

GOLD DERBY HAS HAMNET IN FRONT

In a very interesting twist Gold Derby now has Chloe Zhao's Hamnet fractionally ahead of Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another.  The edition posted yesterday revealed that.  You can see that post linked here.

Additionally Gold Derby has five TFF #52 in the predicted five for Best Picture: Hamnet, Sentimental Value, It was Just an Accident, Frankenstein and Bugonia.  Five BP nominations for films that played Telluride in a single year would establish a new record TFF.

TFF #52 AND THE BRITISH INDEPENDENT FILM AWARDS

Five TFF #52 films were nominated for British Independent Film Awards on Monday.  Henry Lighton's Pillion had the most nominations of any Telluride film with 10.  Harris Dickinson's Urchin had six.  Here's the complete breakdown:

Pillion (10): Best British Independent Film, Best Direction (Lighton), Screenplay (Lighton), Lead Performance (Melling), Supporting Performance (Skarsgard), Debut Director (Lighton), Debut Screenplay (Lighton), Costuming, Editing and Make-up/Hair.

Urchin (6): Best British Independent Film, Best Lead Performance (Millane), Debut Director (Dickinson), Breakthrough Producer (Pearch). Casting, Music Supervision.

Sentimental Value (1): Best International Independent Film.

It Was Just an Accident (1): Best International Independent Film.

H Is for Hawk (1): Best Cinematography.

The complete list of nominees can be found here on the BIFA website.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / BAFTA Nominations and TFF / Visitations: Nighy and More

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND MORE

                                              

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Original Score, Original Song and Sound.   These were last predicted on Jan. 5th.  Past ranking is to the right in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

FINAL MTFB OSCAR NOMINATIONS PREDICTIONS WILL BE IN MONDAY'S POST FOR ALL 23 CATEGORIES!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2)

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (-)

6) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (5)

7) Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness (6)

Out: Jesse Buckley/Women Talking

Should be in the mix: Buckley, Foy, McCarthy and Ivey from Women Talking

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

5) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)

6) Brad Pitt/Babylon (6)

7) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (7)

Should be in the mix: Whishaw /Women Talking, Strong/Armageddon Time

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) Babylon (4)

3) Women Talking (2)

4) Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (3)

5) The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

6) The Woman King (6)

7) Avatar: The Way of Water (7)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Naatu Naatu/RRR (2)

2) Lift Me Up/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

3) Hold My Hand/Top Gun: Maverick (3)

4) Ciao Papa/Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (4)

5) New Body Rhumba/White Noise (7)

6) Applause/Tell It Like a Woman (5)

7) Carolina/Where the Crawdads Sing (6)

BEST SOUND

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (2)

3) Elvis (3) 

4) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

5) The Batman (6)

6) Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

7) Babylon (5)

BAFTA NOMINATIONS AND TFF

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) announced their nominees for film excellence this morning.  Seven TFF films earned a total of 19 nominations with Todd Field's TAR leading the wat for films from The SHOW with five nominations.  Here's the listing:

TAR (5): Best Film, Direction/Field, Actress/Blanchett, Original Screenplay and Sound.

Living (4): Best British Film, Actor/Nighy, Adapted Screenplay and Rising Star/Wood.

Aftersun (4): Best British Film, Debut/Wells, Actor/Mescal and Casting.

Empire of Light (3): Best British Film, Best Supporting Actor/Ward and Cinematography.

The Wonder (1): Best British Film

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (1): Best Animated Film

Edward Bergers' All Quiet on the Western Front earned the most nominations of any film with 14.

Here's the complete rundown of BAFTA nominees.

VISITATIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy in Variety.

MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON: Dean Fleischer Camp and Kirsten Lepore in Vanity Fair.

HOLY SPIDER: Ali Abbasi and Ana Lily Amirpour in Variety.

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting and More / The Critics Choice and TFF / Visitations: Buckley, Foy, Inarritu and More

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING LEAD ACTING AND MORE

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress, Best Actor, Cinematography, Editing and Production Design.  These were last predicted on Jan. 2nd.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

2) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

3) Danielle Deadwyler/Till (4)

4) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Viola Davis/The Woman King (5)

6) Anna de Armas/Blonde (New)

7) Margot Robbie/Babylon (6)

Out: Olivia Colman/Empire of Light

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

2) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)

3) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (6)

6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (5)

7) Adam Sandler/Hustle (New)

Out: Hugh Jackman/The Son

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) Empire of Light (6)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (5)

6) Babylon (4)

7) TAR (7)

BEST FILM EDITING

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) Elvis (5)

5) Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

6) The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

7) TAR (7)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Elvis (3)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

3) Babylon (2)

4) The Fabelmans (4)

5) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (5)

6) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (7)

7) Everything Everywhere All at Once (6)

THE CRITICS CHOICE AND TFF

The Critics' Choice Awards were handed out last night and the film side was dominated by Everything Everywhere All at Once with five wins including Best Picture and Best Direction.   

Nine TFF films had been nominated with a combined 23 nominations.  At the end of the evening TFF films had landed with three wins.  TAR had two of those for Best Actress-Cate Blanchett and Best Score.  Sarah Polley won Best Adapted Screenplay for Women Talking.

The complete list of winners can be found here.

VISITATIONS

WOMEN TALKING- Jesse Buckley with Deadline.com. and Claire Foy with Wmagazine.com.

TAR- Nina Hoss with Variety.

BARDO- Alejandro G. Inarritu with Deadline.com.

AFTERSUN- Charlotte Wells with The Hollywood Reporter.

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BAFTA Longlists and TFF / MTFB Oscar Update: Screenplays and More / The National Society of Film Critics and TFF / Visitations: Bill Nighy and More

BAFTA LONGLISTS AND TFF

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their longlist of finalists for potential nominations for the films of 2022.  13 films from TFF were longlisted in at least one category with Charlotte Wells' Aftersun and Todd Field's TAR the leaders from TFF with eight mentions each.  All told TFF films landed 40 mentions.  Here's the rundown:

Aftersun (8): Best Film, Best British Film, Best Debut, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actor (Mescal), Casting and Editing.

TAR (8): Best Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Blanchett), Casting, Cinematography, Score and Sound.

Living: (6): Best Film, Best British Film, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Nighy), Supporting Actress (Wood) and Casting.

Women Talking (4): Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Whishaw) and Score.

Empire of Light (4): Best British Film, Supporting Actor (Ward), Score and Production Design.

The Wonder (3): Best British Film, Adapted Screenplay and Score.

Single mentions for the following:

Lady Chatterley's Lover: Best British Film.

Bardo: Best Film not in the English Language.

Close: Best Film not in the English Language.

Holy Spider: Best Film not in the English Language.

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed: Best Documentary.

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song: Best Documentary.***

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On: Best Animated Film.***

(*** from TFF #48)

Edward Berger's All Quiet on the Western Front led all films with 15 mentions.

Takeaways: I think that Aftersun and Living stealth possibilities for a Best Picture Oscar nomination.

Women Talking continues to underperform and looks less and less likely of a Best Picture nomination or any acting nominations (Whishaw's inclusion on the shortlist notwithstanding.).

The complete BAFTA longlists are linked here.

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Original and Adapted Screenplay.  These were last predicted on Dec. 26th.  In addition, I have included my first attempts to predict nominees in Makeup/Hair, Costumes and Visual Effects.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Women Talking (1)

2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)

3) Living (3)

4) She Said (4)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

6) The Whale (5)

7) Top Gun: Maverick (-)

Out: White Noise

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) TAR (4)

5) Triangle of Sadness (5)

6) Aftersun (6)

7) Babylon (7)

MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Elvis (1)

2) The Whale (2)

3) The Batman (3)

4) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (4)

5) Babylon (5)

6) All Quiet on the Western Front (6)

7) Blonde (7)

COSTUME

1) Elvis (1)

2) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2)

3) Babylon (3)

4) Living (6)

5) The Woman King (5)

6) The Fabelmans (4)

7) Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (7)

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

2) Top Gun: Maverick (2)

3) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (3)

4) The Batman (4)

5) Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (5)

6) All Quiet on the Western Front (6)

7) Nope (7)

THE NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS AND TFF

Five TFF films earned various degrees of notoriety from the National Society of Film Critics over the weekend.  Todd Field's TAR was the most decorated of all films as it was named Best Film as well as Cate Blanchett winning as Best Actress and Fields winning Best Screenplay.  Nina Hoss was first runner-up for Best Supporting Actress.

Charlotte Wells' Aftersun also did well as Wells was named Best Director.  The film was also the runner-up to TAR for Best Picture and Paul Mescal was first runner-up for Best Actor.

Laura Poitras' All the Beauty and the Bloodshed was named Best Documentary.

Bill Nighy was named second runner-up for Best Actor for Living and James Gray was second runner-up for Best Screenplay for Armageddon Time.

The complete NSFC winners are linked here.

VISITATIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy from The Desert Sun.

EMPIRE OF LIGHT: Roger Deakins from A. Frame.

AFTERSUN: Charlotte Wells from MUBI.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / It's Official: Five Days for the 50th / Maltin's Bill Pence Remembrance / Visitations: Women Talking: Foy, Buckley and More

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND MORE

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Original Score, Original Song and Sound.   These were last predicted on Dec. 22nd.  Past ranking is to the right in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (3)

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (4)

4) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (2)

5) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (5)

6) Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness (6)

7) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (New)

Out: Carrie Mulligan/She Said

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

4) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (4)

6) Brad Pitt/Babylon (6)

7) Bryan Tyree Henry (Back In)

Out: Ben Whishaw/Women Talking

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) Women Talking (2)

3) Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (3)

4) Babylon (4)

5) The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

6) The Woman King (6)

7) Avatar: The Way of Water (New)

Out: She Said

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Lift Me Up/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

2) Naatu Naatu/RRR (2)

3) Hold My Hand/Top Gun: Maverick (3)

4) Ciao Papa/Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (4)

5) Applause/Tell It Like a Woman (6)

6) Carolina/Where the Crawdads Sing (5)

7) New Body Rhumba/White Noise (7)

BEST SOUND

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (2)

3) Elvis (3) 

4) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

5) Babylon (4)

6) The Batman (5)

7) Everything Everywhere All at Once (6)

Out: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

IT'S OFFICIAL: FIVE DAYS FOR THE 50TH

Thanks to an eagle-eyed reader (shout out Chris Schneider) I can tell you that the rumored and expected five days for TFF #50 has been confirmed by the festival's official website:

The website also confirms that passes will go on sale on March 1st. so make plans accordingly.

MALTIN'S  BILL PENCE REMEMBRANCE

Long time Telluride fixture Leonard Maltin penned a tribute to the late Bill Pence at his website which I have linked here.

Maltin wrote in part:

"It was difficult to learn that Bill’s health was fading in recent months. He was a hearty soul, buoyed by confidence and an unquenchable passion for films—and his family. That extended family grew to include many people who dedicated themselves to the Telluride Film Festival because of his and Stella’s leadership. Alice, Jessie and I couldn’t be more thankful."

 

VISITATIONS

WOMEN TALKING

Clare Foy and Jesse Buckley from The Los Angeles Times.

Sheila McCarthy and Judith Ivey from The List.

Sarah Polley from The Mercury News.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Updating Lead Acting and More / The Film Stage's Top 50 for 2023 and TFF / Visitations: Nighy and Polley

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING LEAD ACTING AND MORE

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress, Best Actor, Cinematography, Editing and Production Design.  These were last predicted on Dec. 19th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Danielle Deadwyler/Till (4)

5) Viola Davis/The Woman King (6)

6) Margot Robbie/Babylon (5)

7) Olivia Colman/Empire of Light (7)

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

2) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (5)

6) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (6)

7) Hugh Jackman/The Son (7)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Top Gun: Maverick (2)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) Babylon (4)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (6)

6) Empire of Light (5)

7) TAR (New)

Out: Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths

BEST FILM EDITING

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

5) Elvis (5)

6) The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

7) TAR (7)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

2) Babylon (2)

3) Elvis (1)

4) The Fabelmans (3)

5) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (5)

6) Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

7) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

THE FILM STAGE'S TOP 50 FOR 2022 AND TFF

The Film Stage published its list of the 50 best films of 2022 and TFF films landed in nine spots:

48) Living

43) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (TFF #48)

33) Bones and All

17) One Fine Morning

14) Armageddon Time

13) Women Talking

5) All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

3) TAR

1) Aftersun

The complete Film Stage list is linked here.

VISITATIONS

LIVING

Bill Nighy from Indiewire.

WOMEN TALKING

Sarah Polley from NPR.

Sarah Polley from The Boston Globe.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays