MOONLIGHT SHINES
A24 tweeted this poster/image yesterday for Barry Jenkins Moonlight. The film is near certainty to screen in Telluride. The film is getting some notice in awards chatter circles prior to being seen by the public and I've been hearing good buzz from people who have seen it.
Additionally, the word is that a trailer might be expected to drop for the film today as well. Look for that here tomorrow should it happen and check my Twitter account throughout the day as well (@Gort2).
Moonlight has been announced to screen at the New York Film Fest without a premiere designation which indicates a Telluride play. Further, Hollywood Elsewhere's Jeffrey Wells implied it strongly in a post from last Tuesday.
FOREIGN FILMS OSCAR SPECULATION AND TELLURIDE PLAYS
Clayton Davis and his crew at Awards Circuit have updates their Oscar predictions as of yesterday including an extensive look at pre-national submission guesses for Best Foreign Language Film.
I took a look at the list in the context of probable/possible films we could see at Telluride and here's what I came up with.
From the AC "Predicted Nominees" are two very probable T-ride players: Toni Erdmann and Graduation.
From the "Also in Contention" list: Julieta
From the "Other Possibilities" list: The Red Turtle.
Take a look at the complete list of predictions here:
http://www.awardscircuit.com/oscar-predictions/best-foreign-language-film/
THE GUARDIAN'S OSCAR PLAYERS AND TELLURIDE
Nigel Smith of Britain's The Guardian posted a list of 25 films that he suspects are Oscar contenders on Wednesday. Much like the above Foreign Language Film analysis, I've gone through Smith's list and searched out the films that are probable/possible Telluride players.
From his "Front-runners": La La Land, Arrival (and maybe The Founder and The Mercy)
Not included: Arrival, Manchester by the Sea and Moonlight.
The complete post/list is here:
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2016/aug/10/oscars-2017-predictions-movie-reviews-film-festival-favorites
TIME TO START THINKING ABOUT YOUR INNER CRITIC.
It's your annual call to rate the films you see at the Telluride Film Festival. MTFB is once again asking YOU to participate in The People's Telluride...a gathering of film ratings from the ticket buying public at the fest.
It's simple...rate the films you see on a 1 to 5 scale (1 being awful and 5 being masterpiece) and then send those to me via email: mpgort@gmail.com or michael_speech@hotmail.com OR via the comments section here on the blog or to my twitter account @Gort2.
I'll pull it all together and publish the results a couple of weeks after the fest is in the books.
ALSO...as has become a tradition...I will also be putting together The Professionals Telluride. I'll have more than a dozen industry pros weighing in with their ratings as well. People from The Hollywood Reporter, Indiewire, Awards Daily, Awards Circuit, and many more will be participating.
The MTFB Ratings have provided an excellent snapshot of the reactions of the festival-goers to the program since 2012. Here's what they have looked like in the past:
The Professionals:
2012
1) Central Park Five-4.7
2) Argo-4.5
3) Stories We Tell- 4.3
4) The Sapphires 4.25
5) (Tie) Frances Ha and The Attack- 4.2
7) Rust and Bone- 4.0
8) The Iceman- 3.8
9) At Any Price- 3.7
10) (Tie) Amour and Baraka- 3.5
12) No- 3.4
14) (Tie) Hyde Park on Hudson and The Gatekeepers 3.0
15) Everyday- 2.8
2013
1) 12 Years a Slave (4.7)
2) Blue is the Warmest Color (4.4)
3) Gravity (4.35)
4) Tim's Vermeer (4.3)
5) Nebraska (4.3)
6) All is Lost (4.2)
7) Inside Llewyn Davis (4.1)
8) Starred Up (4.0)
9) The Past (3.9)
10) Labor Day (3.6)
11) Bethlehem (3.6)
12) Prisoners (3.5)
13) The Lunchbox (3.5)
14) Salinger (3.3)
15) The Unknown Known (3.3)
16) Palo Alto (3.2)
17) Tracks (3.2)
18) Under the Skin (3.1)
18) (tie) The Wind Rises (3.1)
20) The Invisible Woman (3.0)
2014
1) Birdman (4.72)
2) Foxcatcher (4.63)
3) ’71 (4.25)
4) Wild Tales (4.20)
5) Leviathan (4.17)
6) Mr. Turner (4.10)
7) The Imitation Game (4.06)
8) Mommy (3.92)
9) Two Days, One Night (3.90)
10) The Homesman (3.80)
11) Red Army (3.67)
12) Madame Bovary (3.30)
13) Wild (3.21)
14) Rosewater (3.06)
2015
2015
1) ) Son of Saul (4.44)
2) Anomalisa (4.42)
3) Spotlight (4.41)
4) Steve Jobs (4.31)
5) Beasts of No Nation (4.27)
6) Carol (4.11)
7) 45 Years (4.06)
8) Taxi (4.00)
9) Black Mass (3.85)
10) Time to Choose (3.57)
11) Room (3.50)
12) Suffragette (3.49)
13) He Named Me Malala (2.83)
The People's:
2012
1) Stories We Tell- 4.80
2) Argo- 4.75
3) The Attack- 4.70
4) The Act of Killing-4.41
5) Wadjda-4.2
6) Amour 4.17
7) Barbara- 4.17
8) The Sapphires-4.11
9) Frances Ha-4.07
10) (Tie)The Hunt and Baraka - 4.00
12) Annecy Animation-3.83
13) The Central Park Five 3.75
14) (Tie) A Royal Affair and Corman's World-3.67
16) Rust and Bone-3.65
17) The Iceman- 3.61
18) The Gatekeepers-3.58
19) Superstar-3.50
20) Hyde Park on Hudson-3.33
21) No-3.21
22) Love, Marilyn-3.08
23) Ginger and Rosa-2.54
24) At Any Price-2.13
25) Everyday-2.08
26) Paradise, Love-1.1
2013
1) Tim's Vermeer (4.67)
2) 12 Years a Slave (4.55)
3) Gravity (4.40)
4) The Lunchbox (4.25)
5) Inside Llewyn Davis (4.15)
6) Nebraska (4.08)
7) All is Lost (4.06)
8) The Wind Rises (4.0)
9) Ida (4.0)
10) The Past (3.81)
11) Blue is the Warmest Color (3.75)
12) Tracks (3.64)
13) Prisoners (3.5)
14) Labor Day (3.40)
15) The Galapagos Affair: Satan Came to Eden (3.33)
16) Starred Up (3.25)
17) Palo Alto (3.20)
18) The Invisible Woman (3.19)
19) Before the Winter Chill (2.67)
20) The Unknown Known (2.43)
21) Under the Skin (2.0)
2014
1) The Imitation Game (4.73)
2) Birdman (4.46)
3) Wild Tales (4.23)
4) Foxcatcher (4.20)
5) Merchants of Doubt (4.04)
6) '71 (3.90)
7) Red Army (3.63)
8) Wild (Tie 3.50)
8) Escobar: Paradise Lost (Tie 3.50)
8) Mommy (Tie 3.50)
11) 99 Homes (3.47)
12) Rosewater (3.46)
13) Two Days, One Night (3.31)
14) Mr. Turner (3.00)
15) Madame Bovary (2.88)
16) The Homesman (2.58)
2015
1) Room (4.47)
2) Spotlight (4.45)
3) Beasts of No Nation (4.35)
4) Ixcanul (4.31)
5) Son of Saul (4.30)
6) Marguerite (4.23)
7) Black Mass (4.13)
8) Carol (4.02)
9) Rams (3.98)
10) Steve Jobs (3.86)
11) 45 Years (3.78)
12) Suffragette (3.58)
13) He Named Me Malala (3.39)
14) Anomalisa (3.36)
It seems pretty clear that you want your film to finish second in The People's ratings as the Oscar for Best Picture has gone to the film that finished with that rating each of the last four years:
12- Argo
13- 12 Years a Slave
14- Birdman
15- Spotlight
So what film will be #2 for The People this year?
That's all for Thursday. More tomorrow including an update Ten (Plus) Bets for TFF #43.
Contact MTFB at:
mpgort@gmail.com
OR on Twitter @Gort2
OR check out Michael's Telluride Film Blog on Facebook:
