MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: MAKEUP/HAIR AND COSTUMES PLUS FIRST PREDICTIONS FOR SHORTS
In today's MTFB Oscar Update I update predictions for the Makeup/Hair and Costume categories as well as adding first predictions for the Shorts. For Makeup/Hair their previous rank appears in parentheses to the right of the title. As always, TFF films are in Bold.
COSTUMES (last predicted on Dec. 21st)
1) Barbie (1)
2) Poor Things (2)
3) Killers of the Flower Moon (4)
4) The Color Purple (3)
5) Maestro (5)
Alternates: Oppenheimer, Napoleon and Wonka.
MAKEUP AND HAIR
1) Maestro (1)
2) Poor Things (2)
3) Oppenheimer (-)
4) Killers of the Flower Moon (-)
5) Society of the Snow (-)
Alternates: Golda, Napoleon and Ferrari.
ANIMATED SHORT
1) War Is Over Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko
2) Once upon a Studio
3) I'm Hip
4) A Kind of Testament
5) Eeva
Alternates: Boom, Wild Summon and Letter to a Pig.
LIVE ACTION SHORT
1) The Wonderful Life of Henry Sugar
2) Strange Way of Life
3) Good Boy
4) The After
5) Knight of Fortune
Alternates: The Anne Frank Gift Shop, Yellow and Invincible.
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1) The Last Repair Shop
2) Last Song from Kabul
3) The ABCs of Book Banning
4) The Barber of Little Rock
5) Deciding Vote
Alternates: Oasis, Camp Courage and Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Games.
As of this morning's post I am predicting TFF films with a total of 36 nominations with another 16 "alternates". Here's the TFF breakdown:
Poor Things (11 noms and one alternate) : Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Supporting Actor (Ruffalo), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects and Makeup/Hair. The alternate is a second Supporting Actor nomination for Willem Dafoe.
The Zone of Interest (Six noms and two alternates): Best Picture, Direction, International Film, Cinematography, Score and Sound. Alternates are Huller for Supporting Actress and Adapted Screenplay.
The Holdovers (Four noms and three alternatives): Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay. Alternates are for Direction, Supporting Actor and Editing.
Anatomy of a Fall (Three noms and one alternate):Best Picture, Actress and Original Screenplay and the alternate is for Original Screenplay.
American Symphony (Two noms): Best Doc feature and Song.
All of Us Strangers (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Adapted Screenplay and a Best Actor alternate.
Nyad (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Supporting Actress with a Best Actress alternate.
Rustin (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Best Song with an alternate possibility for Best Actor.
In addition to The Zone of Interest in International Feature I'm predicting three other TFF films to be nominated in that category: The Taste of Things, The Teachers' Lounge and Fallen Leaves. Totem and Perfect Days could also make it into the category. Were it not for Society of the Snow I'd likely be predicting that all five nominees for International Feature would be TFF films.
In Documentary feature, in addition to American Symphony, I have Beyond Utopia making it into the list of nominees.
And finally, in the Shorts categories I have three TFF films being nominated as you can see above: Strange Way of Life, The Last Repair Shop and Last Song from Kabul.
In terms of other predictions not TFF films I have Killers of the Flower Moon leading the pack with 12 nominations. Could KOTFM replicate The Irishman and have this many nominations and not win any? Percentages right now suggest that is unlikely. Lily Gladstone isn't certain to win Best Actress but she is certainly the frontrunner. That said, she could be the only winner for KOTFM on Oscar night.
Other non-TFF films with double nomination totals predicted: Oppenheimer with 11 and Barbie with 10 though Barbie could add up to three additional nominations. Maestro is now predicted for seven nominations with a shot at two others.
COMING UP...
It's a big Oscar pre-cursor period between now and MTFB's next post on Monday.
Tomorrow the BAFTA longlists are released.
Saturday we'll see the National Society of Film Critics announce the top three vote getters in each of 10 categories.
And on Sunday The Golden Globes announce their winners.
I'll have a lot to talk about in Monday's post.
INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES
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EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com (drop me a line here to join the MTFB email list).
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MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays
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