MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: INTERNATIONAL, DOCUMENTARY, ANIMEATED FEATURES AND SONG
In this post I'm continuing my first "educated" set of predictions for who/what will win on Oscar night, March 10th. The focus for this post is initial projections for the International. Documentary, and Animated Feature races as well Best Original Song. As always TFF films are in Bold.
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
1) The Zone of Interest/United Kingdom
2) Society of the Snow/Spain
3) The Teachers' Lounge/Germany
4) Perfect Days/Japan
5) Io Capitano/Italy
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1) 20 Days in Mariupol
2) Bobi Wine: The People's President
3) Four Daughters
4) The Eternal Memory
5) To Kill a Tiger
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse
2) The Boy and the Heron
3) Elemental
4) Nimona
5) Robot Dreams
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
1) What Was I Made For?/Barbie
2) I'm Just Ken/Barbie
3) It Never Went Away/American Symphony
4) Whazhazhe/Killers of the Flower Moon
5) The Fire Inside/Flamin' Hot
Comment: Of the five TFF nominees from this group of categories only The Zone of Interest looks like a winner.
At the moment the closest of these four categories looks to be Original Song where the two tunes from Barbie appear to be slugging it out. It does beg the question of whether the two songs might split enough votes that something else sneaks in for the win.
WHAT THE EXPERTS ARE SAYING
I've decided for each post between now and the Oscars to share where some of the top Oscarologists are in terms of predicting the 23 category winners. Today I'm sharing the publicly posted current predictions from Variety's Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter's Scott Feinberg. as with my predictions above, TFF films are in Bold.
From Clayton Davis...the current predictions have Oppenheimer winning eight Oscars.
Oppenheimer (8): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score and Sound.
The Holdovers (2): Best Actor and Supporting Actress.
Poor Things (2): Production Design and Costumes.
Single wins for:
Killers of the Flower Moon: Best Actress.
Barbie: Best Song (What Was I Made For?)
Anatomy of a Fall: Best Original Screenplay.
The Zone of Interest: Best International Feature.
Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse: Best Animated Feature.
20 Days in Mariupol: Best Documentary Feature.
Maestro: Best Makeup/Hair.
The Creator: Best Visual Effects.
The Last Repair Shop: Best Documentary Short.
Letter to a Pig: Best Animated Short.
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar: Best Live Action Short.
If Clayton nails it, TFF films snag seven Oscar wins.
Meanwhile, Scott Feinberg at The Hollywood Reporter is currently predicting the same category wins for Oppenheimer that Davis has.
Oppenheimer (8): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay. Cinematography, Editing, Score and Sound.
The Holdovers (3): Best Actor, Supporting Actress and Original Screenplay.
Barbie (3): Costumes, Song (What Was I Made For?), and Production Design.
Single wins for:
Poor Things: Best Actress.
The Zone of Interest: Best International Feature.
Spiderman: Across the Spider-Verse: Best Animated Feature.
Bobi Wine: The People's President: Best Documentary Feature.
Maestro: Best Makeup/Hair.
Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 3: Best Visual Effects.
War Is Over: Best Animated Short.
The ABC's of Book Burning: Best Documentary Short.
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar: Best Live Action Short.
If Feinberg is 100% accurate, TFF films earn six Oscar wins.
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