MTFB Oscar Take: Updated Screenplay Predix / Magidson's Oscar Predictions and TFF #49 / Visitations: Hathaway and Gray

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATED SCREENPLAY PREDIX

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Original and Adapted Screenplay.  These were last predicted on Oct. 17th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Women Talking (1)

2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)

3) She Said (4)

4) The Whale (3)

5) White Noise (5)

6) Living (6)

7) Top Gun: Maverick (7)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) TAR (4)

5) Triangle of Sadness (5)

6) Babylon (7) 

7) Armageddon Time (6)

JOEY MAGIDSON'S OSCAR PREDICTIONS AND TFF #49

I am continuing my series wherein I check the Oscar predictions of a number of experts and how they have situated films that played at TFF #49.  Previously I have passed along predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis, The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg and Awards Watch's Erik Anderson,  Entertainment Weekly's Dave Karger, Next Best Picture's Matt Neglia and Nathaniel Rogers of The Film Experience. 

Today I'm highlighting Joey Magidson who runs Awards Radar.  Magidson has 17 of the 23 feature categories listed.  Here's what Joey currently has predicted at his site for TFF #49 films (total predicited nominations in parentheses):

Women Talking (7): Best Picture, Direction (Polley), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Foy), Supporting Actor (Whishaw), Adapted Screenplay and Costumes.

TAR (7): Best Picture, Direction (Field), Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing and Original Score.

Armageddon Time (3): Supporting Actress (Hathaway), Supporting Actor (Hopkins) and Original Screenplay.

Empire of Light (1): Best Picture.

Living (1): Best Actor (Nighy).

Bardo (1): Best Cinematography

AND...from TFF #48: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (1): Best Animated Feature.

So Magidson has 20 nominations going to TFF #49 films plus Marcel from TFF #48.

The complete Awards Radar predictions can be found here.

VISITATIONS

Insider.com with Anne Hathaway and Jeremy Strong on Armageddon Time

Indiewire with James Gray on Armageddon Time

The Playlist with James Gray on Armageddon Time

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting Acting / Gotham Award Nominations and TFF #49 / U.K Trailer for Tori and Lokita / New Poster for Armageddon Time / Visitations: Anthony Hopkins, James Gray and Charlotte Wells / Behind the Scenes with Marcel the Shell, Late Breaking Marcel Wins Saturn and FYC

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTING

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor.  These were last predicted on Oct. 13th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)

2) Clare Foy/Women Talking (2)

3) Hong Chau/The Whale (3)

4) Carey Mulligan/She Said (New)

5) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (4)

6) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (6)

7) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (7)

Out: Nina Hoss/TAR

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (4)

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

6) Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse (7)

7) Anthony Hopkins/Armageddon Time (New)

Out: Jeremy Strong/Armageddon Time

 

GOTHAM AWARDSNOMINATIONSAND TFF #49

The Gotham Awards announced their nominations for the best in independent film.  TFF #49 title TAR scared five nominations to lead all films.

Here's the breakdown of Telluride entrants who were nominated on Tuesday:

TAR (5): Best Feature, Lead Performance (Blanchett), Supporting Performance (Hoss), Supporting Performance (Merchant), Screenplay

Aftersun (4): Best Feature, Breakthrough Director (Wells), Lead Performance (Mescal) Breakthrough Performer (Corio)

Women Talking (3); Best Supporting Performance (Buckley), Supporting Performance (Whishaw), Screenplay

Bones and All (2): Best Supporting Performance (Russell), Supporting Performance (Rylance)

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary

Armageddon Time (1): Best Screenplay

In total, TFF #49 films accounted for 16 Gotham nominations for 2022.

The complete list of all nominees is here.

U.K. TRAILER FOR DARDENNES TORI AND LOKITA

Hot off the presses...so to speak, here is the new U.K. trailer for the Dardenne Brothers' Tori and Lokita via YouTube:

NEW POSTER FOR ARMAGEDDON TIME

VISITATIONS

Deadline with James Gray on Armageddon Time

Associated Press with Anthony Hopkins on Armageddon Time

Indiewire with Charlotte Wells on Aftersun

Indiewire with James Gray on Armageddon Time

BEHIND THE SCENES WITH MARCEL THE SHELL

LATE BREAKING MARCEL NEWS: SATURN AWARDS NAME MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON AS BEST ANIMATED FEATURE OF 2022 LAST NIGHT.

From Collider

The one man campaign for TFF 48's Marcel the Shell with Shoes On begins today here at MTFB.  

FYC: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On:

BEST PICTURE

BEST DIRECTION

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Take: Lead Acting / Nathaniel Rogers' Oscar Picks / Visitations: Charlotte Wells

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: LEAD ACTING

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress and Best Actor.  These were last predicted on Oct. 10th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (2)

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Daniaelle Deadwyler/Till (5)

5) Olivia Colman/Empire of Light (4)

6) Viola Davis/The Woman King (6)

7) Margot Robbie/Babylon (7)

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

2) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Hugh Jackman/The Son (5)

6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (6)

7) Gabrielle LaBelle/The Fabelmas (New)

Out: Diego Calva/Babylon

NATHANIEL ROGERS' OSCAR PICKS

I am continuing my series wherein I check the Oscar predictions of a number of experts and how they have situated films that played at TFF #49.  Previously I have passed along predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis, The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg and Awards Watch's Erik Anderson,  Entertainment Weekly's Dave Karger and Next Best Picture's Matt Neglia.   

Today I'm highlighting Nathaniel Rogers who runs The Film Experience.  Rogers has a22 of the 23 feature categories listed with Documentary Feature the one he hasn't, as yet, included.  Here's what Nathaniel currently has predicted at his site.

Women Talking (7): Best Picture, Direction (Polley), Supporting Actress (Buckley), Supporting actress (Foy), Supporting Actor (Whishaw), Adapted Screenplay and Original Score.

TAR (2): Best Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay

Empire of Light (2): Best Actress (Colman), Cinematography

Bardo (2): Best Cinematography, Production Design

Living (1): Best Actor (Nighy)

Close (1): Best International Feature

TFF #49 according to Rogers-15 nominations

VISITATIONS

Charlotte Wells, Director/writer of Aftersun with Indiewire

Also Charlotte Wells with the Associated Press

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Picture and Direction / Critic's Choice Doc Noms Include TFF / New Trailer for Close / Matt Neglia's Oscar Picks / Visitations

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATE: BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTION

In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Oct. 6th.  TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (4)

3) Women Talking (2)

4) Everything Everywhere All at Once (5)

5) Top Gun: Maverick (6)

6) TAR (7)

7) Babylon (3) 

8) Elvis (8)

9) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (9)

10) She Said (10)

11) The Woman King (11)empire of

12) Empire of Light (New)

Dropping out: Avatar: The Way of Water

Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Armageddon Time

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)

3) Todd Field/TAR (3)

4) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)

6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (4)

7) Sam Mendes/Empire of Light (New)

Dropping out: Gina Prince-Blythwood/The Woman King

CRITIC'S CHOICE DOC NOMS INCLUDE TFF

The Critic's Choice Association announced its nominees for excellence in Documentaries on Monday and Telluride films fared well.  A dozen films between TFF #48 and TFF #49 earned 28 nominations.  Ryan White's Good Night Oppy led all TFF docs with six nominations, one behind the overall leader in nominations: Fire of Love.

Oppy, which was very buzzy throughout the Labor Day weekend, was nominated for: best Documentary, Direction, Editing, Score, Narration and Best Science/Nature documentary.

Other TFF films nominated include:

Three Minutes: A Lengthening (TFF #48): Best First Doc, Editing, Narration, Best Archival Doc, Best Historical Doc

The Automat (TFF #48): Best Doc, Best First Doc, Score, Best Historical Doc

Cow (TFF #48): Best First Doc, Cinematography, Best Science/Nature Doc

The U.S. and the Holocaust (TFF #49): Best Historical Doc. Best Doc Series

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (TFF #49): Best Direction and Best Political Doc

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song (TFF #48): Best Music Doc

If These Walls Could Talk (TFF #49): Best Music Doc

Retrograde (TFF #49): Best Political Doc

Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams (TFF #49): Best Biographical Doc

Sr. (TFF #49): Best Biographical Doc

The Return of Tanya Tucker (TFF #49): Best Music Doc

Variety has the complete list of all nominees here.

NEW TRAILER FOR CLOSE

The Match Factory dropped a new trailer for Lukas Dhont's Close on Monday.  Belgium selected the film as its entry for the International Feature Oscar last month. 

The description from IMDb:

"The intense friendship between two thirteen-year old boys Leo and Remi suddenly gets disrupted. Struggling to understand what has happened, Léo approaches Sophie, Rémi's mother. "Close" is a film about friendship and responsibility."

And here is the new trailer form YouTube:

MATT NEGLIA'S OSCAR PICKS AND TFF #49

I am continuing my series wherein I check the Oscar predictions of a number of experts and how they have situated films that played at TFF #49.  Previously I have passed along predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis, The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg and Awards Watch's Erik Anderson and Entertainment Weekly's Dave Karger.  Today I'm highlighting Matt Neglia who founded Next Best Picture.

Matt is currently predicting all Oscar categories except the Shorts.  Here's what he has Telluride films being nominated for:

Women Talking (6): Best Picture, Supporting Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Foy), Supporting Actor (Whishaw), Adapted Screenplay and Original Score.

TAR (3): Best Direction, Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary

Armageddon Time (1): Supporting Actor (Strong)

Bardo (1): International Feature

Empire of Light (1): Actress (Colman)

Living (1): Actor (Nighy)

TFF #49 total nominations: 14

VISITATIONS

Interview with TAR's Nina Hoss from Variety.

Interview with Armageddon Time's Anne Hathaway from Elle

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Screenplays / Trailers and Photos / Visitations / FYC: Marcel

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SCREENPLAYS

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best original and adapted screenplay.  These were last predicted on Oct. 3rd.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Women Talking (1)

2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)

3) The Whale (3)

4) She Said (4)

5) White Noise (5)

6) Living (6)

7) Top Gun: Maverick (New)

Out: The Son

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) TAR (4)

5) Triangle of Sadness (6)

6) Armageddon Time (7)

7) Babylon (5)

I will be updating Best Picture and Best Direction in Thursday's post.

TRAILERS AND PHOTOS

A collection of recently released trailers and/or still from films that played at TFF #49.

Trailer for All the Beauty and the Bloodshed via YouTube:

Trailer for Wildcat:

Posters from Lady Chatterley's Lover:

VISITATIONS

A new interview with Mia Hansen Love on One Fine Morning from Reverse Shot is linked here.

FYC: MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON

The one man campaign for TFF 48's Marcel the Shell with Shoes On begins today here at MTFB.  

FYC: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On:

BEST PICTURE

BEST DIRECTION

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

New Trailers: Women Talking and Oppy / MTFB Oscar Take: Supporting / TFF History Updated

NEW TRAILERS: WOMEN TALKING AND OPPY

New trailers this week for Sarah Polley's Women Talking and Ryan White's Good Night Oppy.

WOMEN TALKING TRAILER

From YouTube:

and...as a special treat...a just released featurette on the behind the scenes featurette:

GOOD NIGHT OPPY TRAILER

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SUPPORTING ACTING

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor.  These were last predicted on Sept. 26th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)

2) Clare Foy/Women Talking (2)

3) Hong Chau/The Whale (3)

4) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (New)

5) Nina Hoss/TAR (New)

6) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (New)

7) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (New)

Out: Patricia Clarkson/She Said, Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once, Laura Dern/The Son, Sadie Sink/The Whale

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin

2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)

4) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (3)

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

6) Jeremy Strong/Armageddon Time (6)

7) Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse (New)

Out: Brad Pitt/Babylon

TFF HISTORY UPDATED

If you feel like it, the a gander over on the Expanded Telluride History 1996-Present page which has been updated with the information from TFF #49.  It's linked here and always is linked at the top of each blogpost.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Update-Lead Acting / Dave Karger, Entertainment Weekly and TFF #49 / Visitations: Profiles and Interviews

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATE-LEAD ACTING

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress and Best Actor.  These were last predicted on Sept. 26th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Cate Blanchett/TAR (2)

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Olivia Colman/Empire of Light (4)

5) Danielle Deadwyler/Till (6)

6) Viola Davis/The Woman King (New)

7) Margot Robbie/Babylon (5)

Out: Carrie Mulligan/She Said

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Frasier/The Whale (1)

2) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Hugh Jackman/The Son (5)

6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (6)

7) Diego Calva/Babylon (New)

Out: Adam Driver/White Noise

DAVE KARGER, ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY AND TFF #49

I am continuing my series wherein I check the Oscar predictions of a number of experts and how they have situated films that played at TFF #49.  Previously I have passed along predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis, The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg and Awards Watch's Erik Anderson.  Today I'm highlighting Dave Karger who has returned to Entertainment Weekly as their 2023 Oscar specialist.  Dave has predicted Best Picture, Direction and the acting categories in his first pass at this year's Oscar field.  Here's how TFF #49 films fare in his prognostications:

TAR: Best Picture, Direction, Actress/Blanchett and Supporting Actress/Hoss

Women Talking: Best Picture, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Buckley

Empire of Light: Best Picture, Direction, Actress/Colman

Armageddon Time: Best Supporting Actor/Hopkins

Karger's complete list of predictions is linked here.

VISITATIONS: PROFILES AND INTERVIEWS

Alejandro Inarritu (Bardo)/Variety

Cate Blanchett (TAR)/The Los Angeles Times

Todd Field (TAR)/The Playlist

Sebastian Lelio (The Wonder)/The Guardian

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Picture and Direction / New Trailer for Bones and All / TFF #49 and AFI / Blanchett Talks TAR

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: PICTURE AND DIRECTION

Starting with today's post I'll be updating Oscar predictions for the Big Eight categories with updates for two of the categories coming in each post.  I'll eventually expand the predictions as the Oscar season continues to roll on.  Today I am updating Best Picture and Direction which was last addressed here on  Sept. 26th.  I have included the ranked position for each film from the previous post in parentheses to the right.  As always, TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) Women Talking (4)

3) Babylon (2)

4) The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

5) Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

6) Top Gun: Maverick (6)

7) TAR (7)

8) Elvis (11)

9) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (12)

10) She Said (New)

11) The Woman King (New)

12) Avatar: The Way of Water (8)

Dropping: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Empire of Light

Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Armageddon Time

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)

3) Todd Field/TAR (4)

4) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (3)

5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)

6) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

7) Gina Prince-Blythwood/The Woman King (New)

Dropping: James Cameron/Avatar: The Way of Water

NEW TRAILER FOR BONES AND ALL

MGM released a new trailer for Luca Guadagnino's Bones and All yesterday.  The film stars Timothee Chalamet, Taylor Russell and Mark Rylance.  The film is set for domestic release on Nov. 23rd.  Here;s the new trailer via YouTube:

TFF #49 AT AFI

The American Film Institute/AFI Fest has announced their lineup which will be presented Nov. 2-6 in Los Angeles.  The announcement reveals that no fewer than a dozen films that screened at Telluride will be making a stop there.  They are:

In the Red Carpet Premieres section: Bardo and Living

Special Screenings: Bones and All, Le Pupille, Sr. and Women Talking

World Cinema: Godland and One fine Morning

Discovery: Close and Lady Chatterley's Lover

Documentaries: The Corridors of Power and Wildcat

Other high profile films at this year's AFI Fest include The Fabelmans, Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio, She Said and The Son.

The complete rundown of all 125 titles at AFI Fest is linked here.

BLANCHETT TALKS TAR

Cate Blanchett was featured this week in a Vanity Fair profile from Paul Chi.  In it she talks TAR, fame and process.  The article can be accessed here.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB First Oscar Take: Screenplays / Erik Anderson's Oscar Predix and TFF #49 / Mexico Makes it Official: Bardo / New Trailer for Bones and All / FYC: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On

MTFB FIRST OSCAR TAKE: SCREENPLAYS

Last Monday I posted MTFB's first Oscar predictions for Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Actor, Supporting Actress and Supporting Actor.  Today it's time for predictions for Best Adapted and Original Screenplays.  Moving forward for the next few weeks I'll continue to update predictions in the eight "above the line" categories and as we move deeper into Oscar season, I'll expand to include all of the other categories as well.  For now, though, here are my first predictions in the Screenplay categories.  TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Women Talking

2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

3) The Whale

4) She Said

5) White Noise

6) Living

7) The Son

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once

2) The Banshees of Inisherin

3) The Fabelmans

4) TAR

5) Babylon

6) Triangle of Sadness

7) Armageddon Time

ERIK ANDERSON'S OSCAR PREDIX AND TFF #49

For the past couple of posts I have begun tracking where major Oscar pundits have TFF #49 films in their predictions.  Previous posts have looked at predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporters' Scott Feinberg.  I'll continue this line of "reportage" through the season.  Today I'm turning to Erik Anderson and his predictions for his site Awards Watch.  

As of this morning's post Anderson has late September predictions for Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Actor, Supporting Acting and the Screenplays.  Hers' what he has among TFF #49  films predicted for Oscar nominations in those categories:

Women Talking: Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Buckley, Supporting Actor/Whishaw and Adapted Screenplay

Bardo: Best Picture, Direction, Original Screenplay

TAR: Best Picture, Actress/Blanchett

Empire of Light: Actress/Colman

You can check all of Anderson's predictions at Awards Watch linked here, 

MEXICO MAKES IT OFFICIAL: BARDO

Mexico officially announced this week that its entrant for International Feature Oscar glory is Alejandro G. Inarritu's Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths.  The film had a rough go with critics through both and Venice and Telluride BUT with a sharp new trailer last week and news that Inarritu had shaved more than 20 minutes of runtime and now this announcement, the film might be picking up a little steam.

The film is set for release on Oct. 27th and to drop on Netflix on Dec. 16th.

NEW TRAILER FOR BONES AND ALL

MGM and United Artists have released a new trailer for Luca Guadagnino's Bones and All.  That dropped on Thursday last week.  Here it is from YouTube:

Bones and All is set for release on Nov. 23rd.

FYC: MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON

The one man campaign for TFF 48's Marcel the Shell with Shoes On begins today here at MTFB.  

FYC: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On:

BEST PICTURE

BEST DIRECTION

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Come on folks...it was one of the best reviewed films released this year:

"Metacritic Must See"  81

Certified Fresh at rotten Tomatoes with  99% on the Tomato Meter.

A24 doesn't need my help but I'm giving it nevertheless!

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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Feinberg's First Oscar Take / New Trailer for TAR / Aftersun Poster and Trailer / Denmark Selects Holy Spider and We Get a New Trailer / Netflix Acquires Sr.

FEINBERG'S FIRST OSCAR TAKE

In my last post I ran down the Oscar predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis in as far as TFF #49 films were concerned.  Today,  I'm taking the same approach with The Hollywood Reporter's Chief Awards Editor Scott Feinberg who dropped his first look at the Oscar race on Tuesday.  If Scott is 100% accurate, this is how Oscar nominations shake out in the 11 categories he has included in his predictions.

Women Talking: Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Buckley, Adapted Screenplay

TAR: Best Picture, Direction, Actress/Blanchett

Empire of Light: Best Actress/Colman

Close: International Feature

Holy Spider: International Feature

Bardo: International Feature

Goodnight Oppy: Documentary Feature

Retrograde: Documentary Feature

Other TFF#49 Films/Performers who Feinberg has listed as "Major Threats" Include:

*Close and Goodnight Oppy in Best Picture

*Close/Lukas Dhont in Best Direction

*Living/Bill Nighy in Best Actor

*Women Talking/Rooney Mara and One Fine Morning/Lea Seydoux in Best Actress

*Women Talking/Ben Whishaw, Armageddon Time/Jeremy Strong and Empire of Light/Michael Ward in Best Supporting Actor

*Lady Chatterley's Lover and The Wonder in Adapted Screenplay

*TAR, Close and Armageddon Time in Original Screenplay

*All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, Sr., The Return of Tanya Tucker and Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen (TFF #48) in Best Documentary

*Bones and All in Best Song

You can find the entirety of Feinberg's first forecast linked here.

NEW TRAILER FOR TAR

Focus Features dropped a new trailer for Todd Fields' TAR starring Cate Blanchett yesterday.  The film has earned strong reviews and won both MTFB's Professionals poll as well as the Composite poll.  TAR is scheduled for release next week: Oct. 7th.

Here's the new trailer from YouTube:

AFTERSUN POSTER AND TRAILER

A24 has revealed a poster for Charlotte Wells' Aftersun as well as releasing a first trailer for the film.  You can see the poster above and the trailer below via YouTube:

Aftersun is set to be released on Oct. 21st.

DENMARK SELECTS HOLY SPIDER AND WE GET A NEW TRAILER

Denmark has selected Ali Abbasi's Holy Spider as its entrant for the Best International Feature Oscar race.  Last year Denmark entered Flee which ended up with an incredible set of nominations for Best International Feature, Best Documentary and Best Animated Feature.  

Holy Spider is being distributed in the U.S. by Utopia and does not yet have a scheduled release date.

The announcement was made Tuesday by the Danish Film Institute.  You can find that official announcement here.

And here's the new trailer for the film that was released yesterday (from YouTube):

NETFLIX ACQUIRES SR.

News this week that Netflix had acquired the documentary about Robert Downey Sr. that screened in Telluride four weeks ago.  The film was well received by Telluride attendees as it finished third in my Telluride People's poll just behind women talking and TAR.

Sr. is directed by Chris Smith.

The Hollywood Reporter tells us that Netflix plans and Oscar push for the film and to expect it to be available on the streaming service before the end of the year.

Here's the story from THR.

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First MTFB Oscar Take for 2022-23 / Variety's Clayton Davis Says... / Bardo- Has a Trailer and is 22 Minutes Shorter

FIRST MTFB OSCAR TAKE FOR 2022-23

Welp...the Big Three Fall Film Fests are in the books.  TFF #49's MTFB polls are all in and posted.  So, now we begin to turn the page and focus on the Oscar season that is about to unfold and, more specifically, how TFF #49 films will fare over the next months or so.

Key Dates for the 95th Academy Awards:

Oscar Nomination voting Jan. 12-17

Nominations announced Jan. 24

Oscar Final voting: Mar. 2-7

The 95th Academy Awards Mar. 12

Here's your first look at my early line in six major categories.  TFF #49 films are indicated in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans

2) Babylon

3) Everything Everywhere All at Once

4) Women Talking

5) The Banshees of Inisherin

6) Top Gun: Maverick

7) TAR

8) Avatar: The Way of Water

9) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

10) Empire of Light

11) Elvis

12) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking

3) Damien Chazelle/ Babylon

4) Todd Field/TAR

5) The Daniels/Everything Everywhere All at Once

6) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin

7) James Cameron: Avatar: The Way of Water

BEST ACTRESS

1) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once

2) Cate Blanchett/TAR

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans

4) Olivia Colman/Empire of Light

5) Margot Robbie/Babylon

6) Danielle Deadwyler/Till

7) Carey Mulligan/She Said

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale

2) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin

3) Austin Butler/Elvis

4) Bill Nighy/Living

5) Hugh Jackman/The Son

6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick

7) Adam Driver/White Noise

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking

2) Clare Foy/Women Talking

3) Hong Chau/The Whale

4) Patricia Clarkson/She Said

5) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once

6) Laura Dern/The Son

7) Sadie Sink/The Whale

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin

2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once

3) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking

4) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans

6) Jeremy Strong/Armageddon Time

7) Brad Pitt/Babylon

My personal candidates for whom I am beating the drum:

Bill Nighy/Living-Best Actor

Judith Ivey/Women talking-Best Supporting Actress

Jeremy Strong/Armageddon Time-Best Supporting Actor

Ben Whishaw/Women Talking-Best Supporting Actor

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On-Best Picture, Best Animated Feature, Best Adapted Screenplay

VARIETY'S CLAYTON DAVIS SAYS...

For a more holistic view of Oscar prospects for TFF #49 films I turned to the latest Oscar predicitons from Variety's chief Oscar prognosticator Clayton Davis. Davis currently has not yet predicted a number of categories.  He has predicted Best Picture, Direction, all four acting categories, both screenplay categories, Cinematography, International Feature and Animated Feature.  Here's what he has predicted currently for nominations for films that screened at TFF #49:

Women Talking (7 nominations): Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress/Buckley, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Ivey, Supporting Actor/Whishaw, Adapted Screenplay

TAR (5 nominations): Picture, Direction, Actress/Blanchett, Supporting Actress/Hoss, Original Screenplay

Empire of Light (3 nominations): Picture, Actress/Colman and Cinematography

Bardo (2 nominations) International Feature, Cinematography

Single nominations:

Living: Best Actor/Nighy

Close: International Feature

Holy Spider: International Feature

***Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (TFF #48)

All of Davis' predictions can be found here.

BARDO- HAS A TRAILER AND IS 22 MINUTES SHORTER

First the trailer for the film by Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu via YouTube:

Additionally, multiple sources reported this week that the film had been cut by 22 minutes down from a Telluride runtime of 174 min. to 152.

Here's the Indiewire article that talks about the changes to the film.

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