Monday, February 16, 2026

MTFB Oscar Take: First Predix for the Seven Remaining Feature Categories /Is Hamnet Still Viable for Best Picture? / Visitations: Hamnet

MTFB OSCAR TAKE: FIRST PREDIX FOR THE SEVEN REMAINING FEATURE CATEGORIES



Over the couple of posts I have loading my picks to win the Oscar 14 Feature Categories. Today we get in the first predictions for the remaining seven features categories. TFF films are in Bold.

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Sinners
2) One Battle After Another
3) Train Dreams
4) Marty Supreme
5) Frankenstein

EDITING

1) One Battle After Another
2) F1
3) Sinners
4) Marty Supreme
5) Sentimental Value

PRODUCTION DESIGN




1) Frankenstein
2) Sinners
3) Hamnet
4) Marty Supreme
5) One Battle After Another

COSTUMES

1) Frankenstein
2) Sinners
3) Hamnet
4) Marty Supreme
5) Avatar: Fire and Ash

MAKEUP/HAIR

1) Frankenstein
2) Sinners
3) The Smashing Machine
4) The Ugly Stepsisters
5) Kokuho

SOUND

1) F1
2) Sinners
3) One Battle After Another
4) Sinners
5) Sirat

VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Avatar: Fire and Ash
2) F1
3) Sinners
4) Marty Supreme
5) Jurassic World Rebirth

Thoughts:

TFF films win six Oscars if these initial predictions are 100% correct.

Frankenstein (3): Production Design, Costumes and Makeup/Hair.
Sentimental Value (2): Supporting Actor and International Feature
Hamnet (1): Best Actress.

Overall MTFB currently has the rest of Oscar winners predicted as follows:

One Battle After Another (5): Best Picture, Direction, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay and Editing.

Sinners (4): Casting, Original Screenplay, Score and Cinematography.

K-Pop Demon Hunters (2): Best Animated Feature, Song.

And single wins for:

Marty Supreme: Best Actor.
The Perfect Neighbor: Best Documentary.
F1: Sound.
Avatar: Fire and Ash: Visual Effects.


Tightest categories: Best Picture, Casting, Cinematography, Editing and Costumes.



IS HAMNET STILL VIABLE FOR BEST PICTURE



VISITATIONS: HAMNET

https://www.thewrap.com/industry-news/awards/chloe-zhao-hamnet-interview-cover-story/

https://www.indiewire.com/awards/consider-this/watch-james-cameron-chloe-zhao-talk-hamnet-1235179180/




I'm an unabashed fan of Chloe Zhao's Hamnet.  While almost all of the big time Oscar pundits have the race down to a dogfight between Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another and Ryan Coogler's Sinners for the top prize on March 15th (and you can see above that I'm currently predicting OBAA), I still think there might be a path wherein Hamnet emerges with Best Pic on Oscar night. 

And, it turns out, I'm not entirely alone. There are others who have dared suggest that it could happen: Cory Woodruff/For the Win/USA Today.

Come along with me...here be reasons:

1) The Preferential Ballot... Where do voters for OBAA, Sinners and Sentimental Value put Hamnet on their ballots?  A lot of #2's from those films could boost Hamnet's chances.

2) Buckley will get Hamnet on the Board...She's maybe the biggest lock for any of the 24 awards on Oscar night.  And if Hamnet/Zhao/O'Farrell also grab the Best Adapted Screenplay...lookout.

3) BAFTA is coming...I can certainly see Hamnet overperforming on their Home Field.  And as has been pointed out in other quarters, the Brits are the largest "foreign" bloc in the Academy.  Say Hamnet wins Best Film, Outstanding British Film, Actress, Supporting Actor and  Adapted Screenplay on Feb. 22nd...just four days before the final Oscar voting starts...again, lookout.

4) Hamnet's won some serious stuff...Best Film/Drama at the Golden Globes, Toronto's Audience Award and, dare I say it...Hamnet topped MTFB's People's and Pros polls.


VISITATIONS: HAMNET

https://www.thewrap.com/industry-news/awards/chloe-zhao-hamnet-interview-cover-story/


https://www.indiewire.com/awards/consider-this/watch-james-cameron-chloe-zhao-talk-hamnet-1235179180/



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