Showing posts with label It Was Just an Accident. Show all posts
Showing posts with label It Was Just an Accident. Show all posts

Thursday, March 5, 2026

MTFB Oscar Update: Next to Last Predix for Oscar's Middle Six / Visitations: Jesse Buckley, Ethan Hawke and More

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: NEXT TO LAST PREDIX FOR OSCARS MIDDLE SIX


The latest predictions from MTFB for Casting, International Feature, Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, Original Score and Original Song.


BEST CASTING



1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Hamnet (4)
4) Marty Supreme (3)
5) The Secret Agent (5)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Sentimental Value (1)
2) The Secret Agent (2)
3) It Was Just an Accident (3)
4) Sirat (4)
5) The Voice of Hund Rajab (5)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (2)
3) Arco (4)
4) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (3)
5) Elio (5)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) Mr. Nobody Against Putin (5)
3) The Alabama Solution (2)
4) Come See Me in the Good Light (3)
5) Cutting Through Rocks (4)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE




1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Bugonia (5)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Golden/K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) I Lied to You/Sinners (2)
3) Train Dreams/Train Dreams (4)
4) Dear Me/Dianne Warren: Relentless (3)
5) Sweet Dreams of Joy/Viva Vivaldi (5)

This and That: Huge movement for Mr. Nobody Against Putin.  Small adjustments in casting, Animated Feature and Original Song.


VISITATIONS

Joachim Trier for Sentimental Value from Next Best Picture.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fwxuEWxSpI

https://variety.com/2025/film/awards/jessie-buckley-why-hamnet-isnt-grief-porn-1236564879/

https://variety.com/2025/film/awards/ethan-hawke-blue-moon-linklater-before-movie-1236551849/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQpi055nXVQ





EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

Monday, February 23, 2026

MTFB Oscar Predix: Round Two of the Middle Six Categories / TFF #52 and BAFTA

MTFB OSCAR PREDIX: ROUND TWO OF THE MIDDLE SIX CATEGORIES


BEST CASTING



1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) The Secret Agent (5)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Sentimental Value (1)
2) The Secret Agent (2)
3) It Was Just an Accident (3)
4) Sirat (4)
5) The Voice of Hund Rajab (5)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (2)
3) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (4)
4) Arco (3)
5) Elio (5)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) The Alabama Solution (2)
3) Come See Me in the Good Light (3)
4) Cutting Through Rocks (5)
5) Mr. Nobody Against Putin (4)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE




1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Hamnet (4)
4) Frankenstein (3)
5) Bugonia (5)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Golden/K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) I Lied to You/Sinners (2)
3) Train Dreams/Train Dreams (4)
4) Dear Me/Dianne Warren: Relentless (3)
5) Sweet Dreams of Joy/Viva Vivaldi (5)

This and That: Small movements in Documentary, Score and Song in an other wise static set of six categories.


TFF #52 AND BAFTA



TFF #52 films nabbed six BAFTA  (British Academy of Film and Television Arts) Awards yesterday led by Guillermo Del Toro's  Frankenstein with three wins in craft categories: Productions Design, Costumes and Makeup/Hair.  Chloe Zhao's Hamnet made a bit of a splash with two wins: Best Actress for Jesse Buckley as well as Outstanding British Film.  Joachim Trier's Sentimental Value won the BAFTA for Best Film Not in the English Language.

Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another led all films with six wins: Best Film, Direction, Supporting Actor (Penn), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography and Editing. OBAA now seems virtually unbeatable for the Oscar for Best Picture.




EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com






Thursday, February 12, 2026

MTFB Oscar Take: Second Wave Winners' Predictions / Ghost Elephants Trailer / Behind the Scenes: Hamnet

 MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SECOND WAVE OF WINNERS' PREDICTIONS


I started Monday with the first pass on predicting what films will win Oscars on March 15th.  Today we extend those predictions to six more categories: Casting, International Feature, Animated feature, Documentary Feature, Original Score and Original Song.  Here's where MTFB is right now for those categories.  As always TFF films are in Bold.

BEST CASTING

1) Sinners
2) One Battle After Another
3) Marty Supreme
4) Hamnet
5) The Secret Agent

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Sentimental Value
2) The Secret Agent
3) It Was Just an Accident
4) Sirat
5) The Voice of Hund Rajab

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters
2) Zootopia 2
3) Arco
4) Little Amelie or the Character of rain
5) Elio

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) The Perfect Neighbor
2) The Alabama Solution
3) Come See Me in the Good Light
4) Mr. Nobody Against Putin
5) Cutting Through Rocks

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Sinners
2) One Battle After Another
3) Frankenstein
4) Hamnet
5) Bugonia

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Golden/K-Pop Demon Hunters
2) I Lied to You/Sinners
3) Dear Me/Dianne Warren: Relentless
4) Train Dreams/Train Dreams
5) Sweet Dreams of Joy/Viva Vivaldi

Thoughts: It seems like the only semi-competitive category among these six is Best Casting.  All of the other five have the #1 film in great shape to pick up and Oscar on Mar. 15th.

Nest Monday, the remaining seven feature film categories.

    

GHOST ELEPHANTS TRAILER


Werner Herzog, as is often the case at Telluride, sprung a new documentary at TFF #52.  Ghost Elephants.  National Geographic dropped a trailer for the project on Tuesday.  Here it is from YouTube:



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YoOD-2Wn7ik


BEHIND THE SCENES: HAMNET



Here's a "Behind the Scenes' Look at Hamnet from Screen rant.

https://x.com/screenrant/status/2021253073956405645



EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

MTFB'S Final Oscar Nomination Predictions for All 24 Categories / The Experts Weigh In

MTFB's Final Oscar Nomination Predictions:

BEST PICTURE




1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Hamnet (3)
3) Sinners (2)
4) Marty Supreme (4)
5) Frankenstein (6)
6) Sentimental Value (5)
7) It Was Just an Accident (7)
8) Train Dreams (8)
9) The Secret Agent (NR)
10) Bugonia (10)


Others: F1, Wicked: for Good and Weapons.
 

BEST DIRECTION

1) Paul Thomas Anderson/OBAA (1)
2) Ryan Coogler/Sinners (2)
3) Chloe Zhao/Hamnet (3)
4) Guillermo Del Toro/Frankenstein (4)
5) Joachim Trier/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Jafar Panhani/It Was Just an Accident, Josh Safdie/Marty Supreme and Kleber Mendanca Filho/The Secret Agent.



BEST ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet (1)
2) Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (2)
3) Renee Reinsve/Sentimental Value (3)
4) Emma Stone/Bugonia (4)
5) Chase Infiniti/OBAA (5)

Others: Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue , Amanda Seyfreid/The Testament of Ann Lee and Cynthia Erivo/Wicked: For Good.


BEST ACTOR

1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme (1)
2) Leonardo DiCaprio/OBAA (2)
3) Walter Moura/The Secret Agent (3)
4) Ethan Hawke/Blue Moon (4)
5) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners (5)

Others: Joel Edgerton/Train Dreams, Jesse Plemons/Bugonia and George Clooney/Jay Kelly


SUPPRORTING ACTRESS



1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (1)
2) Amy Madigan/Weapons (2)
3) Ariana Grande/Wicked" For Good (3)
4) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (4)
5) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners, Regina Hall/One Battle After Another and Odessa A'Zion/Marty Supreme.


SUPPORTING ACTOR




1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)
2) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (2)
3) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (3)
4) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (4)
5) Paul Mescal/Hamnet (5)

Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, Miles Caton/Sinners and DelRoy Lindo/Sinners.


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY


1) Sinners (1)
2) Marty Supreme (2)
3) Sentimental Value (3)
4) It Was Just an Accident (4)
5) Weapon (5)

Others: Sorry, Baby, Jay Kelly and The Secret Agent.


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Hamnet (2)
3) Train Dreams (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Bugonia (5)

Others: No Other Choice, Wakeup Dead Man and Nuremburg.


BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE




1) Sentimental Value (Norway) (1)
2) It Was Just an Accident (France) (2)
3) The Secret Agent (Brazil) (3)
4) Sirat (4)
5) No Other Choice (South Korea) (5)

Others: The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia), Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) and Kukuho (Japan).


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE


1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) 2000 Meters to Andriivka (2)
3) Cover-Up (3)
4) The Alabama Solution (4)
5) Apocalypse in the Tropics (*TFF #51) (NR)

Others: Come See Me in the Good Light, My Undesirable Friends: Part 1 and Mr. Nobody Against Putin.


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (2)
3) Arco (3)
4) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (4)
5) Elio (5)

Others: In Your Dreams, Demon Slayer, The Magnificent Life.


BEST CASTING




1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)

Others: Frankenstein, Sentimental Value and Weapons.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle after Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Train Dreams (4)
5) Frankenstein (5)

Others: F1, Marty Supreme and Bugonia.


BEST EDITING

1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) F1 (3)
4) Marty Supreme (4)
5) Hamnet (5)

Others: Frankenstein, It Was Just an Accident and Sentimental Value.


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE




1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Train Dreams (5)

Others: F1, Marty Supreme and Sirat.


ORIGINAL SONG

1) Golden/K Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) I Lied to You/Sinners (2)
3) Dear Me/Diane Warren: Relentless (3)
4) Last Time (I Seen the Sun)/Sinners (4)
5) Train Dreams/Train Dreams (5)

Others: The Girl in the Bubble/Wicked: For Good, Dream as One/Avatar: Fire and Ash.


PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Wicked: For Good (4)
5) Marty Supreme (5)

Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, One Battle After Another and The Fantastic Four: First Steps.


COSTUME DESIGN


1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Hedda (5)

Others: The Testament of Ann Lee, Marty Supreme and Kiss of the Spiderman.


MAKEUP AND HAIR


1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) The Smashing Machine (4)
5) Kokuho (5)

Others: One Battle After Another, Marty Supreme and Nuremburg.


SOUND DESIGN

1) F1 (2)
2) Sinners (1)
3) One Battle After Another (3)
4) Avatar: Fire and Ash (NR)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)

Others: Sirat, Frankenstein and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.


VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: Fire and Ash (1)
2) F1 (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) Frankenstein (4)
5) Superman (5)


Others: Wicked: For Good, Jurassic World Rebirth and The Lost Bus.

ANIMATED SHORT

1) Eiru
2) Butterfly
3) Playing God
4) Snow Bear
5) Cardboard

Others: The Girl Who Cried Pearls, Hurikan, The Quinta's Ghost and The Shyness of Trees.


DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) All the Empty Rooms
2) The Devil Is Busy
3) Armed With Only a Camera
4) All the Walls Came Down
5) Chasing Time

Others: Classroom 4, We Were the Scenery and Perfectly a Strangeness.


LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) Two People Exchanging Saliva
2) Rock, Paper, Scissors
3) The Singers
4) Extremist
5) Jane Austen's Period Drama

Others: Beyond Silence, Pantyhose and The Boy with White Skin.



THE EXPERTS WEIGH IN

Here's a rundown of how some Oscar experts are predicting nominations for Telluride films:

***VARIETY

Hamnet (10): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Production Design, Costumes, Editing and Score.

Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Score.

Sentimental Value (7): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay, International Feature.

Bugonia (4): Best Picture, Actress (Stone), Adapted Screenplay and Production Design.

The Secret Agent (4): Best Picture, Actor (Moura), Casting and International Feature.

Blue Moon (2) Best Actor (Hawke) and Original Screenplay.

Single nominations:

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
It Was Just and Accident: Best International Feature.
All the Empty Rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.
Extremist: Best Live Action Short.

Variety has 11 TFF films earning 42 nominations.




***INDIEWIRE

Frankenstein (12): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Sound and Visual Effects.

Hamnet (10): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Costumes, Editing, Score and Production Design.

Sentimental Value (5): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay, International Feature.

Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (3): Best Picture, Actor (Moura) and International Feature.

It Was Just an Accident (2): Best International Feature and Original Screenplay.

Single nominations for:

Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Cover-Up: Best Documentary.
All the Empty rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.
Extremist: Best Live Action Short.

Indiewire has 11 TFF films with 41 nominations.



***NEXT BEST PICTURE

Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Editing, Cinematography, Costumes, Production Design and Score.

Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Sound and Visual Effects.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas),, Supporting Actor (Skarsgard) Original Screenplay, Casting and International Feature.

It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay, International Feature.

Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Actress (Stone)and Adapted Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (3): Best Picture, Actor (Moura) and International Feature.

Single nominations for:

Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Apocalypse in the Tropics: Best Documentary (TFF #51)
All the Empty Rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.

NBP has 11 TFF films earning 44 nominations.




***THE CONTENDING

Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Editing, Cinematography, Costumes, Production Design and Score.

Frankenstein (10): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Sound and Visual Effects.

Sentimental Value (7): Best Picture, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Original Screenplay, Casting and International Feature.

The Secret Agent (4): Best Picture, Actor (Moura), Original Screenplay and International Feature.

It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay and International Feature.

Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.

Single nominations for:

Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Cover-Up: Best Documentary.
All the Empty Rooms: Best Documentary Short.
All the Walls Came Down: Best Documentary Short.

The Contending has 11 TFF films earning 44 nominations.







EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

Thursday, January 15, 2026

MTFB Oscar Take: Updates to Above the Line Categories / Online Film Critics Nominees / Visitations: Hamnet

 UPDATES TO ABOVE THE LINE CATEGORIES

Here's the latest take on the eight "Above the Line " categories for Oscar nominations that are being announced one week from today.  TFF #52 films are indicated in Bold.


BEST PICTURE




1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Hamnet (3)
3) Sinners (2)
4) Marty Supreme (4)
5) Frankenstein (6)
6) Sentimental Value (5)
7) It Was Just an Accident (7)
8) Train Dreams (8)
9) The Secret Agent (NR)
10) Bugonia (10)


Others: Wicked: for Good, F1 and Weapons.
 


BEST DIRECTION

1) Paul Thomas Anderson/OBAA (1)
2) Ryan Coogler/Sinners (3)
3) Chloe Zhao/Hamnet (2)
4) Guillermo Del Toro/Frankenstein (NR)
5) Joachim Trier/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Jafar Panhani/It Was Just an Accident, Josh Safdie/Marty Supreme and Kleber Mendanca Filho/The Secret Agent.



BEST ACTRESS




1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet (1)
2) Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (3)
3) Renee Reinsve/Sentimental Value (2)
4) Emma Stone/Bugonia (4)
5) Chase Infiniti/OBAA (5)

Others: Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue , Amanda Seyfreid/The Testament of Ann Lee and Cynthia Erivo/Wicked: For Good.


BEST ACTOR

1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme (1)
2) Leonardo DiCaprio/OBAA (2)
3) Walter Moura/The Secret Agent (3)
4) Ethan Hawke/Blue Moon (5)
5) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners (4)

Others: Joel Edgerton/Train Dreams, Jesse Plemons/Bugonia and George Clooney/Jay Kelly


SUPPRORTING ACTRESS




1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (1)
2) Amy Madigan/Weapons (2)
3) Ariana Grande/Wicked" For Good (3)
4) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (4)
5) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners, Regina Hall/One Battle After Another and Odessa A'Zion/Marty Supreme.


SUPPORTING ACTOR


1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)
2) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (2)
3) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (5)
4) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (3)
5) Paul Mescal/Hamnet (4)

Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, Miles Caton/Sinners and DelRoy Lindo/Sinners.


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY




1) Sinners (1)
2) Marty Supreme (3)
3) Sentimental Value (2)
4) It Was Just an Accident (4)
5) Weapon (NR)

Others: Sorry, Baby, Jay Kelly and The Secret Agent.


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Hamnet (2)
3) Train Dreams (3)
4) Frankenstein (5)
5) Bugonia (4)

Others: No Other Choice, Wakeup Dead Man and Nuremburg.


I'll have predictions on Monday for the Shorts categories as well as a look at the closest races.  Then on Wednesday MTFB will have a special post with final predictions in all 24 categories.



ONLINE FILM CRITICS NOMINATIONS

The Online Film Critics association announced their nominees for film excellence for 2025 on Monday.  Here's what happened with films that screened at TFF:

Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Illeaas), Supporting Actress (Fanning), Original Screenplay and Film Not in the English Language.

Hamnet (7): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design and Costume.

Frankenstein (7): Best Supporting Actor (Elordi), Cinematography, Score, Production Design, Costume, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects.

It Was Just an accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay and Film Not in the English Language.

The Secret Agent (3): Best Picture, Actor (Moura and Film Not in the English Language.

Bugonia (2): Best Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.

Single nominations for:

Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke)
If I had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).
Cover-Up: Best Documentary.


 


VISITATIONS: HAMNET












EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

Monday, January 12, 2026

MTFB Oscar Take: 3rd predictions for Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Visual Effects / Golden Globes '26 and TFF #52 / BAFTA Longlists and TFF #52 / PGA and TFF #52

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: THIRD PREDICTIONS FOR PRODUCTION DESIGN, COSTUMES, MAKEUP/HAIR, SOUND AND VISUAL EFFECTS 


Today we update the final five feature categories with new predictions for Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Sound and Visual Effects. A film's previous ranking is to he right of the title in parentheses. All TFF #52 films are in Bold.    Here they are:


PRODUCTION DESIGN



1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Sinners (2)
3) Hamnet (3)
4) Wicked: For Good (4)
5) Marty Supreme (5)

Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, One Battle After Another and The Fantastic Four: First Steps.


COSTUME DESIGN


1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Hedda (NR)

Others: The Testament of Ann Lee, Marty Supreme and Kiss of the Spiderman.


MAKEUP AND HAIR


1) Frankenstein (1)
2) Wicked: For Good (2)
3) Sinners (3)
4) The Smashing Machine (4)
5) Kokuho (NR)

Others: One Battle After Another, Marty Supreme and Nuremburg.


SOUND DESIGN




1) F1 (2)
2) Sinners (1)
3) One Battle After Another (3)
4) Avatar: Fire and Ash (NR)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)

Others: Sirat, Frankenstein and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.


VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: Fire and Ash (2)
2) F1 (1)
3) Sinners (5)
4) Frankenstein (3)
5) Superman (4)


Others: Wicked: For Good, Jurassic World Rebirth and The Lost Bus.


As of this morning's post if the MTFB Oscar Take is 100% accurate, ten TFF films will earn 41 nominations on announcement morning-Jan. 22nd.  Hamnet will lead TFF films with 11 nominations.  TFF #52 could also a year where five of the films that screened their earn Best Picture nominations which would be a record for the fest.

Here's how that could shake out:

Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley). Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Costumes, Cinematography, Editing, Original Score and Production Design.

Frankenstein (9): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Original Score, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Fanning and Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Original Screenplay and International Feature.

It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, International Feature and Original Screenplay.

Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Best Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Actor (Moura) and International Feature.

Blue Moon (1): Best Actor (Hawke).

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (1): Best Actress (Byrne).

Jay Kelly (1): Best Original Screenplay.

Cover-Up (1) Best Documentary.


GOLDEN GLOBES '26 AND TFF #52


Telluride films had a better than fair night at the Golden Globes with a win for Best Film/Drama for Chole Zhao.  Here are all the winners from TFF #52 films from last night's Golden Globes:

Best Film/Drama-Hamnet
Best Actor/Drama-Wagner Moura/The Secret Agent
Best Actress/Drama-Jesse Buckley
Best Actress/Comedy or Musical-Rose Byrne/If I Had legs I'd Kick You
Best Supporting Actor-Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value
Best Motion Picture-Not in the English Language-The Secret Agent

Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another won the most hardware of the evening with four trophies: Best Film/Comedy or Musical, Best Supporting Actress (Taylor, Best Direction and Best Screenplay.




BAFTA LONGLISTS AND TFF #52




The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (The Brit Oscars, if you will) its "longlists" for its Film categories for 2025 last week.  The longlists serve as a first cut in BAFTA's nominating process.  Films have to make the longlists in various categories to be voted on for actual nominations.

19 TFF #52 (and #51) films drew 73 "mentions" in this winnowing process.  Chloe Zhao's Hamnet lead the TFF parade.  Here is the list of TFF films making BAFTA's longlists:

Hamnet (14): Best Film, Outstanding British Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Watson), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Cast, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design.

Bugonia (12): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Stone), Actor (Plemons), Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design and Sound.

Frankenstein (12): Best Film, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Cast, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Special Visual Effects and Sound.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Film, Best Film Not in the English Language, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Costumes.

Pillion (6): Outstanding British Film, Outstanding Debut, Adapted Screenplay, Actor Melling), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Cast.

Ballad of a Small Player (3): Outstanding British Film, Production Design, Cinematography.

Blue Moon (3): Best Original Screenplay, Actor (Hawke), Supporting Actor (Scott).

It Was Just an Accident (2): Best Film Not in the English Language, Original Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Film Not in the English language, Original Screenplay.

Nouvelle Vague (2): Best film Not in the English Language, Costumes.

Single Mentions for:

H Is for Hawk: Outstanding British Film.
Urchin: Outstanding Debut.
La Grazia: Outstanding Film Not in the English Language.
Cover-Up: Documentary.
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Leading Actress (Byrne).
Jay Kelly: Best Supporting Actor (Sandler).
Apocalypse in the Tropics (TFF #51): Documentary.
Riefenstahl (TFF #51): Documentary.
One to One: john and Yoko (TFF #51): Documentary.



PGA AND TFF #52



The Producers Guild of America announced its ten choices/nominees for their Best Film award for 2025.  The list includes four films from TFF #52>  Here's the list with TFF #52 films in Bold:

“Bugonia” (Focus Features)
Ed Guiney, p.g.a., Andrew Lowe, p.g.a., Yorgos Lanthimos, p.g.a., Emma Stone, p.g.a., Lars Knudsen, p.g.a.

“F1” (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)
Nominees to be determined

“Frankenstein” (Netflix)
Guillermo Del Toro, p.g.a., J. Miles Dale, p.g.a., Scott Stuber, p.g.a.

“Hamnet” (Focus Features)
Liza Marshall, p.g.a., Pippa Harris, p.g.a., Sam Mendes, p.g.a., Steven Spielberg, p.g.a., Nicolas Gonda, p.g.a.

“Marty Supreme” (A24)
Nominees to be determined

“One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
Adam Somner, Sara Murphy, Paul Thomas Anderson

“Sentimental Value” (Neon)
Maria Ekerhovd, Andrea Berentsen Ottmar

“Sinners” (Warner Bros.)
Ryan Coogler, p.g.a., Zinzi Coogler, p.g.a., Sev Ohanian, p.g.a. 

“Train Dreams” (Netflix)
Marissa McMahon, p.g.a., Teddy Schwarzman, p.g.a., William Janowitz, p.g.a., Ashley Schlaifer, p.g.a., Michael Heimler, p.g.a.

“Weapons” (Warner Bros.)
Zach Cregger, p.g.a., Miri Yoon, p.g.a.




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Monday, January 5, 2026

MTFB Oscar Take: International, Doc, Animated and Casting #3 / National Society of Film Critics and TFF #52/ Critics Choice Awards and TFF #52

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SECOND PREDICTIONS FOR INTERNATIONAL, DOCUMENTARY AND ANIMATED FEATURES AND CASTING

Here's MTFB's third round of Oscar nomination predictions for these four categories.

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE




1) Sentimental Value (Norway) (1)
2) It Was Just an Accident (France) (2)
3) The Secret Agent (Brazil) (3)
4) Sirat (5)
5) No Other Choice (South Korea) (4)

Others: The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia), Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) and Kukuho (Japan).


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE


1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) 2000 Meters to Andriivka (2)
3) Cover-Up (4)
4) The Alabama Solution (5)
5) My Undesirable Friends Part 1...(NR)

Others: Apocalypse in the Tropics*, Come See Me in the Good Light and Mr. Nobody Against Putin.


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (2)
3) Arco (3)
4) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (4)
5) Elio (5)

Others: In Your Dreams, Demon slayer, The Magnificent Life.


BEST CASTING




1) Sinners (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) Hamnet (4)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)

Others: Frankenstein, Sentimental Value and Weapons.


NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS AWARDS




The National Society of Film Critics announced their awards for 2025 this past weekend.  Here's how TFF #52 showed:

The Secret Agent: Winner: Best Foreign Language Film, First Runner-up Actor (Moura), Second Runner-up Best Picture and Second Runner-up Screenplay.

It Was Just an Accident: Winner Best Screenplay, First Runner-up Film in a Foreign Language and First Runner-up Director.

Blue Moon: Winner Best Actor (Hawke), First Runner-up Screenplay, 2nd Runner-up Director.

Sentimental Value: Second Runner-up Film in a Foreign Language, 2nd Runner-up Actress (Reinsve), Second Runner-up Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Second Runner-up Supporting Actor (Skarsgard).

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Forst Runner-up Actress (Byrne).

Nouvelle Vague: Second Runner-up Director (along with Blue Moon).



CRITICS CHOICE AWARDS AND TFF #52




Also occurring this past weekend were the Critics Choice Awards.  Here's how the films from TFF #52 fared:

Frankenstein (4): Best Supporting Actor (Elordi), Production Design, Costumes, Make-up/Hair.
Hamnet: Best Actress (Buckley)
Sentimental Value: Best Foreign Language Film


And coming up this week announcements from The Producers Guild, Directors Guild, SAG/Aftra (SAG Awards) and BAFTA's longlists.  Hold your breath!!!





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Thursday, January 1, 2026

MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and Screenplays #5 / Visitations: Maggie O'Farrell (author of Hamnet)

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND SCREENPLAYS

HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!


Here's MTFB's fifth take on the Oscar races for the Supporting acting and Screenplay categories.  A film/performers previous rank is listed to the right in parentheses.  TFF #52 films are in Bold.


SUPPRORTING ACTRESS


1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (1)
2) Amy Madigan/Weapons (3)
3) Ariana Grande/Wicked" For Good (2)
4) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (5)
5) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (4)

Others: Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners, Regina Hall/One Battle After Another and Odessa A'Zion/Marty Supreme.


SUPPORTING ACTOR



1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)
2) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (4)
3) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (2)
4) Paul Mescal/Hamnet (3)
5) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (5) 

Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, DelRoy Lindo/Sinners and Adam Scott/ Blue Moon.


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY


1) Sinners (1)
2) Sentimental Value (2)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) It Was Just an Accident (4)
5) Jay Kelly (5)

Others: Sorry, Baby, The Secret Agent, Weapons and Blue Moon.


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) One Battle After Another (2)
2) Hamnet (1)
3) Train Dreams (4)
4) Bugonia (3)
4) Train Dreams (4)
5) Frankenstein (5)

Others: No Other Choice, Wakeup Dead man and Nuremburg.




VISITATIONS: MAGGIE O'FARRELL









EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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Monday, December 29, 2025

MTFB Oscar Take: Updated Predictions for Best Picture, Direction and Lead Acting / Visitations: Sentimental Value and Pillion

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATES PREDICTIONS FOR BEST PICTURE, DIRECTION AND LEAD ACTING

Here's the fifth set of predictions for the four major categories.  TFF #52 predicted nominees are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE




1) One Battle After Another (1)
2) Sinners (3)
3) Hamnet (2)
4) Marty Supreme (4)
5) Sentimental Value (5)
6) Frankenstein (6)
7) It Was Just an Accident (7)
8) Train Dreams (10)
9) Wicked: For Good (9)
10) Bugonia (NR)


Others: The Secret Agent, Avatar: Fire and Ice, and F1.
 


BEST DIRECTION

1) Paul Thomas Anderson/OBAA (1)
2) Chloe Zhao/Hamnet (2)
3) Ryan Coogler/Sinners (3)
4) Jafar Panahi/It Was Just an Accident (4)
5) Joachim Trier/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Guillermo del Toro/Frankenstein, Josh Safdie/Marty Supreme and Kleber Mendanca Filho/The Secret Agent.



BEST ACTRESS




1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet (1)
2) Rene Reinsve/Sentimental Value (2)
3) Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (NR)
4) Emma Stone/Bugonia (5)
5) Chase Infiniti/OBAA (NR)

Others: Cynthia Erivo/Wicked: For Good, Amanda Seyfreid/The Testament of Ann Lee and Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue.


BEST ACTOR

1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme (1)
2) Leonardo DiCaprio/OBAA (2)
3) Walter Moura/The Secret Agent (3)
4) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners (5)
5) Ethan Hawke/Blue Moon (4)

Others: Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams), George Clooney/Jay Kelly and  Jesse Plemons/Bugonia.

This set of predictions suggests that five TFF #52 films will be nominated for Best Picture which would be an all time record for films from TFF.


VISITATIONS



 


Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas for Sentimental Value from Pop Culture Confidential.

Joachim Trier for Sentimental Value from Pop Culture Confidential.





EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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Monday, December 15, 2025

MTFB Oscar Take: Second Predictions for International, Documentary and Animated Features and Casting / New York Film Critics Online Announce 2025 Nominees / Visitations

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SECOND PREDICTIONS FOR INTERNATIONAL, DOCUMENTARY AND ANIMATED FEATURES AND CASTING



BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE




1) Sentimental Value (Norway) (1)
2) It Was Just an Accident (France) (2)
3) The Secret Agent (Brazil) (3)
4) No Other Choice (South Korea) (4)
5) Sirat (Spain) (NR)

Others: The Voice of hind Rajab, Left-Handed Girl (Taiwan) and 2000 Meters to Andriivka.


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE


1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)
2) 2000 Meters to Andriivka (2)
3) Apocalypse in the Tropics (TFF #51) (3)
4) Cover-Up (5)
5) The Alabama Solution (4)

Others: Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk, Orwell: 2+2=5,  and Come See Me in the Good Light.


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)
2) Zootopia 2 (3)
3) Arco (2)
4) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (NR)
5) Elio (4)

Others: In Your Dreams, The Magnificent Life, Scarlet.


BEST CASTING




1) Sinners (2)
2) One Battle After Another (1)
3) Marty Supreme (3)
4) Hamnet (5)
5) Wicked: For Good (4)

Others: Jay Kelly, Wake Up Dead Man and Nouvelle Vague.

 NEW YORK CRITICS ONLINE ANNOUNCE 2025 NOMINEES




13 Telluride #52 films earned 41 nominations this past week from The New York Film Critics Online.  Hamnet and Sentimental lead the way for TFF films with each film grabbing 10 nominations.  Here's the list:

Hamnet (10): Best Picture, Direction, Screenplay, Actress, Supporting Actor (X2), Ensemble, Use of Music, Cinematography and Breakthrough Performance.

Sentimental Value (10): Best Picture, Direction, Screenplay, Actress, Supporting Actress (X2), Supporting Actor, Ensemble, Breakthrough Performance and International Feature.

It was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, Ensemble and International Feature.

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (3): Best Picture, Screenplay and Actress.

Bugonia (3): Best Screenplay, Actress and Actor.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Actor and International Feature.

Frankenstein (2): Best Supporting Actor and Cinematography.

Pillion (2): Best Supporting Actor and Debut Director.

Blue Moon (1): Best Actor.

Jay Kelly (1): Best Supporting Actor.

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere (1): Best Use of Music.

Urchin (1): Best Debut Director.

Cover-Up (1): Best Documentary.


VISITATIONS










EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

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Thursday, December 11, 2025

MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Acting and Screenplays #4

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND SCREENPLAYS #4


Here are the updated predictions for the Supporting Acting and Screenplay categories.  TFF #52 films and performers are in Bold.  A film's previous ranking is to the right of the title in parentheses.


SUPPRORTING ACTRESS




1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another (2)
2) Ariana Grande/Wicked: For Good (1)
3) Amy Madigan/Weapons (3)
4) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value (4)
5) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value (5)

Others: Regina Hall/One Battle After Another, Wunmi Mosaku/Sinners and Gwyneth Paltrow/Marty Supreme.


SUPPORTING ACTOR


1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value (1)
2) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another (2)
3) Paul Mescal/Hamnet 
4) Benicio del Toro/One Battle After Another (5)
5) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein (NR) 

Others: Adam Sandler/Jay Kelly, DelRoy Lindo/Sinners and William H. Macy/Train Dreams.


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY




1) Sinners (1)
2) Sentimental Value (2)
3) Marty Supreme (NR)
4) It Was Just an Accident (5)
5) Jay Kelly (4)

Others: The Secret Agent, Weapons and The House of Dynamite.


ADAPTED SCREENPLAY


1) Hamnet (1)
2) One Battle After Another (2)
3) Bugonia (3)
4) Train Dreams (4)
5) Frankenstein (NR)

Others: Wake Up Dead Man, No Other Choice and Nuremburg.



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