MTFB Oscar Update: Visual and Sound and Shorts / U.S. Trailer for Tori and Lokita / Visitations: Nighy, Polley and More

 MTFB OSCAR UPDATE

Here's a third pass at predicting Visual Effects, Sound and the Shorts categories   Previous rankings are to the right of each film in parentheses.  TFF films are in Bold.  Final predictions from MTFB are coming on Sunday morning in a special Oscar's morning post.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

2) Top Gun: Maverick (2)

3) All Quiet on the Western Front (3)

4) The Batman (4)

5) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (5)

BEST SOUND

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) All Quiet on the Western Front (3)

3) Elvis (2)

4) Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

5)The Batman (5)

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

1) The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (1)

2) An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake... (2)

3) My Year of Dicks (4)

4) Ice Merchants (5)

5) The Flying Sailor (3)

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1) The Elephant Whisperers (4)

2) Stranger at the Gate (3)

3) The Martha Mitchell Effect (1)

4) How Do You Measure a Year? (2)

5) Haulout (5)

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

1) An Irish Goodbye (2)

2) Le Pupille (1)

3) The Red Suitcase (3)

4) Ivalu (5)

5) The Night Ride (4)

Thoughts: Best Sound seemed almost a lock for Top Gun: Maverick two weeks ago but there is a surge of sentiment for All Quiet and Elvis isn't out of the question  

As always, the Shorts categories are virtually impenetrable.  The closest thing to a lock there appears to be for Animated Short with The Boy, The Mole, The Fox and The Horse.  Live Action and Doc Shorts are a mess.  Live Action is probably down to the top two: An Irish Goodbye and Le Pupille while Doc Shorts are all over the place.  Literally any of the five nominees are still possible winners.

U.S  TRAILER FOR TORI AND LOKITA

The Dardenne Brothers returned to Telluride in 2022 with Tori and Lokita.  It was the brothers' first time back to TFF since 2014's Two Days One Night.  Now, ahead of its March 24th limited release we have a new trailer for the U.S.  Here that is from YouTube:

VISITATIONS

Women Talking: Dede Gardner with The Hollywood Reporter and Sarah Polley with Indiewire.

Living: Bill Nighy with Vanity Fair.

TAR: Todd Field with Deadline.

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On: Dean Fleischer Camp with Variety.

Close: Lukas Dhont with Deadline.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture and More / Oscar Thoughts / Extended Trailer for Salvatore / Visitations: Women Talking, Bardo and Sr.

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE AND MORE

Here's the last update for these major categories prior to final predictions that will post on the Sunday morning of the Oscars (March 12th).  A film's previous ranking from two weeks ago is indicated to the right in parentheses. TFF films are indicated in Bold.

 BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

3) The Fabelmans (2)

4) Top Gun: Maverick (5)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

6) TAR (5)

7) Elvis (6)

8) Triangle of Sadness (8)

9) Avatar: The Way of Water (9)

10) Women Talking (10)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (2)

3) Todd Field/TAR (3)

4) Martin McDonagh/The Bnashees of Inisherin (4)

5) Ruben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (5)

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Andrea Riseborough/To Leslie (5)

4) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Ana de Armas/Blonde (4)

BEST ACTOR

1) Austin Butler/Elvis (2)

2) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

3) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

2) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

3) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (4)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (5)

BEST SUPPORTNG ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Barry Koeghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (4)

4) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (5)

OSCAR THOUGHTS

The BAFTA win for Austin Butler seemed to have lifted him over Brendan Fraser in the Best Actor race and BAFTA also seemed to solidify Cate Blanchett's position over Michelle Yeoh, then the SGA's happened last night and it's all back up in the air again.  

DGA, PGA  and SAG Ensemble wins for Everything Everywhere All at Once have solidified its position for Best Picture and Best Direction. 

PGA- TFF nominees were wiped out across the board.  TAR, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and Retrograde were the only TFF films nominated and none won.  You could make a bit of a case for Navalny's PGA win for Documentary being TFF-adjacent as it screened prior to the fest's start at Elk Park.  Also, TFF touches just a bit on Everything Everywhere All at Once with the special screening of Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon and the appearance at the fest of Michelle Yeoh.

SAG- Everything Everywhere won everything everywhere.  Ensemble, Actress (Yeoh), Supporting Actress (Curtis) and Supporting Actor (Quan).  Brendan Fraser gained back some ground with his SAG win over Austin Butler.  That goes back to being a tight race.  Yeoh's win did the same in Best Actress with Blanchett and Jamie Lee Curtis's win throws Supporting Actress into a real tizzy.  

Quan's win means he is locked and the Ensemble prize seems to lock Everything Everywhere for Best Picture.  EEAAO could end up with six Oscars in two weeks time.

this next two weeks are going to be crazy.

EXTENDED TRAILER FOR SALVATORE

Sony Pictures Classics released an extended trailer this week for Luca Guadagnino's documentary Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams.  The film has already been released.

VISITATIONS

Women Talking: Sarah Polley with Indiewire and Ben Whishaw with The Standard.

Sr. : Chris Smith with The National Board of Review.

Bardo: Alejandro Inarritu and Darius Khondji with Indiewire.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Best Picture, Direction and Acting / Oscar Thoughts / Visitations: Bill Nighy on Living

Here are my latest predictions for who/what will win Oscars on March 12th for Best Picture, Direction and the four acting categories.

BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

3) The Fabelmans (2)

4) TAR (5)

5)  Top Gun: Maverick (4)

6) Elvis (6)

7) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

8) Triangle of Sadness (8)

9) Avatar: The Way of Water (9)

10) Women Talking (10)

BEST DIRECTION

1) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

2) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

3) Todd Field/TAR (4)

4) Martin McDonagh/The Bnashees of Inisherin (3)

5) Ruben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness (5)

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) Andrea Riseborough/To Leslie (5)

4) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Ana de Armas/Blonde (4)

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

2) Austin Butler/Elvis (2)

3) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (5)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (4)

BEST SUPPORTNG ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)

4) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

5) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (5)

OSCAR THOUGHTS:

Only one substantial change and that is in Best Direction where I have moved The Daniels of Everything Everywhere ahead of Steven Spielberg for the win on March 12th.

Otherwise, two weeks after I originally predicted these six categories, the leaders remain the same with Everything Everywhere winning Best Pic and the acting awards going to Blanchett, Fraser, Bassett and Quan.

We'll  re-visit these six categories in on Feb. 26th and then again for my final predictions.

What are the tightest categories at present, at least from my perspective:

Picture: Giving  Everything Everywhere a serious fight are: Banshees, Fabelmans, Maverick and maybe even TAR. Heck, even Elvis and All Quiet are outside shots.

Direction: It appears to be down to The Daniels and Spielberg.

Actress: Blanchett and Yeoh.  Tight.

Actor: Fraser, Butler and Farrell.  Also tight.

Original Screenplay: Everything Everywhere and Banshees.

Score: Babylon and Fabelmans

Documentary: Any of them except House of Splinters.

Cinematography: Elvis, All Quiet and TAR.

Editing: Maverick and Everything Everywhere

Makeup/Hair: Elvis and The Whale.

And, as always, the three Shorts categories.

You can hear Anne Thompson and Eric Kohn talk about what they believe are the tightest categories as a part of this week's Screen Talk podcast from Indiewire.  That's linked here.

VISTATTIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy from SPC's Twitter account.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: First Oscar Winner Predictions / Visitations : Blanchett and More

FIRST OSCAR WINNER PREDICITONS

We're headed for March 12th and the 95th Academy Awards and now that nominations are known (with the possible exception of Andrea Riseborough) here's your first look at predicted winners.  I'll start today with six  major categories and then add six more for each of the next three posts.  Each set will then be updated every two weeks until the final set of predictions on Oscar Sunday.

As always, films from TFF are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once

2) The Fabelmans

3) The Banshees of Inisherin

4)  Top Gun: Maverick

5) TAR

6) Elvis

7) All Quiet on the Western Front

8) Triangle of Sadness

9) Avatar: The Way of Water

10) Women Talking

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans

2) Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert/Everything Everywhere All at Once

3) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin

4) Todd Field/TAR

5) Ruben Ostlund/Triangle of Sadness

BEST ACTRESS

1) Cate Blanchett/TAR

2) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once

3) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans

4) Ana de Armas/Blonde

5) Andrea Riseborough/To Leslie

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale

2) Austin Butler/Elvis

3) Colin Farrell/The Banshees of Inisherin

4) Bill Nighy/Living

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

2) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once

4) Hong Chau/The Whale

5) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once

BEST SUPPORTNG ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin

3) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin

4) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans

5) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway

On Thursday I'll add predictions for Screenplays, Score, Song, Cinematography and Editing.

VISITATIONS

CLOSE

Lukas Dhont at The Playlist.

TAR

Cate Blanchett on Focus Features YouTube channel.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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SPECIAL POST: OSCAR NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCED

OSCAR NOMINATIONS ANNOUNCED

TFF Films in Bold.

Best Picture

“All Quiet on the Western Front”

“Avatar: The Way of Water”

“The Banshees of Inisherin”

“Elvis”

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

“The Fabelmans”

“TÁR”

“Top Gun: Maverick”

“Triangle of Sadness”

“Women Talking”

Best Director

Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”)

Todd Field (“TÁR”)

Ruben Östlund (“Triangle of Sadness”)

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett (“TÁR”)

Ana de Armas (“Blonde”)

Andrea Riseborough (“To Leslie”)

Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”)

Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Actor

Austin Butler (“Elvis”)

Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”)

Paul Mescal (“Aftersun”)

Bill Nighy (“Living”)

Best Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”)

Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”)

Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”)

Hong Chau (“The Whale”)

Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best International Feature Film

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Edward Berger, Germany)

“Argentina, 1985” (Santiago Mitre, Argentina)

“Close” (Lukas Dhont, Belgium)

“EO” (Poland)

“The Quiet Girl” (Ireland)

Best Cinematography

James Friend (“All Quiet on the Western Front”)

Darius Khondji (“Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths”)

Mandy Walker (“Elvis”)

Roger Deakins (“Empire of Light”)

Florian Hoffmeister (“Tár”)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Edward Berger, Ian Stokell, and Lesley Paterson (“All Quiet on the Western Front”)

Rian Johnson (“Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery”)

Kazuo Ishiguro (“Living”)

Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie, and Eric Warren Singer (“Top Gun: Maverick”)

Sarah Polley (“Women Talking”)

Best Original Screenplay

Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Todd Field (“TÁR”)

Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”)

Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Ruben Östlund (“Triangle of Sadness”)

Best Animated Feature

“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” (ShadowMachine/Netflix)

“Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” (A24)

“Turning Red” (Pixar/Disney)

“Puss in Boots: The Last Wish” (DreamWorks/Universal)

“The Sea Beast” (Netflix)

Best Visual Effects

“Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century/Disney)

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)

“The Batman” (Warner Bros.)

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Disney/Marvel)

“Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount)

Best Editing

“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

“Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount)

“TÁR” (Focus Features)

“The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)

Best Production Design

“Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios/Disney)

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)

“Babylon” (Paramount)

“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

“The Fabelmans” (Universal)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

“The Batman” (Warner Bros.)

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel/Disney)

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)

“The Whale” (A24)

Best Costume Design

“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel/Disney)

“Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)

“Babylon” (Paramount)

“Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris” (Focus Features)

Best Sound

“Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount)

“Elvis” (Warner Bros.)

“Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century/Disney)

Contenders

“All Quiet on the Western Front” (Netflix)

“The Batman” (Warner Bros.)

Best Documentary Feature

“All That Breathes”

“All the Beauty and the Bloodshed”

“Fire of Love”

“A House Made of Splinters”

“Navalny”

Best Documentary Short Subject

“The Elephant Whisperers”

“Haulout”

“How Do You Measure a Year?”

“The Martha Mitchell Effect”

“Stranger at the Gate”

Best Live Action Short

“An Irish Goodbye”

“Ivalu”

“Le Pupille”

“Night Ride”

“The Red Suitcase”

Best Animated Short

“The Flying Sailor”

“The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse”

“Ice Merchants”

“My Year of Dicks”

“An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It”

Best Original Song

“Hold My Hand” — Lady Gaga (“Top Gun: Maverick”)

“Lift Me Up”— Rihanna (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”)

“Naatu Naatu”— Kaala Bhairava, M.M. Keeravani, and Rahul Sipligunj (“RRR”)

“Applause”— Diane Warren (“Tell It Like a Woman”)

“This Is a Life”— David Byrne, Ryan Lott, and Mitski (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Original Score

Justin Hurwitz (“Babylon”)

John Williams (“The Fabelmans”)

Volker Bertelmann (“All Quiet on the Western Front”)

Carter Burwell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)

Son Lux (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

TFF films earn 17 nominations.  16 from TFF #49 and one from TFF #48.

TAR leads the Telluride crew with six: Best Picture, Actress, Direction, Original Screenplay, Editing and Cinematography.

Women Calling and Living each got two nominations.  Women Calling for Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay.  Living for Best Actor and Adapted Screenplay.

Single nominations for:

Aftersun: Best Actor

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed: Best Doc

Close: Best International Feature

Empire of Light: Cinematography

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On: Best Animated Film (TFF #48)

Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths: Cinematography

Le Pupille: Best Live Action Short

Everything everywhere All at Once had the most nominations with 11.  Followed by The Banshees of Inisherin and All Quiet on the Western Front with nine each.

I'm pleased that Nighy is Oscar nominated and that Women Talking made the field for Best Picture.

I go 93 out of 120 for a 77.5% rate.

My best categories were Best Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Production Design, Makeup/Hair and Visual Effects where I was 5 of 5.  My categories were Cinematography and Doc Short where I went 2 of 5.

My  point of pride: Picking All Quiet on the Western Front to get nine nominations which it did.  Although I had Edward Berger getting a Best Director nomination which did not happen.  However All Quiet picked up a nom for Best Score that I did not predict.

More on Thursday!

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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MTFB Oscar Update: Supporting Acting and More / BAFTA Nominations and TFF / Visitations: Nighy and More

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SUPPORTING ACTING AND MORE

                                              

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best  Supporting Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Original Score, Original Song and Sound.   These were last predicted on Jan. 5th.  Past ranking is to the right in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

FINAL MTFB OSCAR NOMINATIONS PREDICTIONS WILL BE IN MONDAY'S POST FOR ALL 23 CATEGORIES!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Kerry Condon/The Banshees of Inisherin (1)

2) Angela Bassett/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2)

3) Jamie Lee Curtis/Everything Everywhere All at Once (3)

4) Stephanie Hsu/Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

5) Hong Chau/The Whale (-)

6) Janelle Monae/Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (5)

7) Dolly DeLeon/Triangle of Sadness (6)

Out: Jesse Buckley/Women Talking

Should be in the mix: Buckley, Foy, McCarthy and Ivey from Women Talking

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Ke Huy Quan/Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Brendan Gleeson/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

3) Barry Keoghan/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

4) Paul Dano/The Fabelmans (5)

5) Judd Hirsch/The Fabelmans (4)

6) Brad Pitt/Babylon (6)

7) Bryan Tyree Henry/Causeway (7)

Should be in the mix: Whishaw /Women Talking, Strong/Armageddon Time

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

1) The Fabelmans (1)

2) Babylon (4)

3) Women Talking (2)

4) Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (3)

5) The Banshees of Inisherin (5)

6) The Woman King (6)

7) Avatar: The Way of Water (7)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

1) Naatu Naatu/RRR (2)

2) Lift Me Up/Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (1)

3) Hold My Hand/Top Gun: Maverick (3)

4) Ciao Papa/Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (4)

5) New Body Rhumba/White Noise (7)

6) Applause/Tell It Like a Woman (5)

7) Carolina/Where the Crawdads Sing (6)

BEST SOUND

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (2)

3) Elvis (3) 

4) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

5) The Batman (6)

6) Everything Everywhere All at Once (7)

7) Babylon (5)

BAFTA NOMINATIONS AND TFF

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) announced their nominees for film excellence this morning.  Seven TFF films earned a total of 19 nominations with Todd Field's TAR leading the wat for films from The SHOW with five nominations.  Here's the listing:

TAR (5): Best Film, Direction/Field, Actress/Blanchett, Original Screenplay and Sound.

Living (4): Best British Film, Actor/Nighy, Adapted Screenplay and Rising Star/Wood.

Aftersun (4): Best British Film, Debut/Wells, Actor/Mescal and Casting.

Empire of Light (3): Best British Film, Best Supporting Actor/Ward and Cinematography.

The Wonder (1): Best British Film

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1): Best Documentary

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (1): Best Animated Film

Edward Bergers' All Quiet on the Western Front earned the most nominations of any film with 14.

Here's the complete rundown of BAFTA nominees.

VISITATIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy in Variety.

MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON: Dean Fleischer Camp and Kirsten Lepore in Vanity Fair.

HOLY SPIDER: Ali Abbasi and Ana Lily Amirpour in Variety.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

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MTFB Oscar Update: Lead Acting and More / The Critics Choice and TFF / Visitations: Buckley, Foy, Inarritu and More

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: UPDATING LEAD ACTING AND MORE

I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Actress, Best Actor, Cinematography, Editing and Production Design.  These were last predicted on Jan. 2nd.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Performances from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ACTRESS

1) Michelle Yeoh/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

2) Cate Blanchett/TAR (1)

3) Danielle Deadwyler/Till (4)

4) Michelle Williams/The Fabelmans (3)

5) Viola Davis/The Woman King (5)

6) Anna de Armas/Blonde (New)

7) Margot Robbie/Babylon (6)

Out: Olivia Colman/Empire of Light

BEST ACTOR

1) Brendan Fraser/The Whale (1)

2) Austin Butler/Elvis (3)

3) Colin Ferrell/The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

4) Bill Nighy/Living (4)

5) Paul Mescal/Aftersun (6)

6) Tom Cruise/Top Gun: Maverick (5)

7) Adam Sandler/Hustle (New)

Out: Hugh Jackman/The Son

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) Empire of Light (6)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (5)

6) Babylon (4)

7) TAR (7)

BEST FILM EDITING

1) Top Gun: Maverick (1)

2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) Elvis (5)

5) Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

6) The Banshees of Inisherin (6)

7) TAR (7)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Elvis (3)

2) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

3) Babylon (2)

4) The Fabelmans (4)

5) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (5)

6) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (7)

7) Everything Everywhere All at Once (6)

THE CRITICS CHOICE AND TFF

The Critics' Choice Awards were handed out last night and the film side was dominated by Everything Everywhere All at Once with five wins including Best Picture and Best Direction.   

Nine TFF films had been nominated with a combined 23 nominations.  At the end of the evening TFF films had landed with three wins.  TAR had two of those for Best Actress-Cate Blanchett and Best Score.  Sarah Polley won Best Adapted Screenplay for Women Talking.

The complete list of winners can be found here.

VISITATIONS

WOMEN TALKING- Jesse Buckley with Deadline.com. and Claire Foy with Wmagazine.com.

TAR- Nina Hoss with Variety.

BARDO- Alejandro G. Inarritu with Deadline.com.

AFTERSUN- Charlotte Wells with The Hollywood Reporter.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

TWITTER @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

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Guilds, Globes and TFF / Another Bill Pence Remembrance / MTFB Oscar Update: Picture, Direction and More

GUILDS, GLOBES AND MORE

The films from TFF #49 (and #48) continue to have a tough time gaining traction during this awards season.  Since Monday's post we have witnessed Guild nominations from, among others, actors, directors, cinematographers and art directors.  The Producers Guild will announce its ten nominees later today and The Critics Choice Awards ceremony will occur Sunday and those two events are the last two big puzzle pieces/precursors prior to the Jan. 24th Oscar nomination announcement.  The WGA nominees won't influence voters as they will not announce their nominees until the day after Oscar nomination.  additionally, the WGA has ruled out so many probable nominees that the two lists are almost guaranteed to be wildly different.

Here's what was revealed this week from The Globes and Guilds regarding TFF films:

Golden Globes:  TFF films had a total of nine GG nominations going into Tuesday night's ceremony.  To recap, those were:

TAR (3): Best Picture-Drama, Actress (Blanchett), Screenplay

Women Talking (2): Best Screenplay and Score

Living (1): Best Actor/Drama (Nighy)

Empire of Light (1): Best Actress/Drama (Colman)

Close (1): Best Picture Not in the English Language

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (from TFF #48) (1): Best Animated Film

Of the nine nominations, TAR won twice for Cate Blanchett as Best Actress/Drama and for Todd Field's screenplay.  The complete list of GG winners is linked here.

Among the Guilds:

The Screen Actors Guild nominees from TFF films were: Best Actress Cate Blanchett/TAR, Best Actor: Bill Nighy/Living and Women Talking as Outstanding Cast.  Here's the link to all of the SAG nominees.

The Directors Guild nominated Todd Field/TAR.  Meanwhile, Charlotte Wells was nominated for Best First Time Director for Aftersun. The complete list of DGA Feature film nominees is linked here.  Field and Wells join Previously announced nominees for Documentary feature direction.  That list included two docs that played at TFF: Laura Poitras/All the Beauty and the Bloodshed and Matthew Heineman for Retrograde.

The American Society of Cinematographers nominated Roger Deakins/Empire of Light and Darius Khondji/Bardo for best documentary feature.  All of the ASC nominees can be found here. 

The Art Directors Guild nominated both Bardo and TAR for Best Production Design for a Contemporary Feature and Marcel the Shell with Shoes On for Animated feature.

All ADG nominees can be found here.

ANOTHER BILL PENCE REMEMBRANCE

Howie Mosvhovitz, who has worked at the Telluride Film Festival since 1992 as a part of the Student Symposium staff, penned another very nice remembrance of TFF co-founder Bill Pence who died early last month. The piece was posted by the Colorado Sun on Tuesday.

Movshovitz writes in part:

"What was Bill like? He adored the movies. He was tremendously focused and disciplined. He expected the same from people who worked on the festival. He made sure to get the best film prints possible (years before digital); he expected good projection; he chose to work with people he found capable and interesting, and with Stella and Tom Luddy created a Telluride family of some of the most devoted lovers of cinema in the world — Chuck Jones, Werner Herzog, Bertrand Tavernier, Ken Burns, Louis Malle, the international programmer Pierre Rissient. Bill Pence never made himself a star — the festival and the films were the stars."

The complete article is linked here.

In today's post I am updating Oscar predictions for Best Picture, Best Direction, Best Animated, Documentary and International features which were last posted on Dec. 29th.  TFF #49 films are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

2) Top Gun: Maverick (4)

3) The Fabelmans (2)

4) The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

5) Avatar: The Way of Water (5)

6) Elvis (7)

7) TAR (6)

8) Women Talking (8)

9) All Quiet on the Western Front (11)

10) Babylon (9)

11) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (9)

12) Triangle of Sadness  (12)

Stealth possibilities: Aftersun, Living, GDT's Pinocchio, The Woman King, RRR

BEST DIRECTION

1) Steven Spielberg/The Fabelmans (1)

2) The Daniels/Everything Everywhere All at Once (2)

3) James Cameron/Avatar: The Way of Water (4)

4) Martin McDonagh/The Banshees of Inisherin (3)

5) Todd Field/TAR (5)

6) Baz Luhrman/Elvis (7)

7) Sarah Polley/Women Talking (6)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

1) GDT's Pinocchio (1)

2) Marcel the Shell with Shoes On (2)

3) Turning Red (3)

4) Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (4)

5) Wendall and Wild (5)

6) Lightyear (-)

7) Strange World (7)

Out: In-Oh

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1) All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (1)

2) All That Breathes (3)

3) Fire of Love (2)

4) Descendant (5)

5) Navalny (4)

6) The Territory (6)

7) Retrograde (7)

BEST  INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

1) All Quiet on the Western Front (1)

2) Close (2)

3) Decision to Leave (3)

4) Argentina 1985 (5)

5 Eo (New)

6) Saint Omer (6)

7) Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (7)

Out: Holy Spider

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BAFTA Longlists and TFF / MTFB Oscar Update: Screenplays and More / The National Society of Film Critics and TFF / Visitations: Bill Nighy and More

BAFTA LONGLISTS AND TFF

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts announced their longlist of finalists for potential nominations for the films of 2022.  13 films from TFF were longlisted in at least one category with Charlotte Wells' Aftersun and Todd Field's TAR the leaders from TFF with eight mentions each.  All told TFF films landed 40 mentions.  Here's the rundown:

Aftersun (8): Best Film, Best British Film, Best Debut, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actor (Mescal), Casting and Editing.

TAR (8): Best Film, Direction, Original Screenplay, Actress (Blanchett), Casting, Cinematography, Score and Sound.

Living: (6): Best Film, Best British Film, Adapted Screenplay, Actor (Nighy), Supporting Actress (Wood) and Casting.

Women Talking (4): Direction, Adapted Screenplay, Supporting Actor (Whishaw) and Score.

Empire of Light (4): Best British Film, Supporting Actor (Ward), Score and Production Design.

The Wonder (3): Best British Film, Adapted Screenplay and Score.

Single mentions for the following:

Lady Chatterley's Lover: Best British Film.

Bardo: Best Film not in the English Language.

Close: Best Film not in the English Language.

Holy Spider: Best Film not in the English Language.

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed: Best Documentary.

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song: Best Documentary.***

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On: Best Animated Film.***

(*** from TFF #48)

Edward Berger's All Quiet on the Western Front led all films with 15 mentions.

Takeaways: I think that Aftersun and Living stealth possibilities for a Best Picture Oscar nomination.

Women Talking continues to underperform and looks less and less likely of a Best Picture nomination or any acting nominations (Whishaw's inclusion on the shortlist notwithstanding.).

The complete BAFTA longlists are linked here.

MTFB OSCAR UPDATE: SCREENPLAYS AND MORE

Today I am updating predictions in the categories of Best Original and Adapted Screenplay.  These were last predicted on Dec. 26th.  In addition, I have included my first attempts to predict nominees in Makeup/Hair, Costumes and Visual Effects.  Past ranking is to the right of the performer in parentheses.  Films from TFF #49 are in Bold.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Women Talking (1)

2) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (2)

3) Living (3)

4) She Said (4)

5) All Quiet on the Western Front (7)

6) The Whale (5)

7) Top Gun: Maverick (-)

Out: White Noise

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) The Banshees of Inisherin (2)

2) Everything Everywhere All at Once (1)

3) The Fabelmans (3)

4) TAR (4)

5) Triangle of Sadness (5)

6) Aftersun (6)

7) Babylon (7)

MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Elvis (1)

2) The Whale (2)

3) The Batman (3)

4) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (4)

5) Babylon (5)

6) All Quiet on the Western Front (6)

7) Blonde (7)

COSTUME

1) Elvis (1)

2) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2)

3) Babylon (3)

4) Living (6)

5) The Woman King (5)

6) The Fabelmans (4)

7) Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris (7)

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: The Way of Water (1)

2) Top Gun: Maverick (2)

3) Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (3)

4) The Batman (4)

5) Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (5)

6) All Quiet on the Western Front (6)

7) Nope (7)

THE NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS AND TFF

Five TFF films earned various degrees of notoriety from the National Society of Film Critics over the weekend.  Todd Field's TAR was the most decorated of all films as it was named Best Film as well as Cate Blanchett winning as Best Actress and Fields winning Best Screenplay.  Nina Hoss was first runner-up for Best Supporting Actress.

Charlotte Wells' Aftersun also did well as Wells was named Best Director.  The film was also the runner-up to TAR for Best Picture and Paul Mescal was first runner-up for Best Actor.

Laura Poitras' All the Beauty and the Bloodshed was named Best Documentary.

Bill Nighy was named second runner-up for Best Actor for Living and James Gray was second runner-up for Best Screenplay for Armageddon Time.

The complete NSFC winners are linked here.

VISITATIONS

LIVING: Bill Nighy from The Desert Sun.

EMPIRE OF LIGHT: Roger Deakins from A. Frame.

AFTERSUN: Charlotte Wells from MUBI.

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