Oscar Predictions Updated for Picture, Director and Screenplays / New Predictions for Cinematography, Score and Production Design / Oscar History and TFF / The True Story Behind The Aeronauts / Tracy Letts Talks Ford

OSCAR PREDICTIONS UPDATED

Continuing today with the new Oscar prediction schedule that will take us right up to the announcement of Oscar nominations on Jan. 13th.

Here's the latest updated predictions for Best Picture, Director and both Screenplay categories as well as first time predictions for Cinematography, Original Score and Production Design.  For the updates I have indicated the last time I posted them as well as that film's position in that previous posting.  As always all films from TFF #46 are in Bold.

BEST PICTURE (last update on Oct. 28th)

1) Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood (1)

2) The Irishman (2)

3) Parasite (4)

4) Marriage Story (3)

5) Jojo Rabbit (5)

6) The Two Popes (6)

7) 1917 (7)

8) Bombshell (8)

9) Ford v Ferrari (-)

10) Joker (-)

Other possibles: The Farewell, Little Women, Judy, Just Mercy

Notes: with its actual release to theaters, Ford v. Ferrari makes a move.

BEST DIRECTION (last update on Nov. 7th)

1) Bong Joon-ho/Parasite (2)

2) Quentin Tarantino/Once Upon a Time... (1)

3) Martin Scorsese/The Irishman (3)

4) Noah Baumbach/Marriage Story (4)

5) Sam Mendes/1917 (5)

6) Taika Waititi/Jojo Rabbit (-)

Other possibles: Fernando Meirelles/The Two Popes, Todd Phillips/Joker, James Mangold/Ford v Ferrari

Notes: Bong makes a move to the top spot.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (Last updated on Nov. 4th)

1) Jojo Rabbit (2)

2) The Irishman (3)

3) The Two Popes (1)

4) Little Women (4)

5) Joker (-)

6) Just Mercy (-)

Other possibles: A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Hustlers, Downton Abbey

Notes: Nice jump up for Jojo Rabbit. A lot of uncertainty about which category The Two Popes will end up in.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (Last updated on Oct. 31st)

1) Marriage Story (1)

2) Once Upon a Time... (2)

3) Parasite (3)

4) The Farewell (4)

5) Bombshell (5)

6) Ford v Ferrari (-)

Other possibles: Knives Out, Dolemite Is My Name, 1917

NEW OSCAR PREDICTIONS

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1) Once upon a Time...

2) The Irishman

3) 1917

4) A Hidden Life

5) Parasite

6) Ad Astra

Other possibles: The Lighthouse, Ford v Ferrari, Joker, Little Women

ORIGINAL SCORE

1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

2) Little Women

3) 1917

4) Marriage Story

5) Ford v Ferrari

6) Jojo Rabbit

Other possibles: Waves, The Irishman, Ad Astra

PRODUCTION DESIGN

1) Once Upon a Time...

2) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

3) The Irishman

4) Little Women

5) The Two Popes

6) Cats

Other possibles; 1917, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Ad Astra, Downton Abbey, Jojo Rabbit

OSCAR HISTORY AND TFF

Matching the new categories added to this wave of Oscar predictions, here's the history of Oscar nominations for the films that played at the Telluride Film Festival in the Cinematography, Original Score and Production Design (Art and/or Set Direction) categories:

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

1993- The Piano, Farewell My Concubine
1995- Shanghai Triad
1996- Fly Away Home
2000- Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon-WINNER
2001- Amelie
2002- City of God
2003- Girl with a Pearl Earring
2004- The House of Flying Daggers
2005- Brokeback Mountain
2007- The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, There Will Be Blood (scenes screened)
2008- Slumdog Millionaire-WINNER, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (scenes screened)
2009- The White Ribbon
2010- The King's Speech, Black Swan
2011- The Artist
2013- Gravity-WINNER, Nebraska, Inside Llewyn Davis, Prisoners
2014- Birdman-WINNER
2015- Carol
2016- La La Land-WINNER, Moonlight, Arrival
2017- The Shape of Water, Darkest Hour
2018- Roma-WINNER, The Favourite, Cold War

Overall 32 nominations and six wins.


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

2000- Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon-WINNER
2002- Frida-WINNER
2005- Brokeback Mountain-WINNER
2006- Babel- WINNER
2008- Slumdog Millionaire-WINNER, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (scenes screened)
2010- The King's Speech, 127 Hours
2011- The Artist-WINNER
2012- Argo
2013- Gravity-WINNER
2014- The Imitation Game
2015- Carol
2016- La La Land-WINNER, Moonlight
2017- The Shape of Water-WINNER

Overall 16 nominations and a remarkable nine wins.


BEST ART DIRECTION/PRODUCTION DESIGN

1990- Cyrano de Bergerac
1994- Bullets Over Broadway
2000- Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon-WINNER, Quills
2007- Amelie
2003- The Girl with the Pearl Earring
2007- There Will Be Blood (scenes screened)
2008- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button- WINNER (scenes screened)
2010- The King's Speech
2011- The Artist
2013- 12 Years a Slave, Gravity
2014- The Imitation Game
2016- La La Land-WINNER, Arrival
2017- The Shape of Water-WINNER, Darkest Hour
2018- Roma, The Favourite, First Man

Overall 20 nominations and four wins.


THE TRUE STORY BEHIND THE AERONAUTS

Pathikrit Sanyal writes of the actual incidents that inspired the creation of the Tom Harper film The Aeronauts starring Eddie Redmayne and Felicity Jones.

As you might expect, the real story differs at points from the actual incidents including the fact that the ascent depicted in the film was made by two men rather than a man and a woman.

Here is that story from MEAWW.com.


TRACY LETTS TALKS FORD

Entertainment Weekly posted this Derek Lawrence interview with actor and writer Tracy Letts.  Letts plays Henry Ford II, the Ford of Ford v Ferrari.

Ford v Ferrari is in theaters now having opened this past weekend and winning the top box office spot.

Here's the link to the Letts interview at EW.com


EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

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The FAC's Oscar Screenplay Predix / Back in Time: The 17th Telluride Film Festival / Todd Haynes Talks Wonderstruck and More

It's a Thursday...and MTFB is back...


THE FAC'S SCREENPLAY OSCAR PREDIX

I am continuing to roll out the first wave of Oscar 2018 predictions from The Film Awards Clearinghouse (FAC) with today's focus on the race for success in both Adapted and Original Screenplays.

As always, films that played Telluride are in Bold.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1) Call Me By Your Name
2) Mudbound
3) Molly's Game
4) Last Flag Flying
5) Wonderstruck

Others in contention: Stronger, The Disaster Artist, First They Killed My Father

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1) Three Billboards
2) The Shape of Water
3) Darkest Hour
4) Get Out
5) Lady Bird

Other in contention: The Post, The Big Sick, I Tonya


BACK IN TIME: THE 17TH TELLURIDE FILM FESTIVAL

My slow roll back through past Telluride Film Festivals continues today as we go back to the 17th Fest that ran from Aug. 31-Sept 3, 1990

Guest Director: Bertrand Travernier

Tributes: Clint Eastwood, John Berry, Gerard Depardieu

SHOWS:

All the Vermeers in New York
Antonia and Jane
Archangel
The Big Man
The Civil War
Coma
The Comfort of Angels
Cyrano de Bergerac
Daddy Nostalgia
Doctor Petiot
The First Spring of Youth
Freeze-Die-Come to Life
Havana
He Ran All the Way
I Walked with a Zombie
Industrial Symphony
Ju Dou
Justin de Marsielle
The King of New York
L'Atalante
The Long Walk Home
The Nasty Girl
Pursued
Reversal of Fortune
The Roof of the World
Stanto Tutti Bene
White Hunter Black Heart

Guests:

Ken Burns
Julee Cruise
Manny Farber
Abel Ferrera
Taylor Hackford
Chuck Jones
Guy Maddin
Helen Mirren
Liam Neeson
Paul Schrader
Barbet Schroeder
Sissy Spacek
Christopher Walken


TODD HAYNES TALKS WONDERSTRUCK AND MORE

Nick Newman of The Film Stage had a semi-in-depth interview with writer/director Todd Haynes that was posted on Tuesday.  Haynes talks Wonderstruck, which opens on October 20th as well as a mention of the late David Bowie.

Catch up on the Haynes' interview here.


TRACY LETTS ON LADY BIRD



Tracy Letts plays Lady Bird's (Saoirse Ronan) father in the film of the same name written and directed by Greta Gerwig.  Recently he was interviewed as a part of a series sponsored by the SAG-AFTRA Foundation.  The interview is conducted by Indiewire's Eric Kohn and was posted to YouTube.

You can see their conversation here:

That's your Thursday MTFB.  More on Monday...


EMAIL:  mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com

TWITTER @Gort2 (and follow me there as well)

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