MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: WINNER PREDICTIONS FOR THE SHORTS
In today's post I'm concluding my first "educated" set of predictions for who/what will win on Oscar night, March 10th. The focus for this post is initial projections for which films will win for Animated Short, Documentary Short and Live Action Short. As always TFF films are in Bold.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
1) War Is Over: Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko.
2) Letter to a Pig
3) Ninety-Five Senses
4) Our Uniform
5) Pachyderme
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
1) The Last Repair Shop
2) The ABC's of Book Burning
3) Nai Nai and Wai Po
4) The Barber of Little Rock
5) Island in Between
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
1) The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
2) The After
3) Red, White and Blue
4) Invincible
5) Knight of Fortune
Comment: Notoriously the three most difficult categories to predict. TFF only has one film nominated in any of these three categories and that is The Last Repair Shop which I have predicted currently as the winner for Best Doc Short.
Now that I've gotten through all 23 categories I'll begin updating for the next two weeks. The the ultimate final set of predictions will come down on Sunday morning, March 9th in a special MTFB post.
WHAT THE EXPERTS ARE SAYING
Today's double whammy of Oscar expertise comes from Matt Neglia at Next Best Picture and Mark Johnson of Good as Gold (housed at Awards Daily).
Here's what Neglia currently has predicted:
Oppenheimer (7): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Sound.
Poor Things (4): Best Actress, Costumes, Makeup/Hair and Production Design.
The Holdovers (2): Best Actor, Supporting Actress.
Single wins for:
Anatomy of a Fall: Best Original Screenplay.
American Fiction: Best Adapted Screenplay.
Barbie: Best Song (What Was I Made for?).
Napoleon: Best Visual Effects.
Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse: Best Animated Feature.
20 Days in Mariupol: Best Documentary Feature.
The Zone of Interest: Best International Feature.
The Last Repair Shop: Best Documentary Short.
War Is Over: Best Animated Short
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar: Best Live Action Short.
Neglia has five TFF films winning a total of nine Oscars.
Meanwhile, Mark Johnson predicts as follows:
Oppenheimer (8): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Sound.
Poor Things (2): Best Actress and Costumes.
The Holdovers (2): Best Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay.
Barbie (2): Best Song (I'm Just Ken) and Production Design.
Maestro (2): Best Actor and Makeup/Hair.
Single wins for:
Napoleon: Best Visual Effects.
Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse: Best Animated Feature.
20 Days in Mariupol: Best Documentary Feature.
The Zone of Interest: Best International Feature.
The Last Repair Shop: Best Documentary Short.
War Is Over: Best Animated Short
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar: Best Live Action Short.
Johnson has four TFF winning a total of six Oscars.
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