OSCAR UPDATE: BEST PICTURE AND LEAD ACTING
In today's post I am updating nomination predictions in three categories. The film's previous ranking is to the right in parentheses. TFF films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE
1) The Trial of the Chicago 7 (2)
2) Nomadland (1)
3) Minari (3)
4) One Night in Miami (7)
5) Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (4)
6) Mank (6)
7) Da 5 Bloods (5)
8) Promising Young Woman (10)
9) Judas and the Black Messiah (8)
10) News of the World (9)
Other Possibles: Sound of Metal, The Father
Hot: One Night in Miami, Promising Young Woman
Not: Da 5 Bloods, News of the World
BEST ACTRESS
1) Carey Mulligan/Promising Young Woman (30
2) Frances McDormand/Nomadland (1)
3) Viola Davis/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (2)
4) Vanessa Kirby/Pieces of a Woman (4)
5) Zendaya/Malcom and Marie (5)
6) Andra Day/The United States vs. Billie Holiday (6)
7) Sophia Loren/The Life Ahead (7)
8) Sidney Flanigan/Never Rarely Sometimes Always (8)
9) Amy Adams/Hillbilly Elegy (9)
10) Nichole Behaire/Miss Juneteenth (10)
Other Possibles: Meryl Streep/The Prom, Kate Winslet/Ammonite
Hot: Carey Mulligan/Promising Young Woman
BEST ACTOR
1) Chadwick Boseman/Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (1)
2) Anthony Hopkins/The Father (4)
3) Riz Ahmed/Sound of Metal (3)
4) Delroy Lindo/Da 5 Bloods (2)
5) Gary Oldman/Mank (5)
6) Steven Yeun/Minari (6)
7) Ben Affleck/The Way Back (7)
8) Tom Hanks/News of the World (9)
9) Kingsley Ben-Adir/One Night in Miami (8)
10) Tahar Rahim/The Mauritanian (-)
Other Possibles: Mads Mikkelsen/Another Round, John David Washington/Malcolm and Marie, LaKeith Stanfield/Judas and the Black Messiah
Hot: Anthony Hopkins/The Father, Tahar Rahim/The Mauritanian
Not: Delroy Lindo/Da 5 Bloods
OSCAR SHORTLISTS
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announced their shortlists for Oscars in nine categories on Tuesday. Breaking it down, these TFF films made the following lists and are still in contention for Oscar nominations:
International Feature: Charlatan. Other TFF possibilities not making the shortlist: Apples, Notturno and Never Gonna Snow Again.
Documentary Feature: All In: The Fight for Democracy, MLK/FBI, Notturno and The Truffle Hunters. Missing TFF Docs: The Way I See It
Original Score: Ammonite
Original Song: Turntables from All In: The Fight for Democracy
Live Action Short: Bittu, Da Yie, The Letter Room
The other categories short-listed Tuesday were: Visual Effects, Makeup/Hair, Documentary Shorts and Animated Shorts.
For complete lists of all nine short-listed categories I have linked to the Academy's page.
THE CRITICS CHOOSE
The Critics' Choice Awards nominees were announced this week. Here's your TFF breakdown of nominees from that announcement:
Nomadland: Best Picture, Director, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing
The Father: Best Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Editing
First Cow (from TFF #46): Best Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography
Mank led all films with a total of 12 nominations.
Full coverage of the Critics' Choice Awards nominations is linked here from Variety.
COULD CANNES BE A FALL FEST?
Jordan Ruimy at World of Reel speculates that the Cannes Film Festival, which is currently expected to be in June/July might actually be even later. Ruimy suggests that there are rumblings that the French fest could be headed to September or October.
That move would potentially set the fall fest circuit on its ear. A Cannes added to the gauntlet of Telluride, Venice, Toronto and New York would make for a crazy scramble and an unpredictable effect regarding where filmmakers choose to land with their work. a Cannes in late September or October conceivably blows up the fall season. If Cannes lands AFTER Telluride, Venice and Toronto...and insists that it still is scheduling only world premieres, that would have a huge ripple effect on all of the fall fests and Telluride in particular. It's not uncommon for Telluride to screen 6-10 films that originally screen at Cannes. In 2019, for example, TFF scheduled eight films that had played at Cannes in the spring including eventual Oscar winner Parasite.
Keep an eye on Cannes news friends!
NEW TRAILER FOR NOMADLAND
Searchlight dropped a new trailer for Chloe Zhao's Nomadland yesterday. Here it is from YouTube:
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com
No comments:
Post a Comment