Monday, February 19, 2024

One Million!!!!! / MTFB Oscar Update: The Big Eight / BAFTA and TFF / Interviews and Profiles

ONE MILLION!!!!!



Over the just-ended weekend MTFB recorded its one-millionth view.  1,000,000.  That's insane for a little blog that is the "nicheiest" of niche blogs.  I'll likely have a little more to say about the milestone in Thursday's post. 

One Million...wow!



MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: THE BIG EIGHT



We're down to less than three weeks before they open the envelopes on March 10th.  Here's is my latest update on the predicted winners in the "Big Eight" of the 23 Oscar categories. Today's listing also includes a film/performers previous MTFB rank to the right in parentheses.  TFF films are indicated in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) Oppenheimer (1)
2) Poor Things (3)
3) The Holdovers (2)
4) Killers of the Flower Moon (6)
5) Barbie (5)
6) Anatomy of a Fall (7)
7) American Fiction (4)
8) The Zone of Interest (8)
9) Maestro (9)
10) Past Lives (10)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Christopher Nolan/Oppenheimer (1)
2) Yorgos Lanthimos/Poor Things (2)
3) Martin Scorsese/Killers of the Flower Moon (3)
4) Jonathan Glazer/The Zone of Interest (5)
5) Justine Triet/Anatomy of a Fall (4)

BEST ACTRESS

1) Lily Gladstone/Killers of the Flower Moon (1)
2) Emma Stone/Poor Things (2)
3) Sandra Huller/Anatomy of a Fall (3)
4) Annette Bening/Nyad (4)
5) Carey Mulligan/Maestro (5)

BEST ACTOR

1) Paul Giamatti/The Holdovers (1)
2) Cillian Murphy/Oppenheimer (2)
3) Bradley Cooper/Maestro (3)
4) Jeffrey Wright/American Fiction (4)
5) Colman Domingo/Rustin (5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Da'Vine Joy Randolph/The Holdovers (1)
2) Emily Blunt/Oppenheimer (2)
3) Danielle Brooks/The Color Purple 95)
4) America Ferrera/Barbie (4)
5) Jodie Foster/Nyad (3)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Robert Downey, Jr./Oppenheimer (1)
2) Ryan Gosling/Barbie (2)
3) Mark Ruffalo/Poor Things (4)
4) Robert DeNiro/Killers of the Flower Moon (3)
5) Sterling K. Brown/American Fiction (5)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Oppenheimer (3)
2) Barbie (1)
3) American Fiction (2)
4) Poor Things (4)
5) The Zone of Interest (5)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Anatomy of a Fall (1)
2) The Holdovers (2)
3) Past Lives (3)
4) Maestro (4)
5) May December (5)

COMMENTS:

With less than three weeks to go and final Oscar voting starting on Thursday, four of these categories feel all but locked: Picture (Oppy), Director (Nolan/Oppy), Supporting Acting (Randolph/The Holdovers and Downey, Jr./Oppy).

The lead acting categories are very tight.  Gladstone and Stone are neck and neck as far as I can tell.  Giamatti and Murphy are also close. Adapted Screenplay appears to be a three horse race between Oppenheimer/Barbie/American Fiction.  Original Screenplay is also close, though Anatomy of a Fall seems to have the edge at the moment.  It will be interesting to see if the BAFTA (see below), SAG, PGA, Independent Spirit and WGA nomination results have moved the needle for any of these eight categories when we come back to them in the MTFB post on Feb. 29th.

If I'm 100% accurate TFF films will win three of these categories on Oscar night: Actress, Actor and Original Screenplay.


BAFTA AND TFF




Oppenheimer had a great British evening on Sunday as the film led all others with seven BAFTA  wins including Best Pic, Direction and Actor.

But films that played TFF also did well in the Brits' estimation with 11 total wins on the night.

Yorgos Lanthimos' Poor Things was the #2 winner in total with five BAFTAs: Best Actress, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects.

Jonathan Glazer's The Zone of Interest landed three BAFTAs: Best British Film, Best Film Not in the English Language and Sound.

And Alexander Payne's The Holdovers earned two BAFTAs for Best Supporting Actress and Best Casting.

Justine Triet's Anatomy of a Fall was the other TFF film with BAFTA success getting the award for Best Original Screenplay.

Both Barbie and Killers of the Flower Moon missed winning any awards from BAFTA.




INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES











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