Thursday, March 1, 2018

Predictions for Eight More Oscar Categories / Berlin Analysis

It's the last Thursday before Oscar...

PREDICTIONS FOR EIGHT MORE OSCAR CATEGORIES

Here are the final eight category predictions for Oscar #90.  This completes a stab at all 24 categories over the last week.  I'll post FINAL OSCAR PREDICTIONS ON SUNDAY.


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

I'm expecting Phantom Thread to win this with The Shape of Water as a potential spoiler.

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR

The overwhelming sentiment is that the crew from Darkest Hour will win for their transformation of Gary Oldman into Winston Churchill.  Wonder could challenge, but likely will not.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

A very competitive category from which I'm predicting War for the Planet of the Apes but Blade Runner 2049 or Last Jedi could also play.

BEST SOUND MIXING

Dunkirk.  Maybe Baby Driver.

BEST SOUND EDITING

Dunkirk.  Maybe Baby Driver.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Dear Basketball is my pick here to win.

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

DeKalb Elementary with The Silent Child as your upset special.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Edith and Eddie edges out Heroin(e).



BERLIN ANALYSIS



In my last post, I suggested six films that might have some possibility as players from the Berlin International Film Fest to make an appearance over Labor Day weekend in Telluride.

They were:

Alonso Ruizpalzcios' Museum
Christian Petzold's Transit
Aleksey German's Dovlatov
Malgorzata Szumowska's Mug
Marcelo Martinessi's The Heiresses
Erik Poppe's U: July 22


Interestingly, Awards Watch posted a story on Monday that assessed the films that might have some 2019 Oscar prospects.  Erik Anderson lists four of  the six films as potential Foreign Language Film potential nominees: Mug, Museum, The Heiresses and U: July 22.

Anderson's conjectures add fuel to my speculation that these films are potential TFF #45 titles.  



More on Sunday!

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