MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: FIRST WINNER PREDICTIONS: PICTURE, DIRECTION, LEAD ACTING
Here's my first "educated" set of predictions for who/what will win on Oscar night, March 10th. TFF films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) Oppenheimer
2) The Holdovers
3) Poor Things
4) American Fiction
5) Barbie
6) Killers of the Flower Moon
7) Anatomy of a Fall
8) The Zone of Interest
9) Maestro
10) Past Lives
Comment: It looks like, as has seemed true for months, that Best Picture is Oppenheimer's to lose. I had thought that if The Holdovers could have gotten nominations for Payne, Sessa and Editing that we might have a real race. With that scenario not coming to fruition it doesn't feel like any film is going to catch Oppy.
BEST DIRECTION
1) Christopher Nolan/Oppenheimer
2) Yorgos Lanthimos/Poor Things
3) Martin Scorsese/Killers of the flower Moon
4) Justine Triet/Anatomy of a Fall
5) Jonathan Glazer/The Zone of Interest
Comment: If anything, Nolan has a tighter grip on this Oscar than Oppy has on Best Picture.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Lily Gladstone/Killers of the Flower Moon
2) Emma Stone/Poor Things
3) Sandra Huller/Anatomy of a Fall
4) Annette Bening/Nyad
5) Carey Mulligan/Maestro
Comment: Where Best and Direction seem foregone conclusions, this race is, at the moment, a barn-burner. It really could go either way. For the moment I gave Gladstone winning by the slimmest of margins.
BEST ACTOR
1) Paul Giamatti/The Holdovers
2) Cillian Murphy/Oppenheimer
3) Bradley Cooper/Maestro
4) Jeffrey Wright/American Fiction
5) Colman Domingo/Rustin
Comment: Giamatti is looking strong but Murphy is certainly still in play.
TFF films with 12 nominations in theses six categories and a projected win for Best Actor.
Next post: Supporting Acting and Screenplays.
CLIP FROM TOTEM
Janus Films has released a clip from Mexico's entry for Oscar's International Feature award. Totem, however, did not make the list of five nominees announced last week. Here's the clip from YouTube:
INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES
Writer/Director Lila Aviles for Totem from Inocinema.
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