THE DIRECTORS FETE CUARON
Photo via Reuters
The Directors Guild of America awarded Alfonso Cuaron their highest honor for feature film making on Saturday night naming him the 2018's outstanding director for Roma.
Some of the Oscarati (the Oscar punditry class...of which, by dint of my presence as a Movie City Guru of Gold, I guess I am now a member) are suggesting that the win points to Roma as the likely front runner for Oscar's Best Picture trophy.
I've had Roma at the top of my predix for about a month now and the DGA win makes me breathe a little easier...but not much. I still think the Best Picture race is incredibly fluid with Green Book, BlacKkKlansman, A Star Is Born and Black Panther...maybe even Bohemian Rhapsody as possible winners when the envelope gets opened on Feb. 24th.
At any rate, Cuaron wins his second DGA in five years (after winning for Gravity) and is very likely to win the directing Oscar now as well regardless of how the Best Picture race shakes out. It appears Roma could win Picture, Direction, Foreign Language Film and Cinematography. Should that happen, Cuaron might well walk off the stage with four trophies...
DGA coverage is linked here from Variety and also from Indiewire.
MY CURRENT OSCAR PREDICTIONS IN TEN CATEGORIES
Here's my latest take on predicting Oscar winners in select categories...
BEST PICTURE
1) Roma
2) BlacKkKlansman
3) Green Book
4) A Star Is Born
5) Black Panther
6) Bohemian Rhapsody
7) Vice
8) The Favourite
BEST DIRECTION
1) Alfonso Cuaron/Roma
2) Spike Lee/BlacKkKlansman
3) Adam McKay/Vice
4) Yorgos Lanthimos/The Favourite
5) Pawel Pawlikowski/Cold War
ACTRESS
1) Glenn Close/The Wife
2) Lady Gaga/A Star Is Born
3) Olivia Colman/The Favourite
4) Melissa McCarthy/Can You Ever Forgive Me
5) Yalitza Aparicio/Roma
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Regina King/If Beale Street Could Talk
2) Amy Adams/Vice
3) Emma Stone/The Favourite
4) Rachel Weisz/The Favourite
5) Maris de Tavira/Roma
ACTOR
1) Christian Bale/Vice***
2) Rami Malek/Bohemian Rhapsody***
3) Bradley Cooper/A Star Is Born
4) Viggo Mortensen/Green Book
5) Willem Dafoe/At Etrenity's Gate
***although this feels squeaky close now
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Mahershala Ali/Green Book
2) Richard E. Grant/Can You Ever Forgive Me
3) Sam Elliott/A Star Is Born
4) Adam Driver/BlacKkKlansman
5) Sam Rockwell/Vice
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Green Book
2) The Favourite
3) Roma
4) Vice
5) First Reformed
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) BlacKkKlansman
2) If Beale Street Could Talk
3) Can You Ever Forgive Me
4) A Star Is Born
5) The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
1) Roma
2) Cold War
3) Shoplifters
4) Capernaum
5) Never Look Away
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1) RBG
2) Free Solo
3) Minding the Gap
4) Hale County This Evening-This Morning
5) Of Fathers and Sons
Final Oscar voting begins next week on Feb. 12th.
COUNTRY MUSIC IN TELLURIDE?
Photo via IMDb
Ken Burns latest multi-part documentary focuses on the history of country music in these United States. The venerable documentarian's eight part 16+ hour presentation is set to premiere on PBS on Sept. 15th.
That means, as many Telluride veterans will surmise, that some of the Burns doc (or, hell, maybe all of the Burns doc) could well shoe up at The SHOW.
I certainly would be less than stunned if that were the case. I could also foresee the possible inclusion of some of the individuals Burns includes in the doc as guests to the festival. Maybe even a concert or two.
The Los Angeles Times posted a lengthy story about the project on Friday that you can find linked here. Some folks that are reported to be included in the doc (and therefore fair game for TFF #46 speculation are: Vince Gill (who of late has been serving as a stand-in Eagle...but their current bookings only run to July 4th), Emmylou Harris (yes please) and Roseanne Cash.
RUMORS OF A NEW CANNES POLICY
Perhaps stung by last year's inability to strike a deal with Netflix to screen many of the films that the streaming giant had in its film pantry (such as, you know, Roma), The Playlist was reporting this weekend that the world's most famous film festival may have an offer for Netflix to consider in an attempt to lure some of its titles to the Croisette in May.
Charles Barfield wrote that a french journalist was tweeting...yes, I know, it sounds pretty shaky...that Cannes would offer to allow/invite Netflix titles to play in competition with the stipulation that should one of their films win an award that it would then be required to screen in French theaters.
The Playlist story does not suggest that the French law that requires a three year window between theatrical release and streaming would be altered in any way and that was the reported impasse in the past.
Why is this of interest to Telluride Film fans? Because of the longtime record of films that the two fests have shared over the decades. In the years since I've been attending (since 2006), the average overlap has been 7-8 films each year. That's the most significant statistical correlation with any film festival. So, what happens at Cannes almost always has some ripple effect regarding the TFF lineup for that year.
The complete story from The Playlist is linked here.
That's today's MTFB. I'll have more on Thursday including a look at Oscar predictions for another seven categories.
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