Here's a look at my latest "Best Guesses" for Oscar nominations (to be announced on Jan. 13th). I have listed the last date I predicted for each of these categories and the film's last position in parentheses. As always, TFF #46 films are indicated in Bold.
FILM EDITING (last updated Dec. 9th)
1) Ford v Ferrari (2)
2) The Irishman (1)
3) Once Upon a Time...in
Hollywood (3)
4) Parasite (4)
5) Marriage Story (5)
6) Joker (-)
Other possibles: 1917, Jojo
Rabbit, The Two Popes,
Uncut Gems.
CINEMATOGRAPHY (last updated
Dec. 12th)
1) 1917 (1)
2) Once Upon a Time...(2)
3) The Irishman (3)
4) Joker (4)
5) Ford v Ferrari (5)
6) The Lighthouse (6)
Other possibles: Portrait of a Lady on Fire, Little Women, A Hidden Life, Parasite
ORIGINAL SCORE (last updated
Dec. 12th)
1) 1917 (1)
2) Marriage Story (2)
3) Little Women (3)
4) Joker (5)
5) Star Wars; The Rise of
Skywalker (4)
6) Ford v Ferrari (6)
Other possibles: Motherless Brooklyn, Jojo Rabbit, Us, Just Mercy
ORIGINAL SONG (last updated Dec. 19th)
1) Into the Unknown/Frozen II (1)
2) I'm Gonna Love Me Again/Rocketman (2)
3) Stand Up/Harriet (3)
4) Spirit/The Lion King (4)
5) I'm Standing with You/Breakthrough (5)
6) Glasgow/Wild Rose (-)
Other possibles: I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away/Toy Story 4, Speechless/Aladdin, Daily Battles/Motherless Brooklyn, Letter to My Godfather/Black Godfather
GOLDEN GLOBES SUNDAY...
The Golden Globes have become, perhaps, the most important Oscar precursor event. That awards show happens on Sunday smack in the middle of the Oscar nomination voting period which opens today and runs through next Tuesday.
To that extent, I pay some attention to Globes nominations and winners to see if they provide any clues or insights about Oscar nominations we might see announced on Jan. 13th.
Gold Derby put up their latest odds for Golden Globes winners yesterday and here's a thumbnail look at what they say will win as well as a glance at the odds for all other TFF #46 films that were nominated. All TFF #6 films are in Bold.
BEST PICTURE-DRAMA
Winner: The Irishman. Possible: Marriage Story. The Two Popes has odds of 9/2.
BEST PICTURE-MUSICAL/COMEDY
Winner: Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood. Possible: Jojo Rabbit.
BEST ACTRESS/DRAMA
Winner: Renee Zellweger/Judy. Possible: Charlize Theron/Bombshell. Scarlett Johansson/Marriage Story odds are 39/10.
BEST ACTOR/DRAMA
Winner: Joaquin Phoenix/Joker. Possible: Adam Driver/Marriage Story. The rest of the category is all from TFF #46. Their odds: Antonio Banderas/Pain and Glory 4/1, Jonathan Pryce/The Two Popes 9/2 and Christian Bale/Ford v Ferrari 9/2.
BEST ACTRESS MUSICAL/COMEDY
Winner: Awkwafina/The Farewell. Possible: Ana De Armas/Knives Out.
BEST ACTOR MUSICAL/COMEDY
Winner: Eddie Murphy/Dolemite Is My Name. Possible: Leonardo DiCaprio/Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Winner: Jennifer Lopez/Hustlers. Possible: Laura Dern/Marriage Story. Annette Bening/The Report has odds of 9/2
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Winner: Brad Pitt/Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood. Possible: Al Pacino/The Irishman. Anthony Hopkins odds for The Two Popes are 9/2.
BEST DIRECTOR
Winner: Bong Joon-ho/Parasite. Possible: Martin Scorsese/The Irishman.
BEST SCREENPLAY
Winner: Noah Baumbach/Marriage Story. Possible: Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood. Parasite's odds are 4/1. The Two Popes has odds of 9/2.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Winner: Parasite. Possible: Pain and Glory. Portrait of a Lady on Fire odds are 9/2.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Winner: Toy Story 4. Possible: Frozen II.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Winner: 1917. Possible: Joker. Marriage Story has odds of 9/2 as does Motherless Brooklyn.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Winner: I'm Gonna Love Me Again/Rocketman. Possible: Into the Unknown/Frozen II.
So...Gold Derby has TFF #46 films winning four Golden Globes on Sunday:
Parasite wins for Best Foreign Language Film and Direction.
Renee Zellweger wins for Best Actress/Drama for Judy
Noah Baumbach wins Best Screenplay for Marriage Story.
The only other film, in addition to Parasite, to win more than a single Globe is predicted to be Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood with two: Best Film Musical/Comedy and Brad Pitt for Best Supporting Actor.
The complete Gold Derby Golden Globes predictions and odds for the film categories can be found here.
INTERVIEWS
MOTHERLESS BROOKLYN
Amy Roth/Costume Designer/Motherless Brooklyn/Gold Derby
That interview is linked here
FORD V FERRARI
From Clarence Moye/Awards Daily
Cinematographer Phedon Papamichael
His interview is here
Production Designer Francois Auduoy
That discussion can be found here
EMAIL: mpgort@gmail.com OR michael_speech@hotmail.com
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