Obsessing about the Telluride Film Festival and the film awards season since 2008!
"The best Telluride predictor I know."
-Sasha Stone, Awards Daily
"The best blog out there for predicting what will be going to Telluride."-Matt Neglia, Next Best Picture
"The Nostradamus of Telluride"
-Tim Appelo, Movies for Grownups
Ten Bets #4 for TFF #48 / The Usual Suspects 2021 / The Card Counter Moves Up / Alloy Is No More
TEN BETS #4 FOR TFF #48
Well, after last week's embarrassing inclusion of Val, I'll try to ne a bit more circumspect with the newest Ten Bets. Also of note here is that this should be the last Ten Bets prior to the announcement from Toronto (expected next Tuesday) of a number of their selections. If TIFF follows recent protocol, they will announce titles with premiere status included from which we can reverse engineer some titles that could play Telluride.
Toronto has already announced 13 films that will screen and Focus Features has revealed that Edgar Wright's Last Night in Soho and Kenneth Brannagh's Belfast will both World Premiere at TIFF.
The one film on that TIFF pre-announcement list that I still think might be in the Telluride conversation is Denis Villenueve's Dune. It seems to me that Toronto has been coy with the language that they have used with regard to its status. We know that Dune will World Premiere at Venice (reportedly on Sept.3rd), TIFF has billed its screening of Dune as a "World Exclusive IMAX presentation" which sounds way more impressive than "Canadian Premiere".
Last week's Ten Bets:
1) The Power of the Dog/Campion
2) Muhammad Ali/Burns. Burns and McMahon
3) Something(s) from Mark Cousins***
4) Madres Paralelas (Parallel Mothers)/Almodovar
5) The Card Counter/Schrader
6) The Velvet Underground/Haynes
7) Nightmare Alley/Del Toro
8) A Hero/Farhadi
9) Val/Poo, Scott
10) Mothering Sunday/Husson
Here is the fourth iteration of the Ten Bets for TFF #48:
1) Something from Mark Cousins***
2) Muhammad Ali/Burns. Burns and McMahon
3) The Card Counter/Schrader
4) The Power of the Dog/Campion
5) Madres Paralelas (Parallel Mothers)/Almodovar
6) The Velvet Underground/Haynes
7) Nightmare Alley/Del Toro
8) A Hero/Farhadi
9) Julia/Cohen and West
10) Spencer/Larrain
Other Possibles: Dune, Where Is Anne Frank?, Paris 13th District and The Eyes of Tammy Faye, Blonde, Cow, House of Gucci, The Last Duel, Mothering Sunday and Bergman Island.
***Mark Cousins projects that could play:
The Story of Looking
The Storms of Jeremy Thomas
The Story of Film: The Next Generation
THE USUAL SUSPECTS
If you've been a Telluride obsessive for any length of time, you'll have noticed that there are a number of film makers that have be included as a part of the fest several times. Paying attention to those "Usual Suspects" and whether they have films available for screening can sometimes give you some solid guesses about what films could make the TFF #48 list.
Therefore, in alphabetical order, here are some of The Usual Suspects that could make an appearance at T-ride 2021:
Jacques Audiard: Paris 13th District
Ken Burns: Muhammad Ali
Mark Cousins: The Story of Looking, The Storms of Jeremy Thomas, The Story of Film: The Next Generation
Asghar Farhadi: A Hero
Mia Hansen-Love: Bergman Island
Todd Haynes: The Velvet Underground
Werner Herzog: Last Exit: Space
Roger Michell: Elizabeth
Jason Reitman: Ghostbuster: Afterlife (I'm semi-serious about this)
Paul Schrader: The Card Counter
Martin Scorsese: The Card Counter (Exec. Producer)
Denis Villenueve/Dune
THE CARD COUNTER MOVES UP
Rumors that writer/director Paul Schrader let slip that his new film, The Card Counter starring Oscar Isaac, will play both Venice and then Telluride move that title up in this week's Ten Bets (see above). The film moves back up to its #3 spot where it began on the very first Ten Bets three weeks ago.
The Car Counter has been on all four Ten Bets lists and always within the top five.
Word from an anonymous source this week that the famed Alloy Orchestra is no more. I had an email from a friend pointing me to an article from WBUR, Boston's NPR station. Jim Sullivan writing on July 8th:
"All things must pass. Or, perhaps, mutate.
After three decades, Alloy Orchestra is no more. (Ken)Winokur has exited; (Terry)Donahue and keyboardist Roger Miller, who joined in 1998 after (Caleb)Sampson’s death, continue on under a new moniker, Anvil Orchestra. Larry Dersch, who’d played with Miller in a previous band, Trinary System, will take Winokur’s spot in the new group.
The Anvil Orchestra makes its debut in Athens, Greece on Aug. 27, once again accompanying “Metropolis.”
The Alloy Orchestra had become a Telluride Film Fest institution providing music for a number of silent film presentations as a part of the fest for years.
Here's a YouTube video of The Alloy Orchestra scoring the silent version of The Phantom of the Opera from July of 2020.
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