MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE
Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Original and Adapted Screenplay. These were last predicted on Dec. 12th. In addition, I have included my first attempts to predict nominees in Makeup/Hair, Costumes and Visual Effects. Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses. Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) Women Talking (1)
2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)
3) Living (5)
4) She Said (3)
5) The Whale (4)
6) White Noise (5)
7) All Quiet on the Western Front
Out: Top Gun: Maverick
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)
2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)
3) The Fabelmans (3)
4) TAR (4)
5) Triangle of Sadness (5)
6) Aftersun (7)
7) Babylon (6)
MAKEUP/HAIR
1) Elvis
2) The Whale
3) The Batman
4) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
5) Babylon
6) All Quiet on the Western Front
7) Blonde
COSTUMES
1) Elvis
2) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
3) Babylon
4) The Fabelmans
5) The Woman King
6) Living
7) Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
VISUAL EFFECTS
1) Avatar: The Way of Water
2) Top Gun: Maverick
3) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
4) The Batman
5) Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
6) All Quiet on the Western Front
7) Nope
IF THE NOMINATIONS WERE ANNOUNCED TODAY...
So, I went back, now that I've posted predictions for all 20 Oscar feature film categories and harvested the numbers for TFF films and if the nominations were announced this morning this is what TFF films would be up for:
Women Talking- Five nominations and one other possibility: Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress (Buckley), Adapted Screenplay and Score. The other possibility is Best Supporting Actor (Whishaw).
TAR- Four nominations and one other possibility: Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay. The other possibility is for Editing.
Living- Two nominations and one other possibility: Best Actor (Nighy), Adapted Screenplay. The other possibility is for Costume Design.
Several TFF films look likely to receive a single nomination:
Empire of Light: Cinematography and a possibility for Best Actress (Colman)
Close: International Feature
Holy Spider: International Feature
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed: Documentary Feature
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (TFF #48): Animated Feature
A couple of other TFF films also have some possibility of sneaking into the list of nominees according to my current set of predictions,
Aftersun could earn a nomination for Best Actor (Mescal) and Original Screenplay.
Bardo might slide into a Cinematography nomination.
Of course with a month yet to go before nomination morning...all of this could change and likely will.
NEW CLIP FROM WOMEN TALKING
From YouTube:
WOMEN TALKING
EMPIRE OF LIGHT
LIVING
TAR
AFTERSUN
BARDO
THE WONDER
ARMAGEDDON TIME
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
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