THE COMPLETELY FULL FAC
All 21 full-length categories (I've included a re-post of last week's look at the "below the line categories) updated.
The FAC reviews the Oscar predictions of the following to arrive at its "predictions":
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Scott Feinberg/The Feinberg Forecast-The Hollywood Reporter
Kristopher Tapley/InContention-HitFix
Anne Thompson/Thompson on Hollywood-IndieWire
Peter Knegt/IndieWire
Brad Brevet/Rope of Silicon
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Alex Carlson/Film Misery
As always the number in parenthesis to a title is its position vis-a-vis the last posting for that category on The FAC updates. Telluride #39 films are indicated in Bold. [ *** ='s HOT, ### ="s NOT].
BEST PICTURE
If you don't think that critics awards, reviews and actual screenings and releases of films change what Oscar predictors think, you might be mistaken as the rush this last week of the New York critics and the NBR plus screenings of "Les Miserables"and "Zero Dark Thirty" continues to alter the landscape of where they think the race for Oscar gold is. Yesterday it was the Los Angeles Film Critics presenting awards and it will be interesting to see if those have an impact on next week's standings.
1) Lincoln (1)
2) Les Miserables (2)
3) Argo (3)
4) Zero Dark Thirty (5)
5) Silver Linings Playbook (4)
6) Life of Pi (6)
7) Beasts of the Southern Wild (7)
8) The Master (8)
9) Amour (9)
10) Moonrise Kingdom (11)
11) Django Unchained (13)***
12) Flight (10)###
13) The Impossible (15)***
14) The Hobbit
15) Anna Karenina (New-ish)
Dropping Out: The Sessions
BEST DIRECTOR
1) Steven Spielberg/Lincoln(2)
2) Ben Affleck/Argo (1)
3) Tom Hooper/Les Miserables (5)***
4) Kathryn Bigelow/Zero Dark Thirty (8)***
5) Ang Lee/Life of Pi (3)###
6) David O. Russell/Silver Linings Playbook (4)###
7) Michael Haneke/Amour(7)
8) Paul Thomas Anderson/The Master (5)###
9) Benh Zeitlin/Beasts of the Southern Wild (9)
10) Quentin Tarantino/Django Unchained (New-ish)
Dropping Out: Sacha Gervasi/Hitchcock
BEST ACTRESS
1) Jessica Chastain/Zero Dark Thirty (8)***
2) Jennifer Lawrence/Silver Linings Playbook (1)
3) Emanuelle Riva/Amour (3)
4) Quevenzhane Wallis/Beasts of the Southern Wild (3)
5) Marion Cotillard/Rust and Bone (4)
6) Naomi Watts/The Impossible (6)
7) Helen Mirren/Hitchcock (5)###
8) Keira Knightley/Anna Karenina (9)
9) Rachel Weisz/The Deep Blue Sea (New)***
10) Emayatzy Corinealdi/Middle of Nowhere (New)***
Dropping Out: Mary Elizabeth Winstead/Smashed and Judi Dench/Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
BEST ACTOR
1) Daniel Day Lewis/Lincoln (1)
2) Denzel Washington/Flight (4)***
3) Joaquin Phoenix/The Master (2)
4) John Hawkes/The Sessions (3)
5) Hugh Jackman/Les Miserables (7)***
6) Bradley Cooper/Silver Linings Playbook(6)
7) Anthony Hopkins/Hitchcock (5)###
8) Jean Louis Trintingnant/Amour (8)
9) Christoph Waltz/Django Unchained (New)***
10) Ben Affleck/Argo (New)***
Dropping Out: Richard Gere/Arbitrage and Jamie Foxx/Django Unchained
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1) Anne Hathaway/Les Miserables (1)
2) Sally Field/Lincoln (4)***
3) Helen Hunt/The Sessions (2)
4) Amy Adams/The Master (3)
5) Maggie Smith/Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (5)
6) Samantha Barks/Les Miserables (6)
7) Jacki Weaver/Silver Linings Playbook (8)
8) Kelly Reilly/Flight (10)***
9) Ann Dowd/Compliance (New-ish)***
10) Judi Dench/Skyfall (8)###
Dropping Out: Kerry Washington/Django Unchained
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1) Tommy Lee Jones/Lincoln (2)
2) Philip Seymour Hoffman/The Master (1)
3) Robert DeNiro/Silver Linings Playbook (3)
4) Leonardo DiCaprio/Django Unchained (5)
5) Alan Arkin/Argo (4)
6) Matthew McConnaughey/Magic Mike (7)
7) Eddie Redmayne/Les Miserables (New)***
8) John Goodman/Flight (New)***
9) Samuel L.Jackson/Django Unchained (New)***
10) Bryan Cranston/Argo (9)
Dropping Out: Russel Crowe/Les Miserables, John Goodman/Argo and Dwight Henry/Beasts of the Southern Wild
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1) Lincoln (1)
2) Silver Linings Playbook (3)
3) Argo (2)
4) Beasts of the Southern Wild (4)
5) Life of Pi (5)
6) Les Miserables (6)
7) The Sessions (7)
8) Anna Karenina (8)
9) On the Road (9)
10) This is 40 (New)***
Dropping Out: The Hobbit
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1) Zero Dark Thirty (4)***
2) The Master (1)
3) Amour (3)
4) Moonrise Kingdom (2)###
5) Django Unchained (5)
6) Flight (6)
7) Looper (7)
8) Middle of Nowhere (10)***
9) Seven Psychopaths (New-ish)***
10) The Intouchables (New)***
Dropping Out: Promised Land, Arbitrage
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
1) Life of Pi (1)
2) The Master (2)
3) Skyfall (3)
4) Lincoln (4)
5) Les Miserables (5)
6) Anna Karenina (6)
7) Django Unchained (7)
8) Zero Dark Thirty (New)***
9) The Dark Knight Rises (10)
10) Cloud Atlas (9)
Dropping Out: Beasts of the Southern Wild
BEST FILM EDITING
1) Argo (1)
2) Zero Dark Thirty (4)***
3) Les Miserables (3)
4) Lincoln (2)###
5) Life of Pi (6)
6) The Master (7)
7) Silver Linings Playbook (5)###
8) The Dark Knight Rises (8)
9) Skyfall (9)
10) Django Unchained (New)***
Dropping Out: Cloud Atlas
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
1) Brave
2) Wreck It Ralph
3) Rise of the Guardians
4) Frankenweenie
5) ParaNorman
6) The Painting
7) From Up on Poppy Hill
8) The Rabbi's Cat
9) Zarafa
10) The Lorax
BEST FULL LENGTH DOCUMENTARY (Academy Semi-Finalists)
"Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry," Never Sorry LLC
"Bully," The Bully Project LLC
"Chasing Ice," Exposure
"Detropia," Loki Films
"Ethel," Moxie Firecracker Films
"5 Broken Cameras," Guy DVD Films
"The Gatekeepers," Les Films du Poisson, Dror Moreh Productions, Cinephil
"The House I Live In," Charlotte Street Films, LLC
"How to Survive a Plague," How to Survive a Plague LLC
"The Imposter," Imposter Pictures Ltd.
"The Invisible War," Chain Camera Pictures
"Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God," Jigsaw Productions in association with Wider Film Projects and Below the Radar Films
"Searching for Sugar Man," Red Box Films
"This Is Not a Film," Wide Management
"The Waiting Room," Open’hood, Inc.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
1) Amour
2) The Intouchables
3) A Royal Affair
4) No
5) Lore
6) Fill the Void
7) Beyond the Hills
8) Barbara
9) Sister
10) Bwakaw
ORIGINAL SCORE
1) Lincoln
2) Life of Pi
3) Argo
4) The Master
5) Anna Karenina
6) Beasts of the Southern Wild
7) Cloud Atlas
8) Moonrise Kingdom
9) Skyfall
10) The Hobbit
ORIGINAL SONG
1) Les Miserables
2) Still Alive
3) Brave (Touch the Sky)
4) Brave (Learn)
5) Joyful Noise
6) Skyfall
7) Lawless
8) The Hobbit
9) Snow White and the Huntsman
10) Ted
PRODUCTION DESIGN
1) Anna Karenina
2) Les Miserables
3) Lincoln
4) Life of Pi
5) The Hobbit
6) Cloud Atlas
7) The Master
8) Prometheus
9) Argo
10) The Dark Knight Rises
COSTUME
1) Anna Karenina
2) Les Miserables
3) Lincoln
4) Mirror Mirror
5) Snow White and the Huntsman
6) Cloud Atlas
7) A Royal Affair
8) Argo
9) The Master
10) Django Unchained
HAIR AND MAKEUP
1) Lincoln
2) Cloud Atlas
3) The Hobbit
4) Les Miserables
5) Hitchcock
6) Men in Black 3
7) Looper
8) Anna Karenina
9) The Impossible
10) Prometheus
VISUAL EFFECTS
1) Life of Pi
2) The Hobbit
3) Cloud Atlas
4) The Avengers
5) Prometheus
6) The Dark Knight Rises
7) The Amazing Spiderman
8) Skyfall
9) Snow White and the Huntsman
10) John Carter
SOUND EDITING
1) Skyfall
2) The Dark Knight Rises
3) Les Miserables
4) Life of Pi
5) Zero Dark thirty
6) The Avengers
7) Django Unchained
8) The Hobbit
9) Prometheus
10) The Impossible
SOUND MIXING
1) Les Miserables
2) Skyfall
3) The Dark Knight Rises
4) Zero Dark Thirty
5) Life of Pi
6) The Avengers
7) Django Unchaqined
8) The Hobbit
9) Flight
10) The Impossible
Full breakdown and analysis will be coming on Thursday...
OSCAR MATTERS
Various reports here from Oscar bloggers and commenters;
http://www.hitfix.com/in-contention/oscar-talk-ep-98-chewing-on-nyfcc-nbr-and-the-hobbit
http://blogs.indiewire.com/thompsononhollywood/oscar-watch-lincoln-vs-zero-dark-thirty-whither-life-of-pi
http://blogs.indiewire.com/theplaylist/oscars-5-things-we-learned-about-the-season-from-the-nyfcc-and-nbr-this-week-20121206
http://www.awardsdaily.com/blog/2012/12/08/gurus-of-gold-latest-chart-lincoln-still-top-post-nyfcc/
LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS
The Los Angeles Film Critics weighed in yesterday with their "Best of " for 2012...will it effect the Oscar prognostications for next week? If the last week has demonstrated anything, they probably will. Look to see if Dwight Henry (Beasts of the Southern Wild) is back in the Best Supporting Actor conversation. See if The Master and Amour get some traction back...especially The Master and Joaquin Phoenix.
Here are the LA Critics choices:
Best Picture: "Amour"
Runner-up: "The Master"
Best Foreign-Language Film: "Holy Motors"
Runner-up: "Footnote"
Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson, "The Master"
Runner-up: Kathryn Bigelow, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, "The Master"
Runner-up: Denis Lavant, "Holy Motors"
Best Actress: (TIE) Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"; and Emmanuelle Riva, "Amour"
Best Supporting Actor: Dwight Henry, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Runner-up: Christoph Waltz, "Django Unchained"
Best Supporting Actress: Winner: Amy Adams, "The Master"
Runner-up: Anne Hathaway, "The Dark Knight Rises" and "Les Miserables"
Best Screenplay: Chris Terrio, "Argo"
Runner-up: David O. Russell, "Silver Linings Playbook"
Best Cinematography: Roger Deakins, "Skyfall"
Runner-up: Mihai Malaimare Jr., "The Master"
Best Production Design: David Crank and Jack Fisk, "The Master"
Runner-up: Adam Stockhausen, "Moonrise Kingdom"
Best Editing: Dylan Tichenor and William Goldenberg, "Zero Dark Thirty"
Runner-up: William Goldenberg, "Argo"
Best Music Score: Dan Romer and Benh Zeitlin, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Runner-up: Jonny Greenwood, "The Master
Best Documentary: "The Gatekeepers"
Runner-up: "Searching for Sugar Man"
Best Animation: Tim Burton's stop-motion "Frankenweenie"
Runner-up: "It's Such a Beautiful Day," the third in Don Hertzfeldt's trilogy hand-drawn vignettes featuring an underdog character named Bill
New Generation Award: Benh Zeitlin, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Douglas Edwards Independent/Experimental Award: Lucien Castaing-Taylor and Verena Paravel's "Leviathan," describe by its distributor Cinema Guild as a "cosmic portrait of one of mankind's oldest endeavors, unlike anything you've seen."
More Thursday...
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