Monday, July 13, 2020

Ten Bets #2 / Update from Telluride / Focus Does a Do-Si-Do / The Distribs: Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions

TEN BETS #2



Here's an update on my latest guesses about what films might screen as a part of gthe 47th Telluride Film Festival.  First, a reminder of the this year's first Ten Bets list from June 29th:

10) Ammonite
9) Undine
8) The Secrets We Keep
7) Forgotten We'll Be
6) Untitled Garbus/Cortes Voting Rights Doc
5) Fireball
4) Nomadland
3) John Prine: Hello in There
2) Small Axe (Mangrove and/or Lover's Rock)
1) There Is No Evil


And the current Ten Bets:

10) Undine
9) Forgotten We'll Be
8) The Secrets We Keep
7) Notturno
6) Small Axe (Mangrove and/or Lover's Rock)
5) John Prine: Hello In There
4) Fireball
3) Nomadland
2) There Is No Evil
1) Ammonite

I still feel that the Untitled Garbus/Cortes Voting Rights Documentary is also a good bet for TFF #47.


UPDATE FROM TELLURIDE



Since my last post on Friday more information has come to light from Telluride.  Last week I had included a good deal of information from an Indiewire story that, among other items, suggested that Telluride's Town Council would meet and likely make some TFF related decisions on July 15th.  That appears to be incorrect.  The Parks Committee does have a meeting scheduled in Telluride on July 15th but the Town Council does not meet until July 21st.

According to sources in Telluride the agenda for that meeting has not been posted.

Meanwhile, Suzanne Cheavans writing in The Telluride Daily Planet reported on a San Miguel County Commissioners meeting from last week at which there was some discussion of TFF.  Her reporting has a couple of very interesting pieces of information including the revelation that school buildings in Telluride will not be available for the fest to use. That article is linked here.


FOCUS DOES A DO-SI-DO




Focus Features has sifted its lineup.  The distribution company announced that they have moved Let Him Go starring Kevin Costner and Diane Lane from Aug. 21st to Nov. 6th and that consequently that will displace Stillwater which had originally been scheduled on Nov. 6th.  No new date was announced for Stillwater which stars Matt Damon and Abigail Breslin.

Back on June 25th I assessed the Focus lineup for Telluride possibilities and had put Stillwater's chances at 50%.  At that time I didn't evaluate the chances for Let Him Go because of its pre-TFF release date.

The move reduces Stillwater's chances of being in the TFF #47 lineup in my estimation.  It goes from my original guestimate of 50% down to 20%.  Meanwhile, Let Him Go gets rated at a 25% chance of making the Telluride lineup.

As a side note, Focus Features did a survey of past TFF journalist attendees a month ago that centered on getting a feel for probable attendees for this year.

Here's more info from Deadline.


THE DISTRIBS: LIONSGATE/ROADSIDE ATTRACTIONS






Lionsgate and affiliated film company Roadside Attractions have a solid appearance history with the Telluride Film Festival.

Lionsgate at Telluride:

2017: Hostiles
2016: La La Land
2013: All Is Lost

Roadside Attractions was repped at T-ride as follows over the past few years:

2019: Judy
2018: Trial by Fire
2016: Manchester by the Sea
2014: '71, Mommy, The Homesman
2013: All is Lost, Gloria
2012: Stories We Tell
2011: Albert Nobbs
2010: Biutiful

Between the two affiliated companies they average about 1.2 films per year at TFF.

This year Lionsgate's best shot is Fatale starring two time Oscar winner and past TFF Tribute recipient Hilary Swank (TFF #41 in 2014).  Swank stars as the fatale of the title.  The film was originally scheduled for release in June but is now dated for Oct. 30th.  Doug Liman's Chaos Walking (with Charlie Kaufman credited as one of the writers of the screenplay) might be an outside possibility.  It's currently scheduled for release in January 2021.

Roadside Attractions only shot appears to be The Glorias from Julie Taymor.  The film looks at the life of feminist icon Gloria Steinem and stars Julianne Moore and Alicia Vikander.  The film played Sundance, however, and as a result is highly unlikely for Telluride...although...as weird as this year is...never say never.

Chances:

Fatele 30%
Chaos Walking 20%
The Glorias 15%


EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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