Obsessing about the Telluride Film Festival and the film awards season since 2008!
"The best blog out there for predicting what will be going to Telluride."-Matt Neglia, Next Best Picture
"The Nostradamus of Telluride"
-Tim Appelo, Movies for Grownups
"But it's our job." - Anne Thompson, Indiewire
We've made the run of post-festival ratings with the reportage of results from my annual poll of the People, the Professionals and then the Composite of both together. It looks like several films that screened at TFF #53 have the potential for Oscar success. So, as has become the custom here at MTFB, we turn the page to what happens now in awards season to the films that made up the TFF #53 lineup.
For quick reference here the ten movies that GD experts place as getting a Best Picture nomination (TFF #53 films are in Bold):
1) The Odyssey
2) Wild Horse Nine
3) Project Hail Mary
4) La Bola Negra
5) The Debut
6) The Invite
7) Dune: Part Three
8) Fjord
9) Digger
10) I Play Rocky
Three other TFF #53 films are in the Gold Derby Top 20 for Best Picture:
12) Elsinore
15) Club Kid
19) Fatherland
OSCAR EXPERTS EARLY PICKS: VARIETY
I'm going to run through about half-a-dozen or so Oscar experts and their early predictions focusing on what they're saying vis-a-vis TFF #53 films. We start with Clayton Davis of Variety. Here's every TFF #53 film he predicts as nominees for the 21 feature categories:
Leading the way from the Davis predictions is La Bola Negra with 11 predicted nominations:
La Bola Negra (11): Best Picture, International Feature, Direction, Supporting Actress (Cruz), Adapted Screenplay, Production Design. Cinematography, Costumes, Editing, Sound, Score.
Wild Horse Nine (6): Best Picture, Direction, Actor (Malkovich), Supporting Actor (Rockwell), Original Screenplay, Editing.
The Debut (5): Best Picture, Actress (Moore), Supporting Actor (Giamatti), Original Screenplay, Song.
Tender Loving Care (3): Best Actress (Bailey), Supporting Actress (O'Flynn), Original Screenplay.
Elsinore (2): Best Actor (Scott), Casting
You Can See Everything (1): Best Picture.
The Only Living Pickpocker in New York (1): Best Actor (Tutturro).
Fatherland (1): Best Actress (Huller),
Club Kid (1): Best Original Screenplay.
Everest: The Other Side (1): Best Documentary.
Fjord (1): Best International Feature.
Minotaur (1) Best International Feature.
A total of 12 TFF #53 films would earn 34 Oscar nominations per the predictions from Davis.