NOTE: Christopher Nolan won the Directors Guild award for Best Direction of a feature film Saturday night
MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: FIRST WINNERS PREDICTIONS FOR MAKEUP/HAIR, COSTUMES, VISUAL EFFECTS AND SOUND
In this post I'm continuing my first "educated" set of predictions for who/what will win on Oscar night, March 10th. The focus for this post is initial projections for which films will win for Makeup/Hair, Costumes, Visual Effects and Sound. As always TFF films are in Bold.
MAKEUP/HAIR
1) Maestro
2) Poor Things
3) Oppenheimer
4) Golda
5) Society of the Snow
COSTUMES
1) Barbie
2) Poor Things
3) Killers of the Flower Moon
4) Oppenheimer
5) Napoleon
VISUAL EFFECTS
1) The Creator
2) Godzilla Minus One
3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
4) Napoleon
5) Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning
SOUND
1) Oppenheimer
2) The Zone of Interest
3) Maestro
4) The Creator
5) Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning
Comment: Oppenheimer is massively favored for the Sound Oscar. each of the other three categories are competitive at some level. For Makeup/Hair Maestro is in solid shape but Poor Things shouldn't be counted out just yet. Costume Design is a very competitive race between Barbie and Poor Things and though I have The Creator at the top of the Visual Effects category, at the moment any of the top four seem to have a shot at the trophy on March 10th.
TFF films are currently not predicted to win in any of these four categories.
Thursday, a look at the Shorts categories.
WHAT THE EXPERTS ARE SAYING: PART THREE
I've decided for each post between now and the Oscars to share where some of the top Oscarologists are in terms of predicting the 23 category winners. Today I'm sharing the publicly posted current predictions from Sasha Stone of Awards Daily and Anne Thompson of Indiewire (via her posted predictions at Gold Derby). As with my own predictions above, TFF films are in Bold.
Here's how Sasha has the winners predicted:
Oppenheimer (7): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Sound.
Barbie (4): Best Adapted Screenplay, Production Design, Costumes and Song (I'm Just Ken).
The Holdovers (3): Best Actor, Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay.
Films with single Oscar wins:
Killers of the Flower Moon: Best Actress.
The Zone of Interest: Best International Feature.
20 Days in Mariupol: Best Documentary.
Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse: Best Animated Feature.
Maestro: Best Makeup/Hair.
The Creator: Best Visual Effects.
The Last Repair Shop: Best Documentary Short.
War Is Over: Best Animated Short.
The After: Best Live Action Short.
Stone has three TFF films winning a total of five Oscars. Stone also has 11 time nominee Poor Things going home empty-handed on Oscar night.
Meanwhile, Indiewire's Anne Thompson has it this way:
Oppenheimer (8): Best Picture, Direction, Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Sound.
Barbie (3): Adapted Screenplay, Production Design and Song (What Was I Made For?)
Poor Things (2): Best Actress and Costumes.
Films with single Oscar wins:
The Holdovers: Best Supporting Actress.
Anatomy of a Fall: Best Original Screenplay.
Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse: Best Animated Feature.
The Eternal Memory: Best Documentary.
The Zone of Interest: Best International Feature.
Godzilla Minus One: Best Visual Effects.
Maestro: Best Makeup/Hair
Letter to a Pig: Best Animated Short.
The ABCs of Book Burning: Best Documentary Short.
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar: Best Live Action Short.
Thompson has four TFF films picking up a total of five trophies.
TRAILERS AND CLIPS
U.S. Trailer for La Chimaera from NEON and YouTube:
Clip from Wim Wenders' Oscar nominated Perfect Days:
INTERVIEWS AND PROFILES
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
X (TWITTER): @TheMTFB OR @Gort2
BLUE SKY: https://bsky.app/profile/gort2.bsky.social
MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays
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