MTFB Oscar Update: Visual and Sound and Shorts / U.S. Trailer for Tori and Lokita / Visitations: Nighy, Polley and More

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE

Here's a third pass at predicting Visual Effects, Sound and the Shorts categories   Previous rankings are to the right of each film in parentheses.  TFF films are in Bold.  Final predictions from MTFB are coming on Sunday morning in a special Oscar's morning post.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

2) Top Gun: Maverick (2)

3) All Quiet on the Western Front (3)

4) The Batman (4)

5) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (5)

BEST SOUND

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) All Quiet on the Western Front (3)

3) Elvis (2)

4) Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

5)The Batman (5)

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1) The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (1)

2) An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake... (2)

3) My Year of Dicks (4)

4) Ice Merchants (5)

5) The Flying Sailor (3)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) The Elephant Whisperers (4)

2) Stranger at the Gate (3)

3) The Martha Mitchell Effect (1)

4) How Do You Measure a Year? (2)

5) Haulout (5)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) An Irish Goodbye (2)

2) Le Pupille (1)

3) The Red Suitcase (3)

4) Ivalu (5)

5) The Night Ride (4)

Thoughts: Best Sound seemed almost a lock for Top Gun: Maverick two weeks ago but there is a surge of sentiment for All Quiet and Elvis isn't out of the question  

As always, the Shorts categories are virtually impenetrable.  The closest thing to a lock there appears to be for Animated Short with The Boy, The Mole, The Fox and The Horse.  Live Action and Doc Shorts are a mess.  Live Action is probably down to the top two: An Irish Goodbye and Le Pupille while Doc Shorts are all over the place.  Literally any of the five nominees are still possible winners.

U.S  TRAILER FOR TORI AND LOKITA

The Dardenne Brothers returned to Telluride in 2022 with Tori and Lokita.  It was the brothers' first time back to TFF since 2014's Two Days One Night.  Now, ahead of its March 24th limited release we have a new trailer for the U.S.  Here that is from YouTube:

VISITATIONS

Women Talking: Dede Gardner with The Hollywood Reporter and Sarah Polley with Indiewire.

Living: Bill Nighy with Vanity Fair.

TAR: Todd Field with Deadline.

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On: Dean Fleischer Camp with Variety.

Close: Lukas Dhont with Deadline.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture and More / Oscar Thoughts / Extended Trailer for Salvatore / Visitations: Women Talking, Bardo and Sr.

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE AND MORE

Here's the last update for these major categories prior to final predictions that will post on the Sunday morning of the Oscars (March 12th).  A film's previous ranking from two weeks ago is indicated to the right in parentheses. TFF films are indicated in Bold.

 BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

3) The Fabelmans (2)

4) Top Gun: Maverick (5)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

6) TAR (5)

7) Elvis (6)

8) Triangle of Sadness (8)

9) Avatar: The Way of Water (9)

10) Women Talking (10)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (2)

3) Todd Field/TAR (3)

4) Martin McDonagh/The Bnashees of Inisherin (4)

5) Ruben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (5)

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Andrea Riseborough/To Leslie (5)

4) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Ana de Armas/Blonde (4)

BEST ACTOR

1) Austin Butler/Elvis (2)

2) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

3) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

2) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

3) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (4)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (5)

BEST SUPPORTNG ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Barry Koeghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (4)

4) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (5)

OSCAR THOUGHTS

The BAFTA win for Austin Butler seemed to have lifted him over Brendan Fraser in the Best Actor race and BAFTA also seemed to solidify Cate Blanchett's position over Michelle Yeoh, then the SGA's happened last night and it's all back up in the air again.  

DGA, PGA  and SAG Ensemble wins for Everything Everywhere All at Once have solidified its position for Best Picture and Best Direction. 

PGA- TFF nominees were wiped out across the board.  TAR, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Retrograde were the only TFF films nominated and none won.  You could make a bit of a case for Navalny's PGA win for Documentary being TFF-adjacent as it screened prior to the fest's start at Elk Park.  Also, TFF touches just a bit on Everything Everywhere All at Once with the special screening of Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon and the appearance at the fest of Michelle Yeoh.

SAG- Everything Everywhere won everything everywhere.  Ensemble, Actress (Yeoh), Supporting Actress (Curtis) and Supporting Actor (Quan).  Brendan Fraser gained back some ground with his SAG win over Austin Butler.  That goes back to being a tight race.  Yeoh's win did the same in Best Actress with Blanchett and Jamie Lee Curtis's win throws Supporting Actress into a real tizzy.  

Quan's win means he is locked and the Ensemble prize seems to lock Everything Everywhere for Best Picture.  EEAAO could end up with six Oscars in two weeks time.

this next two weeks are going to be crazy.

EXTENDED TRAILER FOR SALVATORE

Sony Pictures Classics released an extended trailer this week for Luca Guadagnino's documentary Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams.  The film has already been released.

VISITATIONS

Women Talking: Sarah Polley with Indiewire and Ben Whishaw with The Standard.

Sr. : Chris Smith with The National Board of Review.

Bardo: Alejandro Inarritu and Darius Khondji with Indiewire.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture, Direction and Acting / Oscar Thoughts / Visitations: Bill Nighy on Living

Here are my latest predictions for who/what will win Oscars on March 12th for Best Picture, Direction and the four acting categories.

BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

3) The Fabelmans (2)

4) TAR (5)

5)  Top Gun: Maverick (4)

6) Elvis (6)

7) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

8) Triangle of Sadness (8)

9) Avatar: The Way of Water (9)

10) Women Talking (10)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

2) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

3) Todd Field/TAR (4)

4) Martin McDonagh/The Bnashees of Inisherin (3)

5) Ruben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (5)

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Andrea Riseborough/To Leslie (5)

4) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Ana de Armas/Blonde (4)

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

2) Austin Butler/Elvis (2)

3) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (5)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (4)

BEST SUPPORTNG ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)

4) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

5) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (5)

OSCAR THOUGHTS:

Only one substantial change and that is in Best Direction where I have moved The Daniels of Everything Everywhere ahead of Steven Spielberg for the win on March 12th.

Otherwise, two weeks after I originally predicted these six categories, the leaders remain the same with Everything Everywhere winning Best Pic and the acting awards going to Blanchett, Fraser, Bassett and Quan.

We'll  re-visit these six categories in on Feb. 26th and then again for my final predictions.

What are the tightest categories at present, at least from my perspective:

Picture: Giving  Everything Everywhere a serious fight are: Banshees, Fabelmans, Maverick and maybe even TAR. Heck, even Elvis and All Quiet are outside shots.

Direction: It appears to be down to The Daniels and Spielberg.

Actress: Blanchett and Yeoh.  Tight.

Actor: Fraser, Butler and Farrell.  Also tight.

Original Screenplay: Everything Everywhere and Banshees.

Score: Babylon and Fabelmans

Documentary: Any of them except House of Splinters.

Cinematography: Elvis, All Quiet and TAR.

Editing: Maverick and Everything Everywhere

Makeup/Hair: Elvis and The Whale.

And, as always, the three Shorts categories.

You can hear Anne Thompson and Eric Kohn talk about what they believe are the tightest categories as a part of this week's Screen Talk podcast from Indiewire.  That's linked here.

VISTATTIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy from SPC's Twitter account.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: First Oscar Winner Predictions / Visitations : Blanchett and More

FIRST OSCAR WINNER PREDICITONS

We're headed for March 12th and the 95th Academy Awards and now that nominations are known (with the possible exception of Andrea Riseborough) here's your first look at predicted winners.  I'll start today with six  major categories and then add six more for each of the next three posts.  Each set will then be updated every two weeks until the final set of predictions on Oscar Sunday.

As always, films from TFF are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once

2) The Fabelmans

3) The Banshees of Inisherin

4)  Top Gun: Maverick

5) TAR

6) Elvis

7) All Quiet on the Western Front

8) Triangle of Sadness

9) Avatar: The Way of Water

10) Women Talking

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans

2) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert/Everything Everywhere All at Once

3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin

4) Todd Field/TAR

5) Ruben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans

4) Ana de Armas/Blonde

5) Andrea Riseborough/To Leslie

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale

2) Austin Butler/Elvis

3) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin

4) Bill Nighy/Living

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once

4) Hong Chau/The Whale

5) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once

BEST SUPPORTNG ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin

3) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin

4) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans

5) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway

On Thursday I'll add predictions for Screenplays, Score, Song, Cinematography and Editing.

VISITATIONS

CLOSE

Lukas Dhont at The Playlist.

TAR

Cate Blanchett on Focus Features YouTube channel.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Picture and Direction / Gotham Awards and TFF #49 / Mark Johnson's Good as Gold and TFF #49 / Visitations: Blanchett and Mescal

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: PICTURE AND DIRECTION

In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Nov. 17th.  TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Everything Everywhere All at Once (5)

4) Women Talking (3)

5) Top Gun: Maverick (4)

6) TAR (6)

7) Elvis (7)

8) Babylon (12)

9) Avatar: The Way of Water (New)

10) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (9)

11) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (8)

12) Triangle of Sadness  (10)

Out: She Said (11)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)

3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Todd Field/TAR (4)

5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)

6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (6)

7) Rueben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (7)

GOTHAM AWARDS AND TFF #49

The Gotham Awards which celebrate the best of independent film were announced earlier this week with two TFF #49 films earning some recognition but The Daniels' Everything Everywhere All at Once having the best evening of any film winning Best Feature and Best Supporting Performance for Ke Huy Quan.

The two TFF #49 films that were recognized were:

Bingham Ray Award for Breakthrough Director: Charlotte Wells/Aftersun

Best Screenplay: Todd Field/TAR

The complete coverage for all winners is here from Indiewire.

MARK JOHNSON'S GOOD AS GOLD AND TFF #49

Mark Johnson of Gold as Gold ahs been a good friend to MTFB over the years but, unfortunately had to miss TFF #49 this past Labor Day due to health concerns.  It's alos taken him a bit to get his prediction site-Good as Gold (housed at Awards Daily) up and running for the new Oscar season.  But Mark has posted his first stab at picking 2023 Oscar nominees and here is where he places TFF #49 films in the 11 categories he has focused on (the Big Eight plus Documentary, Animated Feature and International Feature):

Women Talking (6): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Foy), Supporting Actor (Whishaw), Adapted Screenplay.

TAR (3): Best Picture, Actress (Blanchett), Original Screenplay

Good Night Oppy, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed and Sr. for best Documentary.

Close for best International Feature

and from TFF #48: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On for Best Animated Feature.

You can find all of Mark's predictions here.

VISTATIONS

Cate Blanchett and crew of TAR from Variety

Actor Paul Mescal on Aftersun from Entertainment Weekly

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture and Direction / Trailers and Teasers: Empire of Light and If These Walls Could Sing / Critics Choice Doc Awards and TFF #49 / Visitations: Timothee Chalamet, Sam Mendes and More

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTION

In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Nov. 3rd.  TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Women Talking (3)

4) Top Gun: Maverick (6)

5) Everything Everywhere All at Once (4)

6) TAR (5)

7) Elvis (10)

8) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (New)

9) Glass Onion (7)

10) Triangle of Sadness (11)

11) She Said (9)

12) Babylon (8)

Out: Empire of Light

Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Living and Armageddon Time

Comment: Wildly divergent responses to Damien Chazelle's Babylon from screenings this week in Los Angeles and New York have lead me to drop its prospects for a Best Picture nomination significantly.  The film is under an embargo for full reviews but social media reaction was divisive to say the least.

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)

3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Todd Field/TAR (4)

5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)

6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (6)

7) Rueben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (7)

TRAILERS AND TEASERS

Official Trailer for Empire of Light via YouTube:

Official trailer for If These Walls Could Sing from YouTube:

CRITICS CHOICE DOC AWARDS AND TFF #49

The Critics Choice Awards for Documentary film making were named last Sunday night and TFF #49 entrant Good Night Oppy dominated the evening.

Oppy won for Best Doc (Gold award), Direction, Best Science/Nature Doc, Score and Narration. 

Navalny, which was not included in the TFF #49 program but reportedly did screen in Elk Park prior to the Fest's officially opening received the Bronze award for Doc Feature as well as Best Political Doc.

And Citizen Ashe which screened at TFF #48 was named Best Sports Doc.

The complete rundown of all of the winners is here from ShowBiz411.

VISITATIONS

Luca Guadagnino, Timothee Chalamet and Taylor Russell talk Bones and All with Variety

Taylor Russell on Bones and All with SlashFilm

Writer and director Sam Mendes on Empire of Light with Deadline

Actor Sheila McCarthy on Women Talking from Awards Daily

Director Ryan White talks Good Night Oppy with Awards Radar

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Roles / European Film Awards and TFF #49 / Trailers: Retrograde and Wildcat / Visitations: Todd Field

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ROLES

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor.  These were last predicted on Oct. 27th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Women Talking (1)

2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

3) Clare Foy/Women Talking (2)

4) Hong Chau/The Whale (3)

5) Carey Mulligan/She Said (4)

6) Nina Hoss/TAR (New)

7) Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness (New)

Out: Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere and Janelle Monae/Glass Onion

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Ben Whishaw/Women Talking (4)

5) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

6) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (New)

7) Anthony Hopkins/Armageddon Time (7)

Out: Eddie Redmayne/The Good Nurse

EUROPEAN FILM AWARDS AND TFF #49

The nominations for the European Film Awards were announced on Tuesday.  Here are how films that screened at Telluride this year fared:

Close (4): Best European Film, Direction, Actor (Dambrine), Screenwriter

Holy Spider (4): European Film, Direction, Actress (Amir-Ebrahimi), Screenwriter

TFF #49 films with a single EFA nomination:

Aftersun: Best European Actor (Mescal)

One Fine Morning: Best European Actress (Seydoux)

Godland: Best European Actor (Hove)

March on Rome: Best European Documentary

And from TFF #48 a nomination for Best European Screenwriter for Kenneth Branagh's Belfast

From the EFA, here is the complete list of nominees.

TRAILERS

For Matthew Heineman's documentary Retrograde from National Geographic releasing this Friday:

For Melissa Leash and Trevor Frost's Wildcat from Amazon Studios releasing Dec. 30th.

VISITATIONS: TODD FIELD

Interview with TAR's writer/director Todd Field from Variety.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Take: Updating Best Picture and Direction / Davis' TFF #49 Predix / Visitations: Anne Hathaway, James Gray and More

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING BEST PICTURE AND DIRECTION

In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture and Best Direction which were last posted on Oct. 20th.  TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Women Talking (3)

4) Everything Everywhere All at Once (4)

5) TAR (6)

6) Top Gun: Maverick (5)

7) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (9)

8) Babylon (7) 

9) She Said (10)

10) Elvis (8)

11) Triangle of Sadness (New)

12) Empire of Light (12)

Out: The Woman King

Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Armageddon Time

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)

3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (4)

4) Todd Field/TAR (3)

5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)

6) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (6)

7) Rueben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (New)

Dropping out: Sam Mendes/Empire of Light 

DAVIS' TFF #49 PREDIX

I'm keeping tabs this year on some of the Oscar prognosticators out there and what nominations they think TFF #49 films will earn when that announcement comes of the morning of Jan. 24th.

I started with Variety's Clayton Davis back on Sept. 26th.  At that time, this is what Davis had for TFF films:

Women Talking (7 nominations): Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress/Buckley, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Ivey, Supporting Actor/Whishaw, Adapted Screenplay

TAR (5 nominations): Picture, Direction, Actress/Blanchett, Supporting Actress/Hoss, Original Screenplay

Empire of Light (3 nominations): Picture, Actress/Colman and Cinematography

Bardo (2 nominations) International Feature, Cinematography

Single nominations:

Living: Best Actor/Nighy

Close: International Feature

Holy Spider: International Feature

***Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (TFF #48): Best Animated Feature

Now, five and a half weeks later, this is what Mr. Davis has:

Women Talking (5 nominations): Best Picture, Direction/Polley, Supporting Actress/Buckley, Adapted Screenplay and Score.  Davis has dropped acting noms for Care Foy and Ben Whishaw.

TAR (5 nominations): Best Picture, Direction (Field), Actress (Blanchett), Supporting Actress/Hoss, Original Screenplay.  No changes.

Living (3 nominations): Best Picture, Actor/Nighy, Adapted Screenplay.  Davis has added Living to the Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay predictions.

Empire of Light (2 nominations): Best Cinematography and Original Score.  Empire has been dropped from Best Picture and Best Actress.

Single nominations:

Good Night Oppy: Documentary

Sr.: Documentary

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed: Documentary

Retrograde: Documentary

Holy Spider: International Feature

Close: International Feature

Total TFF #49 nominations predicted by Davis at this time: 21

Davis' full predictions can be accessed here.

VISITATIONS:

Anne Hathaway in Indiewire on Armageddon Time

Banks Repeta at Gold Derby on Armageddon Time

Screenwriter David Kajganich at Gold Derby on Bones and All

Director/Writer James Gray at The Hollywood Reporter on Armageddon Time

James Gray with The Playlist on Armageddon Time

Actor Michael Ward with Variety on Empire of Light

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Take: Update-Lead Acting / Dave Karger, Entertainment Weekly and TFF #49 / Visitations: Profiles and Interviews

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATE-LEAD ACTING

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress and Best Actor.  These were last predicted on Sept. 26th.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Cate Blanchett/TAR (2)

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

4) Olivia Colman/Empire of Light (4)

5) Danielle Deadwyler/Till (6)

6) Viola Davis/The Woman King (New)

7) Margot Robbie/Babylon (5)

Out: Carrie Mulligan/She Said

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Frasier/The Whale (1)

2) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Hugh Jackman/The Son (5)

6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (6)

7) Diego Calva/Babylon (New)

Out: Adam Driver/White Noise

DAVE KARGER, ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY AND TFF #49

I am continuing my series wherein I check the Oscar predictions of a number of experts and how they have situated films that played at TFF #49.  Previously I have passed along predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis, The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg and Awards Watch's Erik Anderson.  Today I'm highlighting Dave Karger who has returned to Entertainment Weekly as their 2023 Oscar specialist.  Dave has predicted Best Picture, Direction and the acting categories in his first pass at this year's Oscar field.  Here's how TFF #49 films fare in his prognostications:

TAR: Best Picture, Direction, Actress/Blanchett and Supporting Actress/Hoss

Women Talking: Best Picture, Supporting Actress/Foy, Supporting Actress/Buckley

Empire of Light: Best Picture, Direction, Actress/Colman

Armageddon Time: Best Supporting Actor/Hopkins

Karger's complete list of predictions is linked here.

VISITATIONS: PROFILES AND INTERVIEWS

Alejandro Inarritu (Bardo)/Variety

Cate Blanchett (TAR)/The Los Angeles Times

Todd Field (TAR)/The Playlist

Sebastian Lelio (The Wonder)/The Guardian

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Take: Picture and Direction / New Trailer for Bones and All / TFF #49 and AFI / Blanchett Talks TAR

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: PICTURE AND DIRECTION

Starting with today's post I'll be updating Oscar predictions for the Big Eight categories with updates for two of the categories coming in each post.  I'll eventually expand the predictions as the Oscar season continues to roll on.  Today I am updating Best Picture and Direction which was last addressed here on  Sept. 26th.  I have included the ranked position for each film from the previous post in parentheses to the right.  As always, TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) Women Talking (4)

3) Babylon (2)

4) The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

5) Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

6) Top Gun: Maverick (6)

7) TAR (7)

8) Elvis (11)

9) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (12)

10) She Said (New)

11) The Woman King (New)

12) Avatar: The Way of Water (8)

Dropping: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Empire of Light

Ought to think about: Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Armageddon Time

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (2)

3) Todd Field/TAR (4)

4) Damien Chazelle/Babylon (3)

5) The Daniels/EEAAO (5)

6) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

7) Gina Prince-Blythwood/The Woman King (New)

Dropping: James Cameron/Avatar: The Way of Water

NEW TRAILER FOR BONES AND ALL

MGM released a new trailer for Luca Guadagnino's Bones and All yesterday.  The film stars Timothee Chalamet, Taylor Russell and Mark Rylance.  The film is set for domestic release on Nov. 23rd.  Here;s the new trailer via YouTube:

TFF #49 AT AFI

The American Film Institute/AFI Fest has announced their lineup which will be presented Nov. 2-6 in Los Angeles.  The announcement reveals that no fewer than a dozen films that screened at Telluride will be making a stop there.  They are:

In the Red Carpet Premieres section: Bardo and Living

Special Screenings: Bones and All, Le Pupille, Sr. and Women Talking

World Cinema: Godland and One fine Morning

Discovery: Close and Lady Chatterley's Lover

Documentaries: The Corridors of Power and Wildcat

Other high profile films at this year's AFI Fest include The Fabelmans, Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio, She Said and The Son.

The complete rundown of all 125 titles at AFI Fest is linked here.

BLANCHETT TALKS TAR

Cate Blanchett was featured this week in a Vanity Fair profile from Paul Chi.  In it she talks TAR, fame and process.  The article can be accessed here.

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