Erik Anderson who runs Oscar predicting website Awards Watch came out this week with predictions for Best Picture, Directing and all four acting categories.
He did so with full disclaimers about not really knowing what the film world might look like for the rest of 2020.
So I played with Anderson's guesses in as far as potential Telluride players. The 10 films he predicts as Best Picture players are:
Ammonite
Da 5 Bloods
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Next Goal Wins
Nomadland
On the Rocks
The Trial of the Chicago 7
West Side Story
So, I thought I'd rank these 10 films in order of their TFF #47 chances. Remember that over the past few years Telluride has averaged nearly three films that end up as Best Picture nominees.
1) Nomadland
2) On the Rocks
3) Mank
4) Ammonite
5) Next Goal Wins
6) The Trial of the Chicago 7
7) Minari
8) Da 5 Bloods
9) News of the World
10) West Side Story
Interestingly, Anderson lists another 15 films as he makes his predictions in the other five categories in his post. When you look at those you'll see some things jump out.
For example, Netflix is just represented in his list of 10 Best Pic predictions by Da 5 Bloods and Mank but he has an additional six Netflix films scattered throughout these five categories: Hillbilly Elegy, I'm Thinking of Ending Things, Midnight Sky, Blonde, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, The Life Ahead and The Prom.
Netflix's robust presence over the past five years and especially the past two suggests that looking at Netflix's lineup should tell us to expect around 4-5 titles as Telluride possibilities.
Long time Telluride presence Sony Pictures Classics has a couple of films in this list of 15 additional films. One is The Father which bowed at Sundance and as such is an unlikely to play TFF. The other is French Exit starring Michelle Pfeiffer. So that's something to consider.
The complete post from Anderson is linked here.
CANNES DEADLINES EXTENDED
As we await word about the ultimate fate about the Cannes Festival-postponement to June/July.. postponement to an even later date in 2020...or perhaps even cancellation for 2020...and then what that domino falls, how it will affect the other film fest dominoes on the calendar... we got word this week that the organizers had extended deadlines for submissions as a way of dealing with the rupture that has occurred in the film industry as a result of Covid-19.
Details of those extensions are here from Variety and The Wrap.
Meanwhile, a Cannes Film Fest focal point, the Palais de Festival has been transformed into a homeless shelter to provide shelter during France's Covid-19 lockdown.
Indiewire has that story linked here.
R-E-S-P-E-C-T M-O-V-E-S
Photo of Jennifer Hudson and Aretha Franklin via Vanity Fair
The Aretha Franklin biopic starring Jennifer Hudson hasn't been on my TFF radar as its release date was set for some time to be for August. However, this past week that date was moved to Christmas Day. So suddenly, assuming that date holds, maybe we have to think about the film as a possibility.
Speculation was that the date change was only partially due to the Coronavirus pandemic. Roger Friedman's Showbiz 911 suggests that Hudson is getting a lot of Oscar buzz and that could have also been a factor in the decision.
The Showbiz 911 story is kinked here.
And here's the early teaser for the film via YouTube:
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