MTFB First Predictions for Oscar Winners

MTFB FIRST PREDICTIONSFOR OSCAR WINNERS

Here is the first set of what I think is going to happen on the evening of March 15th at the 98th Oscar ceremony.  We'll start with the eight "above-the-line categories.  TFF films are Bold.

BEST PICTURE

1) One Battle After Another

2) Sinners

3) Hamnet

4) Sentimental Value

5) Marty Supreme

6) Frankenstein

7) The Secret Agent

8) Bugonia

9) Train Dreams

10) F1

BEST DIRECTION

1) Paul Thomas Anderson/One Battle After Another

2) Ryan Coogler/Sinners

3) Chloe Zhao/Hamnet

4) Joachim Trier/Sentimental Value

5) Josh Safdie/Marty Supreme

BEST ACTRESS

1) Jesse Buckley/Hamnet

2) Rose Byrne/If I Had Legs I's Kick You

3) Renate Reinsve/Sentimental Value

4) Emma Stone/Bugonia

5) Kate Hudson/Song Sung Blue

BEST ACTOR

1) Timothee Chalamet/Marty Supreme

2) Leonardo DiCaprio/One Battle After Another

3) Michael B. Jordan/Sinners

4) Wagner Moura/The Secret Agent

5) Ethan Hawke/Blue Moon

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1) Teyana Taylor/One Battle After Another

2) Amy Madigan/Weapons

3) Wunmi Moskau/Sinners

4) Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas/Sentimental Value

5) Elle Fanning/Sentimental Value

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1) Stellan Skarsgard/Sentimental Value

2) Jacob Elordi/Frankenstein

3) Benicio Del Toro/One Battle After Another

4) Delroy Lindo/Sinners

5) Sean Penn/One Battle After Another

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Sinners

2) Sentimental Value

3) Marty Supreme

4) It Was Just an Accident

5) Blue Moon

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) One Battle After Another

2) Hamnet

3) Train Dreams

4) Bugonia

5) Frankenstein

This and that:

***OBAA is projected to win three of these eight categories.  It's the only film projected to win more than one. among these eight categories.

***TFF has 23 nominees among these eight categories.  Jesse Buckley looks like the only TFF win.

***As a matter of fact, Best Actress goes to a TFF film unless Kate Hudson pulls an upset.

***The only close races here is Best Picture which is a tight race between OBAA and Sinners.  The rest of the seven other categories seem set right now.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com

X (Twitter) @TheMTFB OR @Gort2 

Bluesky: @gort2.bsky.social

MTFB's Facebook Page

MTFB is published on Mondays and Thursdays

If you would like to be added to the MTFB e-mail list send an email to mpgort@gmail.com