Here's the second edition of MTFB's Ten Bets for TFF #49. It's my weekly assessment that will update each week through the summer with my best assessment of the films that I think could make the TFF #49 lineup. Last week the initial Ten Bets were:
1) Bardo/Inarritu
2) One Fine Morning/Hansen-Love
3) The Son/Zeller
4) Close/Dhont
5) Women Talking/Polley
6) Aftersun/Wells
7) Showing Up/Reichardt
8) White Noise/Baumbach
9) Broker/Kore-eda
10) She Said/M. Schrader
Plus some other possibilities: Tori and Lokita/Dardennes, Holy Spider/Abdasi, Blonde/Dominik, The Master Gardener/P. Schrader, Next Goal Wins/Waititi, The Forger/Peren, Babylon/Chazelle, TAR/Fields
Not much jostling this week... Here's the new Ten Bets:
1) Bardo/Inarritu
2) One Fine Morning/Hansen-Love
3) The Son/Zeller
4) Close/Dhont
5) Women Talking/Polley
6) Aftersun/Wells
7) Showing Up/Reichardt
8) Broker/Kore-eda
9) White Noise/Baumbach
10) The Master Gardener/P. Schrader
Others: Tori and Lokita/Dardennes, Holy Spider/Abdasi, Blonde/Dominik, The Master Gardener/P. Schrader, Next Goal Wins/Waititi, The Forger/Peren, Babylon/Chazelle, TAR/Fields, She Said/M. Schrader
700,000+
Since I posted on Monday MTFB crossed it 700,000th view since I first started the thing back in 2008. Over that time I have posted 2023 times for a per post average of 346+ views per post. Biggest post historically for the blog was Jan. 4, 2018 that focused on the upcoming Oscar nominations for that year. It also included a focus on Greta Gerwig's Lady Bird. The largest readership for a non-Oscar related post was for last fall's Professional's Telluride poll that has Marcel the Shell with Shoes On as the highest rated film for TFF #48. That post created quite a stir and was refenced by Variety, Awards Daily, Awards Watch and Indiewire as well as from the film's director, writer and Marcel co-creator Dean Fleischer-Camp.
Marcel opened in limited release this past week and had a ridiculously good per theater average. The film is currently at 100% on Rotten Tomatoes.
Marcel will continue to expand into other markets in the coming weeks.
HOPE SPRINGS
Now make no mistake, I don't think (at least at the moment) that we'll see either Scorsese's Killers of the Flower Moon or Fincher's The Killer at TFF #49 BUT...Jordan Ruimy's World of Reel reported this week that both of the films might get a 2022 release. Both films had been rumored to be floating into 2023 for release but Ruimy's reportage suggests that there is some hope for both before the end of the year.
"After embarking on additional shooting, and rumors appearing that it might get delayed to 2023, Apple is now pretty confident that Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon” will be released later this year, most likely in December."
That story was published last Sunday.
“The Killer” started production in November 2021 and wrapped shorting this past March. Fincher has 9 months to edit, but we all know he takes an obsessively lengthy time in the editing room. My bet is that the film get released in December. That’s just a hunch."
Fingers crossed that both highly anticipated films as a part of a 2022 release strategy and...if they just so happened to screen at Telluride, so much the better.
NEON SHINES
I'm continuing my preview of possible TFF #49 selections from distribution companies that have been prominently involved at the fest over recent years. Today's subject is NEON, Their profile at T-ride isn't as lengthy as an SPC or Searchlight but it has shown brightly over the past five years including the Best Picture Oscar winner for 2019, Bong Joon Ho's Parasite. Here are the NEON films that
2021: Petite Maman, Spencer (Oscar nominated for Best Actress-Kristen Stewart) , Flee (Oscar nominated for Best Animated Film, Best International Film and Best Documentary)
2020: Ammonite
2019: Parasite (nominated for six Academy Awards and won four including Best Picture and Director). Portrait of a Lady on Fire, Amazing Grace
2018: Border (Oscar nominated for Best Makeup and Hair), The Biggest Little Farm
2017: The B-Side: Elsa Dorfman's Portrait Photography
Best chances for this year are three films that all played at Cannes earlier this year:
Hirokazu Kore-eda's Broker (won Best Actor and Ecumenical Jury prize at Cannes)
Rueben Ostlund's Palme d'Or winner Triangle of Sadness
Brett Morgen's David Bowie doc Moonage Daydream
These films are listed from top to bottom in the probability of a TFF appearance. I put Broker at 55% and Triangle of Sadness and Moonage Daydream at 25% each in probability of being selected for TFF #49.
TWO OFF THE TABLE
(via Netflix)
Not that I have ever really thought they were likely ever on the Telluride table...
Toronto's International Film Fest has moved one film off the chess board with their announcement on Wednesday that Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery will World Premiere there.
The Hollywood Reporter, among others, reported the TIFF announcement. The story is linked here.
Meanwhile, if you had the musical version of Roald Dahl's Matilda on your list as a Telluride consideration, erase it now. The BFI London Film Fest has announced the film as its World Premiere Opening Night Gala.
Both films are from Netflix.
MY MARCEL DANCE CONTINUES
Friend of MTFB, Mark Johnson of Awards Daily, attended the just completed Nantucket Film Festival. His last screening was the TFF #49 favorite Marcel the Shell with Shoes On. Mark had missed seeing last September.
He was kind enough to reference MTFB's The Professionals Telluride Poll as a part of his very positive review for the film.
You can see Mark's review and even hit the link and re-visit MTFB's Pros Poll. The link for the review is here.
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
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