MTFB Oscar Predix: Round Two of the Middle Six Categories / TFF #52 and BAFTA

MTFB OSCAR PREDIX: ROUND TWO OF THE MIDDLE SIX CATEGORIES

BEST CASTING

1) Sinners (1)

2) One Battle After Another (2)

3) Marty Supreme (3)

4) Hamnet (4)

5) The Secret Agent (5)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) Sentimental Value (1)

2) The Secret Agent (2)

3) It Was Just an Accident (3)

4) Sirat (4)

5) The Voice of Hund Rajab (5)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)

2) Zootopia 2 (2)

3) Little Amelie or the Character of Rain (4)

4) Arco (3)

5) Elio (5)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) The Perfect Neighbor (1)

2) The Alabama Solution (2)

3) Come See Me in the Good Light (3)

4) Cutting Through Rocks (5)

5) Mr. Nobody Against Putin (4)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Sinners (1)

2) One Battle After Another (2)

3) Hamnet (4)

4) Frankenstein (3)

5) Bugonia (5)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Golden/K-Pop Demon Hunters (1)

2) I Lied to You/Sinners (2)

3) Train Dreams/Train Dreams (4)

4) Dear Me/Dianne Warren: Relentless (3)

5) Sweet Dreams of Joy/Viva Vivaldi (5)

This and That: Small movements in Documentary, Score and Song in an other wise static set of six categories.

TFF #52 AND BAFTA

TFF #52 films nabbed six BAFTA  (British Academy of Film and Television Arts) Awards yesterday led by Guillermo Del Toro's  Frankenstein with three wins in craft categories: Productions Design, Costumes and Makeup/Hair.  Chloe Zhao's Hamnet made a bit of a splash with two wins: Best Actress for Jesse Buckley as well as Outstanding British Film.  Joachim Trier's Sentimental Value won the BAFTA for Best Film Not in the English Language.

Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another led all films with six wins: Best Film, Direction, Supporting Actor (Penn), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography and Editing. OBAA now seems virtually unbeatable for the Oscar for Best Picture.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

Looking to TFF #53 / BAFTA Nominees Announced / Behind the Scenes: Hamnet and H Is for Hawk / Visitations: The Secret Agent

 LOOKING TO TFF #53

Every year about this time MTFB moves into a transition phase as Oscar season closes in on completion (with nominees announced and Oscar winners set to be announced in about six weeks).  We begin to cast our eyes toward Labor Day weekend and what films may flicker to life in the San Juan mountains of Southwest Colorado.

One way to begin that transition is to look at lists of films named to "most anticipated" lists.  We start that today with The Film Stage's 100 Most Anticipated Films of 2026.  I have parsed the list and have come up with 16 titles that seem most possible for TFF #53.  Here those are in the order that The film Stage has ranked them (with director's name included in parentheses):

100) Digger (Inarritu)

78) At the Sea (Mundruczo)

71) Artificial (Guadagnino)

53) Ink (Boyle)

48) Untitled Eisenberg (Eisenberg)

42) Bucking Fastard (Herzog)

36) Parallel Tales (Farhadi)

33) Butterfly (Bagalov)

31) The Unknown (Haradi)

25) Jack of Spades (J. Coen)

15) Ancient History (Baker)

13) A Long Winter (Haigh)

7) Paper Tiger (Gray)

6) Untitled Mike Leigh (Leigh)

2) The Way of the Wind (Malick)

Historically 6-8 of these films will actually make it to Telluride.  Last year's stab at this yielded six films hat made it to TFF #52.  The year before...also six.

The complete listing from The Film Stage is linked here.

BAFTA NOMINEES ANNOUNCED

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts named its nominees for film excellence this week.  TFF films actually earned more BAFTA noms than Oscar noms with 43.  Here's how TFF #52 films did:

Hamnet (11): Best Film, Direction, Best British Film, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Supporting Actress (Watson), Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Score.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Film, Direction, Film Not in the English Language, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Original Screenplay and Casting.

Frankenstein (8): Best Supporting Actor (Elordi), Cinematography, Production Design, Sound, Special Visual Effects, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Score.

Bugonia (5): Best Direction, Actor (Plemons), Actress (Stone), Adapted Screenplay and Score.

Pillion (3): Outstanding British Film, Adapted Screenplay and Best British Debut.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Film Not in the English Language, Original Screenplay.

Single nominations for:

Blue Moon: Best Actor (Hawke).

If I had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Actress (Byrne).

H Is for Hawk: Outstanding British Film.

It Was Just an Accident: Best Film Not in the English Language.

Cover-Up: Best Documentary.

Apocalypse in the Tropics: Best Documentary.

The complete list of BAFTA nominees is linked here.

BEHIND THE SCENES

*HAMNET

https://x.com/hamnetmovie/status/2015133832140501226?s=20

*H IS FOR HAWK

https://x.com/roadsidetweets/status/2014763864575844662?s=20

VISITATIONS: THE SECRET AGENT

Director Kleber Mendonca Filho for The Secret Agent from The Contending.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

MTFB Oscar Take: 3rd predictions for Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Sound and Visual Effects / Golden Globes '26 and TFF #52 / BAFTA Longlists and TFF #52 / PGA and TFF #52

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: THIRD PREDICTIONS FOR PRODUCTION DESIGN, COSTUMES, MAKEUP/HAIR, SOUND AND VISUAL EFFECTS 

Today we update the final five feature categories with new predictions for Production Design, Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Sound and Visual Effects. A film's previous ranking is to he right of the title in parentheses. All TFF #52 films are in Bold.    Here they are:

PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Frankenstein (1)

2) Sinners (2)

3) Hamnet (3)

4) Wicked: For Good (4)

5) Marty Supreme (5)

Others: Avatar: Fire and Ash, One Battle After Another and The Fantastic Four: First Steps.

COSTUME DESIGN

1) Frankenstein (1)

2) Wicked: For Good (2)

3) Sinners (3)

4) Hamnet (4)

5) Hedda (NR)

Others: The Testament of Ann Lee, Marty Supreme and Kiss of the Spiderman.

MAKEUP AND HAIR

1) Frankenstein (1)

2) Wicked: For Good (2)

3) Sinners (3)

4) The Smashing Machine (4)

5) Kokuho (NR)

Others: One Battle After Another, Marty Supreme and Nuremburg.

SOUND DESIGN

1) F1 (2)

2) Sinners (1)

3) One Battle After Another (3)

4) Avatar: Fire and Ash (NR)

5) Wicked: For Good (4)

Others: Sirat, Frankenstein and Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere.

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: Fire and Ash (2)

2) F1 (1)

3) Sinners (5)

4) Frankenstein (3)

5) Superman (4)

Others: Wicked: For Good, Jurassic World Rebirth and The Lost Bus.

As of this morning's post if the MTFB Oscar Take is 100% accurate, ten TFF films will earn 41 nominations on announcement morning-Jan. 22nd.  Hamnet will lead TFF films with 11 nominations.  TFF #52 could also a year where five of the films that screened their earn Best Picture nominations which would be a record for the fest.

Here's how that could shake out:

Hamnet (11): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Buckley). Supporting Actor (Mescal), Adapted Screenplay, Casting, Costumes, Cinematography, Editing, Original Score and Production Design.

Frankenstein (9): Best Picture, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Original Score, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Fanning and Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Original Screenplay and International Feature.

It Was Just an Accident (4): Best Picture, Direction, International Feature and Original Screenplay.

Bugonia (3): Best Picture, Best Actress (Stone) and Adapted Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Actor (Moura) and International Feature.

Blue Moon (1): Best Actor (Hawke).

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (1): Best Actress (Byrne).

Jay Kelly (1): Best Original Screenplay.

Cover-Up (1) Best Documentary.

GOLDEN GLOBES '26 AND TFF #52

Telluride films had a better than fair night at the Golden Globes with a win for Best Film/Drama for Chole Zhao.  Here are all the winners from TFF #52 films from last night's Golden Globes:

Best Film/Drama-Hamnet

Best Actor/Drama-Wagner Moura/The Secret Agent

Best Actress/Drama-Jesse Buckley

Best Actress/Comedy or Musical-Rose Byrne/If I Had legs I'd Kick You

Best Supporting Actor-Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value

Best Motion Picture-Not in the English Language-The Secret Agent

Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another won the most hardware of the evening with four trophies: Best Film/Comedy or Musical, Best Supporting Actress (Taylor, Best Direction and Best Screenplay.

The complete list of all Golden Globe winners is linked here.

BAFTA LONGLISTS AND TFF #52

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (The Brit Oscars, if you will) its "longlists" for its Film categories for 2025 last week.  The longlists serve as a first cut in BAFTA's nominating process.  Films have to make the longlists in various categories to be voted on for actual nominations.

19 TFF #52 (and #51) films drew 73 "mentions" in this winnowing process.  Chloe Zhao's Hamnet lead the TFF parade.  Here is the list of TFF films making BAFTA's longlists:

Hamnet (14): Best Film, Outstanding British Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Buckley), Supporting Actress (Watson), Supporting Actor (Mescal), Cast, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design.

Bugonia (12): Best Film, Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Actress (Stone), Actor (Plemons), Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design and Sound.

Frankenstein (12): Best Film, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Elordi), Cast, Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design, Special Visual Effects and Sound.

Sentimental Value (8): Best Film, Best Film Not in the English Language, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Reinsve), Supporting Actress (Lilleaas), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Costumes.

Pillion (6): Outstanding British Film, Outstanding Debut, Adapted Screenplay, Actor Melling), Supporting Actor (Skarsgard), Cast.

Ballad of a Small Player (3): Outstanding British Film, Production Design, Cinematography.

Blue Moon (3): Best Original Screenplay, Actor (Hawke), Supporting Actor (Scott).

It Was Just an Accident (2): Best Film Not in the English Language, Original Screenplay.

The Secret Agent (2): Best Film Not in the English language, Original Screenplay.

Nouvelle Vague (2): Best film Not in the English Language, Costumes.

Single Mentions for:

H Is for Hawk: Outstanding British Film.

Urchin: Outstanding Debut.

La Grazia: Outstanding Film Not in the English Language.

Cover-Up: Documentary.

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: Best Leading Actress (Byrne).

Jay Kelly: Best Supporting Actor (Sandler).

Apocalypse in the Tropics (TFF #51): Documentary.

Riefenstahl (TFF #51): Documentary.

One to One: john and Yoko (TFF #51): Documentary.

The complete list of the BAFTA longlists are here.

PGA AND TFF #52

The Producers Guild of America announced its ten choices/nominees for their Best Film award for 2025.  The list includes four films from TFF #52>  Here's the list with TFF #52 films in Bold:

“Bugonia” (Focus Features)

Ed Guiney, p.g.a., Andrew Lowe, p.g.a., Yorgos Lanthimos, p.g.a., Emma Stone, p.g.a., Lars Knudsen, p.g.a.

“F1” (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.)

Nominees to be determined

“Frankenstein” (Netflix)

Guillermo Del Toro, p.g.a., J. Miles Dale, p.g.a., Scott Stuber, p.g.a.

“Hamnet” (Focus Features)

Liza Marshall, p.g.a., Pippa Harris, p.g.a., Sam Mendes, p.g.a., Steven Spielberg, p.g.a., Nicolas Gonda, p.g.a.

“Marty Supreme” (A24)

Nominees to be determined

“One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)

Adam Somner, Sara Murphy, Paul Thomas Anderson

“Sentimental Value” (Neon)

Maria Ekerhovd, Andrea Berentsen Ottmar

“Sinners” (Warner Bros.)

Ryan Coogler, p.g.a., Zinzi Coogler, p.g.a., Sev Ohanian, p.g.a. 

“Train Dreams” (Netflix)

Marissa McMahon, p.g.a., Teddy Schwarzman, p.g.a., William Janowitz, p.g.a., Ashley Schlaifer, p.g.a., Michael Heimler, p.g.a.

“Weapons” (Warner Bros.)

Zach Cregger, p.g.a., Miri Yoon, p.g.a.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

MTFB Oscar Update: Oscar Winners Predictions: Screenplays and More / BAFTA and TFF #51 / Writers' Guild and TFF #51

 MTFB OSCAR WINNERS PREDICTIONS: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

We're under two weeks to Oscar night.  Today I am updating predictions for both screenplay categories as well as International , Animated and Documentary features.  These categories were first predicted two weeks back on Feb. 3rd.  As always, TFF films are Bold.  A film's previous ranking is indicated to the right in parentheses.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Conclave (1)

2) A Complete Unknown (2)

3) Nickel Boys (3)

4) Emilia Perez (4)

5) Sing Sing (5)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Anora (1)

2) The Substance (3)

3) A Real Pain (4)

4) The Brutalist (2)

5) September 5 (5)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) I'm Still Here (1)

2) Emilia Perez (3)

3) The Seed of the Sacred Fig (2)

4) Flow  (4)

5) The Girl with the Needle (5)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) The Wild Robot (1)

2) Flow (2)

3) Inside Out 2 (3)

4) Memoir of a Snail (5)

5) Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl (4)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) No Other Land (1)

2) Porcelain War (4)

3) Black Box Diaries (3)

4) Sugarcane (2)

5) Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat (5)

Comments:  Despite the backlash, Emilia Perez still looks like it has a real shot at the International Feature Oscar.  I still have it behind I'm Still Here but it feels close.  Additionally, Porcelain War has surged in the Documentary category.  The biggest lock from these categories seems to be Conclave in Adapted Screenplay.

Should these predictions prove out, TFF #51 films would win three of the five categories.

BAFTA AND TFF #51

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their winners on Sunday.  each with Conclave leading the way with four wins including Best Film. Four TFF #51 films landed a least two BAFTAs including Conclave with four wins including Best Film.

Here's the rundown of  TFF #51 films' BAFTA wins:

Conclave: Best Film, Best British Film, Adapted Screenplay and Editing.  

Anora: Best Actress (Madison) and Casting.

Emilia Perez: Best Film Not in the English Language and Best Supporting Actress (Saldana).

A Real Pain: Best Supporting Actor (Culkin) and Original Screenplay.

Among non-TFF films The Brutalist had four wins as well for Best Direction, Actor (Brody), Cinematography and Score.

The Conclave win for Best Film gives it a little life for Oscar night.  Wins for Saldana and Culkin cement their status for Supporting Oscars and all of the hubbub regarding Emilia Perez didn't seem to slow it down in London.

TFF #51 films were nominated for a total of  45 awards.

WRITERS' GUILD AND TFF #51

Two TFF #51 films picked up Writers' Guild of America awards on Saturday night.  Sean Baker won for Anora as Best Original Screenplay while RaMell Ross and Joslyn Barnes shared the trophy for Nickel Boys as Best Adapted Screenplay.

These results are likely indicative of an Anora Oscar win in two weeks.  The Nickel Boys win is likely less predictive as Conclave was ineligible under WGA rules.  Most of the Oscar prediction community thinks Conclave is the favorite.  Currently 29 out of the 34 Gold Derby experts are predicting Conclave to pick up the Oscar win.

Here is the complete list of winners from the WGA.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com

One Million!!!!! / MTFB Oscar Update: The Big Eight / BAFTA and TFF / Interviews and Profiles

ONE MILLION!!!!!

Over the just-ended weekend MTFB recorded its one-millionth view.  1,000,000.  That's insane for a little blog that is the "nicheiest" of niche blogs.  I'll likely have a little more to say about the milestone in Thursday's post. 

One Million...wow!

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: THE BIG EIGHT

We're down to less than three weeks before they open the envelopes on March 10th.  Here's is my latest update on the predicted winners in the "Big Eight" of the 23 Oscar categories. Today's listing also includes a film/performers previous MTFB rank to the right in parentheses.  TFF films are indicated in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) Oppenheimer (1)

2) Poor Things (3)

3) The Holdovers (2)

4) Killers of the Flower Moon (6)

5) Barbie (5)

6) Anatomy of a Fall (7)

7) American Fiction (4)

8) The Zone of Interest (8)

9) Maestro (9)

10) Past Lives (10)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Christopher Nolan/Oppenheimer (1)

2) Yorgos Lanthimos/Poor Things (2)

3) Martin Scorsese/Killers of the Flower Moon (3)

4) Jonathan Glazer/The Zone of Interest (5)

5) Justine Triet/Anatomy of a Fall (4)

BEST ACTRESS

1) Lily Gladstone/Killers of the Flower Moon (1)

2) Emma Stone/Poor Things (2)

3) Sandra Huller/Anatomy of a Fall (3)

4) Annette Bening/Nyad (4)

5) Carey Mulligan/Maestro (5)

BEST ACTOR

1) Paul Giamatti/The Holdovers (1)

2) Cillian Murphy/Oppenheimer (2)

3) Bradley Cooper/Maestro (3)

4) Jeffrey Wright/American Fiction (4)

5) Colman Domingo/Rustin (5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Da'Vine Joy Randolph/The Holdovers (1)

2) Emily Blunt/Oppenheimer (2)

3) Danielle Brooks/The Color Purple 95)

4) America Ferrera/Barbie (4)

5) Jodie Foster/Nyad (3)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Robert Downey, Jr./Oppenheimer (1)

2) Ryan Gosling/Barbie (2)

3) Mark Ruffalo/Poor Things (4)

4) Robert DeNiro/Killers of the Flower Moon (3)

5) Sterling K. Brown/American Fiction (5)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Oppenheimer (3)

2) Barbie (1)

3) American Fiction (2)

4) Poor Things (4)

5) The Zone of Interest (5)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Anatomy of a Fall (1)

2) The Holdovers (2)

3) Past Lives (3)

4) Maestro (4)

5) May December (5)

COMMENTS:

With less than three weeks to go and final Oscar voting starting on Thursday, four of these categories feel all but locked: Picture (Oppy), Director (Nolan/Oppy), Supporting Acting (Randolph/The Holdovers and Downey, Jr./Oppy).

The lead acting categories are very tight.  Gladstone and Stone are neck and neck as far as I can tell.  Giamatti and Murphy are also close. Adapted Screenplay appears to be a three horse race between Oppenheimer/Barbie/American Fiction.  Original Screenplay is also close, though Anatomy of a Fall seems to have the edge at the moment.  It will be interesting to see if the BAFTA (see below), SAG, PGA, Independent Spirit and WGA nomination results have moved the needle for any of these eight categories when we come back to them in the MTFB post on Feb. 29th.

If I'm 100% accurate TFF films will win three of these categories on Oscar night: Actress, Actor and Original Screenplay.

BAFTA AND TFF

Oppenheimer had a great British evening on Sunday as the film led all others with seven BAFTA  wins including Best Pic, Direction and Actor.

But films that played TFF also did well in the Brits' estimation with 11 total wins on the night.

Yorgos Lanthimos' Poor Things was the #2 winner in total with five BAFTAs: Best Actress, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects.

Jonathan Glazer's The Zone of Interest landed three BAFTAs: Best British Film, Best Film Not in the English Language and Sound.

And Alexander Payne's The Holdovers earned two BAFTAs for Best Supporting Actress and Best Casting.

Justine Triet's Anatomy of a Fall was the other TFF film with BAFTA success getting the award for Best Original Screenplay.

Both Barbie and Killers of the Flower Moon missed winning any awards from BAFTA.

Here's a complete list of BAFTA winners from Entertainment Weekly.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Paul Giamatti for The Holdovers from Variety.

Da'Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers from Deadline.

Producer Mark Johnson for The Holdovers from Deadline.

Andrew Scott, Paul Mescal, Claire Foy and Andrew Haigh for All of Us Strangers from Pop Culture Confidential.

Directors Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin for Nyad from Awards Radar.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (TWITTER): @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

BLUE SKY: https://bsky.app/profile/gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

BAFTA Nominations Announced / MTFB Oscar Update: Costumes. Makeup/Hair and Shorts / Visiting the Vault / Interviews and Profiles

BAFTA NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCED

 TFF films earned a combined total of 49 nominations from the British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) this morning.  Leading the way for TFF was Poor Things with 11.  Here's the breakdown of all TFF film nominations:

Poor Things (11): Best Film, Outstanding British Film, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Costumes, Makeup/Hair, Score, Production Design and Visual Effects.

The Zone of Interest (9): Outstanding British Film, Best Film Not in the English Language, Direction, Supporting Actress,  Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design and Sound.

Anatomy of a Fall (7): Best Film, Best Film Not in the English Language, Direction, Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing and Casting.

The Holdovers (7): Best Film, Direction, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay and Casting.

All of Us Strangers (6): Outstanding British Film, Best Direction, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Casting.

Saltburn (5): Outstanding British Film, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Score.

Rustin (1): Best Actor.

American Symphony (1): Best Documentary.

Beyond Utopia (1): Best Documentary.

Bobi Wine: The People's President (1): Best Debut

Oppenhiemer led all films with 14 nominations.

Here's the link to the complete list of nominees from BAFTA.

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: MAKEUP/HAIR AND COSTUMES PLUS FIRST PREDICTIONS FOR SHORTS

In today's MTFB Oscar Update I update predictions for the Makeup/Hair and Costume categories as well as the Shorts. Their previous rank appears in parentheses to the right of the title.  As always, TFF films are in Bold.

COSTUMES 

1) Barbie (1)

2) Poor Things (2)

3) Killers of the Flower Moon (4)

4) Maestro (5)

5) Oppenheimer (-)

Alternates: Napoleon, The Color Purple and Wonka.

MAKEUP AND HAIR

1) Maestro (1)

2) Poor Things (2)

3) Oppenheimer (3)

4) Golda (-)

5) Killers of the Flower Moon (4)

Alternates: Society of the Snow, Napoleon and Ferrari.

ANIMATED SHORT

1) Once Upon a Studio (2)

2) War Is Over Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko (1)

3) Wild Summon (-)

4) Letter to a Pig (-)

5) I'm Hip (3)

Alternates: Koerkerter, Pete, Eeva.

LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) The Wonderful Life of Henry Sugar (1)

2) The Anne Frank Gift Shop (-)

3) Knight of Fortune (5)

4) Strange Way of Life (2)

5) The After (4)

Alternates: Invisible Border, Good Boy and The One Note Man.

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) The Last Repair Shop (1)

2) The ABCs of Book Banning (3)

3) Deciding Vote (5)

4) Last Song from Kabul (2)

5) The Barber of Little Rock (4)

Alternates: Camp Courage, Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Games and Oasis.

As of this morning's post I am predicting TFF films with a total of 35 nominations with another 15 "alternates".  Here's the TFF breakdown:

Poor Things (12 noms and one alternate) : Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Supporting Actor (Ruffalo), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects, Costumes and Makeup/Hair.  The alternate is a second Supporting Actor nomination for Willem Dafoe.

The Zone of Interest (Six noms and one alternate): Best Picture, Direction, International Film, Cinematography, Score and Sound.  The alternates is Huller for Adapted Screenplay.

The Holdovers (Five noms and two alternatives): Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Editing and Original Screenplay.  Alternates are for Direction, Supporting Actor.

Anatomy of a Fall (Three noms and one alternate):Best Picture, Actress and Original Screenplay and the alternate is for Editing.

American Symphony (Two noms): Best Doc feature and Song.

Nyad (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Supporting Actress with a Best Actress alternate.

Rustin (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Best Song with an alternate possibility for Best Actor.

Saltburn is an alternate in four categories: Best Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay and Cinematography.

All of Us Strangers is an alternate in two categories: Best Actor and Adapted Screenplay.

In addition to The Zone of Interest in International Feature, I'm predicting three other TFF films to be nominated in that category: The Taste of Things, The Teachers' Lounge and Fallen Leaves.  Totem and Perfect Days could also make it into the category.  Were it not for Society of the Snow I'd likely be predicting that all five nominees for International Feature would be TFF films.

In Documentary Feature, in addition to American Symphony, I have Beyond Utopia making it into the list of nominees.

And finally, in the Shorts categories I have three TFF films being nominated as you can see above: Strange Way of Life, The Last Repair Shop and Last Song from Kabul.

In terms of other predictions not TFF films I have Oppenheimer leading the pack with 13 nominations.  

Other non-TFF films with double nomination totals predicted:  Killers of the Flower Moon with 12 and Barbie with 11.  Maestro is now predicted for nine nominations.

Final MTFB Oscar nomination predictions are coming on Monday!

VISITING THE VAULT

Close readers of MTFB know that I keep a file labeled "Future Telluride" on my laptop.  As I see films announced that sound like they might have a TFF in their future, I put the article in that folder as a method of keeping track of those films.  

Each year I re-visit and cull the films that either did make it to TFF or were released having not made it to Southwest Colorado.  I think it's kind of fun to take stock of what was in there that made it to the most recent TFF and when they first went into the folder.

After this year's sorting, I found that I had 11 films that screened in TFF #50 that had been in the folder.  Here they are and the date I first saved them for future reference:

The Zone of Interest-July 11, 2018

Occupied City-Jan. 9, 2019

Tuesday-May 19, 2021

Poor Things-May 21, 2021

Nyad- Jan. 20, 2022

The Royal Hotel-April 30, 2022

The Promised Land- May 25, 2022

Fallen Leaves- June 10, 2022

All of Us Strangers- June 30, 2022

Strange Way of Life-July 2, 2022

The Bikeriders-August 5, 2022

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Emerald Fennell and Rosamund Pike for Saltburn from Awards Daily.

Behind the Scenes of The Holdovers from The Hollywood Reporter.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (TWITTER): @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

BLUE SKY: https://bsky.app/profile/gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Update: Makeup/Hair and Costumes Plus First Predictions for Shorts / Coming Up... / Interviews and Profiles: Giamatti, Glazer and More

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: MAKEUP/HAIR AND COSTUMES PLUS FIRST PREDICTIONS FOR SHORTS

In today's MTFB Oscar Update I update predictions for the Makeup/Hair and Costume categories as well as adding first predictions for the Shorts.  For Makeup/Hair their previous rank appears in parentheses to the right of the title.  As always, TFF films are in Bold.

COSTUMES (last predicted on Dec. 21st)

1) Barbie (1)

2) Poor Things (2)

3) Killers of the Flower Moon (4)

4) The Color Purple (3)

5) Maestro (5)

Alternates: Oppenheimer, Napoleon and Wonka.

MAKEUP AND HAIR

1) Maestro (1)

2) Poor Things (2)

3) Oppenheimer (-)

4) Killers of the Flower Moon (-)

5) Society of the Snow (-)

Alternates: Golda, Napoleon and Ferrari.

ANIMATED SHORT

1) War Is Over Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

2) Once upon a Studio

3) I'm Hip

4) A Kind of Testament

5) Eeva

Alternates: Boom, Wild Summon and Letter to a Pig.

LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) The Wonderful Life of Henry Sugar

2) Strange Way of Life

3) Good Boy

4) The After

5) Knight of Fortune

Alternates: The Anne Frank Gift Shop, Yellow and Invincible.

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) The Last Repair Shop

2) Last Song from Kabul

3) The ABCs of Book Banning

4) The Barber of Little Rock

5) Deciding Vote

Alternates: Oasis, Camp Courage and Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Games.

As of this morning's post I am predicting TFF films with a total of 36 nominations with another 16 "alternates".  Here's the TFF breakdown:

Poor Things (11 noms and one alternate) : Best Picture, Direction, Actress, Supporting Actor (Ruffalo), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects and Makeup/Hair.  The alternate is a second Supporting Actor nomination for Willem Dafoe.

The Zone of Interest (Six noms and two alternates): Best Picture, Direction, International Film, Cinematography, Score and Sound.  Alternates are Huller for Supporting Actress and Adapted Screenplay.

The Holdovers (Four noms and three alternatives): Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay.  Alternates are for Direction, Supporting Actor and Editing.

Anatomy of a Fall (Three noms and one alternate):Best Picture, Actress and Original Screenplay and the alternate is for Original Screenplay.

American Symphony (Two noms): Best Doc feature and Song.

All of Us Strangers (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Adapted Screenplay and a Best Actor alternate.

Nyad (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Supporting Actress with a Best Actress alternate.

Rustin (One nom and one alternate): The nom for Best Song with an alternate possibility for Best Actor.

In addition to The Zone of Interest in International Feature I'm predicting three other TFF films to be nominated in that category: The Taste of Things, The Teachers' Lounge and Fallen Leaves.  Totem and Perfect Days could also make it into the category.  Were it not for Society of the Snow I'd likely be predicting that all five nominees for International Feature would be TFF films.

In Documentary feature, in addition to American Symphony, I have Beyond Utopia making it into the list of nominees.

And finally, in the Shorts categories I have three TFF films being nominated as you can see above: Strange Way of Life, The Last Repair Shop and Last Song from Kabul.

In terms of other predictions not TFF films I have Killers of the Flower Moon leading the pack with 12 nominations.  Could KOTFM replicate The Irishman and have this many nominations and not win any?  Percentages right now suggest that is unlikely.  Lily Gladstone isn't certain to win Best Actress but she is certainly the frontrunner.  That said, she could be the only winner for KOTFM on Oscar night.

Other non-TFF films with double nomination totals predicted:  Oppenheimer with 11 and Barbie with 10 though Barbie could add up to three additional nominations.  Maestro is now predicted for seven  nominations with a shot at two others.

COMING UP...

It's a big Oscar pre-cursor period between now and MTFB's next post on Monday.  

Tomorrow the BAFTA longlists are released.

Saturday we'll see the National Society of Film Critics announce the top three vote getters in each of 10 categories.

And on Sunday The Golden Globes announce their winners.

I'll have a lot to talk about in Monday's post.

INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES

Paul Giamatti for The Holdovers from Indiewire.

Dominic Sessa for The Holdovers from The Playlist.

Alma Poysti for Fallen Leaves from Vanity Fair.

Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest from Indiewire.

Andrew Haigh for All of Us Strangers from Awards Radar.

Claire Foy for All of Us Strangers from Awards Radar.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com (drop me a line here to join the MTFB email list).

X (TWITTER): @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

BLUE SKY: https://bsky.app/profile/gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / BAFTA Nominations and TFF / Visitations: Nighy and More

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND MORE

                                              

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Original Score, Original Song and Sound.   These were last predicted on Jan. 5th.  Past ranking is to the right in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

FINAL MTFB OSCAR NOMINATIONS PREDICTIONS WILL BE IN MONDAY'S POST FOR ALL 23 CATEGORIES!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2)

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (-)

6) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (5)

7) Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness (6)

Out: Jesse Buckley/Women Talking

Should be in the mix: Buckley, Foy, McCarthy and Ivey from Women Talking

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

5) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)

6) Brad Pitt/Babylon (6)

7) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (7)

Should be in the mix: Whishaw /Women Talking, Strong/Armageddon Time

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) Babylon (4)

3) Women Talking (2)

4) Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (3)

5) The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

6) The Woman King (6)

7) Avatar: The Way of Water (7)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Naatu Naatu/RRR (2)

2) Lift Me Up/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

3) Hold My Hand/Top Gun: Maverick (3)

4) Ciao Papa/Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (4)

5) New Body Rhumba/White Noise (7)

6) Applause/Tell It Like a Woman (5)

7) Carolina/Where the Crawdads Sing (6)

BEST SOUND

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (2)

3) Elvis (3) 

4) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

5) The Batman (6)

6) Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

7) Babylon (5)

BAFTA NOMINATIONS AND TFF

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) announced their nominees for film excellence this morning.  Seven TFF films earned a total of 19 nominations with Todd Field's TAR leading the wat for films from The SHOW with five nominations.  Here's the listing:

TAR (5): Best Film, Direction/Field, Actress/Blanchett, Original Screenplay and Sound.

Living (4): Best British Film, Actor/Nighy, Adapted Screenplay and Rising Star/Wood.

Aftersun (4): Best British Film, Debut/Wells, Actor/Mescal and Casting.

Empire of Light (3): Best British Film, Best Supporting Actor/Ward and Cinematography.

The Wonder (1): Best British Film

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (1): Best Animated Film

Edward Bergers' All Quiet on the Western Front earned the most nominations of any film with 14.

Here's the complete rundown of BAFTA nominees.

VISITATIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy in Variety.

MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON: Dean Fleischer Camp and Kirsten Lepore in Vanity Fair.

HOLY SPIDER: Ali Abbasi and Ana Lily Amirpour in Variety.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

MTFB Oscar Take: Score, Song and More / Awards Weekend-Two Weeks from Oscar: BAFTA, DGA and Critics Choice

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: SCORE, SONG AND MORE

Here's your latest update of feature Oscar winners in the categories of Score, Song, Costume, Visual Effects, Sound and Makeup/Hair.  The last predictions for these categories was posted on Mar. 3rd.  As always, TFF #48 films are Bold.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Dune

2) The Power of the Dog

3) Encanto

4) Don't Look Up

5) Parallel Mothers

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) No Time to Die/No Time to Die

2) Dos Oruguitas/Encanto

3) Be Alive/King Richard

4) Down to Joy/Belfast

5) Somehow You Do/Four Good Days

BEST COSTUMES

1) Cruella

2) Dune

3) Nightmare Alley

4) West Side Story

5) Cyrano

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Dune

2) Spiderman: No Way Home

3) No Time to Die

4) Shang Chi

5) Free Guy

BEST SOUND

1) Dune

2) No Time to Die

3) West Side Story

4) The Power of the Dog

5) Belfast

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

1) The Eyes of Tammy Faye

2) Dune

3) Coming 2 America

4) Cruella

5) House of Gucci

AWARDS WEEKEND-TWO WEEKS FROM OSCAR

The last 48 hours held a cascade of film awards.  BAFTA, DGA and The Critics' Choice Awards all landed.  here's the lowdown on each especially how they pertained to TFF #48 films:

BAFTA- The British Association of Film and Television Arts.  From TFF #48, The Power of the Dog won Best Film and Best Direction (Jane Campion).  Belfast won Best British Film and Will Smith won Best Actor for King Richard.  TFF #47's After Love won for Best Actress with Joanna Scanlan taking that prize.

All of the BAFTA winner are here from the official BAFTA site.

THE CRITICS CHOICE AWARDS:

The CCAs where announced last night and here's the rundown on TFF #48 films:

The Power of the Dog won four: Picture, Director (Campion), Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography.

Belfast won three: Best Ensemble, Best Original Screenplay and Best Young Actor/Actress (Jude Hill)

King Richard's Will Smith won Best Actress.

The Critics Choice Awards full winners are here from Variety.

DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA

The Directors Guild of America awarded Jane Campion Best Director of a Feature Film for TFF #48 SHOW pony The Power of the Dog.  Additionally Maggie Gyllenhaal was named winner for Best First Feature for TFF #48 entrant The Lost Daughter.  

In Telluride-adjacent DGA news. this year's Guest Director and Shorts programmer Barry Jenkins won for Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Movies for Television and Limited Series.

The complete DGA winners list plus commentary is linked here from The Hollywood Reporter.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays