Thursday, December 22, 2016

The Screenplay Races After Category Reassignment / Critics Loved Telluride Films / Talking Toni Erdmann

It is Thursday and welcome to it.


We found out a week ago that the scripts for Moonlight and Loving that we had been thinking would be in the Original Screenplay category for Oscar consideration will instead be classified as Adapted Screenplays and I thought at the time that the re-classification would turn the screenplay categories inside out.  The FAC for screenplays bears that supposition out.  See below.

I have used the publicly available Oscar predictions from the following pundits:

Erik Anderson/Awards Watch
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Greg Ellwood/The Playlist-Awards Campaign
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Joey Magidson/Hollywood News
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kristopher Tapley/Variety-InContention
Anne Thompson/Indiewire

TFF #43 films are in Bold.  The film's previous position follows its title in parentheses.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (which includes Moonlight and Loving for the first time)

1) Moonlight (NR)
2) Fences (1)
3) Arrival (2)
4) Lion (4)
5) Silence (3)

6) Hidden Figures (6)
7) Loving (NR)
8) Sully (5)
9) Hacksaw Ridge (NR)
10) Nocturnal Animals (8)

Hot: Moonlight, Loving, Hacksaw Ridge
Not: Sully, Nocturnal Animals, Love and Friendship, Elle, Live by Night
On the Cusp: Love and Friendship
Comment:  The addition of Moonlight and Loving have altered the Adapted Screenplay race in a fundamental way.  The last time we checked the screenplay categories Moonlight was the #2 Original Screenplay candidate.  The Moonlight lead in the FAC is by a single pint over Fences.


1) Manchester by the Sea (1)
2) La La Land (3)
3) Hell or High Water (4)
4) The Lobster (8)
5) 20th Century Women (6)

6) Captain Fantastic (9)
7) Jackie (5)
8) Zootopia (NR)
9) Miss Sloane (NR)
10) Florence Foster Jenkins (10)

Hot: The Lobster, 20th Century Women, Captain Fantastic, Miss Sloane, Zootopia
Not: Jackie
On the Cusp: Toni Erdmann
Comment: The Lobster, 20th Century Women and Capt. Fantastic really benefited from the Moonlight/Loving move.


Indiewire surveyed 200+ critics to determine the collectively best received films and performances of 2016 and TFF #43 was ridiculously well represented in every category that Indiewire polled for.

Here are Telluride specific results for each category:

Best Film: 1) Moonlight, 2) Manchester by the Sea, 3) La La Land, 4) Toni Erdmann, 8) Arrival, 27) Things to Come, 45) Fire at Sea, 47) Neruda

Best Direction: 1) Barry Jenkins/Moonlight. 2) Damien Chazelle/La La, 3) Maren Ade/Toni Erdmann, 4) Kenneth Lonergan/Manchester

Best Actress: 2) Sandra Huller/Toni Erdmann, 4) Emma Stone/La La

Best Actor: 1) Casey Affleck/Manchester, 4) Peter Simonscheck/Toni Erdmann

Best Supporting Actress: 2) Michelle Williams/ Manchester, 3) Naomie Harris/Moonlight

Best Supporting Actor: 1) Mahershala Ali/Moonlight, Lucas Hedges/Manchester, 5) Trevante Rhodes/Moonlight

Best Documentary: 6) Fire at Sea

Best Undistributed Film: 6) Una

Best Screenplay: 1) Manchester, 2) Moonlight

Best Score: 2) La La, 3) Moonlight, 4) Arrival

Best Cinematography: 1) Moonlight, 2) La La Land, 3) Arrival

Best Editing: 1) Moonlight, 3) La La Land

The complete poll results are here.

Analysis of the results of the poll are here.


Slant Magazine posted an interview this week with Toni Erdmann Writer/director Maren Ade and actress Sandra Huller as they talk about the film that is the likely front runner for the Best Foreign Language Oscar.  You can find that interview here.

That's it for this Thursday.  More to come on Boxing Day (Monday).


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