Oscar Nomination Predictions Updates: Effects / Present for In the Absence / A Hidden Life / The Aeronauts

OSCAR NOMINATIONS PREDICTIONS UPDATED: EFFECTS

On this Boxing Day, I take a look at my latest assessment at the Oscar nomination chances for the categories of Visual Effects as well as Sound Editing and Sound Mixing.  I last assessed these categories on Nov. 25th.  As always, TFF #46 films are indicated with Bold.



 VISUAL EFFECTS

1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (2)
2) The Irishman (4)
3) The Lion King (1)
4) Avengers: Endgame (3)
5) 1917 (-)
6) Alita: Battle Angel (-)

Other possibles: Gemini Man, Cats, Captain Marvel


SOUND EDITING

1) 1917 (1)
2) Ford v Ferrari (2)
3) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (3)
4) Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood (6)
5) Avengers: Endgame (5)
6) Joker (-)

Other possibles: Ad Astra, The Irishman, Toy Story 4


SOUND MIXING

1) 1917 (1)
2) Ford v Ferrari (3)
3) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (2)
4) Once Upon a Time... (5)
5) Rocketman (6)
6) Ad Astra (4)

Other possibles: The Irishman, Avengers: Endgame, Toy Story 4



PRESENT FOR IN THE ABSENCE

 If you read the previous post, you know that I crowed about getting my first Oscar film screener.  That came last week from the producers of the Oscar short-listed Documentary Short Subject film  In the Absence.

The 29 minute film explores the sinking of a South Korean ferry boat in 2014 that cost the lives of nearly 300 people and seeks to reveal the choices among bureaucrats that contributed to the loss of life.

I found it harrowing and moving, and of course will now keep my fingers crossed that it moves from the short list to the list of nominated doc shorts that are announced on Jan. 13th.

The IMDb page for In the Absence is linked here.


A HIDDEN LIFE

Here's a link to Anne Thompson's (Indiewire) video interview with the two lead actors from Terrence Malick's  A Hidden Life: August Diehl and Valerie Pachner.

Click here.

A Hidden Life opened in limited release on Dec. 13th.


THE AERONAUTS

Gregory Ellwood of The Playlist sat down recently with Oscar nominee Felicity Jones who stars in Amazon Studios The Aeronauts for an interview.

That interview is linked here.

The Aeronauts bowed on Amazon Prime on Dec. 20th.

Oscar Predictions Update: Best Picture, Director, Screenplays / Latest Gurus of Gold / An MTFB First / Trailer for The Climb / Tapley Podcasts Baumbach

OSCAR PREDICTIONS UPDATE

Here are my latest Oscar nomination predictions for Picture, Director and Screenplays.  TFF #46 films are indicated in Bold.

BEST PICTURE (last updated 12/16)

1) Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood (1)

2) The Irishman (2)

3) Parasite (3)

4) 1917 (4)

5) Marriage Story (5)

6) Jojo Rabbit (6)

7) Joker (7)

8) Ford v Ferrari (8)

9) Bombshell (-)

10) The Two Popes (9)

Other possibles: The Farewell, Little Women. Knives Out

BEST DIRECTION (last updated 12/9)

1) Quentin Tarantino/Once Upon a Time... (2)

2) Bong Joon-ho/Parasite (4)

3) Martin Scorsese/The Irishman (3)

4) Sam Mendes/1917 (1)

5) Noah Baumbach/Marriage Story (5)

6) Todd Phillips/Joker (-)

Other possibles: James Mangold/Ford v Ferrari, Taika Waititi/Jojo Rabbit, Fernando Merrielle's/The Two Popes

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (last updated 12/9)

1) The Irishman (1)

2) Jojo Rabbit (3)

3) The Two Popes (2)

4) Little Women (5)

5) Joker (4)

6) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (6)

Other possibles: Hustlers, Richard Jewell, Just Mercy, Dolemite Is My Name

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (last updated 12/9)

1) Marriage Story (1)

2) Once Upon a Time... (2)

3) Parasite (3)

4) The Farewell (4)

5) Knives Out (5)

6) Uncut Gems (6)

Other possibles: Bombshell, 1917, Pain and Glory, Ford v Ferrari

LATEST GURUS OF GOLD

Movie City News has posted its latest edition of the Gurus of Gold focused on the Big Eight categories of Best Picture, Direction, all four Acting categories as well as both screenplay categories.

Here's the link to the latest Gurus.

As mentioned here before, I'm serving my second year as a Guru.  Also included as Gurus this year are some Oscar predicting heavyweights:  Sasha Stone of Awards Daily, Dave Karger of Turner Classic Movies and IMDb, Peter Howell of The Toronto Star, Jeff Sneider of Collider, Gregory Ellwood of The Playlist and Mark Johnson of Awards Watch among others.

You might notice that my Guru picks and my own posted on the blog here today may not line up exactly...Why?  Time.  My Guru picks were sent in a few days ago, whereas I worked on the freshest picks for today's blog post yesterday and this morning.


AN MTFB FIRST

Well...what do you know?

I've been plugging away at this Blog thing since August of 2008.  Lots of cool things have happened as a result of this little experience but had a first this week.

I had an Oscar screener land in my email this week.   No...no...it's not Little Women or 1917...

It's a link for a short listed Oscar Short form Documentary film.  The film: Yo Seung-Jun's In the Absence.  The description included in the email describes the focus of the doc as follows:

"When the passenger ferry MV Sewol sank off the coast of South Korea in 2014, over three hundred people lost their lives, most of them schoolchildren. Years later, the victims’ families and survivors are still demanding justice from national authorities."

The short film's IMDb page is linked here.

According to accompanying material the film screened at DOC NYC and AFI Docs.

Oscar winner Laura Poitras (Citizen Four) is one of the Executive Producers of the film.

I plan to get it in over the holiday break.  I'll get back to you about it soon.


TRAILER FOR THE CLIMB

Sony Pictures Classics has released a trailer for low key buddy dramedy The Climb.  The film had a modest reception at Telluride.  It's set for release on Mar. 20th.  Here's the trailer from YouTube:

TAPLEY PODCASTS BAUMBACH

Kris Tapley has put together another of his series of podcasts for Netflix under the name of The Call Sheet.  The latest features an outing with Marriage Story director and scribe Noah Baumbach.

That podcast is linked here.

EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)

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