THE FAC UPDATE ON BEST ACTRESS AND ACTOR
Here's the latest look at what The FAC metric says the best guesses are for Best Actress and Actor at this point in mid-December prior to last night's Critics' Choice and today's Golden Globe nominations.
I have used the publicly available Oscar predictions from the following pundits:
Erik Anderson/Awards Watch
Clayton Davis/Awards Circuit
Greg Ellwood/The Playlist-Awards Campaign
Scott Feinberg/The Hollywood Reporter
Joey Magidson/Hollywood News
Nathaniel Rogers/Film Experience
Sasha Stone/Awards Daily
Kristopher Tapley/Variety-InContention
Anne Thompson/Indiewire
TFF #43 films are in Bold. The person's previous position follows its title in parentheses.
BEST ACTRESS
1) Emma Stone/La La Land (1)
2) Natalie Portman/Jackie (2)
3) Annette Being/20th Century Women (3)
4) Ruth Negga/Loving (4)
5) Isabelle Huppert/Elle (7)
6) Amy Adams/Arrival (6)
7) Meryl Streep/Florence Foster Jenkins (5)
8) Taraji P. Henson/Hidden Figures (9)
9) Jessica Chastain/Miss Sloane (8)
10) Marion Cotillard/Allied (10)
Hot: Huppert
Not: Streep
On the Cusp: Jennifer Lawrence/Passengers
Comment: the top four remain exactly the same and the top ten remain the top ten with a bit of jostling. I'm getting a vibe that Ruth Negga (as well as Joel Edgerton) and the while Loving campaign might be waning.
BEST ACTOR
1) Casey Affleck/Manchester by the Sea (2)
2) Denzel Washington/Fences (1)
3) Tom Hanks/Sully (4)
4) Ryan Gosling/La La Land (3)
5) Joel Edgerton/Loving (5)
6) Andrew Garfield/Hacksaw Ridge (7)
7) Warren Beatty/Rules Don't Apply (6)
8) Viggo Mortensen/Captain Fantastic (8)
9) Andrew Garfield/Silence (9)
10) Adam Driver/Paterson (NR)
Hot: Driver
Not: Matthew McConnaughey/Gold who dropped put of the top ten.
On the Cusp: Michael Keaton/The Founder
Comment: See above Re: Loving and Edgerton. The flip flopping between Washington and Affleck is likely to play right through Oscar night. That's your race.
At this point TFF #43 looks to have highlighted four Oscar nominated lead performances and possibly five depending on whether Amy Adams can sneak in. I still think she has a relatively good shot.
CRITICS' CHOICE AWARDS
Last night the Broadcast Film Critics Association named its winners for film awards for 2016. La La Land was a huge winner collecting eight trophies including: Best Picture, Director, Original Screenplay (tie), Best Young Actor/Lucas Hedges, Cinematography, Production Design, Film Editing, Song (City of Stars) and Score.
Manchester by the Sea's Casey Affleck won Best Actor, Best Original Screenplay (tie).
Moonlight won for Mahershala Ali as Best Supporting Actor and Ensemble.
Arrival won Best Adapted Screenplay and Best SciFi/Horror Film.
All told, TFF #43 films bagged 14 Critics Choice Awards.
Complete coverage is here from:
Manchester by the Sea's Casey Affleck won Best Actor, Best Original Screenplay (tie).
Moonlight won for Mahershala Ali as Best Supporting Actor and Ensemble.
Arrival won Best Adapted Screenplay and Best SciFi/Horror Film.
All told, TFF #43 films bagged 14 Critics Choice Awards.
Complete coverage is here from:
NEW YORK ONLINE CRITICS
The New York Critics Circle Online named their "Best of " for 2016 yesterday and the results were as follows:
Meanwhile, Moonlight dominated the New York Film Critics Online awards that were voted on yesterday with five wins.
Moonlight: Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Screenplay and Cinematography
Manchester by the Sea's Casey Affleck won Best actor (again)
La La Land won Best Use of Music
Here's coverage of the NYFCO results from Awards Watch
GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS
Here are this morning's Golden Globes nominations totals by film:
La La Land 7
Moonlight 6
Manchester By The Sea 5
Florence Foster Jenkins 4
Lion 4
Hacksaw Ridge 3
Hell or High Water 3
Nocturnal Animals 3
20th Century Women 2
Arrival 2
Deadpool 2
Elle 2
Fences 2
Hidden Figures 2
Moana 2
Loving 2
Sing 2
Captain Fantastic 1
Divines 1
The Edge of Seventeen 1
Gold 1
Jackie 1
Kubo And The Two Strings 1
The Lobster 1
Miss Sloane 1
My Life As A Zucchini 1
Neruda 1
Rules Don’t Apply 1
The Salesman 1
Sing Street 1
Toni Erdmann 1
Trolls 1
War Dogs 1
Zootopia 1
Moonlight 6
Manchester By The Sea 5
Florence Foster Jenkins 4
Lion 4
Hacksaw Ridge 3
Hell or High Water 3
Nocturnal Animals 3
20th Century Women 2
Arrival 2
Deadpool 2
Elle 2
Fences 2
Hidden Figures 2
Moana 2
Loving 2
Sing 2
Captain Fantastic 1
Divines 1
The Edge of Seventeen 1
Gold 1
Jackie 1
Kubo And The Two Strings 1
The Lobster 1
Miss Sloane 1
My Life As A Zucchini 1
Neruda 1
Rules Don’t Apply 1
The Salesman 1
Sing Street 1
Toni Erdmann 1
Trolls 1
War Dogs 1
Zootopia 1
La La Land gathers nominations for Picture (Comedy/Musical), Director, Screenplay, Actor (C/M), Actress (C/M), Score and Song.
Moonlight landed nominations for Picture (Drama), Director, Screenplay, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress and Score.
Manchester by the Sea was nominated for Best Picture (Drama), Director, Actor, Supporting Actress and Screenplay.
Arrival was nominated for Best Actress and Score.
Neruda and Toni Erdmann were nominated for Best Foreign Langauage Film.
In all Telluride 2016 films earned 22 Glden Globe nominations.
Complete coverage can ne found at The Golden Globes official website.
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